Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.29     7.34    63.06    50.02    82.07    94.13    98.11    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.26     6.86    57.35    40.86    80.57    94.19    98.23    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      62.99     7.80     9.41     0.17     1.04     4.99    14.74    51.81     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.07     7.35    39.30     6.79    24.58    61.53    81.06    97.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.69     8.12    20.73     1.13     5.84    20.41    44.15    82.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.98     7.69    17.28     0.21     1.50     7.37    21.27    65.02     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.80     7.85    23.51     0.81     4.38    16.97    40.07    81.11     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.09     7.77    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.53     5.14     2.70R    0.27  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.49     7.76   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.61    21.31R    4.26  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.50     7.61   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.67    16.68R    2.85  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.42     7.37   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    35.48R    8.24  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.06     7.42   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.74    12.35R    2.02  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.32     7.30   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    34.43R    8.24  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.56     7.71   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.83    14.34R    2.66  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.15     7.72    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.87     7.45R    1.08  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.71     7.56    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.52     7.58R    1.02  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.07     8.18     1.04     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.41    10.41     1.48R    0.17  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.38     7.72   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.47    21.81R    4.41  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.64     7.47   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    42.89R   13.16  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.11     6.90   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.47R   51.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.91     8.61    38.26    50.29    74.17    96.90    80.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.93     8.54    34.30    28.44    57.39    92.87    69.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.47     8.38    13.09     3.57    12.02    59.52    23.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.15     8.48    21.24     5.90    17.48    68.32    31.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.67     8.83    16.77     3.23    10.23    52.56    21.82P    0.16R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.14     7.96    -0.98     0.09     0.50    10.22     2.09P    2.56R    0.19  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.57     8.55     4.55     0.81     3.51    32.24     9.20P    0.64R    0.04  
Derby            16   24   -1      61.07     8.22    -7.38     0.08     0.39     8.64     1.73P    4.32R    0.42  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.86     8.23    -1.25     0.39     1.61    20.35     5.36P    1.07R    0.07  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.09     8.43    -2.30     0.12     0.51     9.36     2.25P    4.36R    0.52  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.83     8.91    -4.10     0.10     0.53     8.81     1.86P    7.23R    1.01  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.71     8.46     4.80     0.38     1.81    21.72     6.14P    1.29R    0.12  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.16     9.35    17.25     5.96    16.58    61.93    30.22P    0.15R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.40     8.42     7.31     0.46     2.01    24.53     8.03P    0.99R    0.06  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.15     8.57   -14.47     0.02     0.16     3.97     0.76P   12.04R    1.86  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.68     8.26     0.57     0.04     0.28     6.78     1.75P    5.69R    0.65  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.06     8.19     2.76     0.04     0.29     7.67     1.98P    4.79R    0.60  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.44     8.61    -5.07     0.06     0.35     7.23     1.70P    7.10R    1.03  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.95     8.11   -13.35     0.00     0.03     1.27     0.22P   22.30R    4.38  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.32     8.27   -13.08     0.02     0.12     3.66     0.87P   10.66R    1.59  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.68     8.34   -18.69     0.00     0.02     1.20     0.22P   24.91R    5.39  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.12     8.06   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   50.09R   15.96  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.83     7.81   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   61.12R   22.39  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.13     7.72   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.42R   43.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.32     8.14    45.84    52.56    80.12    99.23    86.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.01     8.22    44.76    33.98    67.58    97.82    78.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.68     8.47    16.72     3.80    14.19    75.22    28.02P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      78.01     8.38    25.30     3.21    12.72    74.51    29.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      80.06     8.57    26.38     5.33    18.49    80.85    38.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.84     8.32     6.79     0.21     1.34    27.09     6.07P    0.79R    0.03  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.52     8.41     2.73     0.07     0.39    13.70     2.78P    2.98R    0.17  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.30     8.14     2.50     0.07     0.53    17.54     3.76P    1.52R    0.05  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.11     8.15     1.09     0.07     0.48    16.70     3.50P    1.60R    0.07  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.74     8.37    -6.92     0.07     0.49    13.52     2.69P    2.84R    0.15  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.21     8.36     4.44     0.07     0.58    18.42     4.29P    1.84R    0.09  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.85     8.47    -9.14     0.01     0.10     6.64     1.17P    7.80R    0.62  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.32     9.20     4.68     0.51     2.61    34.82    10.09P    1.12R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.27     8.22   -10.59     0.00     0.06     4.25     0.84P    9.98R    0.91  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.88     8.29   -14.43     0.00     0.01     1.96     0.32P   19.87R    2.38  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.49     8.27    -4.29     0.02     0.09     5.66     1.21P    7.75R    0.72  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.84     8.72     2.23     0.02     0.19     9.33     2.37P    6.50R    0.60  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.01     8.20   -15.34     0.00     0.02     1.42     0.29P   22.60R    3.06  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.00     8.04   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   45.26R   10.19  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.46     8.09   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P   35.88R    6.64  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.37     8.18   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   42.33R    9.43  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.03     8.27   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   67.46R   26.00  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.12     8.17   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   62.49R   21.08  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.74     8.02   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   59.31R   17.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.30     8.24    35.50    52.86    84.13    97.59    88.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.75     8.73    15.27     9.72    37.65    75.26    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.74     8.23     3.78     1.15     8.33    36.06    13.26P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.79     8.28    16.29     6.95    32.98    73.47    44.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.16     8.41    21.94     3.04    17.89    55.16    26.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.92     8.43    31.90    17.76    55.74    87.09    67.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.09     8.29    13.55     1.62    11.57    43.82    18.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.51     8.38     3.23     0.74     6.55    31.12    11.04P    0.11R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.73     8.38    17.62     3.14    18.75    56.98    29.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      69.01     8.30    12.27     0.88     7.34    35.12    14.42P    0.09R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.67     8.13   -22.41     0.01     0.17     2.00     0.44P    6.68R    2.16  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.75     8.42     8.89     0.72     5.94    29.40    12.40P    0.14R    0.04  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.89     8.08    -3.73     0.05     0.63     6.89     1.79P    1.52R    0.40  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.46     8.55     9.65     1.10     8.74    36.99    16.16P    0.09R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.56     8.14     0.30     0.09     1.12     9.80     3.08P    0.81R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.41     8.67    -7.03     0.09     1.14     8.55     3.03P    1.95R    0.58  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.27     8.28    -6.83     0.02     0.37     4.85     1.43P    2.76R    0.83  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.37     8.46    -5.08     0.06     0.89     7.98     2.56P    1.79R    0.50  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.36     7.85   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   27.04R   12.08  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.29     8.25   -13.67     0.00     0.06     1.14     0.31P   10.64R    3.90  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.88     7.90   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   31.72R   14.96  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.40     8.35   -21.90     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P   23.03R   10.54  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.62     7.82   -36.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.27R   35.29  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.52     8.39   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   35.27R   18.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bath_City vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.09     7.65    37.26    33.89    92.96    50.84P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.34     7.90    28.54    20.93    85.32    36.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.23     7.87    19.89     3.78    51.67    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.68     7.80    32.71     8.27    70.38    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.10     7.85    -2.15     0.27    12.04     1.57P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.13     7.88     1.15     0.35    14.77     2.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.11     7.31    44.42    30.03    92.04    55.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.69     7.95    13.76     1.17    29.08     6.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.51     8.37     8.33     0.30    11.15     2.00P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.67     8.24    11.85     0.85    22.39     4.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.04     7.86    -1.20     0.06     4.22     0.64P    0.34R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.48     7.88    -3.55     0.03     3.66     0.48P    0.52R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.58     7.73     1.71     0.01     1.40     0.21P    1.52R    0.02  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.86     7.74    -1.55     0.03     4.36     0.91P    0.35R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   22   +0      55.78     8.21    -5.17     0.00     0.58     0.10P    5.71R    0.15  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.15     7.92    -1.42     0.01     1.86     0.36P    1.34R    0.02  
Stockport          19   19   -5      59.56     8.20     0.37     0.01     1.63     0.41P    2.22R    0.06  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.93     8.03   -10.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    5.90R    0.17  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.03     7.54   -21.91     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.42R    0.77  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.40     7.88   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.18R    1.89  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.72     7.64   -26.33     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.68R    2.81  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.22     7.75   -12.15     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.05R    1.01  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.94     7.06   -60.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.31R   70.41  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.65     7.48   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.10R   22.68