Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2011, Tottenham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.13     7.12    63.90    52.61    86.32    95.27    98.41    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      86.95     6.63    56.66    41.70    84.45    95.02    98.37    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       11   25   +8      71.27     7.83    22.74     1.36     7.18    26.61    48.94    86.41     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.29     7.59     8.71     0.07     0.67     3.94    11.16    43.63     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   22   +8      74.52     7.16    36.33     2.95    13.50    45.55    69.23    94.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.81     7.51    20.24     0.39     2.73    13.16    30.62    75.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.77     7.63    23.42     0.91     5.12    20.08    41.43    82.57     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   15   -1      47.81     7.54    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.72     3.29R    0.29  
QPR             12   15   -9      39.96     7.13   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    22.17R    3.87  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      44.03     7.44   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.89     9.52R    1.50  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.64     7.57   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32    23.68R    4.81  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.14     7.93     1.18     0.00     0.02     0.30     1.36    10.41     0.92R    0.09  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.99     7.43   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.38    17.18R    2.81  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.92     7.18   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    17.85R    3.25  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.58     7.47    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.03     7.46R    1.07  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.41     7.37    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.99     7.26R    0.96  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.60     7.08   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    37.43R    9.11  
Bolton          12    9  -10      38.97     7.49   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    26.16R    5.63  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.40     7.26   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    43.61R   12.33  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.64     6.67   -38.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.46R   54.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2011, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.81     8.35    41.76    55.17    79.64    98.39    84.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.35     8.29    35.03    29.04    61.34    94.86    72.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          18   31  +10      77.60     8.04    22.49     5.15    18.10    74.25    33.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.82     8.13    12.64     2.23     8.59    55.72    19.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.85     8.41     6.62     1.14     4.59    41.12    11.73P    0.26R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.30     8.09     1.83     0.53     2.24    28.62     7.51P    0.45R    0.02  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.61     8.70    17.27     2.33     8.35    51.59    20.44P    0.15R    0.01  
Birmingham       15   25   +5      74.93     8.72    15.92     3.63    12.43    60.89    26.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Leicester        17   25   +4      68.04     8.24     8.87     0.44     2.32    29.56     8.46P    0.53R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   17   25   +1      60.21     7.73    -4.89     0.02     0.18     5.77     1.06P    4.30R    0.31  
Derby            17   24   -3      59.01     8.04   -10.53     0.02     0.16     4.86     0.83P    6.84R    0.64  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.69     8.78    -1.84     0.10     0.52     9.61     2.04P    5.80R    0.68  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.46     8.25    -5.65     0.02     0.17     6.24     1.25P    6.52R    0.75  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.56     8.14     5.60     0.12     0.90    17.01     5.07P    1.47R    0.10  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.69     7.88   -11.23     0.00     0.03     1.62     0.27P   15.96R    2.09  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      56.05     8.36   -15.28     0.01     0.07     2.81     0.49P   14.40R    2.13  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.84     8.12   -12.42     0.02     0.11     4.70     1.05P    7.56R    0.79  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.51     7.96    -2.55     0.00     0.07     3.57     0.86P    8.68R    0.96  
Watford          17   19   -9      54.91     8.18   -15.76     0.00     0.05     1.88     0.36P   17.17R    2.83  
Millwall         17   18   +0      57.56     8.00     0.11     0.01     0.09     3.86     0.97P    8.34R    1.01  
Burnley          17   18   -5      56.51     8.09    -7.46     0.01     0.06     2.69     0.56P   11.52R    1.66  
Bristol_City     17   16  -12      49.80     7.89   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   37.36R    8.37  
Coventry         18   13  -12      43.76     7.48   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    67.66R   24.55  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.54     7.51   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.89R   53.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.72     7.98    46.46    53.57    80.86    99.57    86.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      90.99     7.99    44.72    32.41    66.37    98.72    78.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.72     8.31    18.36     4.15    15.56    83.19    30.61P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.12     8.19    31.70     4.84    17.41    86.22    37.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.04     8.39    26.25     4.72    17.18    84.81    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      66.97     8.09     6.67     0.06     0.56    24.23     4.76P    0.81R    0.02  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.26     8.18     3.02     0.02     0.21    13.17     2.39P    2.60R    0.09  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.67     7.95     1.14     0.01     0.17    12.98     2.49P    2.23R    0.09  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.73     7.94     0.10     0.01     0.14    13.21     2.54P    2.15R    0.07  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.95     8.29    -4.67     0.03     0.22    11.95     2.00P    3.32R    0.16  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      62.83     8.13    -6.96     0.02     0.15    11.04     1.99P    3.28R    0.14  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.52     8.02    -6.80     0.00     0.07     6.87     1.14P    5.33R    0.30  
Bury            18   24   -3      57.89     8.17   -10.42     0.00     0.03     4.07     0.63P   10.69R    0.78  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.33     8.17    -1.92     0.01     0.12    10.42     2.14P    3.61R    0.22  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.35     8.98     1.01     0.13     0.84    24.15     6.04P    1.92R    0.09  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      61.13     8.11    -3.17     0.01     0.09     8.15     1.73P    4.79R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.72     8.04   -15.10     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.22P   22.53R    2.55  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      57.79     8.49    -2.30     0.00     0.02     4.68     1.08P   10.95R    1.02  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.10     8.00   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.12P   29.23R    4.16  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.24     7.91   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   43.33R    7.83  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.28     7.84   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   45.93R    8.86  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.17     7.87   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   61.80R   16.89  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.56     7.90   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   69.32R   23.76  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      42.01     7.96   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   76.19R   32.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      91.03     8.04    36.78    56.01    86.50    98.51    90.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.53     8.53    20.13    12.38    46.10    83.27    53.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.19     8.07     6.97     1.50    10.55    44.73    16.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.36     8.10    24.29    11.02    46.25    84.80    57.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.42     8.20     4.54     0.94     7.66    36.70    12.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      71.04     8.21    19.71     1.28     9.76    42.48    17.34P    0.02R    0.01  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.65     8.21    30.44    10.65    44.62    83.36    58.77P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      75.68     8.24    19.14     3.55    21.54    63.98    33.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.98     8.10     9.42     0.46     5.43    31.49    11.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              18   27   +5      69.65     8.24    11.33     0.74     6.80    35.07    14.30P    0.03R    0.01  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      70.88     8.30    10.26     1.06     9.06    40.40    16.94P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.35     7.98   -20.61     0.01     0.12     1.92     0.37P    4.50R    1.40  
Port_Vale            18   25   +4      66.75     8.09     8.89     0.26     3.06    23.14     8.09P    0.12R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   +2      59.32     7.89    -4.11     0.01     0.35     4.90     1.14P    1.17R    0.31  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      60.03     7.97    -1.02     0.02     0.45     5.99     1.72P    1.04R    0.25  
Crewe                18   22   -6      63.05     8.29    -2.39     0.07     1.25    11.64     3.68P    0.65R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.18     8.37   -12.02     0.01     0.28     3.47     1.09P    3.29R    1.06  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      57.91     8.09    -6.89     0.01     0.22     3.50     0.95P    2.43R    0.74  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.85     7.60   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   30.83R   15.19  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.31     8.00   -21.74     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.08P   16.91R    7.46  
Barnet               18   16  -15      44.65     7.73   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   37.19R   19.48  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.28     7.75   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   36.66R   19.01  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.12     8.18   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   25.49R   12.30  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.19     8.28   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.56R   22.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.54     7.37    38.97    40.38    95.39    56.19P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.49     7.63    28.92    23.72    88.58    38.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.45     7.67    -1.55     0.35    14.72     1.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.47     7.65    20.72     3.21    52.89    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.81     7.60    31.84     6.03    66.62    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      68.99     7.75    -0.02     0.19    11.31     1.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.30     7.14    43.57    23.95    91.01    51.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.40     7.74    15.90     1.39    36.65     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.16     8.00    11.70     0.53    19.52     4.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      63.91     8.10     0.41     0.06     4.55     0.68P    0.49R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.31     7.64    -1.78     0.03     3.19     0.45P    0.31R    0.00  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.49     7.65    -2.85     0.03     3.15     0.46P    0.42R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.77     7.62     8.16     0.03     3.10     0.50P    0.38R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.87     7.52     0.96     0.10     6.82     1.45P    0.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      56.02     7.71    -6.33     0.00     0.43     0.05P    4.12R    0.06  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.23     7.67    -2.25     0.01     1.26     0.24P    1.27R    0.02  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.15     7.40   -21.16     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.11R    0.60  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.85     7.85    -1.51     0.00     0.50     0.10P    3.56R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.53     7.63   -17.86     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.02R    1.55  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.60     7.81   -11.96     0.00     0.22     0.04P    6.72R    0.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.39     7.44   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.36R    3.80  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.39     7.65   -11.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.87R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.32     6.78   -58.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.14R   66.24  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.50     7.25   -35.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.03R   26.61