Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2011, Tottenham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.33     7.11    64.28    53.58    86.72    95.57    98.54    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      86.97     6.61    56.57    40.87    84.50    95.15    98.45    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       11   25   +8      71.37     7.80    22.87     1.36     7.13    26.82    49.58    86.68     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.38     7.55     8.82     0.07     0.64     3.77    11.04    43.78     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   22   +8      74.48     7.18    36.28     2.87    13.56    45.22    68.72    94.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.73     7.48    20.09     0.41     2.63    12.83    29.96    75.41     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.83     7.62    23.56     0.84     4.78    20.28    41.95    82.93     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   15   -1      47.80     7.57    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.27     2.74     3.26R    0.35  
QPR             12   15   -9      40.05     7.08   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    21.64R    3.56  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      43.92     7.45   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.88     9.82R    1.44  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.52     7.46   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    23.58R    4.84  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.05     7.90     1.07     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.30    10.03     0.95R    0.07  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.94     7.42   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34    17.34R    2.96  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.92     7.20   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    18.01R    3.19  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.36     7.44    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.00     7.79R    1.14  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.54     7.38    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.04     7.07R    0.89  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.70     7.14   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    37.00R    8.79  
Bolton          12    9  -10      38.98     7.50   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    26.26R    5.84  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.33     7.27   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    43.62R   12.65  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.60     6.64   -38.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.65R   54.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2011, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.90     8.39    41.91    55.11    79.65    98.25    84.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.60     8.35    35.43    29.83    62.06    95.03    73.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          18   31  +10      77.55     8.07    22.42     4.93    17.69    74.18    33.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.82     8.11    12.66     2.12     8.58    55.75    18.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.89     8.37     6.71     1.02     4.61    41.34    11.86P    0.25R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.32     8.07     1.83     0.45     2.30    28.64     7.67P    0.46R    0.01  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.61     8.72    17.30     2.23     8.12    51.79    20.04P    0.19R    0.02  
Birmingham       15   25   +5      74.82     8.83    15.75     3.55    12.48    60.38    26.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        17   25   +4      67.90     8.23     8.63     0.42     2.25    29.27     8.31P    0.56R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   17   25   +1      60.16     7.74    -5.00     0.03     0.19     5.88     1.12P    4.39R    0.32  
Derby            17   24   -3      58.78     7.96   -10.86     0.01     0.11     4.54     0.79P    7.13R    0.67  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.46     8.74    -2.24     0.10     0.47     9.23     1.95P    6.13R    0.68  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.61     8.25    -5.38     0.04     0.23     6.45     1.36P    6.28R    0.67  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.56     8.12     5.61     0.11     0.79    17.14     5.07P    1.44R    0.09  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.63     7.91   -11.35     0.00     0.03     1.63     0.30P   16.23R    2.31  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      55.98     8.30   -15.38     0.00     0.04     2.76     0.47P   14.48R    2.12  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.75     8.13   -12.56     0.02     0.10     4.70     1.10P    7.72R    0.87  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.56     7.97    -2.49     0.01     0.09     3.71     0.86P    8.45R    1.03  
Watford          17   19   -9      54.82     8.15   -15.89     0.00     0.02     1.88     0.33P   17.34R    2.98  
Millwall         17   18   +0      57.68     8.04     0.26     0.01     0.10     4.08     0.98P    8.26R    0.94  
Burnley          17   18   -5      56.67     8.16    -7.20     0.01     0.07     3.02     0.70P   11.50R    1.65  
Bristol_City     17   16  -12      49.85     7.96   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   37.63R    8.46  
Coventry         18   13  -12      43.86     7.46   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.90R   24.41  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.62     7.53   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   84.52R   52.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.60     8.03    46.32    52.53    79.65    99.55    85.78P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.29     7.95    45.26    33.10    67.65    98.79    78.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.67     8.34    18.36     4.27    15.43    82.86    30.74P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.02     8.11    31.55     4.69    16.91    86.13    36.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.37     8.36    26.72     5.06    17.76    85.80    39.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      66.90     8.11     6.54     0.06     0.52    23.95     4.56P    0.86R    0.02  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.24     8.17     3.00     0.03     0.20    12.98     2.19P    2.62R    0.11  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.55     8.00     0.96     0.02     0.16    12.94     2.44P    2.30R    0.08  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.67     7.90     0.04     0.01     0.16    12.76     2.45P    2.03R    0.08  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.86     8.23    -4.86     0.02     0.18    11.62     1.92P    3.22R    0.13  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      63.03     8.20    -6.68     0.02     0.18    11.59     2.13P    3.24R    0.16  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.59     8.02    -6.69     0.00     0.06     6.93     1.25P    5.20R    0.21  
Bury            18   24   -3      57.89     8.21   -10.47     0.01     0.04     4.02     0.64P   10.69R    0.79  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.38     8.22    -1.80     0.01     0.16    10.59     2.16P    3.72R    0.20  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.35     9.02     0.92     0.14     0.82    24.49     6.00P    1.89R    0.12  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      60.93     8.09    -3.48     0.02     0.08     7.71     1.62P    4.86R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.61     8.03   -15.27     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.19P   22.82R    2.67  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      57.98     8.44    -2.03     0.01     0.04     4.72     1.11P   10.32R    0.96  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.34     8.01   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.15P   28.13R    3.74  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.01     7.80   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P   44.37R    7.99  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.06     7.88   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   46.91R    9.45  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.13     7.80   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   61.94R   16.80  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.64     7.98   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   68.99R   23.73  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      42.03     7.98   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   75.87R   32.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      90.96     8.06    36.69    55.81    86.16    98.44    89.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.56     8.59    20.24    12.77    45.97    83.14    53.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.21     8.06     7.06     1.47    10.50    45.00    16.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.50     8.06    24.54    11.48    47.22    85.29    58.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.43     8.21     4.58     0.93     7.54    36.71    12.79P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      71.06     8.13    19.74     1.06     9.62    42.72    17.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.38     8.26    30.06    10.11    43.41    82.27    57.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      75.83     8.23    19.33     3.60    22.36    64.77    34.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.82     8.08     9.17     0.53     5.24    30.89    10.74P    0.05R    0.01  
Torquay              18   27   +5      69.77     8.16    11.49     0.67     6.92    35.41    14.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      71.01     8.32    10.45     1.13     9.27    40.95    17.40P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.09     8.05   -21.08     0.01     0.13     1.87     0.42P    5.20R    1.60  
Port_Vale            18   25   +4      66.67     8.13     8.78     0.26     3.27    22.70     8.10P    0.13R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   +2      59.29     7.90    -4.13     0.01     0.33     4.86     1.23P    1.31R    0.34  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      59.84     7.95    -1.35     0.03     0.45     5.72     1.74P    1.21R    0.31  
Crewe                18   22   -6      62.91     8.26    -2.64     0.09     1.12    11.45     3.54P    0.60R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.19     8.43   -12.01     0.03     0.28     3.53     1.10P    3.43R    1.10  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      57.98     8.04    -6.76     0.01     0.23     3.57     0.96P    2.23R    0.64  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.94     7.65   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   30.75R   15.21  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.39     8.04   -21.63     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   17.27R    7.41  
Barnet               18   16  -15      44.54     7.76   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.77R   20.00  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.40     7.71   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.95R   18.81  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.35     8.30   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   24.95R   12.04  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.25     8.25   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.01R   22.32  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.60     7.35    39.15    40.44    95.53    56.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.49     7.64    28.85    23.47    88.63    38.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.41     7.66    -1.67     0.33    14.57     1.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.37     7.70    20.69     3.28    52.38    12.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.82     7.59    31.90     5.98    66.71    21.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      69.15     7.68     0.20     0.20    11.57     1.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.25     7.15    43.53    23.99    90.91    51.34P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.34     7.82    15.83     1.59    36.19     8.23P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.18     7.98    11.74     0.49    19.81     4.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      64.14     8.14     0.82     0.07     4.97     0.70P    0.48R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.23     7.63    -1.91     0.05     3.14     0.44P    0.36R    0.01  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.50     7.66    -2.81     0.02     3.19     0.38P    0.37R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.68     7.60     7.99     0.02     3.04     0.48P    0.38R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.86     7.61     0.96     0.07     6.86     1.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      55.95     7.64    -6.46     0.00     0.39     0.05P    4.17R    0.08  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.32     7.72    -2.09     0.01     1.36     0.22P    1.29R    0.02  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.13     7.43   -21.21     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.67R    0.65  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.72     7.75    -1.81     0.00     0.46     0.08P    3.30R    0.11  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.40     7.66   -17.99     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.95R    1.58  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.63     7.81   -11.96     0.00     0.20     0.04P    6.59R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.38     7.47   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.97R    3.94  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.25     7.59   -11.46     0.00     0.05     0.01P   15.14R    0.84  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.40     6.83   -58.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.88R   66.40  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.70     7.29   -35.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.28R   26.17