Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 November 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        13   35  +31      87.80     6.93    63.99    57.00    85.94    95.25    98.41    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      85.33     6.52    53.86    35.37    78.97    92.60    97.59    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       12   28  +10      73.22     7.57    25.34     2.61    11.54    34.56    58.64    90.36     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       13   26   +7      63.29     7.41    11.18     0.10     0.84     4.49    12.32    47.46     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +11      75.18     6.98    37.49     4.01    17.04    48.33    72.19    95.24     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.49     7.25    20.30     0.33     2.27    10.89    27.19    72.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23   +3      68.18     7.40    21.19     0.58     3.35    13.35    31.37    75.94     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   16   -1      47.37     7.30    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     2.03     3.04R    0.35  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.36     7.68     4.20     0.01     0.06     0.49     2.01    13.78     0.31R    0.04  
Norwich         13   16   -2      40.99     7.26   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31    16.44R    3.17  
QPR             13   15  -10      38.68     6.91   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    25.93R    6.06  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.62     6.97   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    11.08R    1.90  
Swansea         13   14   -4      40.49     7.16   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    17.08R    3.34  
West_Brom       13   14   -8      42.33     7.18   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    12.50R    2.48  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.24     7.13    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.01     5.07R    0.69  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.66     7.16    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36    12.86R    2.54  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      36.05     6.99   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    38.72R   11.81  
Bolton          13    9  -12      36.97     7.26   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    34.12R   10.44  
Wigan           13    9  -12      30.48     6.56   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.28R   37.47  
Blackburn       13    7  -13      33.77     7.04   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.54R   19.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      18   39  +21      87.99     8.18    37.35    42.51    70.82    97.16    78.05P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         18   37  +18      87.62     8.06    36.51    39.96    69.32    96.76    78.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.74     7.85    22.73     7.41    22.85    80.21    38.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    18   32   +8      73.45     7.89    12.65     2.18     8.00    56.10    18.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     18   28   +1      68.05     8.12     3.34     0.56     2.39    29.84     7.76P    0.63R    0.02  
Blackpool        18   27   +7      72.19     8.42    17.20     2.08     7.59    51.83    20.05P    0.16R    0.01  
Hull             17   27   +0      66.19     7.89    -0.28     0.28     1.33    21.66     5.27P    0.89R    0.04  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      74.62     8.56    15.96     3.91    12.27    61.92    26.77P    0.09R    0.01  
Leicester        18   26   +4      68.03     8.14     9.35     0.61     2.53    30.93     8.96P    0.55R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   18   26   +1      59.89     7.56    -4.77     0.01     0.13     5.57     0.99P    4.62R    0.30  
Brighton         18   26   +0      60.90     8.06    -4.97     0.07     0.35     8.29     1.76P    4.59R    0.34  
Peterborough     18   24   +3      60.30     8.45    -1.77     0.06     0.37     8.79     1.82P    6.26R    0.66  
Reading          18   24   +1      66.42     7.97     6.91     0.32     1.47    23.96     7.39P    0.86R    0.03  
Barnsley         18   24   -1      57.42     7.79    -8.50     0.01     0.07     3.41     0.62P    9.70R    0.91  
Derby            18   24   -5      57.88     7.84   -12.02     0.01     0.10     3.72     0.66P    9.45R    0.88  
Burnley          18   21   -4      59.14     7.94    -5.04     0.02     0.15     5.46     1.24P    6.90R    0.62  
Portsmouth       18   20   -1      56.94     7.77    -2.90     0.01     0.06     3.00     0.65P   10.06R    1.09  
Ipswich          17   20   -8      54.34     8.14   -16.97     0.00     0.03     1.73     0.29P   20.26R    2.79  
Watford          18   20   -9      54.46     7.93   -15.63     0.00     0.02     1.70     0.30P   19.00R    2.56  
Nott'm_Forest    18   20  -12      57.77     7.92   -12.88     0.01     0.07     3.59     0.77P    9.66R    1.00  
Millwall         18   19   +0      57.45     7.83     0.46     0.00     0.05     3.60     0.81P    8.95R    1.00  
Bristol_City     18   19  -10      52.63     7.69   -17.18     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.16P   25.25R    4.04  
Coventry         19   13  -13      42.63     7.30   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   74.78R   29.35  
Doncaster        18   13  -17      39.30     7.30   -35.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   87.29R   54.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.66     8.02    46.34    52.22    79.05    99.60    85.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.94     8.03    18.74     4.72    17.08    87.36    32.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.23     7.92    45.04    32.54    65.17    98.83    77.17P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.18     7.96    31.88     5.36    18.89    89.28    38.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.02     8.10    26.11     4.99    17.91    88.10    39.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.84     7.94     8.00     0.08     0.82    31.64     6.19P    0.38R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.62     7.72     1.51     0.02     0.22    17.87     3.43P    1.01R    0.01  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.92     7.90    -5.19     0.04     0.22    15.37     2.68P    1.66R    0.06  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.63     7.91     2.79     0.00     0.08    11.03     1.97P    2.74R    0.09  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.30     8.01    -8.04     0.00     0.04     6.33     1.04P    5.97R    0.26  
Hartlepool      18   26   -1      60.99     7.96    -6.43     0.00     0.05     7.40     1.18P    4.81R    0.20  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.95     7.71    -3.77     0.00     0.04     6.77     1.24P    4.36R    0.17  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.47     7.80    -6.16     0.00     0.04     6.36     1.07P    4.90R    0.24  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.66     7.88    -3.35     0.00     0.03     6.88     1.27P    5.03R    0.29  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.36     7.90    -3.69     0.00     0.04     6.36     1.37P    5.39R    0.32  
Preston         18   23   -5      63.99     8.70    -1.64     0.03     0.31    16.16     3.82P    3.22R    0.16  
Exeter          19   20  -10      52.01     7.71   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.07P   29.82R    3.81  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.47     7.81   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.13P   27.40R    3.29  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.07     8.25    -3.85     0.00     0.01     2.73     0.56P   14.68R    1.49  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.41     7.82   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   37.05R    5.83  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.99     7.65   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   47.56R    9.27  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.44     7.63   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   51.20R   10.21  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.86     7.73   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.17R   26.92  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.20     7.75   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.62R   37.36  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.58     7.80    35.08    45.42    81.41    98.07    86.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.90     8.30    22.38    17.83    54.79    89.87    62.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.83     7.85    10.48     2.50    15.08    58.59    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.19     7.83    26.62    15.11    53.38    90.09    64.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.90     7.99     5.29     1.10     8.53    43.72    14.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.31     7.89    32.59    13.86    50.19    88.86    64.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.31     7.99    17.52     2.16    14.85    58.11    26.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.37     7.94    17.31     0.55     5.49    34.57    12.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.66     7.90     5.99     0.19     2.45    21.82     6.42P    0.09R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.29     7.97    11.33     0.51     5.10    33.53    12.77P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.84     8.05     8.18     0.43     4.40    31.18    10.99P    0.06R    0.02  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.28     7.83     8.75     0.20     2.18    20.46     6.79P    0.11R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.16     7.78   -21.43     0.00     0.04     1.14     0.22P    6.12R    2.10  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.48     7.65    -5.77     0.00     0.12     2.86     0.60P    1.95R    0.56  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.08     7.99    -2.19     0.08     1.19    13.40     4.06P    0.31R    0.06  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.58     7.72    -3.12     0.02     0.21     3.74     1.05P    1.57R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.25     7.89    -2.75     0.02     0.37     6.04     1.76P    0.99R    0.28  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.72     8.13   -10.48     0.02     0.21     3.51     0.99P    2.57R    0.84  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.73     7.50   -29.95     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.01P   27.62R   13.48  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.90     7.41   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   35.71R   18.88  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.17     7.77   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.23R   12.00  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.81     7.55   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.18R   17.66  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.87     7.88   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   36.40R   19.88  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.88     8.07   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   27.01R   13.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            21   44  +21      89.49     7.15    37.89    36.48    94.56    53.75P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   44  +15      86.63     7.40    28.11    21.57    87.29    37.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          21   41   +5      73.22     7.43     1.47     0.84    24.07     3.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      21   38  +12      78.17     7.48    20.85     3.07    51.75    12.80P    0.00     0.00  
York               21   37  +18      80.11     7.35    31.42     5.26    63.85    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   37  +16      88.24     6.91    43.46    30.59    93.32    56.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          21   36   +3      68.96     7.49     0.63     0.17    10.86     1.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   35   +7      74.74     7.54    15.48     1.27    33.25     7.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +7      70.61     7.80    11.46     0.51    17.36     3.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     21   31   +4      64.38     7.87     1.99     0.05     4.82     0.74P    0.26R    0.00  
Darlington         21   31   -2      68.68     7.33     3.27     0.14    10.09     2.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       21   30  +11      62.64     7.31     8.56     0.02     2.44     0.42P    0.26R    0.00  
Tamworth           20   30   +2      61.72     7.43    -4.13     0.02     1.86     0.27P    0.47R    0.00  
Barrow             21   30   +0      61.85     7.43    -4.15     0.01     1.83     0.23P    0.45R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   25   -4      53.62     7.38   -11.06     0.00     0.11     0.02P    6.33R    0.22  
Grimsby            21   25   -5      62.04     7.46    -0.94     0.00     1.96     0.38P    0.37R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        21   22   -6      49.43     7.40   -16.22     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.67R    0.99  
Lincoln_City       21   22   -9      57.21     7.56    -7.45     0.00     0.42     0.10P    2.65R    0.08  
Kettering          21   20  -13      48.47     7.13   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.64R    1.38  
Stockport          22   19   -8      54.02     7.48    -4.84     0.00     0.11     0.02P    5.52R    0.28  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -14      42.35     7.14   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.86R    7.09  
Newport_County     21   16  -10      49.22     7.38   -11.77     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.34R    1.39  
Alfreton_Town      21   14  -28      32.75     6.67   -56.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.85R   56.55  
Bath_City          21    9  -22      35.63     7.04   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.25R   31.99