Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 18 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.23     7.38    63.08    50.04    81.71    94.08    97.96    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.27     6.81    57.26    40.65    80.49    94.17    98.22    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      62.96     7.75     9.33     0.17     1.04     4.82    14.28    51.69     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.03     7.34    39.20     6.78    24.49    61.17    81.29    97.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.80     8.18    20.97     1.27     6.07    20.80    44.37    82.58     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.96     7.75    17.25     0.23     1.56     7.56    21.28    64.60     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.77     7.92    23.52     0.86     4.60    17.01    40.15    80.78     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      48.83     7.82    -5.57     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.47     4.99     2.86R    0.28  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.51     7.76   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.64    21.26R    4.28  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.52     7.58   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.59    16.45R    2.81  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.23     7.29   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    36.16R    8.63  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.12     7.47   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.75    12.37R    2.02  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.15     7.29   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    35.28R    8.54  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.59     7.80   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.88    14.46R    2.87  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.06     7.71    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.81     7.45R    1.09  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.59     7.65    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.60     8.11R    1.16  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.48     8.19     1.63     0.00     0.02     0.30     1.56    11.47     1.32R    0.10  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.50     7.75   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44    21.40R    4.43  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.72     7.49   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    42.47R   12.96  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.27     6.96   -37.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.39R   50.81  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      89.06     8.54    38.48    51.09    74.91    97.18    81.05P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.89     8.50    34.20    28.30    57.24    92.87    68.92P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.37     8.34    12.97     3.43    11.68    58.73    22.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.07     8.47    21.06     5.53    16.98    68.00    31.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.80     8.80    16.96     3.07    10.07    53.03    21.80P    0.15R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.08     7.96    -1.09     0.11     0.50    10.05     2.08P    2.56R    0.18  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.62     8.58     4.69     0.87     3.70    32.14     9.27P    0.69R    0.04  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.99     8.23    -7.43     0.08     0.41     8.44     1.62P    4.33R    0.46  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.75     8.26    -1.41     0.35     1.62    20.20     5.36P    1.12R    0.07  
Brighton         16   23   +2      60.96     8.44    -2.47     0.10     0.50     9.20     2.14P    4.52R    0.47  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      60.01     8.94    -3.72     0.09     0.56     9.20     1.97P    7.04R    0.98  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.77     8.46     4.91     0.40     1.76    21.98     6.36P    1.30R    0.09  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.30     9.36    17.45     5.89    16.61    62.75    30.50P    0.13R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.46     8.36     7.40     0.45     2.22    24.49     7.94P    0.91R    0.07  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.38     8.52   -14.18     0.02     0.15     4.14     0.79P   11.18R    1.63  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.64     8.22     0.54     0.05     0.26     6.88     1.72P    5.54R    0.64  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.04     8.24     2.73     0.06     0.27     7.43     1.88P    5.09R    0.58  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.41     8.55    -5.08     0.06     0.37     7.00     1.74P    6.79R    0.89  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.90     8.11   -13.42     0.00     0.03     1.19     0.23P   22.65R    4.43  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.19     8.35   -13.33     0.03     0.12     3.66     0.88P   11.17R    1.68  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.71     8.37   -18.69     0.00     0.03     1.20     0.21P   24.97R    5.50  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      46.97     8.02   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   50.65R   15.91  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.91     7.87   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   60.84R   22.23  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.07     7.81   -33.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    78.28R   44.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.26     8.22    45.79    52.66    79.92    99.17    85.84P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.07     8.13    44.87    34.12    68.59    97.90    79.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.59     8.50    16.56     3.93    13.99    74.84    28.03P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.83     8.36    24.98     3.21    12.56    73.65    28.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.85     8.56    26.04     5.01    18.07    80.18    38.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.97     8.29     6.96     0.21     1.30    27.87     6.14P    0.76R    0.04  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.47     8.44     2.65     0.05     0.38    13.87     2.70P    3.04R    0.14  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.40     8.15     2.68     0.09     0.53    17.99     3.82P    1.53R    0.06  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.15     8.22     1.10     0.08     0.55    17.05     3.74P    1.76R    0.07  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.69     8.34    -6.97     0.05     0.37    13.33     2.56P    2.86R    0.17  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.28     8.37     4.58     0.09     0.63    18.68     4.47P    1.81R    0.07  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      60.00     8.46    -8.93     0.01     0.16     6.83     1.22P    7.59R    0.62  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.19     9.18     4.46     0.45     2.57    34.42    10.02P    1.16R    0.04  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.26     8.21   -10.63     0.01     0.06     4.21     0.78P   10.22R    0.89  
Bury            17   21   -5      55.05     8.28   -14.24     0.00     0.01     2.13     0.35P   19.25R    2.24  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.52     8.34    -4.22     0.01     0.09     5.89     1.32P    7.91R    0.70  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.69     8.72     2.00     0.03     0.20     8.91     2.11P    6.63R    0.60  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.22     8.25   -14.98     0.00     0.02     1.56     0.34P   21.68R    2.93  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.03     8.09   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   45.55R   10.22  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.48     8.09   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P   35.79R    6.68  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.41     8.27   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P   42.75R    9.34  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.00     8.30   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   67.61R   26.23  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.17     8.20   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   62.36R   20.93  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.70     8.02   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   59.68R   18.04  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.43     8.24    35.77    53.44    84.44    97.64    88.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.57     8.65    15.00     8.97    36.50    75.04    44.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.83     8.28     3.91     1.22     8.39    36.35    13.45P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      78.05     8.36    16.70     7.51    34.23    74.41    45.49P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.18     8.40    21.97     3.06    17.92    55.23    26.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.91     8.37    31.90    17.14    55.39    87.47    66.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.09     8.36    13.60     1.78    11.67    43.81    18.77P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.36     8.42     2.99     0.72     6.56    30.16    11.07P    0.11R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.78     8.41    17.70     3.21    18.93    57.28    29.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.96     8.29    12.19     0.84     7.31    34.73    14.27P    0.07R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.47     8.09   -22.76     0.01     0.13     1.92     0.38P    6.80R    2.17  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.86     8.37     9.09     0.66     5.91    29.73    12.32P    0.16R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      60.11     8.11    -3.40     0.04     0.75     7.12     1.95P    1.36R    0.33  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.46     8.46     9.60     1.12     8.49    36.69    15.86P    0.09R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.45     8.14     0.07     0.09     1.11     9.54     2.99P    0.88R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.52     8.62    -6.81     0.09     0.99     8.48     2.89P    1.83R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.06     8.24    -7.14     0.02     0.34     4.55     1.30P    2.84R    0.82  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.37     8.45    -5.06     0.05     0.84     7.99     2.67P    1.81R    0.55  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.31     7.83   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   27.04R   11.93  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.06     8.30   -14.09     0.00     0.06     1.08     0.31P   11.42R    4.26  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.79     7.88   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   31.98R   15.03  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.60     8.38   -21.63     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.11P   22.26R   10.31  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.58     7.87   -36.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   56.13R   35.37  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.65     8.52   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   35.12R   18.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 November 2011, Tamworth vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.10     7.60    37.28    33.72    92.81    51.02P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.35     7.84    28.59    20.97    85.26    36.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.32     7.84    20.01     3.89    52.02    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.66     7.82    32.67     8.47    70.24    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      68.99     7.80    -2.37     0.24    11.51     1.42P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.25     7.91     1.31     0.36    15.11     2.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.11     7.31    44.32    29.88    92.07    55.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.85     7.97    14.00     1.15    29.80     6.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.69     8.41     8.56     0.30    11.71     2.13P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.96     8.23    12.29     0.85    23.04     4.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           19   30   +4      63.27     7.70    -1.81     0.05     3.45     0.45P    0.37R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.29     7.83    -3.85     0.03     3.41     0.49P    0.59R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.32     7.76     1.35     0.01     1.25     0.19P    1.75R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   25   +1      57.95     7.87    -3.36     0.01     0.94     0.13P    2.90R    0.04  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.84     7.69    -1.57     0.05     4.26     0.91P    0.35R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.11     7.93    -1.46     0.02     1.93     0.35P    1.37R    0.02  
Kettering          20   20  -12      50.12     7.38   -21.25     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.87R    0.67  
Stockport          20   19   -6      57.68     7.98    -1.39     0.00     0.66     0.13P    3.27R    0.15  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.95     8.05    -9.96     0.00     0.40     0.09P    5.91R    0.13  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.17     7.88   -19.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.97R    1.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.73     7.62   -26.38     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.85R    2.96  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.31     7.77   -11.92     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.85R    1.00  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.76     6.97   -60.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.60R   71.17  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.70     7.52   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.02R   21.93