Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 November 2011, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.22     7.13    64.10    53.01    86.77    95.52    98.53    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      87.00     6.64    56.62    41.62    84.71    95.23    98.51    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.34     7.63     8.77     0.06     0.62     4.24    11.81    44.78     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   22   +8      74.71     7.19    36.72     2.92    14.23    47.99    70.85    94.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      70.01     8.08    21.21     1.07     5.81    22.59    43.45    82.07     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       12   22   +5      67.82     7.55    20.28     0.43     2.78    13.34    31.79    76.16     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.79     7.67    23.48     0.89     5.04    20.65    42.84    82.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      48.94     7.79    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.55     4.34     2.59R    0.26  
QPR             12   15   -9      40.04     7.18   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    22.00R    3.91  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      43.99     7.49   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.94     9.61R    1.53  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.55     7.51   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    23.86R    4.78  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.08     7.98     1.06     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.41    10.58     1.01R    0.09  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.85     7.45   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    17.57R    2.92  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.78     7.20   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    18.52R    3.39  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.33     7.42    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.10     7.75R    1.16  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.65     7.32    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.11     6.86R    0.87  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.63     7.13   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    37.12R    8.95  
Bolton          12    9  -10      38.99     7.49   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    26.10R    5.65  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.40     7.27   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    43.56R   12.38  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.64     6.72   -38.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.44R   54.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 November 2011, Leicester vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.88     8.34    41.82    55.12    79.27    98.35    84.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.34     8.24    35.01    28.43    60.45    94.96    71.69P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.63     8.15    12.33     2.03     8.14    54.92    18.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   30  +10      78.71     8.23    23.59     6.79    21.68    78.06    37.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.71     8.40     6.40     1.05     4.62    40.67    11.62P    0.29R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.47     8.09     2.07     0.51     2.38    29.46     7.93P    0.40R    0.02  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.70     8.62    17.41     2.24     8.17    52.21    20.34P    0.16R    0.01  
Leicester        17   25   +4      68.07     8.28     8.88     0.48     2.43    29.97     8.73P    0.58R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   17   25   +1      60.18     7.73    -4.95     0.03     0.16     5.67     1.04P    4.38R    0.31  
Derby            17   24   -3      58.84     8.00   -10.69     0.03     0.13     4.70     0.80P    7.11R    0.74  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.68     8.67    -1.86     0.06     0.44     9.38     2.02P    5.76R    0.69  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.41     8.18    -5.72     0.03     0.20     5.86     1.19P    6.37R    0.70  
Birmingham       14   22   +4      73.74     9.02    15.45     2.99    10.55    55.87    23.86P    0.17R    0.01  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.51     8.14     5.50     0.14     0.83    17.06     5.08P    1.52R    0.11  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.60     7.95   -11.38     0.00     0.03     1.76     0.26P   16.68R    2.24  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      56.09     8.32   -15.18     0.01     0.05     2.75     0.47P   14.45R    2.05  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.77     8.17   -12.53     0.02     0.14     4.86     1.12P    7.78R    0.87  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.48     7.94    -2.60     0.01     0.06     3.40     0.82P    8.68R    0.99  
Watford          17   19   -9      55.02     8.18   -15.53     0.01     0.05     2.01     0.41P   16.97R    2.82  
Millwall         17   18   +0      57.60     8.04     0.20     0.01     0.09     3.93     0.94P    8.35R    0.99  
Burnley          16   18   -4      57.24     8.28    -7.37     0.01     0.12     3.73     0.88P   10.62R    1.46  
Bristol_City     17   16  -12      49.77     7.98   -21.13     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   37.76R    8.56  
Coventry         17   12  -12      43.82     7.66   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.09R   24.93  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.59     7.44   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.83R   52.46  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.77     7.96    46.61    53.92    80.92    99.62    86.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.03     7.94    44.82    32.30    66.45    98.71    77.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.77     8.22    18.49     4.20    15.56    83.71    31.09P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.17     8.14    31.76     4.65    17.59    86.43    37.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.08     8.33    26.26     4.63    16.99    85.03    37.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      66.92     8.11     6.59     0.07     0.56    23.98     4.84P    0.83R    0.01  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.48     8.17     3.33     0.02     0.21    13.59     2.50P    2.39R    0.11  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.72     7.93     1.24     0.02     0.17    13.15     2.41P    2.04R    0.06  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.63     7.94     0.03     0.02     0.18    12.82     2.58P    2.06R    0.07  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.93     8.26    -4.68     0.02     0.15    11.85     1.90P    3.18R    0.14  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      63.02     8.16    -6.68     0.02     0.17    11.54     2.05P    3.05R    0.12  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.68     8.05    -6.53     0.01     0.10     7.04     1.26P    5.23R    0.25  
Bury            18   24   -3      57.99     8.23   -10.38     0.00     0.03     4.07     0.65P   10.39R    0.77  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.31     8.20    -1.95     0.01     0.11    10.52     2.05P    3.67R    0.17  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.24     8.87     0.79     0.11     0.68    23.15     5.67P    1.86R    0.12  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      61.03     8.09    -3.35     0.01     0.09     7.73     1.75P    4.87R    0.25  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.57     8.01   -15.31     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.21P   22.84R    2.66  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      57.79     8.50    -2.31     0.00     0.03     4.61     0.98P   10.94R    1.01  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.19     7.96   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.14P   28.66R    3.93  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.16     7.93   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   43.57R    8.00  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.00     7.91   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   47.16R    9.52  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.13     7.81   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   62.04R   16.52  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.50     7.85   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.46R   24.02  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      42.05     7.95   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.76R   32.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      91.02     8.02    36.78    55.63    86.56    98.46    90.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.49     8.58    20.11    12.39    45.82    83.02    53.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.37     8.05     7.26     1.50    11.01    45.43    17.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.44     8.04    24.44    11.43    46.33    85.19    57.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.45     8.26     4.60     0.93     7.74    36.78    13.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      71.10     8.15    19.85     1.18     9.85    42.82    17.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.65     8.20    30.41    10.58    44.29    83.30    58.49P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      75.78     8.25    19.27     3.74    21.72    64.07    33.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.73     8.14     9.00     0.46     5.30    30.33    10.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              18   27   +5      69.73     8.23    11.53     0.77     6.97    35.85    14.57P    0.03R    0.01  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      70.94     8.24    10.38     0.99     8.69    40.53    16.81P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.09     8.04   -21.10     0.00     0.12     1.79     0.38P    5.11R    1.63  
Port_Vale            18   25   +4      66.72     8.09     8.86     0.27     3.25    22.80     7.99P    0.15R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   +2      59.44     7.92    -3.89     0.01     0.33     5.09     1.24P    1.28R    0.33  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      59.97     7.98    -1.18     0.03     0.47     5.89     1.68P    1.06R    0.30  
Crewe                18   22   -6      62.91     8.23    -2.57     0.06     1.13    11.11     3.53P    0.67R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.27     8.39   -11.88     0.02     0.24     3.46     1.03P    3.39R    1.14  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      57.81     8.05    -7.02     0.01     0.19     3.41     0.90P    2.28R    0.69  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.93     7.66   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   30.53R   14.92  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.37     7.98   -21.68     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.08P   16.96R    7.40  
Barnet               18   16  -15      44.38     7.76   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.66R   20.76  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.38     7.70   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   35.95R   18.64  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.20     8.19   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.06P   25.10R   12.17  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.28     8.19   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.72R   21.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.57     7.39    39.12    40.44    95.34    56.31P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.57     7.68    28.94    23.96    88.73    39.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.66     7.63    -1.25     0.39    15.23     2.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.34     7.65    20.58     3.21    52.01    12.42P    0.00R    0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.91     7.57    32.06     6.06    67.16    21.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      69.08     7.73     0.07     0.26    11.58     1.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.23     7.10    43.41    23.44    91.10    50.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.29     7.73    15.74     1.51    36.09     8.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.10     7.99    11.55     0.51    19.28     3.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      64.17     8.11     0.83     0.06     4.96     0.76P    0.48R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.21     7.72    -1.88     0.04     3.33     0.44P    0.36R    0.01  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.53     7.66    -2.75     0.03     3.12     0.40P    0.36R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.74     7.63     8.05     0.02     2.96     0.48P    0.41R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.77     7.56     0.86     0.07     6.63     1.39P    0.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      56.05     7.67    -6.31     0.00     0.34     0.06P    3.94R    0.10  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.46     7.68    -1.89     0.00     1.36     0.26P    1.23R    0.02  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.06     7.38   -21.26     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.25R    0.65  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.73     7.78    -1.76     0.00     0.45     0.08P    3.35R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.28     7.60   -18.23     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.22R    1.56  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.70     7.74   -11.78     0.00     0.22     0.05P    6.35R    0.17  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.32     7.39   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.22R    3.75  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.34     7.61   -11.26     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.46R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.36     6.83   -58.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.88R   65.96  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.42     7.21   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.32R   26.86