Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.23     7.35    63.15    49.55    81.88    94.07    98.02    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.36     6.82    57.48    41.37    80.92    94.28    98.17    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.12     7.73     9.58     0.16     1.08     4.96    14.87    52.76     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.08     7.35    39.31     6.62    24.34    61.46    81.36    97.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.85     8.08    20.92     1.21     5.94    21.03    44.90    83.01     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.94     7.67    17.18     0.26     1.52     7.33    21.30    64.53     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.60     7.88    23.20     0.84     4.28    16.44    39.00    80.40     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      48.98     7.79    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.52     4.98     2.77R    0.26  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.72     7.80   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.64    20.66R    4.03  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.47     7.62   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.68    16.76R    2.90  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.21     7.25   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    36.26R    8.61  
Stoke           11   12  -11      42.95     7.41   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.68    12.63R    2.11  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.33     7.27   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    34.56R    8.12  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.56     7.74   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.83    14.41R    2.73  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.09     7.61    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.73     7.19R    1.00  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.61     7.61    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     1.57     7.86R    1.09  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.18     8.17     1.15     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.45    10.54     1.57R    0.16  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.36     7.78   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48    22.08R    4.82  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.76     7.49   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    42.47R   13.06  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.22     6.92   -37.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.78R   51.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.89     8.65    38.23    49.90    73.81    96.81    80.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      85.03     8.55    34.36    29.06    57.56    92.73    69.15P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.58     8.39    13.25     3.83    12.44    59.84    23.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.19     8.44    21.26     5.58    17.29    68.39    31.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.73     8.88    16.91     3.29    10.31    52.61    21.90P    0.17R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.09     8.03    -1.07     0.12     0.53    10.29     2.15P    2.72R    0.23  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.57     8.59     4.55     0.92     3.60    32.11     9.19P    0.68R    0.05  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.88     8.25    -7.62     0.10     0.42     8.41     1.60P    4.48R    0.44  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.76     8.25    -1.40     0.32     1.58    20.07     5.23P    1.09R    0.10  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.17     8.46    -2.18     0.11     0.55     9.65     2.28P    4.19R    0.41  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.99     8.91    -3.79     0.11     0.59     9.03     2.07P    7.07R    0.95  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.82     8.44     4.96     0.37     1.68    22.07     6.22P    1.33R    0.12  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.07     9.31    17.07     5.60    16.07    61.83    30.00P    0.13R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.60     8.37     7.63     0.53     2.32    25.17     8.53P    0.91R    0.07  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.24     8.51   -14.32     0.02     0.16     4.07     0.76P   11.73R    1.78  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.57     8.20     0.39     0.03     0.27     6.52     1.66P    5.54R    0.70  
Millwall         16   18   +1      59.99     8.18     2.68     0.05     0.30     7.32     1.84P    5.00R    0.60  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.37     8.48    -5.17     0.07     0.32     6.70     1.63P    6.84R    0.92  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.94     8.14   -13.35     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.21P   22.33R    4.37  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.27     8.40   -13.21     0.01     0.13     3.86     0.91P   11.01R    1.69  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.54     8.36   -18.88     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.24P   25.59R    5.80  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.05     8.04   -23.65     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   50.58R   15.88  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.94     7.85   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   60.27R   22.08  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.11     7.73   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.27R   43.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.22     8.23    45.71    51.80    79.88    99.14    85.88P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.19     8.18    45.06    34.83    69.02    97.87    79.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.74     8.50    16.81     3.93    14.17    75.49    28.41P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.76     8.38    24.91     3.01    11.83    73.53    28.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.91     8.64    26.11     5.38    18.41    80.12    37.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.86     8.24     6.81     0.18     1.25    27.27     6.04P    0.71R    0.01  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.38     8.40     2.57     0.05     0.37    13.66     2.60P    2.91R    0.13  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.39     8.12     2.63     0.08     0.50    17.47     3.66P    1.56R    0.07  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.07     8.16     1.00     0.07     0.52    16.66     3.76P    1.64R    0.07  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.87     8.38    -6.70     0.06     0.46    13.92     2.82P    2.73R    0.12  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.40     8.41     4.71     0.08     0.56    19.32     4.54P    1.79R    0.08  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      60.02     8.45    -8.88     0.01     0.15     6.93     1.26P    7.31R    0.56  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.32     9.15     4.67     0.46     2.49    34.73     9.83P    1.05R    0.06  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.30     8.23   -10.57     0.01     0.07     4.19     0.79P   10.29R    0.94  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.95     8.40   -14.33     0.00     0.01     2.15     0.34P   19.98R    2.57  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.54     8.34    -4.23     0.01     0.09     5.91     1.44P    7.88R    0.67  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.49     8.79     1.70     0.02     0.19     8.71     2.25P    7.12R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.15     8.23   -15.14     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.30P   21.98R    2.98  
Exeter          17   16  -13      48.89     8.03   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   45.71R   10.43  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.26     8.16   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P   36.96R    7.16  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.48     8.23   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   42.26R    9.12  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.08     8.32   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.08R   26.04  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.13     8.22   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   62.48R   21.07  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.90     8.07   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   58.51R   17.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.41     8.23    35.71    53.28    84.49    97.65    88.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.71     8.71    15.29     9.54    37.53    75.02    45.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.90     8.22     4.02     1.19     8.52    36.29    13.45P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.87     8.24    16.39     7.01    33.12    73.84    44.49P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.26     8.43    22.10     3.13    18.18    55.22    26.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.86     8.47    31.81    17.34    55.18    86.95    66.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.34     8.28    13.92     1.76    12.02    45.23    19.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.62     8.38     3.38     0.81     6.64    31.23    11.39P    0.11R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.84     8.35    17.78     3.17    18.82    57.33    29.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.82     8.32    12.00     0.72     7.02    34.17    13.90P    0.10R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.63     8.26   -22.46     0.01     0.19     2.05     0.48P    6.83R    2.11  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.71     8.42     8.86     0.68     5.76    29.30    12.04P    0.17R    0.04  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.96     8.07    -3.60     0.04     0.70     6.78     1.88P    1.30R    0.34  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.39     8.48     9.49     1.04     8.25    36.25    15.65P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.46     8.22     0.14     0.11     1.13     9.83     3.19P    0.98R    0.24  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.50     8.66    -6.87     0.10     1.09     8.63     2.88P    1.97R    0.59  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.26     8.26    -6.88     0.02     0.39     4.63     1.35P    2.62R    0.69  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.34     8.43    -5.19     0.04     0.88     7.83     2.56P    1.72R    0.45  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.21     7.80   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   27.29R   12.30  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.10     8.31   -13.97     0.00     0.06     1.07     0.31P   11.06R    4.16  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.73     7.85   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   31.75R   14.90  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.36     8.40   -22.07     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   22.91R   10.65  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.58     7.81   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.01R   35.14  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.61     8.47   -25.98     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   34.99R   18.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2011, Ebbsfleet_United vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.20     7.61    37.41    34.21    93.01    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.09     7.88    28.18    20.23    84.41    35.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.15     7.91    19.73     3.87    50.74    12.88P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.82     7.79    32.93     8.55    70.97    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.05     7.86    -2.21     0.27    11.70     1.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.27     7.92     1.35     0.34    15.27     2.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.09     7.36    44.37    30.00    91.78    55.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.85     7.91    14.01     1.16    29.80     6.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.79     8.42     8.77     0.32    11.64     2.15P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.91     8.23    12.27     0.89    22.89     4.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.11     7.89    -1.08     0.05     4.48     0.64P    0.37R    0.01  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.58     7.86    -3.43     0.03     3.72     0.54P    0.50R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.33     7.74     1.39     0.01     1.27     0.17P    1.65R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   25   +1      58.11     7.91    -3.08     0.00     0.95     0.15P    2.71R    0.04  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.84     7.69    -1.54     0.03     4.23     0.92P    0.30R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.03     7.96    -1.54     0.02     1.89     0.35P    1.38R    0.01  
Stockport          20   19   -6      57.63     8.02    -1.50     0.00     0.76     0.18P    3.31R    0.11  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.89     7.99   -10.08     0.00     0.38     0.10P    5.67R    0.15  
Kettering          19   19  -12      49.98     7.54   -22.06     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.48R    0.84  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.06     7.88   -19.46     0.00     0.01     0.01P   30.92R    2.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.53     7.66   -26.73     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.27R    3.06  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.27     7.83   -11.96     0.00     0.06     0.02P   16.98R    0.96  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.81     7.01   -60.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.51R   70.90  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.72     7.44   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.60R   21.90