Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.13     7.35    62.81    49.09    81.52    93.90    97.98    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.38     6.80    57.54    41.47    80.94    94.22    98.23    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      62.91     7.77     9.23     0.21     1.05     4.91    14.45    51.76     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.06     7.37    39.29     6.81    24.33    61.26    81.34    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.81     8.14    20.96     1.30     5.98    20.83    44.76    82.98     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.82     7.75    17.06     0.26     1.60     7.44    21.17    64.00     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.74     7.91    23.41     0.87     4.54    17.01    39.47    81.11     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.01     7.76    -5.29     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.60     5.06     2.62R    0.28  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.54     7.77   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.55    21.14R    4.12  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.54     7.57   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.64    16.35R    2.70  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.43     7.35   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    35.40R    8.49  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.07     7.39   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.68    12.28R    2.08  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.32     7.24   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    34.41R    7.91  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.55     7.71   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.89    14.33R    2.59  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.09     7.76    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.82     7.61R    1.19  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.89     7.63    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.66     7.34R    0.95  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.33     8.20     1.43     0.00     0.03     0.31     1.59    11.18     1.39R    0.16  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.34     7.76   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49    21.89R    4.51  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.64     7.47   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    43.31R   12.88  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.00     6.89   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.90R   52.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.94     8.63    38.31    50.30    74.29    96.95    80.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.93     8.52    34.26    28.74    57.10    92.80    68.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.52     8.32    13.19     3.61    12.05    59.76    22.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.24     8.45    21.36     5.70    17.50    68.75    32.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.73     8.87    16.94     3.32    10.43    52.69    22.03P    0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.06     8.02    -1.13     0.10     0.52    10.21     2.07P    2.72R    0.22  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.35     8.59     4.23     0.82     3.34    31.18     9.03P    0.69R    0.06  
Derby            16   24   -1      61.04     8.22    -7.40     0.08     0.42     8.47     1.64P    4.30R    0.44  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.78     8.24    -1.39     0.34     1.61    20.08     5.25P    1.10R    0.08  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.07     8.46    -2.27     0.09     0.54     9.54     2.25P    4.40R    0.49  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.96     8.92    -3.87     0.13     0.61     9.05     2.06P    7.12R    0.95  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.74     8.52     4.82     0.44     1.81    21.84     6.37P    1.30R    0.13  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.20     9.27    17.32     5.71    16.44    62.72    30.25P    0.14R    0.00  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.49     8.37     7.45     0.46     2.21    24.65     8.12P    0.97R    0.08  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.17     8.52   -14.47     0.03     0.16     4.02     0.75P   11.99R    1.73  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.69     8.18     0.63     0.04     0.23     6.70     1.67P    5.54R    0.66  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.05     8.27     2.73     0.04     0.32     7.62     1.99P    4.95R    0.67  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.31     8.50    -5.25     0.03     0.26     6.70     1.49P    7.00R    1.09  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.84     8.13   -13.58     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.19P   22.86R    4.54  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.30     8.29   -13.09     0.01     0.11     3.70     0.89P   10.85R    1.51  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.62     8.34   -18.85     0.00     0.03     1.19     0.21P   25.18R    5.81  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.29     8.03   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   49.33R   15.21  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.88     7.86   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   61.00R   22.37  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.17     7.72   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.28R   43.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.42     8.18    45.97    53.30    80.39    99.27    86.32P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      89.90     8.14    44.55    33.45    67.54    97.92    78.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.63     8.50    16.61     3.78    14.20    74.85    28.07P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.85     8.40    25.06     3.10    12.46    73.69    29.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.92     8.63    26.08     5.21    18.37    80.13    37.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      68.00     8.29     7.02     0.28     1.43    27.78     6.28P    0.74R    0.02  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.42     8.36     2.57     0.04     0.35    13.39     2.66P    2.90R    0.14  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.32     8.19     2.57     0.06     0.55    17.53     3.69P    1.58R    0.04  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.21     8.21     1.19     0.06     0.53    17.14     3.71P    1.63R    0.07  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.85     8.37    -6.71     0.07     0.45    13.66     2.76P    2.78R    0.17  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.28     8.43     4.60     0.07     0.59    18.81     4.50P    1.86R    0.09  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      60.19     8.50    -8.57     0.02     0.15     7.25     1.32P    7.31R    0.58  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.33     9.21     4.69     0.50     2.58    34.88    10.22P    1.12R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.17     8.16   -10.71     0.01     0.06     4.01     0.72P   10.22R    0.96  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.79     8.37   -14.61     0.00     0.02     2.09     0.35P   20.28R    2.50  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.67     8.35    -4.04     0.02     0.10     6.08     1.38P    7.55R    0.62  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.52     8.79     1.75     0.03     0.21     8.59     2.22P    7.06R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.05     8.21   -15.25     0.00     0.02     1.47     0.29P   22.25R    3.03  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.14     8.06   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   44.37R    9.69  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.26     8.15   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P   36.84R    6.98  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.46     8.24   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P   42.19R    9.20  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.19     8.30   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.70R   25.63  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.00     8.17   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   62.94R   21.42  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.63     8.07   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   59.63R   18.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.39     8.21    35.71    53.20    84.68    97.71    88.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.73     8.72    15.32     9.37    37.25    75.54    45.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.73     8.26     3.72     1.17     8.02    35.81    13.00P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.92     8.24    16.50     7.19    33.48    73.95    44.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.16     8.46    21.92     3.12    17.91    55.10    26.67P    0.02R    0.01  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.96     8.39    31.97    17.42    55.47    87.52    67.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.11     8.29    13.57     1.59    11.43    44.40    18.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.48     8.44     3.19     0.86     6.72    30.89    11.36P    0.10R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.76     8.44    17.67     3.19    18.86    57.28    29.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.81     8.28    12.04     0.81     6.97    33.85    13.80P    0.09R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.70     8.23   -22.33     0.01     0.18     2.14     0.47P    6.66R    2.11  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.86     8.45     9.05     0.73     6.25    29.96    12.53P    0.15R    0.04  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.96     8.10    -3.59     0.05     0.68     6.75     1.79P    1.42R    0.37  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.34     8.55     9.39     1.03     8.59    36.28    15.69P    0.12R    0.03  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.44     8.14     0.13     0.11     1.14     9.42     3.06P    0.86R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.65     8.66    -6.65     0.07     1.12     8.95     3.07P    1.84R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.18     8.26    -6.93     0.03     0.40     4.74     1.50P    2.79R    0.85  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.32     8.41    -5.14     0.06     0.79     7.93     2.51P    1.69R    0.51  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.39     7.88   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   26.85R   11.86  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.10     8.22   -14.00     0.00     0.05     1.04     0.27P   11.03R    4.05  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.82     7.91   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   31.68R   15.02  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.48     8.41   -21.86     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P   22.84R   10.62  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.49     7.82   -36.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.69R   35.61  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.64     8.45   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   35.10R   18.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2011, Ebbsfleet_United vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.00     7.64    37.08    33.77    92.58    50.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.21     7.88    28.36    20.74    84.70    35.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.28     7.84    19.94     3.94    51.84    13.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.74     7.78    32.84     8.63    70.64    24.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.08     7.80    -2.19     0.27    11.71     1.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.37     7.91     1.55     0.37    15.48     2.31P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.06     7.25    44.29    29.70    92.07    55.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.79     7.97    13.86     1.22    29.74     6.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.63     8.42     8.47     0.36    11.33     2.04P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.80     8.21    12.01     0.81    22.28     4.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      63.96     7.86    -1.34     0.05     4.23     0.54P    0.38R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.46     7.83    -3.59     0.05     3.62     0.50P    0.53R    0.01  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.62     7.75     1.82     0.01     1.40     0.26P    1.47R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   25   +1      58.21     7.90    -2.92     0.01     0.96     0.19P    2.76R    0.05  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.86     7.74    -1.55     0.07     4.41     0.98P    0.36R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.09     7.91    -1.50     0.01     1.81     0.37P    1.36R    0.02  
Stockport          20   19   -6      57.55     7.91    -1.67     0.00     0.67     0.17P    3.33R    0.11  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.98     7.98    -9.87     0.00     0.40     0.08P    5.60R    0.14  
Kettering          19   19  -12      49.87     7.51   -22.14     0.00     0.03     0.00    19.16R    0.89  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.16     7.87   -19.36     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.72R    2.05  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.73     7.64   -26.34     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.48R    2.77  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.15     7.85   -12.25     0.00     0.06     0.01P   17.44R    1.11  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.98     7.07   -60.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.18R   70.08  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.67     7.46   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.91R   22.76