Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 November 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        13   35  +31      87.75     6.90    63.80    57.32    85.93    95.30    98.46    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      85.22     6.47    53.69    35.03    78.33    92.71    97.65    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       12   28  +10      73.32     7.52    25.52     2.59    11.63    34.57    59.04    90.47     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       13   26   +7      63.38     7.39    11.36     0.09     0.80     4.46    12.61    47.78     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +11      75.22     6.95    37.58     4.03    17.38    48.17    71.89    95.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.55     7.29    20.41     0.32     2.47    11.08    27.38    72.93     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         13   23   +3      68.09     7.46    21.09     0.62     3.41    13.16    30.69    75.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   16   -1      47.38     7.28    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.99     2.97R    0.32  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.36     7.66     4.19     0.00     0.05     0.51     1.99    14.11     0.27R    0.02  
Norwich         13   16   -2      40.98     7.22   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    16.54R    3.23  
QPR             13   15  -10      38.86     6.86   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    24.89R    5.53  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.65     6.97   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    11.14R    1.93  
Swansea         13   14   -4      40.37     7.12   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    17.54R    3.61  
West_Brom       13   14   -8      42.43     7.20   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    12.41R    2.39  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.15     7.17    -3.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.89     5.21R    0.80  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.66     7.21    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32    13.10R    2.56  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      36.04     6.96   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    39.14R   11.78  
Bolton          13    9  -12      37.05     7.22   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    33.63R   10.18  
Wigan           13    9  -12      30.40     6.60   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.31R   38.02  
Blackburn       13    7  -13      33.71     6.99   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.84R   19.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      18   39  +21      88.16     8.17    37.66    43.49    71.63    97.20    78.62P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         18   37  +18      87.51     8.00    36.33    39.19    69.05    96.84    78.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.62     7.82    22.56     7.37    22.52    80.10    38.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    18   32   +8      73.44     7.86    12.66     2.20     7.97    56.24    18.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     18   28   +1      68.24     8.12     3.62     0.59     2.50    30.77     8.15P    0.58R    0.02  
Blackpool        18   27   +7      71.93     8.39    16.77     1.98     7.21    50.49    19.31P    0.20R    0.01  
Hull             17   27   +0      66.23     7.88    -0.23     0.26     1.39    21.83     5.54P    0.81R    0.02  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      74.82     8.52    16.26     4.02    12.59    62.72    27.24P    0.09R    0.00  
Leicester        18   26   +4      67.91     8.04     9.11     0.43     2.32    30.24     8.54P    0.55R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   18   26   +1      59.70     7.48    -5.08     0.03     0.13     5.10     0.94P    4.79R    0.32  
Brighton         18   26   +0      61.07     7.96    -4.66     0.04     0.27     8.45     1.63P    4.25R    0.27  
Peterborough     18   24   +3      60.22     8.43    -1.89     0.05     0.34     8.64     1.75P    6.41R    0.61  
Reading          18   24   +1      66.40     7.91     6.88     0.28     1.49    23.85     7.27P    0.83R    0.04  
Barnsley         18   24   -1      57.35     7.78    -8.55     0.01     0.07     3.31     0.56P    9.92R    0.94  
Derby            18   24   -5      57.89     7.80   -12.00     0.01     0.08     3.75     0.63P    9.22R    0.81  
Burnley          18   21   -4      59.02     7.99    -5.19     0.01     0.14     5.39     1.12P    7.44R    0.82  
Portsmouth       18   20   -1      57.10     7.79    -2.65     0.01     0.07     3.35     0.74P    9.78R    1.05  
Ipswich          17   20   -8      54.55     8.11   -16.62     0.01     0.04     1.88     0.34P   19.56R    2.73  
Watford          18   20   -9      54.44     7.85   -15.70     0.00     0.03     1.60     0.33P   18.88R    2.61  
Nott'm_Forest    18   20  -12      57.71     7.91   -12.99     0.02     0.11     3.56     0.71P    9.96R    1.06  
Millwall         18   19   +0      57.41     7.85     0.42     0.01     0.07     3.80     0.93P    9.14R    1.04  
Bristol_City     18   19  -10      52.82     7.79   -16.96     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.17P   25.15R    3.83  
Coventry         19   13  -13      42.63     7.27   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.79R   29.15  
Doncaster        18   13  -17      39.22     7.28   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.59R   54.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 November 2011, Charlton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.89     7.70    49.29    66.29    87.01    99.83    90.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      82.04     8.02    18.94     4.65    18.12    87.85    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      88.93     7.78    41.46    19.52    54.47    98.06    69.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.16     7.92    31.85     4.70    19.51    89.43    39.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.07     8.00    26.15     4.62    18.67    88.37    40.39P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      69.00     7.92     8.20     0.11     0.94    32.18     6.31P    0.33R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.62     7.75     1.52     0.02     0.25    17.86     3.33P    1.01R    0.03  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.86     7.92    -5.23     0.01     0.28    15.21     2.62P    1.64R    0.07  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.86     7.84     3.12     0.01     0.11    11.01     1.92P    2.45R    0.06  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.44     7.95    -7.83     0.00     0.06     6.45     1.05P    5.69R    0.28  
Hartlepool      18   26   -1      61.01     8.02    -6.50     0.01     0.08     7.53     1.29P    4.87R    0.23  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.90     7.65    -3.84     0.01     0.05     6.49     1.19P    4.23R    0.14  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.37     7.85    -6.27     0.00     0.04     6.35     1.08P    5.45R    0.26  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.53     7.88    -3.51     0.00     0.04     6.45     1.19P    5.23R    0.26  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.39     7.84    -3.62     0.00     0.05     6.45     1.39P    5.28R    0.24  
Preston         18   23   -5      63.99     8.56    -1.61     0.04     0.29    15.71     3.63P    2.91R    0.14  
Exeter          19   20  -10      51.98     7.66   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P   29.78R    3.88  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.28     7.73   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.10P   28.04R    3.34  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.30     8.23    -3.53     0.00     0.02     2.96     0.63P   13.94R    1.47  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.53     7.78   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P   36.60R    5.70  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.88     7.63   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.01P   48.12R    9.59  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.35     7.61   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   51.69R   10.28  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.92     7.71   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.77R   26.89  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.18     7.72   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    79.97R   37.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.70     7.81    35.30    46.00    82.07    98.06    86.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.76     8.24    22.17    17.13    54.23    89.81    61.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.85     7.85    10.54     2.53    15.12    58.76    22.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.31     7.87    26.73    15.33    53.38    90.39    64.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.70     7.99     5.05     1.05     8.29    42.73    14.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.39     7.91    32.71    13.90    50.59    88.88    64.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.36     7.95    17.65     2.13    14.88    58.40    26.84P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.29     7.96    17.17     0.51     5.36    34.45    12.19P    0.02R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.58     7.89     5.88     0.18     2.27    21.43     6.45P    0.10R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.42     7.92    11.59     0.55     5.06    34.06    12.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.80     8.06     8.13     0.40     4.53    31.09    11.03P    0.07R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.28     7.86     8.84     0.13     2.06    20.75     6.79P    0.11R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.24     7.79   -21.29     0.00     0.04     1.28     0.21P    5.93R    2.07  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.68     7.56    -5.47     0.01     0.14     2.83     0.67P    1.76R    0.47  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.10     8.01    -2.21     0.10     1.30    13.36     4.23P    0.34R    0.10  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.45     7.76    -3.32     0.01     0.15     3.72     0.96P    1.63R    0.49  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.32     7.89    -2.68     0.02     0.33     6.11     1.75P    1.04R    0.27  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.61     8.17   -10.62     0.00     0.18     3.52     1.03P    2.76R    0.85  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.57     7.54   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.53R   13.96  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.81     7.35   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   36.15R   19.04  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.13     7.72   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   25.39R   12.21  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.83     7.48   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.68R   17.43  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.95     7.89   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.60R   19.40  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.88     8.01   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   26.86R   13.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            21   44  +21      89.54     7.13    37.97    37.00    94.80    54.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   44  +15      86.82     7.42    28.38    22.09    87.96    37.82P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          21   41   +5      73.07     7.46     1.22     0.74    23.47     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      21   38  +12      78.28     7.45    20.99     3.24    52.51    13.11P    0.00     0.00  
York               21   37  +18      80.01     7.34    31.28     4.97    63.64    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   37  +16      88.22     6.87    43.34    29.99    93.48    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          21   36   +3      69.06     7.43     0.78     0.15    10.89     1.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   35   +7      74.70     7.50    15.38     1.18    33.11     7.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +7      70.26     7.74    10.90     0.40    16.37     3.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     21   31   +4      64.42     7.82     2.05     0.06     4.68     0.77P    0.25R    0.00  
Darlington         21   31   -2      68.59     7.40     3.15     0.10     9.95     2.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       21   30  +11      62.50     7.39     8.38     0.02     2.64     0.46P    0.25R    0.00  
Tamworth           20   30   +2      61.86     7.49    -3.87     0.02     2.03     0.29P    0.51R    0.01  
Barrow             21   30   +0      61.89     7.38    -4.08     0.01     1.85     0.28P    0.45R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   25   -4      53.81     7.36   -10.72     0.00     0.13     0.02P    6.02R    0.22  
Grimsby            21   25   -5      61.93     7.51    -1.09     0.00     1.85     0.32P    0.49R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        21   22   -6      49.45     7.39   -16.18     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.49R    1.07  
Lincoln_City       21   22   -9      57.13     7.58    -7.60     0.00     0.44     0.08P    2.81R    0.12  
Kettering          21   20  -13      48.46     7.15   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.09R    1.36  
Stockport          22   19   -8      54.14     7.44    -4.66     0.00     0.14     0.03P    5.36R    0.29  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -14      42.38     7.15   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.64R    7.04  
Newport_County     21   16  -10      49.15     7.43   -11.91     0.00     0.02     0.01P   16.59R    1.46  
Alfreton_Town      21   14  -28      32.74     6.62   -56.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.17R   56.51  
Bath_City          21    9  -22      35.72     7.08   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R   31.91