Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 November 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        13   35  +31      87.76     6.90    63.85    56.86    85.90    95.28    98.51    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      85.35     6.45    54.04    35.58    78.83    92.91    97.60    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       12   28  +10      73.21     7.62    25.32     2.52    11.44    34.17    58.48    90.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       13   26   +7      63.37     7.39    11.32     0.08     0.79     4.37    12.53    47.84     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +11      75.26     6.95    37.61     4.01    17.07    48.26    72.33    95.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.43     7.28    20.18     0.30     2.40    10.83    26.94    72.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23   +3      68.23     7.46    21.36     0.64     3.51    13.64    31.29    76.06     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   16   -1      47.30     7.28    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.89     3.02R    0.34  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.36     7.69     4.17     0.00     0.05     0.51     2.09    14.03     0.29R    0.02  
Norwich         13   16   -2      41.08     7.30   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31    16.52R    3.29  
QPR             13   15  -10      38.63     6.88   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    26.13R    5.98  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.69     6.98   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.33    10.85R    1.93  
Swansea         13   14   -4      40.45     7.07   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    16.95R    3.41  
West_Brom       13   14   -8      42.42     7.17   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    12.32R    2.44  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.13     7.13    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.85     5.22R    0.67  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.68     7.26    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.32    13.11R    2.58  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      35.98     6.95   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    39.03R   11.92  
Bolton          13    9  -12      37.02     7.17   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    33.65R   10.13  
Wigan           13    9  -12      30.46     6.57   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.25R   37.45  
Blackburn       13    7  -13      33.74     7.01   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    51.65R   19.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Burnley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      19   42  +22      89.20     7.95    37.83    41.71    74.34    97.98    80.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         19   40  +20      89.81     7.79    39.37    45.87    77.09    98.41    84.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.56     7.88    22.43     5.73    19.28    78.81    35.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   32   +6      71.39     7.65     9.65     0.72     3.75    43.99    12.45P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds_United     19   31   +5      71.56     7.95    10.41     1.01     4.41    45.86    13.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        19   29   +6      70.27     7.80    12.34     0.59     3.03    39.97    11.81P    0.17R    0.00  
Brighton         19   29   +1      63.46     7.86    -2.55     0.06     0.46    12.61     2.56P    1.86R    0.11  
Blackpool        19   27   +5      69.80     8.19    13.54     0.70     3.43    39.07    12.84P    0.28R    0.01  
Reading          19   27   +2      67.49     7.75     6.99     0.30     1.51    26.50     8.00P    0.41R    0.01  
Hull             18   27   -1      65.36     7.74    -0.52     0.10     0.73    17.62     4.15P    0.88R    0.04  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      74.96     8.57    16.52     3.13    11.18    62.58    26.86P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   26   +1      59.94     7.54    -4.72     0.01     0.11     5.35     0.94P    4.18R    0.26  
Peterborough     19   24   +2      59.52     8.23    -1.79     0.04     0.21     6.76     1.32P    6.06R    0.59  
Burnley          19   24   +0      61.36     7.70    -0.07     0.02     0.20     8.32     1.80P    3.04R    0.23  
Barnsley         18   24   -1      57.50     7.76    -8.38     0.01     0.08     3.19     0.54P    8.37R    0.71  
Derby            19   24   -6      55.78     7.61   -14.16     0.00     0.03     1.84     0.32P   12.83R    1.20  
Millwall         19   22   +1      58.45     7.68     0.50     0.01     0.08     4.25     1.00P    6.03R    0.50  
Watford          19   21   -9      53.80     7.71   -16.20     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.19P   19.19R    2.47  
Portsmouth       18   20   -1      56.91     7.77    -2.96     0.00     0.05     2.94     0.70P    9.29R    0.93  
Bristol_City     19   20  -10      53.10     7.59   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P   21.37R    2.85  
Ipswich          18   20  -12      52.15     7.87   -22.37     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.10P   27.13R    3.98  
Nott'm_Forest    19   20  -16      54.58     7.62   -19.63     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.21P   17.03R    1.85  
Coventry         19   13  -13      42.75     7.28   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   72.24R   25.99  
Doncaster        19   13  -18      38.30     7.08   -36.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.35R   58.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.91     7.72    49.31    65.92    87.12    99.85    91.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.85     8.02    18.61     4.52    17.50    87.27    32.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.00     7.74    41.63    19.59    54.79    98.05    70.29P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.13     7.99    31.85     5.07    19.78    88.92    39.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.06     8.07    26.14     4.66    18.60    88.27    40.10P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.86     7.97     8.01     0.12     0.90    31.43     6.14P    0.37R    0.01  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.66     7.71     1.54     0.02     0.23    17.91     3.21P    1.03R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      65.07     7.92    -4.91     0.02     0.26    15.91     2.77P    1.63R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.60     7.89     2.80     0.01     0.10    10.74     1.88P    2.57R    0.10  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.39     7.95    -7.88     0.00     0.05     6.30     0.97P    5.68R    0.26  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.91     7.72    -3.87     0.01     0.06     6.79     1.17P    4.31R    0.17  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.44     7.75    -6.19     0.01     0.05     6.03     0.96P    5.06R    0.28  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.31     7.70    -7.79     0.00     0.02     4.65     0.80P    6.64R    0.30  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.80     8.41    -0.28     0.04     0.44    20.59     4.76P    1.72R    0.11  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.57     7.86    -3.41     0.00     0.03     6.41     1.18P    5.11R    0.22  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.39     7.85    -3.63     0.01     0.06     6.23     1.29P    5.18R    0.27  
Exeter          19   20  -10      52.02     7.73   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P   29.82R    3.90  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.34     7.72   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P   27.66R    3.33  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.25     8.26    -3.59     0.00     0.01     2.78     0.63P   14.30R    1.42  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.52     7.76   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   36.57R    5.77  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.81     7.61   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   48.89R    9.76  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.46     7.59   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   51.17R   10.13  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.86     7.75   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   73.03R   27.17  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.31     7.78   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.27R   36.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.49     7.80    34.95    44.61    81.02    97.96    85.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.90     8.28    22.38    17.99    54.78    89.93    62.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.77     7.83    10.40     2.44    14.75    58.17    22.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.25     7.88    26.68    15.67    53.14    90.39    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.84     8.07     5.20     1.19     8.70    43.32    14.73P    0.02R    0.01  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.38     7.93    32.68    13.77    50.53    88.84    64.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.40     8.03    17.69     2.32    15.26    58.21    27.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.46     8.00    17.40     0.57     5.78    35.27    12.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.62     7.88     5.95     0.18     2.33    21.64     6.51P    0.07R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.18     7.99    11.19     0.53     4.99    32.68    12.38P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.99     8.04     8.44     0.44     4.47    31.76    11.41P    0.06R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.21     7.86     8.72     0.16     2.18    20.44     6.84P    0.13R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.05     7.82   -21.53     0.00     0.04     1.29     0.24P    6.25R    2.10  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.47     7.63    -5.73     0.01     0.13     2.79     0.62P    1.87R    0.55  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.03     8.07    -2.35     0.10     1.19    13.56     4.07P    0.34R    0.11  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.65     7.78    -3.02     0.01     0.20     3.84     1.06P    1.55R    0.45  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.34     7.90    -2.63     0.01     0.35     6.16     1.69P    1.03R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.50     8.09   -10.83     0.00     0.15     3.31     0.88P    2.86R    0.97  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.62     7.55   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   28.29R   13.77  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.85     7.36   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   36.28R   18.88  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.19     7.71   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.05R   12.01  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.79     7.56   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.25R   18.11  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      45.15     7.96   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   34.90R   18.90  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.93     8.07   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   26.99R   13.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 November 2011, Wrexham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            22   47  +22      91.16     6.94    39.04    44.25    97.22    59.71P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.11     7.20    30.83    25.68    92.27    41.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          22   41   +3      70.93     7.18    -2.13     0.29    15.84     1.92P    0.00R    0.00  
York               22   40  +20      81.69     7.16    33.42     6.70    74.13    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      22   39  +12      76.73     7.18    19.29     1.67    45.59     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   38  +16      86.70     6.73    41.50    20.16    91.77    48.64P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          22   37   +3      69.17     7.21     1.61     0.11    11.24     1.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   36   +7      73.89     7.34    14.75     0.73    30.65     6.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       22   33  +13      64.64     7.18    11.11     0.03     4.29     0.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   33   +7      69.65     7.55    10.56     0.25    14.77     2.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           21   33   +3      63.31     7.20    -3.07     0.01     2.79     0.38P    0.13R    0.00  
Barrow             22   33   +1      62.98     7.18    -3.86     0.01     2.49     0.30P    0.19R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     22   31   +3      62.85     7.63     0.78     0.03     3.28     0.52P    0.37R    0.00  
Darlington         22   31   -3      67.47     7.17     2.44     0.04     7.71     1.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   28   +2      65.49     7.29     9.03     0.03     5.53     1.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   26   -4      54.03     7.11    -9.97     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.31R    0.14  
AFC_Telford        22   23   -6      50.35     7.26   -14.19     0.00     0.03     0.00P   11.47R    0.58  
Lincoln_City       22   22  -11      55.59     7.38    -9.86     0.00     0.22     0.04P    3.40R    0.12  
Kettering          22   20  -16      47.21     6.91   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.12R    1.56  
Newport_County     22   19   -6      51.82     7.16    -6.22     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.16R    0.42  
Stockport          23   19  -15      51.03     7.23   -14.60     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.80R    0.60  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   17  -18      40.20     6.86   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.82R   10.23  
Alfreton_Town      22   14  -29      31.95     6.38   -55.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.28R   59.84  
Bath_City          22   10  -22      36.11     6.85   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.76R   26.51