Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 25 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2011, Tottenham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.18     7.10    64.03    53.01    86.49    95.38    98.49    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      87.01     6.61    56.67    41.66    84.60    95.16    98.50    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       11   25   +8      71.29     7.86    22.72     1.38     7.08    26.79    49.20    86.16     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.25     7.58     8.68     0.08     0.63     3.71    10.85    43.58     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   22   +8      74.51     7.14    36.38     2.64    13.46    45.39    69.12    94.54     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.76     7.51    20.21     0.42     2.73    12.96    30.24    75.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.78     7.64    23.52     0.81     4.99    20.20    41.77    83.01     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   15   -1      47.83     7.54    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.23     2.82     3.19R    0.30  
QPR             12   15   -9      39.91     7.19   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    22.66R    4.06  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      44.12     7.44   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.89     9.20R    1.36  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.53     7.55   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    23.87R    4.90  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.20     7.89     1.31     0.00     0.03     0.30     1.42    10.37     0.83R    0.08  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.78     7.43   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    18.05R    3.07  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.97     7.21   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    17.77R    3.24  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.37     7.50    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.01     8.02R    1.18  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.45     7.35    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.01     7.43R    0.86  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.64     7.08   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    37.04R    8.88  
Bolton          12    9  -10      39.00     7.48   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    25.79R    5.65  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.55     7.26   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    42.40R   12.21  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.64     6.65   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.73R   54.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2011, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.87     8.39    41.89    56.01    79.72    98.30    85.03P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.30     8.27    34.99    28.62    61.05    94.95    72.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          18   31  +10      77.57     8.05    22.44     5.10    18.07    74.29    33.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.90     8.14    12.75     2.19     8.74    56.28    19.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.81     8.42     6.56     1.03     4.57    40.82    11.90P    0.30R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.42     8.05     1.93     0.48     2.38    28.84     7.74P    0.35R    0.02  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.60     8.63    17.31     2.17     8.05    51.51    20.04P    0.17R    0.00  
Birmingham       15   25   +5      74.83     8.81    15.77     3.43    12.41    60.32    26.55P    0.11R    0.01  
Leicester        17   25   +4      68.11     8.31     8.92     0.56     2.56    29.81     8.72P    0.53R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   17   25   +1      60.09     7.78    -5.09     0.02     0.15     5.74     1.09P    4.56R    0.37  
Derby            17   24   -3      58.85     8.00   -10.72     0.03     0.15     4.67     0.86P    7.16R    0.71  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.83     8.74    -1.63     0.07     0.46     9.94     2.10P    5.61R    0.63  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.40     8.23    -5.77     0.03     0.17     5.96     1.15P    6.42R    0.68  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.43     8.23     5.40     0.19     0.98    16.85     5.15P    1.68R    0.11  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.67     7.93   -11.26     0.00     0.04     1.67     0.36P   16.17R    2.24  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      56.14     8.36   -15.18     0.02     0.09     2.70     0.48P   14.13R    2.01  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.68     8.14   -12.62     0.02     0.12     4.62     1.09P    7.86R    0.88  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.64     7.96    -2.41     0.01     0.08     3.61     0.86P    8.44R    0.96  
Watford          17   19   -9      54.91     8.15   -15.76     0.01     0.03     1.85     0.31P   17.07R    2.84  
Millwall         17   18   +0      57.60     8.04     0.20     0.01     0.08     3.94     0.98P    8.41R    1.11  
Burnley          17   18   -5      56.44     8.17    -7.60     0.00     0.07     2.93     0.68P   12.06R    1.76  
Bristol_City     17   16  -12      49.82     7.96   -21.08     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.05P   37.40R    8.41  
Coventry         18   13  -12      43.99     7.51   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.53R   23.75  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.55     7.43   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R   53.46  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.66     7.97    46.42    52.74    80.46    99.62    86.42P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.24     7.95    45.19    33.45    67.61    98.86    79.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.65     8.25    18.28     4.07    14.91    83.20    30.13P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.08     8.13    31.70     4.55    17.04    86.03    36.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.21     8.35    26.53     4.86    17.37    85.34    38.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      67.00     8.17     6.76     0.08     0.60    24.52     4.79P    0.84R    0.02  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.39     8.13     3.21     0.02     0.19    13.40     2.39P    2.42R    0.09  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.65     7.92     1.15     0.01     0.13    12.87     2.51P    2.14R    0.07  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.65     7.95     0.06     0.02     0.17    12.76     2.46P    2.25R    0.06  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.97     8.24    -4.78     0.02     0.17    11.82     1.90P    3.17R    0.15  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      63.04     8.16    -6.64     0.02     0.20    11.45     2.13P    3.09R    0.12  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.42     8.01    -6.95     0.01     0.05     6.68     1.04P    5.38R    0.25  
Bury            18   24   -3      57.92     8.19   -10.39     0.01     0.04     4.12     0.65P   10.43R    0.67  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.31     8.22    -1.92     0.02     0.14    10.61     2.13P    3.69R    0.19  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.29     8.91     0.93     0.12     0.85    23.39     5.75P    1.87R    0.10  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      61.02     8.14    -3.32     0.01     0.05     7.96     1.72P    4.93R    0.28  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.54     8.00   -15.42     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.22P   23.02R    2.57  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      58.01     8.47    -2.03     0.00     0.02     4.85     1.10P   10.46R    0.90  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.17     8.01   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.11P   28.94R    4.00  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.21     7.86   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   43.25R    7.69  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.20     7.89   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   46.29R    9.06  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.12     7.79   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   61.97R   16.72  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.42     7.90   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.75R   24.56  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      42.02     8.04   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   76.09R   32.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 November 2011, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      90.85     7.96    36.48    56.02    86.44    98.60    89.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.13     8.53    19.53    11.87    44.68    82.55    52.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.15     8.06     6.93     1.52    10.73    45.10    16.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.48     8.09    24.49    11.76    47.38    85.60    58.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.35     8.29     4.49     0.86     7.93    37.14    13.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      70.96     8.26    19.66     1.29    10.03    42.84    17.81P    0.03R    0.01  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.41     8.18    30.08    10.25    43.80    82.93    57.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      76.04     8.17    19.69     3.84    23.00    66.03    34.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.83     8.14     9.19     0.53     5.52    31.54    10.97P    0.04R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.52     7.96    11.75     0.62     6.06    34.87    13.69P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      71.04     8.33    10.49     1.15     9.57    41.90    17.72P    0.03R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.13     7.86     8.54     0.16     2.57    20.37     6.97P    0.13R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.16     7.98   -20.91     0.00     0.09     1.81     0.35P    5.26R    1.69  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.47     7.69    -5.82     0.01     0.15     3.05     0.73P    2.14R    0.62  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      59.85     8.01    -1.31     0.02     0.42     6.05     1.70P    1.27R    0.37  
Crewe                18   22   -6      62.90     8.24    -2.62     0.07     1.10    11.43     3.68P    0.80R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.31     8.34   -11.82     0.01     0.30     3.55     1.11P    3.50R    1.14  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      58.01     8.09    -6.69     0.01     0.23     3.87     1.08P    2.53R    0.79  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.73     7.54   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   28.58R   13.52  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.83     7.60   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.98R   16.61  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.59     7.98   -21.30     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P   17.76R    7.74  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.43     7.72   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   37.78R   20.32  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.31     8.11   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P   25.99R   12.79  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.18     8.26   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.06R   24.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.60     7.38    39.10    40.76    95.30    56.54P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.43     7.60    28.78    23.36    88.44    38.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.61     7.65    -1.25     0.34    15.33     1.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.33     7.70    20.57     3.20    52.20    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.80     7.59    31.92     6.22    66.74    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      69.02     7.74    -0.01     0.18    11.43     1.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.24     7.15    43.50    23.55    90.93    51.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.25     7.77    15.62     1.54    35.97     7.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.30     8.03    11.94     0.65    20.24     4.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      64.05     8.09     0.64     0.06     4.79     0.69P    0.45R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.43     7.66    -1.52     0.02     3.40     0.48P    0.32R    0.01  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.44     7.73    -2.93     0.03     3.39     0.45P    0.39R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.81     7.60     8.19     0.03     3.10     0.47P    0.32R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.69     7.52     0.76     0.06     6.36     1.37P    0.12R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      56.04     7.71    -6.33     0.00     0.38     0.07P    4.34R    0.06  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.23     7.70    -2.27     0.01     1.32     0.26P    1.34R    0.01  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.10     7.41   -21.21     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.52R    0.71  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.68     7.73    -1.83     0.00     0.40     0.07P    3.42R    0.11  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.55     7.66   -17.83     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.48R    1.55  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.72     7.82   -11.80     0.00     0.21     0.05P    6.64R    0.22  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.38     7.40   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.12R    3.61  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.37     7.58   -11.24     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.60R    0.80  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.14     6.75   -59.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.29R   67.68  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.70     7.27   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R   25.23