Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 November 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        13   35  +31      87.73     6.88    63.81    56.95    85.99    95.36    98.54    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      85.33     6.48    54.01    35.87    79.06    92.84    97.78    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       12   28  +10      73.22     7.59    25.33     2.51    11.61    34.46    58.95    90.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       13   26   +7      63.13     7.37    10.95     0.07     0.73     4.20    12.04    46.63     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +11      75.09     6.98    37.30     3.76    16.68    48.16    71.75    94.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.49     7.21    20.28     0.34     2.37    10.78    27.01    73.13     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         13   23   +3      68.25     7.40    21.36     0.50     3.48    13.63    31.51    75.93     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   16   -1      47.29     7.29    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.97     3.20R    0.38  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.53     7.75     4.49     0.01     0.07     0.55     2.19    14.83     0.29R    0.01  
Norwich         13   16   -2      40.95     7.25   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30    16.71R    3.43  
QPR             13   15  -10      38.75     6.89   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    25.67R    5.95  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.74     7.01   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    11.08R    1.92  
Swansea         13   14   -4      40.65     7.06   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22    16.22R    3.16  
West_Brom       13   14   -8      42.41     7.16   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    12.24R    2.42  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.19     7.20    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.85     5.24R    0.74  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.58     7.22    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31    13.43R    2.54  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      36.02     6.93   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    38.92R   11.56  
Bolton          13    9  -12      36.97     7.23   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    34.20R   10.33  
Wigan           13    9  -12      30.37     6.54   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.93R   38.06  
Blackburn       13    7  -13      33.88     7.05   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.86R   19.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Burnley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      19   42  +22      89.40     7.89    38.15    42.25    74.88    98.17    81.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         19   40  +20      89.79     7.87    39.33    45.35    76.67    98.41    83.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.72     7.87    22.67     5.69    19.46    79.21    36.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   32   +6      71.39     7.71     9.61     0.77     3.77    44.16    12.86P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds_United     19   31   +5      71.69     7.92    10.61     0.94     4.41    46.53    13.47P    0.10R    0.00  
Leicester        19   29   +6      70.12     7.86    12.10     0.62     3.02    39.14    11.36P    0.19R    0.00  
Brighton         19   29   +1      63.54     7.77    -2.43     0.05     0.43    12.65     2.53P    1.60R    0.08  
Blackpool        19   27   +5      69.79     8.19    13.56     0.73     3.44    38.54    12.79P    0.27R    0.02  
Reading          19   27   +2      67.45     7.78     6.93     0.27     1.43    26.60     7.86P    0.37R    0.01  
Hull             18   27   -1      65.31     7.69    -0.57     0.10     0.67    17.38     3.97P    0.84R    0.03  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      74.95     8.58    16.51     3.11    11.06    62.41    26.64P    0.06R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   18   26   +1      59.85     7.52    -4.87     0.02     0.12     5.20     0.91P    4.04R    0.26  
Peterborough     19   24   +2      59.47     8.24    -1.93     0.04     0.19     6.76     1.30P    6.31R    0.57  
Burnley          19   24   +0      61.29     7.80    -0.15     0.04     0.21     8.36     1.88P    3.27R    0.24  
Barnsley         18   24   -1      57.49     7.79    -8.34     0.01     0.06     3.24     0.59P    8.58R    0.75  
Derby            19   24   -6      55.89     7.59   -14.00     0.00     0.02     1.90     0.28P   12.44R    1.19  
Millwall         19   22   +1      58.52     7.69     0.58     0.01     0.09     4.40     1.03P    5.92R    0.41  
Watford          19   21   -9      53.79     7.72   -16.27     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.20P   19.18R    2.52  
Portsmouth       18   20   -1      57.05     7.74    -2.71     0.01     0.04     3.02     0.70P    8.95R    0.86  
Bristol_City     19   20  -10      52.99     7.64   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.13P   21.78R    2.99  
Ipswich          18   20  -12      52.07     7.82   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.14P   27.06R    4.01  
Nott'm_Forest    19   20  -16      54.52     7.64   -19.77     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.23P   17.03R    2.11  
Coventry         19   13  -13      42.70     7.28   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.58R   25.94  
Doncaster        19   13  -18      38.28     7.13   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   89.32R   58.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.88     7.73    49.27    65.56    86.47    99.87    90.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      82.08     7.98    18.97     4.44    18.06    87.80    33.95P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.10     7.71    41.74    19.80    54.75    98.08    70.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.29     7.94    32.12     5.14    19.77    89.51    39.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.15     8.08    26.31     4.81    18.82    88.22    40.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.96     7.97     8.18     0.09     0.83    32.23     6.27P    0.41R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.56     7.77     1.40     0.03     0.27    17.37     3.16P    1.06R    0.03  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.93     7.84    -5.12     0.04     0.24    15.23     2.67P    1.54R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.60     7.80     2.76     0.00     0.11    10.39     1.89P    2.42R    0.08  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.52     8.03    -7.72     0.02     0.05     6.70     1.03P    5.70R    0.28  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.91     7.64    -3.83     0.00     0.04     6.46     1.15P    4.15R    0.17  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.45     7.77    -6.22     0.01     0.04     6.18     1.07P    4.88R    0.20  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.38     7.73    -7.75     0.00     0.02     4.66     0.75P    6.43R    0.34  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.80     8.34    -0.29     0.06     0.44    20.25     4.67P    1.54R    0.07  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.48     7.90    -3.59     0.00     0.04     6.40     1.20P    5.38R    0.26  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.41     7.85    -3.57     0.00     0.04     6.09     1.22P    5.23R    0.26  
Exeter          19   20  -10      51.93     7.75   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.08P   30.11R    4.01  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.25     7.82   -16.10     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.12P   28.26R    3.61  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      55.93     8.29    -4.08     0.00     0.01     2.72     0.62P   15.26R    1.54  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.42     7.79   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   36.94R    5.90  
Walsall         19   16   -7      48.05     7.65   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   47.52R    9.13  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.52     7.61   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   50.48R   10.23  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.82     7.74   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.07R   27.01  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.20     7.74   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.60R   36.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.63     7.85    35.18    45.67    81.42    98.03    85.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.78     8.26    22.20    17.27    54.22    89.95    61.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.89     7.88    10.60     2.56    15.33    58.73    23.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.22     7.83    26.58    15.04    52.91    90.37    64.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.63     7.98     4.90     1.03     8.16    42.27    14.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.47     7.93    32.82    14.19    51.01    88.82    65.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.42     7.99    17.71     2.25    15.24    58.93    27.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.31     8.00    17.26     0.58     5.50    34.79    12.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.58     7.89     5.87     0.19     2.34    21.58     6.66P    0.08R    0.03  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.29     7.98    11.36     0.52     5.13    33.27    12.75P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.90     8.09     8.29     0.44     4.64    31.38    11.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.28     7.89     8.79     0.14     2.09    21.12     6.84P    0.15R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.24     7.83   -21.34     0.00     0.05     1.32     0.27P    5.87R    2.00  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.57     7.60    -5.58     0.00     0.13     2.85     0.65P    1.84R    0.53  
Crewe                19   25   -5      63.99     7.95    -2.35     0.09     1.13    13.02     3.87P    0.34R    0.07  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.49     7.74    -3.28     0.01     0.18     3.68     0.92P    1.60R    0.45  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.33     7.87    -2.65     0.01     0.33     5.99     1.63P    1.02R    0.29  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.66     8.12   -10.55     0.01     0.18     3.51     1.02P    2.67R    0.82  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.68     7.55   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   28.09R   13.44  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.80     7.34   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   36.49R   18.96  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.15     7.70   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   25.52R   12.13  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.79     7.49   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.85R   17.72  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.89     7.96   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   36.23R   19.98  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      47.05     8.08   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   26.12R   13.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 November 2011, Wrexham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            22   47  +22      91.09     7.02    38.98    44.20    97.07    59.39P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.18     7.12    30.97    25.73    92.40    41.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          22   41   +3      71.07     7.21    -1.83     0.27    16.45     1.94P    0.00R    0.00  
York               22   40  +20      81.79     7.14    33.54     6.81    74.39    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      22   39  +12      76.75     7.24    19.34     1.75    45.65     9.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   38  +16      86.58     6.73    41.26    19.93    91.60    48.49P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          22   37   +3      69.22     7.26     1.68     0.14    11.49     1.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   36   +7      73.90     7.34    14.77     0.76    30.49     6.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       22   33  +13      64.84     7.17    11.40     0.03     4.66     0.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   33   +7      69.38     7.54    10.10     0.22    13.87     2.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           21   33   +3      63.47     7.23    -2.84     0.03     3.00     0.40P    0.11R    0.00  
Barrow             22   33   +1      62.93     7.24    -3.98     0.01     2.39     0.31P    0.22R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     22   31   +3      62.70     7.60     0.53     0.03     2.94     0.38P    0.36R    0.00  
Darlington         22   31   -3      67.53     7.20     2.55     0.07     7.78     1.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   28   +2      65.43     7.26     8.93     0.03     5.39     1.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   26   -4      53.85     7.19   -10.28     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.75R    0.14  
AFC_Telford        22   23   -6      50.29     7.32   -14.15     0.00     0.04     0.00P   11.88R    0.58  
Lincoln_City       22   22  -11      55.48     7.34   -10.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    3.59R    0.13  
Kettering          22   20  -16      47.44     6.90   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.13R    1.47  
Newport_County     22   19   -6      51.86     7.21    -6.18     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.20R    0.41  
Stockport          23   19  -15      51.01     7.26   -14.63     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.95R    0.63  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   17  -18      40.15     6.85   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.37R   10.23  
Alfreton_Town      22   14  -29      32.09     6.46   -55.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.71R   58.97  
Bath_City          22   10  -22      36.06     6.89   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.55R   27.44