Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Everton vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        12   34  +31      88.27     7.13    64.28    52.40    84.78    95.45    98.67    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   29  +17      87.01     6.65    56.82    40.29    82.49    95.05    98.60    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       12   25   +7      62.32     7.57     8.71     0.07     0.60     3.67    11.72    47.93     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      76.98     7.34    39.20     5.37    21.11    59.86    80.64    97.07     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.69     8.12    20.68     0.89     5.06    19.74    43.17    82.83     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22   +3      69.69     7.67    23.31     0.82     4.57    18.52    43.56    84.38     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      65.03     7.73    17.44     0.16     1.36     7.29    21.23    65.13     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.00     7.76    -5.22     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.51     4.86     2.68R    0.22  
QPR             12   15   -9      39.98     7.20   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    22.33R    4.00  
West_Brom       12   14   -6      43.98     7.44   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.03     9.54R    1.42  
Norwich         12   13   -3      39.52     7.54   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36    24.23R    4.90  
Everton         11   13   -3      53.22     7.97     1.28     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.63    12.49     0.92R    0.08  
Swansea         12   13   -4      40.98     7.43   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.45    17.54R    3.06  
Stoke           12   12  -12      40.87     7.25   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32    18.59R    3.49  
Sunderland      12   11   +1      44.37     7.52    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.38     8.04R    1.24  
Fulham          12   11   -1      44.54     7.31    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.27     7.04R    0.92  
Wolverhampton   12   11   -7      36.56     7.18   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    37.69R    9.51  
Bolton          12    9  -10      39.15     7.48   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    25.34R    5.54  
Blackburn       12    7  -11      35.52     7.22   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    42.87R   12.14  
Wigan           12    6  -13      27.79     6.68   -38.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.17R   53.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      17   39  +23      90.91     8.36    41.94    55.10    79.67    98.35    84.95P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         17   34  +16      86.49     8.33    35.29    29.16    61.83    95.02    72.73P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   31   +8      73.76     8.17    12.55     2.06     8.54    55.88    18.84P    0.04R    0.01  
Cardiff          17   30  +10      78.39     8.25    23.07     6.50    20.92    76.95    36.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     17   28   +2      70.73     8.34     6.38     1.00     4.26    41.03    11.39P    0.28R    0.01  
Hull             16   27   +1      68.35     8.08     1.94     0.49     2.37    29.09     7.75P    0.37R    0.01  
Blackpool        17   26   +7      72.68     8.65    17.42     2.27     8.25    52.50    20.66P    0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.11     8.04    -1.12     0.07     0.43    10.04     2.08P    2.62R    0.17  
Derby            17   24   -3      58.68     7.93   -10.96     0.02     0.13     4.39     0.79P    6.91R    0.68  
Peterborough     17   23   +3      60.64     8.71    -1.90     0.08     0.42     9.59     1.91P    5.67R    0.67  
Brighton         17   23   -1      59.35     8.24    -5.82     0.02     0.17     5.99     1.22P    6.15R    0.66  
Birmingham       14   22   +4      73.49     8.94    15.17     2.69     9.86    55.17    23.31P    0.16R    0.01  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.96     8.50     5.13     0.28     1.50    22.29     6.12P    1.25R    0.09  
Reading          17   21   +0      64.59     8.19     5.61     0.16     0.94    17.33     5.32P    1.49R    0.10  
Barnsley         17   21   -2      54.50     7.92   -11.47     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.29P   16.14R    2.20  
Ipswich          16   20   -7      56.14     8.35   -15.14     0.01     0.09     2.96     0.58P   13.38R    1.84  
Nott'm_Forest    17   20  -11      58.59     8.16   -12.76     0.02     0.13     4.61     1.05P    7.57R    0.80  
Portsmouth       17   19   -1      57.57     7.96    -2.46     0.01     0.08     3.63     0.83P    8.21R    0.88  
Watford          17   19   -9      55.09     8.18   -15.47     0.00     0.04     2.08     0.40P   15.99R    2.51  
Millwall         16   18   +1      59.99     8.24     2.65     0.03     0.22     7.31     1.85P    5.02R    0.58  
Burnley          16   18   -4      57.41     8.29    -7.13     0.01     0.11     3.99     0.93P    9.71R    1.30  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.36     8.05   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   48.88R   13.44  
Coventry         17   12  -12      43.92     7.65   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   65.45R   23.20  
Doncaster        17   12  -17      39.53     7.47   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R   50.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   43  +26      94.61     7.96    46.28    53.29    80.51    99.56    86.33P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    18   38  +22      91.02     7.92    44.84    32.73    66.72    98.75    78.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       18   36   +9      80.72     8.28    18.41     4.15    15.52    83.38    31.01P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   33  +17      81.04     8.22    31.59     4.61    17.41    85.87    37.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      81.15     8.29    26.43     4.89    17.34    85.40    38.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    18   28   +6      66.95     8.15     6.61     0.09     0.62    24.35     4.88P    0.90R    0.02  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      63.44     8.12     3.29     0.03     0.17    13.41     2.38P    2.44R    0.11  
Tranmere        18   26   +2      63.54     7.96     0.99     0.01     0.15    12.81     2.44P    2.35R    0.09  
Brentford       18   26   +1      63.80     7.95     0.22     0.02     0.18    13.25     2.48P    2.00R    0.06  
Hartlepool      17   26   +0      62.81     8.28    -4.93     0.03     0.19    11.49     1.88P    3.41R    0.14  
Carlisle        18   26   -4      62.90     8.18    -6.93     0.02     0.17    11.18     2.08P    3.28R    0.15  
Oldham          18   25   -2      60.49     7.93    -6.82     0.00     0.05     6.59     1.11P    5.31R    0.24  
Bury            18   24   -3      58.10     8.23   -10.13     0.00     0.03     4.37     0.69P   10.30R    0.73  
Colchester      18   23   -3      62.36     8.17    -1.85     0.01     0.12    10.46     2.00P    3.65R    0.18  
Preston         17   23   -4      66.20     8.89     0.76     0.10     0.70    23.57     5.78P    2.03R    0.08  
Bournemouth     18   22   -4      61.14     8.13    -3.18     0.01     0.07     8.26     1.72P    4.68R    0.24  
Leyton_Orient   18   19   -9      53.57     8.02   -15.31     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.21P   23.32R    2.55  
Scunthorpe      18   18   -4      57.92     8.47    -2.12     0.01     0.04     4.76     1.04P   10.62R    1.02  
Rochdale        18   17  -12      52.07     8.00   -17.58     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.15P   29.40R    3.91  
Exeter          18   17  -13      49.20     7.90   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   43.26R    7.82  
Walsall         18   15   -7      48.15     7.94   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   46.51R    9.42  
Yeovil          18   13  -10      45.26     7.80   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   61.68R   16.61  
Wycombe         18   13  -11      43.47     7.91   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   69.85R   24.51  
Chesterfield    18   13  -13      42.15     8.08   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   75.00R   32.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             18   41  +19      90.83     8.06    36.49    54.99    86.01    98.34    89.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         18   39  +14      81.61     8.63    20.24    13.09    46.36    83.21    54.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           18   35   +9      72.25     8.12     7.06     1.52    10.84    45.02    16.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   34  +11      81.48     8.02    24.46    11.33    46.74    85.45    58.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   32   +5      70.27     8.27     4.30     0.90     7.53    36.30    12.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   30  +16      70.97     8.22    19.65     1.21     9.75    42.48    17.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              18   30  +12      80.66     8.23    30.46    10.74    44.46    83.46    58.81P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           18   30   +8      75.66     8.18    19.11     3.53    21.21    63.97    32.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   29   +7      68.86     8.12     9.23     0.54     5.38    31.07    10.81P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              18   27   +5      69.55     8.18    11.19     0.72     6.64    34.42    14.09P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            18   27   +2      70.93     8.34    10.37     1.02     9.09    40.65    17.08P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   -5      55.18     8.04   -20.89     0.01     0.13     1.90     0.41P    4.87R    1.56  
Port_Vale            18   25   +4      66.81     8.14     8.97     0.26     3.30    23.59     8.34P    0.14R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   +2      59.50     7.88    -3.85     0.01     0.38     5.19     1.31P    1.14R    0.30  
Aldershot            18   23   +1      59.98     7.98    -1.07     0.03     0.49     5.92     1.77P    1.01R    0.29  
Crewe                18   22   -6      62.87     8.30    -2.66     0.07     1.18    11.25     3.62P    0.67R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers       18   21   -8      57.45     8.37   -11.60     0.02     0.27     3.62     1.09P    3.19R    1.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -6      58.03     8.09    -6.71     0.01     0.20     3.55     0.99P    2.32R    0.77  
Hereford             18   17  -15      45.87     7.61   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   31.03R   14.98  
Northampton          18   16  -13      49.37     8.03   -21.72     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   17.20R    7.52  
Barnet               18   16  -15      44.63     7.72   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   37.09R   19.78  
Bradford             18   14   -8      44.43     7.70   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.64R   18.49  
Dag_&_Red            18   13  -16      47.09     8.24   -23.07     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   25.92R   12.54  
Plymouth             18    9  -23      44.15     8.24   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   39.60R   22.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2011, AFC_Telford vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            20   43  +21      90.67     7.42    39.24    41.25    95.43    56.98P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   43  +15      87.56     7.69    29.01    23.90    88.92    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          20   38   +4      70.48     7.65    -1.49     0.39    14.75     1.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      20   37  +12      78.51     7.65    20.85     3.34    53.19    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
York               20   36  +18      80.80     7.55    31.87     5.95    66.81    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   35   +3      68.87     7.71    -0.30     0.17    10.88     1.48P    0.06R    0.00  
Luton              20   34  +15      87.18     7.14    43.35    22.80    90.87    50.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      20   34   +7      75.32     7.76    15.78     1.49    36.14     8.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   31   +7      71.07     7.97    11.54     0.50    19.05     3.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     20   30   +4      63.93     8.15     0.44     0.07     4.73     0.80P    0.56R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.38     7.67    -1.60     0.03     3.41     0.49P    0.31R    0.00  
Barrow             20   30   +1      63.43     7.66    -2.94     0.03     3.18     0.40P    0.39R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   29  +11      62.81     7.59     8.17     0.03     3.17     0.54P    0.30R    0.00  
Darlington         20   28   -4      66.84     7.53     0.93     0.05     6.86     1.54P    0.12R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   25   -1      56.09     7.70    -6.25     0.00     0.41     0.06P    4.19R    0.08  
Grimsby            20   22   -6      60.41     7.73    -1.95     0.01     1.40     0.29P    1.18R    0.01  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.11     7.42   -21.19     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.39R    0.64  
Stockport          21   19   -7      56.91     7.80    -1.41     0.00     0.46     0.11P    3.38R    0.09  
AFC_Telford        20   19   -7      47.43     7.64   -17.97     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.50R    1.58  
Lincoln_City       20   19  -12      54.71     7.79   -11.81     0.00     0.25     0.06P    6.49R    0.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -13      44.33     7.45   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.11R    3.60  
Newport_County     20   16   -9      50.43     7.63   -11.19     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.59R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      20   11  -29      30.21     6.83   -59.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.13R   66.80  
Bath_City          20    8  -22      35.49     7.27   -35.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.23R   26.19