Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2011, Tottenham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.32     7.13    64.34    53.53    86.79    95.54    98.50    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      87.02     6.64    56.76    40.81    84.31    95.01    98.37    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       11   25   +8      71.36     7.90    22.83     1.40     7.45    26.92    49.33    86.32     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.26     7.57     8.58     0.07     0.64     3.85    11.03    43.22     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   22   +8      74.52     7.18    36.34     2.90    13.32    45.35    69.17    94.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.81     7.49    20.21     0.43     2.67    12.89    30.23    75.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.77     7.65    23.46     0.86     4.79    20.04    41.56    82.74     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   15   -1      47.77     7.57    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     2.75     3.42R    0.35  
QPR             12   15   -9      39.99     7.19   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    21.94R    3.77  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      43.89     7.42   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.87     9.63R    1.42  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.62     7.56   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    23.44R    4.80  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.19     7.96     1.23     0.00     0.03     0.32     1.35    10.72     0.89R    0.08  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.99     7.37   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    16.88R    2.76  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.85     7.18   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    18.25R    3.21  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.35     7.43    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.03     7.91R    1.11  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.56     7.36    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.05     7.01R    0.89  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.60     7.07   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    37.20R    9.14  
Bolton          12    9  -10      39.07     7.52   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    25.89R    5.55  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.30     7.23   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    44.10R   12.45  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.62     6.67   -38.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.42R   54.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 November 2011, Leicester vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.95     8.35    41.99    55.79    79.82    98.31    85.01P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.29     8.29    34.93    28.15    60.86    94.77    71.95P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.79     8.20    12.62     2.20     8.77    55.75    19.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   30  +10      78.47     8.22    23.25     6.46    21.14    77.23    36.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.75     8.40     6.44     0.99     4.45    40.93    11.82P    0.29R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.32     8.09     1.84     0.48     2.24    29.10     7.49P    0.47R    0.02  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.54     8.60    17.16     2.18     7.70    51.36    19.81P    0.16R    0.01  
Leicester        17   25   +4      68.21     8.20     9.13     0.51     2.37    30.22     8.82P    0.44R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   17   25   +1      60.18     7.77    -5.00     0.02     0.17     6.11     1.08P    4.35R    0.31  
Derby            17   24   -3      58.92     7.99   -10.60     0.01     0.14     4.83     0.85P    7.10R    0.71  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.79     8.74    -1.73     0.09     0.53     9.73     2.10P    5.62R    0.68  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.52     8.15    -5.57     0.02     0.15     6.00     1.17P    6.31R    0.61  
Birmingham       14   22   +4      73.62     8.96    15.39     2.88    10.26    55.61    23.77P    0.14R    0.01  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.44     8.20     5.37     0.14     0.86    17.18     5.24P    1.66R    0.11  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.62     7.90   -11.32     0.00     0.04     1.63     0.26P   16.71R    2.20  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      56.14     8.38   -15.07     0.01     0.07     2.90     0.55P   14.46R    2.06  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.59     8.08   -12.80     0.02     0.11     4.51     0.97P    8.12R    0.90  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.53     7.99    -2.55     0.01     0.08     3.67     0.86P    8.80R    0.97  
Watford          17   19   -9      54.97     8.17   -15.63     0.01     0.05     1.92     0.37P   17.20R    2.86  
Millwall         17   18   +0      57.56     8.03     0.08     0.01     0.08     3.79     0.87P    8.75R    1.11  
Burnley          16   18   -4      57.49     8.27    -7.00     0.02     0.10     4.06     0.90P    9.94R    1.40  
Bristol_City     17   16  -12      49.78     7.87   -21.16     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   37.49R    8.37  
Coventry         17   12  -12      43.84     7.61   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.09R   24.74  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.55     7.50   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.85R   52.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.60     8.00    46.31    52.82    80.25    99.57    86.09P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.29     7.97    45.31    33.57    67.81    98.78    78.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.58     8.27    18.24     3.97    14.96    83.06    30.35P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.05     8.16    31.62     4.71    17.43    85.99    37.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.07     8.34    26.27     4.58    17.00    85.11    37.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      66.86     8.12     6.50     0.06     0.55    24.14     4.82P    0.87R    0.02  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.34     8.21     3.15     0.03     0.20    13.45     2.53P    2.63R    0.10  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.67     7.96     1.18     0.02     0.16    12.87     2.49P    2.18R    0.08  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.59     7.95    -0.05     0.02     0.14    12.78     2.48P    2.15R    0.07  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.89     8.28    -4.83     0.02     0.20    11.76     2.01P    3.28R    0.14  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      62.95     8.12    -6.82     0.01     0.16    11.36     2.02P    3.17R    0.11  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.56     7.96    -6.68     0.01     0.06     6.89     1.20P    5.25R    0.28  
Bury            18   24   -3      58.04     8.23   -10.23     0.00     0.04     4.24     0.64P   10.21R    0.72  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.42     8.23    -1.81     0.01     0.13    10.81     2.19P    3.73R    0.18  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.32     8.97     0.96     0.14     0.80    24.02     5.85P    1.98R    0.09  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      61.11     8.11    -3.23     0.01     0.09     7.94     1.71P    4.82R    0.23  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.59     7.95   -15.30     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.18P   22.66R    2.60  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      57.94     8.47    -2.03     0.01     0.04     4.75     1.07P   10.54R    0.95  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.20     7.99   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.14P   28.69R    3.96  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.17     7.87   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   43.70R    7.79  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.16     7.92   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   46.40R    9.31  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.24     7.80   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   61.83R   16.49  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.48     7.84   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   70.08R   23.99  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      41.98     7.99   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   75.82R   32.87  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      90.99     8.03    36.72    56.00    86.54    98.48    89.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.43     8.54    19.99    12.34    45.95    83.09    53.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.23     8.09     7.03     1.45    10.75    45.00    16.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.43     8.11    24.42    11.39    46.76    84.94    57.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.32     8.19     4.42     0.88     7.28    36.51    12.66P    0.02R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      70.99     8.20    19.66     1.22     9.80    42.15    17.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.48     8.20    30.19    10.21    43.61    82.74    57.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      75.83     8.30    19.36     3.83    22.13    64.25    33.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.92     8.07     9.35     0.50     5.37    31.16    11.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Torquay              18   27   +5      69.75     8.19    11.47     0.73     6.86    35.52    14.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      71.10     8.25    10.56     1.05     9.08    41.37    17.24P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.17     8.03   -20.94     0.01     0.09     1.97     0.34P    4.84R    1.52  
Port_Vale            18   25   +4      66.76     8.09     8.91     0.27     3.20    23.00     8.18P    0.13R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   +2      59.25     7.91    -4.18     0.01     0.31     4.87     1.15P    1.25R    0.31  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      59.89     7.95    -1.28     0.02     0.44     5.72     1.73P    1.11R    0.31  
Crewe                18   22   -6      62.94     8.32    -2.52     0.07     1.28    11.48     3.64P    0.68R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.08     8.37   -12.22     0.01     0.28     3.19     0.97P    3.48R    1.19  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      58.09     8.10    -6.62     0.01     0.23     3.84     1.10P    2.23R    0.68  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.94     7.61   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   30.66R   15.05  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.43     7.99   -21.59     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.08P   16.87R    7.28  
Barnet               18   16  -15      44.65     7.76   -31.70     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   37.32R   19.40  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.37     7.70   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.90R   18.66  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.36     8.24   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   24.84R   12.05  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.01     8.25   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   40.54R   23.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.71     7.41    39.32    41.52    95.60    57.30P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.49     7.61    28.81    23.28    88.83    38.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.45     7.64    -1.51     0.35    14.83     1.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.31     7.72    20.60     3.16    51.98    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.80     7.62    31.93     6.03    66.59    21.19P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      68.93     7.68    -0.14     0.19    11.17     1.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.13     7.12    43.29    23.18    90.73    51.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.37     7.75    15.87     1.48    36.50     8.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.18     8.00    11.72     0.59    19.72     3.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      64.12     8.16     0.70     0.06     5.02     0.77P    0.48R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.21     7.62    -1.96     0.02     3.13     0.41P    0.38R    0.01  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.59     7.69    -2.67     0.04     3.39     0.46P    0.36R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.82     7.58     8.26     0.02     3.14     0.53P    0.32R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.81     7.55     0.87     0.06     6.77     1.46P    0.12R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      55.99     7.71    -6.39     0.00     0.40     0.07P    4.22R    0.07  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.45     7.76    -1.90     0.01     1.46     0.31P    1.18R    0.01  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.03     7.39   -21.34     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.47R    0.71  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.79     7.75    -1.63     0.00     0.40     0.10P    3.38R    0.08  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.44     7.69   -18.01     0.00     0.02     0.00    26.62R    1.73  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.68     7.83   -11.88     0.00     0.23     0.05P    6.41R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.34     7.44   -28.35     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.37R    3.74  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.37     7.61   -11.24     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.71R    0.85  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.37     6.84   -58.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.90R   66.04  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.48     7.28   -35.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R   26.54