Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.11     7.37    62.84    49.00    81.46    93.78    97.87    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.34     6.81    57.49    41.59    80.80    94.20    98.20    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.13     7.78     9.56     0.16     1.12     4.93    14.92    52.14     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.01     7.35    39.20     6.96    24.40    60.77    80.68    97.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.94     8.13    21.17     1.23     6.23    21.61    45.04    83.05     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      65.01     7.70    17.33     0.20     1.45     7.56    21.33    64.76     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.77     7.88    23.51     0.85     4.49    16.77    39.60    80.73     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.07     7.74    -5.21     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.57     5.05     2.55R    0.25  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.44     7.82   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61    21.57R    4.25  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.41     7.61   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.56    16.77R    2.92  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.34     7.24   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    35.39R    8.24  
Stoke           11   12  -11      42.99     7.38   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.62    12.43R    2.03  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.43     7.26   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    33.85R    7.70  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.46     7.73   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.80    14.55R    2.62  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.22     7.71    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.83     7.33R    1.04  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.75     7.71    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.64     7.86R    1.09  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.21     8.17     1.22     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.42    10.61     1.40R    0.09  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.30     7.73   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46    21.88R    4.59  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.71     7.45   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    42.72R   12.72  
Wigan           11    5  -13      27.98     6.89   -38.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.69R   52.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.88     8.65    38.16    50.21    74.08    96.85    80.31P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.94     8.56    34.26    28.85    57.30    92.80    68.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.46     8.30    13.07     3.65    12.23    59.41    22.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.12     8.49    21.20     5.56    16.98    68.11    31.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.88     8.83    17.11     3.32    10.73    53.60    22.65P    0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.26     7.98    -0.83     0.10     0.46    10.63     2.25P    2.58R    0.20  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.47     8.50     4.39     0.78     3.36    31.76     9.01P    0.64R    0.03  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.98     8.23    -7.49     0.08     0.43     8.40     1.63P    4.58R    0.50  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.72     8.23    -1.40     0.36     1.61    20.04     5.31P    1.14R    0.08  
Brighton         16   23   +2      60.95     8.48    -2.49     0.08     0.51     9.35     2.12P    4.57R    0.51  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      60.18     8.94    -3.46     0.12     0.65     9.39     2.13P    6.79R    0.96  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.55     8.49     4.57     0.35     1.65    21.07     5.90P    1.46R    0.15  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.13     9.34    17.17     5.83    16.44    62.04    30.43P    0.15R    0.00  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.50     8.40     7.45     0.52     2.28    24.91     8.17P    0.94R    0.09  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.16     8.47   -14.47     0.02     0.15     3.91     0.70P   11.51R    1.70  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.61     8.19     0.52     0.06     0.31     6.66     1.73P    5.61R    0.63  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.12     8.26     2.80     0.04     0.34     7.72     2.04P    4.92R    0.57  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.47     8.60    -5.00     0.06     0.35     7.22     1.71P    7.11R    1.06  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.88     8.12   -13.49     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.19P   22.51R    4.40  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.12     8.31   -13.42     0.01     0.09     3.47     0.78P   11.34R    1.75  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.73     8.36   -18.53     0.00     0.02     1.29     0.28P   24.99R    5.55  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.18     8.08   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   49.74R   15.40  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.92     7.84   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.75R   22.06  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.11     7.76   -33.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   78.39R   44.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.14     8.26    45.55    51.87    79.52    99.10    85.54P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.14     8.14    44.93    34.56    68.29    98.01    78.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.62     8.50    16.63     3.97    14.18    75.00    27.97P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.87     8.41    25.03     3.19    12.58    73.94    29.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.97     8.59    26.23     5.32    18.51    80.71    38.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.91     8.33     6.92     0.23     1.36    27.76     6.33P    0.85R    0.02  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.57     8.35     2.79     0.04     0.38    13.61     2.72P    2.81R    0.13  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.30     8.13     2.57     0.06     0.55    17.52     3.72P    1.59R    0.06  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.19     8.20     1.24     0.09     0.56    17.18     3.73P    1.70R    0.08  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.54     8.34    -7.20     0.05     0.38    12.98     2.57P    3.03R    0.16  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.26     8.41     4.53     0.07     0.56    18.58     4.43P    1.89R    0.10  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.97     8.47    -8.98     0.02     0.14     6.91     1.26P    7.63R    0.63  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.35     9.24     4.74     0.51     2.63    34.99    10.35P    1.18R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.28     8.21   -10.61     0.01     0.05     4.23     0.77P   10.19R    0.94  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.96     8.34   -14.34     0.00     0.01     2.06     0.35P   19.80R    2.56  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.50     8.31    -4.27     0.01     0.11     5.84     1.40P    7.74R    0.64  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.57     8.73     1.84     0.01     0.15     8.64     2.16P    6.91R    0.68  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.10     8.25   -15.20     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.29P   22.34R    2.95  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.18     8.07   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   44.44R   10.04  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.26     8.14   -12.02     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.08P   36.97R    7.01  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.40     8.22   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P   42.39R    9.34  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.05     8.25   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   67.61R   26.09  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.19     8.13   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   62.07R   20.92  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.86     8.04   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   58.80R   17.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.35     8.22    35.65    52.94    84.28    97.83    88.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.53     8.76    14.96     9.21    36.71    74.34    44.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.84     8.24     3.92     1.22     8.33    36.12    13.34P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      78.00     8.28    16.57     7.42    33.90    74.34    45.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.22     8.43    22.02     3.20    17.84    55.48    26.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.92     8.33    31.88    17.30    55.40    87.46    67.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.25     8.31    13.82     1.70    11.86    44.73    19.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.54     8.44     3.26     0.81     6.72    31.27    11.53P    0.09R    0.01  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.78     8.43    17.74     3.24    19.19    57.20    29.77P    0.02R    0.01  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.84     8.30    12.06     0.83     7.21    33.84    14.04P    0.08R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.54     8.14   -22.57     0.01     0.16     1.91     0.43P    6.94R    2.18  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.75     8.41     8.95     0.68     5.80    29.26    11.82P    0.14R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.95     8.06    -3.60     0.05     0.65     6.70     1.86P    1.32R    0.32  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.43     8.53     9.56     1.14     8.45    36.56    15.76P    0.11R    0.03  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.53     8.19     0.23     0.08     1.19     9.93     3.24P    0.91R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.44     8.62    -6.97     0.10     1.02     8.48     2.77P    1.88R    0.56  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.17     8.24    -7.02     0.03     0.36     4.60     1.41P    2.68R    0.74  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.38     8.46    -5.07     0.06     0.90     8.12     2.70P    1.80R    0.50  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.39     7.83   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   26.72R   11.78  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.07     8.18   -14.00     0.00     0.04     1.00     0.26P   10.92R    4.05  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.85     7.96   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   31.97R   15.31  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.48     8.46   -21.86     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   22.83R   10.45  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.50     7.79   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.70R   35.61  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.66     8.46   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   34.83R   18.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2011, Ebbsfleet_United vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.08     7.57    37.28    33.95    93.07    51.59P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.06     7.87    28.15    20.43    84.49    35.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.27     7.86    19.94     3.85    51.67    13.36P    0.00R    0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.74     7.77    32.81     9.02    70.67    24.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.08     7.85    -2.21     0.30    11.75     1.49P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.32     7.88     1.46     0.41    15.24     2.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      87.86     7.31    43.96    29.51    91.59    55.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.69     7.96    13.76     1.20    29.31     6.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.66     8.42     8.57     0.31    11.33     2.07P    0.22R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.88     8.23    12.18     0.83    22.83     4.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.15     7.84    -0.98     0.06     4.27     0.62P    0.32R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.59     7.91    -3.40     0.04     3.91     0.57P    0.55R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.46     7.75     1.54     0.01     1.40     0.19P    1.70R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   25   +1      57.78     7.88    -3.54     0.00     0.80     0.14P    3.18R    0.05  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.85     7.73    -1.57     0.07     4.37     0.91P    0.36R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.16     7.96    -1.35     0.01     2.01     0.42P    1.36R    0.03  
Stockport          20   19   -6      57.70     7.91    -1.38     0.00     0.74     0.15P    3.22R    0.11  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      56.01     8.04    -9.92     0.00     0.44     0.10P    5.80R    0.14  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.05     7.55   -21.84     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.62R    0.82  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.20     7.82   -19.24     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.34R    1.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.71     7.66   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.06R    2.88  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.22     7.84   -12.11     0.00     0.06     0.01P   17.30R    1.03  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.75     6.97   -61.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.57R   71.71  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.86     7.52   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.22R   21.27