Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.27     7.36    63.19    50.10    81.96    93.99    97.99    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.30     6.87    57.34    40.79    80.53    93.90    98.19    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.04     7.77     9.45     0.15     1.11     5.01    14.57    52.16     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.03     7.31    39.21     6.58    24.08    60.96    81.01    97.10     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.98     8.09    21.20     1.29     6.32    21.43    45.11    83.72     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.79     7.71    17.03     0.19     1.42     7.13    20.93    64.01     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.79     7.88    23.60     0.89     4.55    17.17    39.96    81.10     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      48.87     7.75    -5.50     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.56     4.81     2.74R    0.27  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.65     7.80   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.66    20.78R    4.05  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.50     7.62   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.67    16.60R    2.77  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.28     7.29   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    36.33R    8.47  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.06     7.38   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.67    12.29R    1.96  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.35     7.26   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    34.58R    8.02  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.59     7.69   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.80    14.37R    2.70  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.16     7.72    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.79     7.52R    1.12  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.70     7.58    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.53     7.62R    1.03  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.11     8.11     1.11     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.33    10.48     1.41R    0.12  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.44     7.76   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.45    21.48R    4.44  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.72     7.42   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    42.76R   12.75  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.03     6.95   -38.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.50R   52.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.77     8.57    38.01    49.56    74.00    96.95    80.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      85.08     8.55    34.45    29.48    57.94    92.95    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.33     8.30    12.90     3.61    11.55    58.82    22.23P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      75.99     8.57    20.94     5.56    16.94    67.41    30.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.78     8.91    17.01     3.26    10.53    53.02    22.22P    0.18R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.11     7.94    -1.02     0.10     0.53    10.24     2.18P    2.66R    0.20  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.57     8.64     4.61     0.96     3.68    32.26     9.37P    0.65R    0.03  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.86     8.19    -7.67     0.07     0.36     8.26     1.51P    4.37R    0.43  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.85     8.22    -1.27     0.38     1.63    20.46     5.42P    1.09R    0.08  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.36     8.44    -1.89     0.13     0.57     9.95     2.38P    4.15R    0.46  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.97     8.90    -3.78     0.11     0.55     8.95     1.92P    6.93R    1.01  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.67     8.45     4.72     0.35     1.71    21.57     6.07P    1.41R    0.14  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.15     9.32    17.23     5.71    16.39    62.35    30.13P    0.12R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.52     8.49     7.46     0.55     2.36    25.03     8.64P    0.98R    0.07  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.25     8.52   -14.28     0.01     0.20     4.24     0.81P   11.53R    1.85  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.60     8.23     0.48     0.03     0.25     6.71     1.73P    5.78R    0.67  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.13     8.22     2.87     0.04     0.32     7.67     1.96P    4.97R    0.62  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.38     8.58    -5.17     0.06     0.36     6.91     1.72P    7.18R    1.04  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.71     8.17   -13.76     0.00     0.02     1.19     0.19P   23.57R    4.79  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.14     8.27   -13.35     0.01     0.09     3.64     0.84P   10.99R    1.65  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.71     8.34   -18.65     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.22P   24.67R    5.49  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.28     8.07   -23.34     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   49.44R   15.38  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.90     7.84   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   60.78R   22.40  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.13     7.72   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.48R   43.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.20     8.24    45.71    51.70    79.80    99.13    85.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.04     8.22    44.76    34.53    67.81    97.76    78.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.65     8.43    16.72     3.81    13.86    75.02    27.67P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.89     8.41    25.12     3.40    12.88    73.62    29.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      80.10     8.61    26.41     5.42    18.86    80.80    38.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.90     8.29     6.89     0.20     1.31    27.43     5.89P    0.80R    0.03  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.55     8.41     2.73     0.07     0.43    13.91     2.79P    2.85R    0.12  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.47     8.14     2.77     0.04     0.51    17.97     3.74P    1.41R    0.07  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.14     8.29     1.10     0.10     0.54    17.08     3.78P    1.86R    0.09  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.77     8.30    -6.80     0.08     0.42    13.19     2.63P    2.85R    0.15  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.21     8.39     4.44     0.11     0.58    18.20     4.32P    1.86R    0.09  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.86     8.39    -9.11     0.01     0.12     6.37     1.16P    7.56R    0.65  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.38     9.22     4.73     0.49     2.55    35.14    10.17P    1.13R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.23     8.16   -10.67     0.01     0.05     4.06     0.72P   10.14R    0.88  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.83     8.36   -14.57     0.01     0.02     2.15     0.33P   20.24R    2.60  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.38     8.34    -4.42     0.00     0.09     5.84     1.25P    8.09R    0.72  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.72     8.81     2.09     0.03     0.17     9.28     2.31P    6.75R    0.64  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.18     8.22   -15.01     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.27P   22.00R    2.91  
Exeter          17   16  -13      48.88     8.06   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   45.84R   10.41  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.38     8.08   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.08P   36.06R    6.62  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.50     8.25   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   42.14R    9.01  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.07     8.30   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.96R   25.81  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.13     8.25   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   62.39R   21.46  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.76     8.03   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   59.01R   17.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.15     8.21    35.37    52.18    83.73    97.58    87.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.88     8.76    15.56    10.19    38.10    75.35    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.81     8.25     3.89     1.23     8.31    36.02    13.41P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.79     8.23    16.31     6.98    32.72    73.56    44.06P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.17     8.43    21.93     3.19    17.95    55.28    26.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.75     8.43    31.66    17.26    54.65    86.87    66.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.00     8.28    13.46     1.56    11.39    43.50    18.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.48     8.45     3.17     0.84     6.52    31.25    11.34P    0.10R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.92     8.46    17.95     3.46    19.94    57.66    30.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.88     8.30    12.07     0.83     7.36    34.37    14.28P    0.08R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.54     8.16   -22.65     0.01     0.14     1.90     0.41P    6.80R    2.16  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.79     8.44     8.96     0.78     6.14    29.49    12.40P    0.16R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      60.05     8.12    -3.49     0.05     0.68     7.06     1.90P    1.43R    0.37  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.50     8.52     9.64     1.13     8.75    36.81    16.11P    0.06R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.57     8.18     0.26     0.09     1.23     9.84     3.23P    0.92R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.71     8.70    -6.61     0.12     1.08     9.13     3.00P    1.78R    0.52  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      57.96     8.27    -7.25     0.03     0.36     4.53     1.36P    2.94R    0.87  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.38     8.47    -5.06     0.05     0.88     8.02     2.58P    1.69R    0.47  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.47     7.88   -28.04     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   26.41R   11.58  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.26     8.28   -13.73     0.00     0.04     0.98     0.28P   10.83R    4.05  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.88     7.93   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   31.54R   14.94  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.47     8.42   -21.89     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P   22.85R   10.54  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.47     7.83   -36.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    56.93R   35.93  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.56     8.46   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   35.37R   18.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2011, Ebbsfleet_United vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.21     7.62    37.45    34.36    93.00    51.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.13     7.83    28.24    20.11    84.78    35.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.16     7.86    19.79     3.74    51.03    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.88     7.84    33.05     8.93    71.12    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.11     7.85    -2.16     0.30    11.91     1.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.20     7.95     1.27     0.36    15.07     2.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.02     7.34    44.17    29.80    91.84    54.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.68     7.97    13.69     1.20    29.19     6.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.87     8.39     8.94     0.28    11.91     2.14P    0.19R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.80     8.25    12.05     0.76    22.45     4.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.15     7.88    -1.01     0.05     4.49     0.74P    0.36R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.35     7.81    -3.77     0.03     3.43     0.48P    0.60R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.54     7.72     1.67     0.01     1.34     0.25P    1.49R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   25   +1      57.82     7.96    -3.54     0.00     0.89     0.14P    3.16R    0.06  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.74     7.80    -1.71     0.05     4.41     1.00P    0.41R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.08     7.98    -1.53     0.02     1.96     0.36P    1.51R    0.02  
Stockport          20   19   -6      57.71     7.93    -1.36     0.00     0.70     0.15P    3.17R    0.08  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.79     8.01   -10.22     0.00     0.39     0.08P    5.85R    0.14  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.06     7.61   -21.80     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.69R    0.87  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.16     7.81   -19.25     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.43R    2.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.78     7.66   -26.30     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.62R    2.88  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.22     7.84   -12.10     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.36R    1.06  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.89     7.04   -60.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.34R   70.92  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.79     7.43   -34.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.66R   21.92