Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2011, Tottenham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.30     7.09    64.27    53.06    86.52    95.53    98.51    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      87.04     6.67    56.88    41.41    84.43    95.07    98.48    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       11   25   +8      71.56     7.84    23.23     1.48     7.58    27.54    50.35    87.06     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.29     7.58     8.65     0.05     0.56     3.82    10.93    43.45     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   22   +8      74.55     7.20    36.39     2.82    13.61    45.63    69.20    94.42     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.80     7.49    20.22     0.36     2.57    12.75    30.28    75.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.67     7.58    23.23     0.82     4.70    19.30    40.55    82.42     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   15   -1      47.76     7.51    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21     2.62     3.25R    0.33  
QPR             12   15   -9      40.08     7.16   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    21.88R    3.60  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      43.97     7.42   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.86     9.49R    1.42  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.54     7.52   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    24.01R    4.82  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.06     7.93     1.02     0.00     0.02     0.31     1.31    10.24     0.89R    0.07  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.84     7.36   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    17.47R    2.95  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.83     7.13   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    17.98R    3.27  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.38     7.45    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.98     7.65R    1.06  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.67     7.34    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.04     6.71R    0.73  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.57     7.09   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    37.35R    9.24  
Bolton          12    9  -10      38.99     7.50   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    25.87R    5.83  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.32     7.19   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    43.86R   12.33  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.62     6.69   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.57R   54.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2011, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.90     8.37    41.91    54.74    79.76    98.31    84.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.70     8.25    35.58    30.01    62.76    95.42    73.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          18   31  +10      77.64     8.04    22.58     4.94    17.72    74.46    33.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.83     8.09    12.67     2.13     8.29    56.15    18.75P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.76     8.42     6.45     1.08     4.48    40.72    11.57P    0.29R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.32     8.07     1.85     0.46     2.20    28.47     7.12P    0.49R    0.03  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.78     8.64    17.54     2.31     8.15    52.58    20.73P    0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham       15   25   +5      74.84     8.77    15.80     3.53    12.04    60.42    26.34P    0.09R    0.00  
Leicester        17   25   +4      67.86     8.30     8.59     0.44     2.34    28.90     8.46P    0.58R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   17   25   +1      60.22     7.76    -4.92     0.03     0.17     6.03     1.07P    4.20R    0.35  
Derby            17   24   -3      58.74     7.96   -10.93     0.01     0.11     4.50     0.77P    7.16R    0.70  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.75     8.70    -1.74     0.07     0.43     9.45     2.02P    5.72R    0.68  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.36     8.22    -5.80     0.02     0.17     5.89     1.23P    6.51R    0.72  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.50     8.13     5.51     0.16     0.87    16.61     5.00P    1.49R    0.12  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.63     7.95   -11.32     0.00     0.03     1.64     0.25P   16.37R    2.33  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      56.04     8.28   -15.30     0.01     0.07     2.66     0.48P   14.44R    1.99  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.66     8.15   -12.66     0.02     0.13     4.63     1.04P    8.03R    0.92  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.39     8.01    -2.80     0.01     0.07     3.61     0.83P    9.00R    1.05  
Watford          17   19   -9      54.98     8.10   -15.67     0.00     0.04     2.08     0.43P   16.64R    2.68  
Millwall         17   18   +0      57.78     8.04     0.43     0.01     0.10     4.13     1.00P    8.04R    1.00  
Burnley          17   18   -5      56.56     8.14    -7.42     0.01     0.08     2.96     0.62P   11.59R    1.67  
Bristol_City     17   16  -12      49.74     7.97   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P   38.01R    8.69  
Coventry         18   13  -12      43.93     7.47   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   66.50R   23.97  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.60     7.49   -36.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.65R   53.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.70     8.02    46.42    52.89    80.30    99.56    86.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.28     8.00    45.22    33.19    67.08    98.89    78.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.68     8.30    18.35     4.16    15.39    83.30    30.68P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.13     8.15    31.73     4.67    17.22    86.23    37.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.28     8.36    26.61     4.76    17.39    85.54    38.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      66.96     8.10     6.67     0.09     0.62    24.19     4.78P    0.89R    0.03  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.15     8.20     2.87     0.01     0.16    12.90     2.31P    2.74R    0.10  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.58     7.90     1.03     0.01     0.16    12.61     2.32P    2.11R    0.10  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.66     7.98     0.03     0.02     0.20    12.92     2.40P    2.21R    0.09  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.87     8.22    -4.82     0.03     0.19    11.63     1.94P    3.19R    0.18  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      62.80     8.11    -7.09     0.01     0.15    10.90     1.88P    3.19R    0.16  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.55     8.04    -6.71     0.02     0.08     7.08     1.22P    5.35R    0.25  
Bury            18   24   -3      57.95     8.17   -10.33     0.00     0.03     4.06     0.61P   10.17R    0.76  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.35     8.22    -1.88     0.01     0.10    10.80     2.16P    3.80R    0.18  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.36     8.94     0.96     0.11     0.81    24.04     6.14P    1.99R    0.08  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      61.03     8.15    -3.38     0.01     0.09     7.93     1.72P    5.05R    0.25  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.64     7.98   -15.21     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.19P   22.71R    2.42  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      57.84     8.55    -2.24     0.00     0.04     4.80     1.10P   10.89R    1.08  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.23     8.02   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.15P   28.71R    3.89  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.25     7.89   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P   43.28R    7.84  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.15     7.95   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   46.36R    9.23  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.11     7.85   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   62.18R   16.76  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.56     7.97   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   69.27R   24.28  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      42.05     7.97   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   75.90R   32.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      90.82     8.02    36.49    55.13    86.04    98.41    89.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.57     8.52    20.26    12.72    46.40    83.48    54.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.09     8.04     6.81     1.41    10.32    44.45    16.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.61     8.04    24.68    11.88    47.73    85.84    58.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.42     8.22     4.56     0.87     7.67    36.82    12.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      71.04     8.13    19.76     1.24     9.75    42.70    17.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.38     8.28    30.02    10.43    43.57    82.20    57.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      75.75     8.21    19.19     3.62    22.01    64.43    33.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.76     8.04     9.08     0.53     5.12    30.43    10.59P    0.05R    0.01  
Torquay              18   27   +5      69.67     8.20    11.36     0.72     6.90    35.56    14.43P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      70.82     8.33    10.19     1.04     8.64    40.21    16.83P    0.04R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.15     8.09   -20.97     0.01     0.13     1.89     0.43P    5.16R    1.73  
Port_Vale            18   25   +4      66.71     8.11     8.84     0.26     3.18    23.09     8.20P    0.12R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   +2      59.39     7.88    -3.92     0.02     0.34     4.93     1.25P    1.37R    0.34  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      59.98     7.96    -1.07     0.02     0.48     5.91     1.74P    1.04R    0.29  
Crewe                18   22   -6      62.88     8.33    -2.67     0.07     1.23    11.71     3.74P    0.71R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.32     8.34   -11.83     0.02     0.25     3.51     1.03P    3.14R    1.01  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      57.97     8.08    -6.77     0.01     0.21     3.78     1.03P    2.30R    0.73  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.96     7.60   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   30.45R   14.69  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.32     8.04   -21.73     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   17.32R    7.60  
Barnet               18   16  -15      44.45     7.73   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.78R   20.76  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.41     7.73   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   36.30R   19.02  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.46     8.29   -22.48     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.06P   24.63R   11.95  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.38     8.23   -27.81     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.02P   38.49R   21.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.54     7.34    39.00    40.51    95.56    56.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.51     7.65    28.83    23.75    88.52    38.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.51     7.66    -1.43     0.30    14.92     1.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.48     7.71    20.81     3.40    52.78    13.04P    0.00R    0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.85     7.58    31.93     5.93    67.05    21.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      68.94     7.69    -0.12     0.21    10.99     1.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.25     7.07    43.45    23.47    91.07    51.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.46     7.75    15.98     1.59    36.49     8.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.13     8.02    11.62     0.61    19.33     3.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      64.04     8.12     0.66     0.08     4.80     0.73P    0.44R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.27     7.68    -1.76     0.03     3.19     0.45P    0.33R    0.00  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.61     7.67    -2.63     0.01     3.34     0.46P    0.39R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.78     7.58     8.17     0.03     2.97     0.47P    0.35R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.72     7.57     0.76     0.07     6.55     1.45P    0.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      56.02     7.71    -6.35     0.00     0.41     0.07P    4.14R    0.08  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.38     7.71    -2.02     0.02     1.32     0.24P    1.20R    0.01  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.04     7.36   -21.36     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.46R    0.64  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.81     7.77    -1.67     0.00     0.43     0.09P    3.39R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.35     7.71   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.33R    1.66  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.66     7.78   -11.90     0.00     0.19     0.05P    6.36R    0.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.23     7.39   -28.48     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.74R    3.85  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.44     7.62   -11.14     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.23R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.27     6.78   -58.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   66.81  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.64     7.27   -35.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.29R   25.84