Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.29     7.40    63.15    49.72    81.88    94.05    97.90    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.39     6.81    57.60    41.17    80.94    94.24    98.17    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      62.97     7.75     9.31     0.15     1.04     4.81    14.38    51.38     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.02     7.39    39.23     6.69    23.99    61.04    80.90    97.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.96     8.06    21.17     1.23     6.07    21.15    45.11    83.51     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.91     7.78    17.21     0.20     1.49     7.23    21.18    64.43     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.82     7.87    23.63     0.84     4.56    17.07    39.99    81.20     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      48.86     7.76    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.53     4.90     2.74R    0.24  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.67     7.82   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.67    20.98R    4.05  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.42     7.59   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.62    16.76R    2.76  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.28     7.23   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    35.71R    8.37  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.09     7.37   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.68    12.28R    2.01  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.29     7.31   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    34.47R    8.20  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.52     7.73   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.87    14.53R    2.69  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.09     7.69    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.80     7.45R    1.12  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.64     7.62    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.63     7.91R    0.97  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.17     8.18     1.15     0.00     0.02     0.28     1.44    10.72     1.46R    0.14  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.42     7.78   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.48    21.65R    4.63  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.76     7.42   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    42.41R   12.58  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.05     6.88   -38.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R   52.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.93     8.68    38.27    49.84    73.78    96.78    80.01P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      85.09     8.51    34.49    29.00    58.09    93.09    69.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.41     8.29    13.06     3.46    11.63    59.40    22.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.13     8.46    21.18     5.54    16.97    68.08    31.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.97     8.91    17.26     3.56    10.89    53.79    23.13P    0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.17     7.97    -1.02     0.10     0.46    10.40     2.18P    2.64R    0.17  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.51     8.57     4.46     0.84     3.49    31.85     9.07P    0.60R    0.06  
Derby            16   24   -1      61.00     8.20    -7.43     0.07     0.41     8.43     1.69P    4.30R    0.46  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.71     8.25    -1.48     0.37     1.55    20.14     5.17P    1.07R    0.09  
Brighton         16   23   +2      60.92     8.45    -2.56     0.08     0.50     9.20     2.09P    4.52R    0.50  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.87     8.92    -3.95     0.09     0.52     8.83     1.85P    6.95R    1.01  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.67     8.49     4.76     0.37     1.62    21.53     6.07P    1.31R    0.09  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.19     9.34    17.33     6.00    16.66    62.09    30.08P    0.12R    0.00  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.41     8.38     7.32     0.44     2.14    24.30     7.87P    1.06R    0.08  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.25     8.50   -14.32     0.03     0.13     4.05     0.81P   11.50R    1.66  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.71     8.19     0.59     0.07     0.29     6.69     1.73P    5.36R    0.63  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.17     8.25     2.90     0.05     0.31     7.82     2.05P    4.97R    0.56  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.61     8.48    -4.81     0.07     0.35     7.13     1.74P    6.48R    0.83  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.92     8.18   -13.39     0.01     0.03     1.28     0.27P   22.32R    4.49  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.18     8.31   -13.28     0.01     0.13     3.62     0.86P   10.94R    1.56  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.76     8.33   -18.64     0.00     0.03     1.25     0.22P   24.59R    5.26  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.06     8.05   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   50.27R   15.78  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.75     7.80   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   61.74R   22.51  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.00     7.72   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    78.97R   44.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.08     8.22    45.46    51.56    79.51    99.09    85.50P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.13     8.12    44.89    34.94    68.44    98.21    79.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.81     8.47    16.93     4.05    14.58    75.78    28.82P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.76     8.37    24.87     3.19    12.32    73.48    28.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.94     8.57    26.16     5.18    18.45    80.31    37.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.88     8.27     6.86     0.22     1.22    27.38     5.97P    0.78R    0.02  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.30     8.36     2.43     0.06     0.34    13.28     2.52P    2.87R    0.14  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.39     8.11     2.70     0.06     0.55    17.63     3.64P    1.59R    0.07  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.11     8.14     1.02     0.05     0.49    16.75     3.55P    1.69R    0.05  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.78     8.36    -6.84     0.03     0.38    13.35     2.81P    2.91R    0.15  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.21     8.40     4.43     0.07     0.60    18.57     4.43P    1.86R    0.10  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      60.01     8.44    -8.90     0.02     0.12     6.79     1.21P    7.38R    0.61  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.38     9.27     4.85     0.53     2.63    35.40    10.25P    1.11R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.27     8.12   -10.55     0.00     0.04     3.95     0.67P    9.94R    0.90  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.99     8.31   -14.28     0.00     0.02     2.08     0.35P   19.62R    2.39  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.46     8.33    -4.32     0.01     0.10     5.90     1.36P    7.91R    0.77  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.76     8.79     2.08     0.02     0.19     9.18     2.34P    6.79R    0.65  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.00     8.23   -15.35     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.29P   22.86R    3.12  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.04     7.99   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   44.98R   10.13  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.42     8.10   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P   36.05R    6.63  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.38     8.19   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P   42.66R    9.18  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.11     8.22   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.18R   25.77  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.14     8.25   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   62.47R   21.52  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.78     8.03   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   59.29R   17.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.25     8.21    35.42    52.40    84.03    97.57    88.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.67     8.79    15.19     9.46    37.40    74.76    44.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.98     8.25     4.13     1.28     8.53    37.03    13.75P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.96     8.27    16.52     7.22    33.35    73.90    44.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.26     8.46    22.08     3.30    18.37    55.42    27.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.94     8.42    31.95    17.75    55.47    87.24    66.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      70.86     8.27    13.20     1.51    10.79    42.97    17.91P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.60     8.40     3.38     0.82     6.60    31.63    11.39P    0.09R    0.03  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.80     8.42    17.79     3.27    19.15    57.36    29.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.87     8.31    12.09     0.87     7.23    34.04    14.14P    0.09R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.48     8.11   -22.73     0.01     0.15     1.89     0.43P    6.71R    2.20  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.80     8.46     8.96     0.70     5.97    29.70    12.36P    0.20R    0.04  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.82     8.09    -3.82     0.03     0.63     6.61     1.82P    1.48R    0.36  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.50     8.54     9.71     1.11     8.75    36.77    16.13P    0.09R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.61     8.22     0.40     0.09     1.28     9.96     3.27P    0.91R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.65     8.60    -6.63     0.08     0.99     8.92     2.90P    1.73R    0.49  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.15     8.22    -7.05     0.02     0.36     4.52     1.32P    2.73R    0.80  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.35     8.43    -5.10     0.06     0.87     7.96     2.60P    1.71R    0.46  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.37     7.83   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   26.78R   11.84  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.19     8.23   -13.88     0.00     0.05     1.04     0.30P   10.85R    4.02  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.86     7.92   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   31.60R   14.88  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.52     8.43   -21.73     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.08P   22.69R   10.31  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.41     7.85   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.08R   35.83  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.56     8.49   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   35.18R   18.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2011, Ebbsfleet_United vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      88.98     7.56    37.06    33.30    92.75    50.35P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.13     7.90    28.25    20.36    84.44    35.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.33     7.86    20.10     3.97    52.09    13.32P    0.00R    0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.76     7.79    32.80     8.60    70.87    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.01     7.90    -2.35     0.31    11.96     1.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.29     7.91     1.40     0.38    15.21     2.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.13     7.33    44.36    30.43    92.13    55.99P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.81     7.98    13.93     1.33    29.69     6.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.63     8.38     8.50     0.30    11.42     2.07P    0.21R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.75     8.23    11.98     0.86    22.13     4.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.09     7.86    -1.14     0.06     4.38     0.57P    0.39R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.41     7.84    -3.70     0.04     3.53     0.48P    0.63R    0.01  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.60     7.71     1.82     0.00     1.30     0.17P    1.45R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   25   +1      57.95     7.85    -3.29     0.00     0.80     0.10P    2.90R    0.04  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.64     7.71    -1.87     0.04     4.19     0.89P    0.37R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.03     7.97    -1.56     0.00     1.87     0.36P    1.39R    0.02  
Stockport          20   19   -6      57.60     7.99    -1.64     0.01     0.72     0.18P    3.46R    0.13  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.95     8.02    -9.93     0.00     0.42     0.08P    5.89R    0.17  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.09     7.58   -21.77     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.68R    0.78  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.34     7.88   -19.03     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.98R    1.94  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.86     7.71   -26.15     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.07R    2.93  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.19     7.87   -12.13     0.00     0.06     0.01P   17.72R    1.12  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.92     7.02   -60.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.32R   70.32  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.65     7.43   -35.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.36R   22.53