Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Arsenal vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.36     7.10    64.38    59.33    86.81    95.46    98.36    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      85.30     6.51    53.89    33.43    77.98    92.38    97.60    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       12   28  +10      73.18     7.57    25.27     2.41    11.10    33.55    58.00    90.14     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       13   26   +7      63.24     7.42    11.12     0.09     0.78     4.19    11.94    46.58     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +11      75.25     7.01    37.57     3.68    16.99    48.27    71.76    95.06     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23   +3      68.36     7.44    21.54     0.57     3.31    13.69    31.78    76.37     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.74     7.50    20.11     0.49     2.96    11.92    28.25    73.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.32     7.68     4.10     0.00     0.06     0.50     1.99    13.67     0.30R    0.02  
Norwich         13   16   -2      41.12     7.26   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    15.94R    3.19  
Aston_Villa     12   15   -1      47.78     7.53    -6.78     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     2.40     3.21R    0.38  
QPR             13   15  -10      38.79     6.96   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    25.80R    5.99  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.81     7.00   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34    10.68R    1.75  
West_Brom       13   14   -8      42.37     7.19   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    12.42R    2.48  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.77     7.42   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    17.25R    3.73  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.01     7.13    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.86     5.50R    0.79  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.58     7.28    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34    13.45R    2.64  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      36.04     6.99   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    39.12R   11.85  
Bolton          13    9  -12      37.13     7.22   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    33.32R    9.82  
Wigan           13    9  -12      30.43     6.56   -35.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.37R   37.37  
Blackburn       13    7  -13      33.74     7.04   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.64R   20.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      18   39  +21      87.93     8.20    37.27    42.48    70.75    96.99    77.78P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         18   37  +18      87.33     8.02    36.10    38.92    68.04    96.67    77.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.75     7.82    22.72     7.81    23.24    80.31    39.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    18   32   +8      73.35     7.89    12.47     2.26     8.03    55.61    18.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     18   28   +1      68.20     8.18     3.55     0.56     2.47    30.34     7.93P    0.66R    0.04  
Blackpool        18   27   +7      71.99     8.38    16.91     2.17     7.51    50.76    19.33P    0.16R    0.01  
Hull             17   27   +0      66.27     7.87    -0.20     0.28     1.38    21.70     5.38P    0.90R    0.05  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      75.11     8.61    16.65     4.46    13.36    63.96    28.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        18   26   +4      67.89     8.03     9.15     0.49     2.35    30.04     8.80P    0.57R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   18   26   +1      59.74     7.50    -5.00     0.02     0.13     5.33     0.94P    4.76R    0.31  
Brighton         18   26   +0      60.96     7.96    -4.86     0.03     0.26     8.27     1.73P    4.30R    0.34  
Peterborough     18   24   +3      60.14     8.46    -2.03     0.05     0.32     8.67     1.73P    6.35R    0.67  
Reading          18   24   +1      66.49     7.97     7.01     0.38     1.60    24.19     7.52P    0.81R    0.04  
Barnsley         18   24   -1      57.47     7.75    -8.40     0.02     0.08     3.39     0.56P    9.43R    0.95  
Derby            18   24   -5      57.95     7.84   -11.91     0.01     0.08     3.91     0.68P    9.32R    0.89  
Burnley          18   21   -4      58.94     7.93    -5.36     0.02     0.13     5.17     1.16P    7.27R    0.76  
Portsmouth       18   20   -1      57.14     7.76    -2.58     0.01     0.08     3.18     0.72P    9.62R    1.00  
Ipswich          17   20   -8      54.43     8.13   -16.84     0.01     0.03     1.83     0.34P   19.99R    2.92  
Watford          18   20   -9      54.54     7.94   -15.52     0.00     0.03     1.70     0.32P   18.90R    2.58  
Nott'm_Forest    18   20  -12      57.70     7.87   -12.93     0.01     0.05     3.49     0.72P    9.80R    1.05  
Millwall         18   19   +0      57.38     7.78     0.38     0.01     0.06     3.59     0.88P    9.06R    0.94  
Bristol_City     18   19  -10      52.59     7.80   -17.25     0.00     0.02     0.85     0.16P   26.11R    4.23  
Coventry         19   13  -13      42.71     7.31   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   74.69R   29.36  
Doncaster        18   13  -17      39.40     7.30   -35.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   87.17R   53.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.62     7.96    46.26    51.96    78.47    99.65    84.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.89     8.03    18.63     4.67    16.74    87.33    32.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.23     7.86    45.11    32.61    65.36    98.89    77.49P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.32     7.94    32.16     5.52    19.51    89.62    39.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      81.99     8.07    26.08     5.00    18.08    87.97    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.92     7.90     8.12     0.11     0.78    32.03     6.27P    0.35R    0.01  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.56     7.73     1.41     0.02     0.23    17.53     3.16P    1.02R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.92     7.87    -5.20     0.03     0.19    15.37     2.59P    1.64R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.63     7.89     2.77     0.02     0.12    10.76     1.88P    2.71R    0.11  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.34     8.03    -7.98     0.01     0.06     6.64     1.06P    5.76R    0.24  
Hartlepool      18   26   -1      60.94     7.90    -6.57     0.00     0.05     7.27     1.20P    4.73R    0.23  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.94     7.73    -3.84     0.01     0.05     6.70     1.21P    4.29R    0.16  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.48     7.77    -6.13     0.00     0.04     6.17     1.10P    4.98R    0.24  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.56     7.93    -3.50     0.00     0.02     6.78     1.31P    5.36R    0.28  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.31     7.82    -3.73     0.00     0.03     6.10     1.39P    5.27R    0.29  
Preston         18   23   -5      64.22     8.57    -1.22     0.02     0.27    16.40     3.85P    2.81R    0.14  
Exeter          19   20  -10      52.01     7.74   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.07P   30.13R    3.91  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.31     7.76   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.12P   27.89R    3.42  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.07     8.25    -3.89     0.00     0.01     2.74     0.57P   14.80R    1.46  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.57     7.78   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P   36.30R    5.61  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.90     7.65   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   48.21R    9.42  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.38     7.62   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   51.47R   10.51  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.88     7.76   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   72.93R   27.00  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.25     7.83   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   79.35R   36.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.52     7.85    34.97    45.25    81.29    97.93    86.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.78     8.29    22.20    17.89    54.46    89.83    62.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.90     7.82    10.62     2.46    15.21    58.77    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.15     7.81    26.54    15.03    52.70    90.27    63.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.84     7.98     5.21     1.17     8.50    42.88    14.63P    0.01R    0.01  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.24     7.94    32.42    13.79    49.93    88.25    63.91P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.63     7.94    18.04     2.39    15.86    59.49    27.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.34     7.98    17.26     0.57     5.57    34.62    12.39P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.76     7.92     6.13     0.19     2.58    21.97     6.75P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.20     7.92    11.27     0.48     4.87    32.71    12.44P    0.03R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.90     8.02     8.31     0.47     4.49    31.16    11.15P    0.08R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.37     7.91     8.96     0.17     2.37    21.12     7.06P    0.11R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.07     7.75   -21.61     0.00     0.06     1.11     0.21P    6.04R    2.06  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.33     7.63    -5.94     0.00     0.12     2.59     0.62P    1.99R    0.52  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.11     8.03    -2.18     0.09     1.27    13.52     4.19P    0.34R    0.10  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.54     7.74    -3.21     0.01     0.16     3.84     0.99P    1.58R    0.41  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.36     7.90    -2.56     0.03     0.38     6.16     1.71P    1.05R    0.30  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.62     8.13   -10.60     0.00     0.17     3.38     0.98P    2.87R    0.99  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.74     7.48   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.47R   13.39  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.78     7.35   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.26R   19.11  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.21     7.71   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   24.95R   11.74  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.73     7.52   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.49R   18.01  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.85     7.89   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.89R   19.78  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      47.00     8.08   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   26.68R   13.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            21   44  +21      89.49     7.09    37.86    36.40    94.75    53.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   44  +15      86.63     7.36    28.12    21.43    87.52    36.88P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          21   41   +5      73.21     7.41     1.44     0.78    23.90     3.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      21   38  +12      78.18     7.43    20.86     2.98    51.80    12.71P    0.00R    0.00  
York               21   37  +18      79.92     7.39    31.17     4.99    63.10    19.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   37  +16      88.42     6.81    43.64    31.30    93.88    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          21   36   +3      69.02     7.45     0.75     0.14    10.86     1.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   35   +7      74.67     7.56    15.32     1.24    33.09     7.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +7      70.41     7.75    11.11     0.47    16.84     3.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     21   31   +4      64.52     7.89     2.20     0.06     5.09     0.79P    0.30R    0.01  
Darlington         21   31   -2      68.57     7.39     3.12     0.13     9.83     2.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       21   30  +11      62.74     7.39     8.74     0.03     2.75     0.46P    0.27R    0.00  
Tamworth           20   30   +2      61.83     7.49    -3.93     0.01     1.99     0.28P    0.42R    0.01  
Barrow             21   30   +0      61.75     7.41    -4.23     0.00     1.85     0.22P    0.45R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   25   -4      53.68     7.43   -10.94     0.00     0.12     0.01P    6.18R    0.29  
Grimsby            21   25   -5      61.88     7.54    -1.16     0.01     2.00     0.40P    0.56R    0.01  
AFC_Telford        21   22   -6      49.56     7.42   -16.02     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.38R    0.98  
Lincoln_City       21   22   -9      56.96     7.58    -7.78     0.00     0.39     0.07P    3.03R    0.08  
Kettering          21   20  -13      48.49     7.13   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.75R    1.26  
Stockport          22   19   -8      54.13     7.52    -4.68     0.00     0.16     0.03P    5.46R    0.26  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -14      42.36     7.16   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.64R    7.20  
Newport_County     21   16  -10      49.26     7.42   -11.72     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.25R    1.47  
Alfreton_Town      21   14  -28      32.80     6.62   -56.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.91R   56.23  
Bath_City          21    9  -22      35.62     6.99   -34.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.32R   32.21