Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.23     7.36    63.11    49.28    81.96    93.93    98.02    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.41     6.75    57.68    41.49    81.20    94.35    98.33    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.08     7.74     9.50     0.15     1.06     4.76    14.32    52.10     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.06     7.39    39.28     6.87    24.06    61.31    80.94    96.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.81     8.03    20.91     1.13     5.71    20.82    44.22    83.15     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      65.08     7.67    17.41     0.23     1.58     7.73    21.81    65.35     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.79     7.90    23.56     0.86     4.40    16.70    40.00    80.93     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      48.93     7.76    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.54     4.79     2.69R    0.29  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.58     7.74   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.59    20.62R    4.04  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.59     7.62   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61    16.26R    2.67  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.26     7.28   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    35.93R    8.38  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.21     7.45   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.75    12.12R    2.00  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.16     7.28   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    35.16R    8.17  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.55     7.75   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.83    14.50R    2.75  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.02     7.66    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.69     7.32R    1.14  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.63     7.51    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.46     7.44R    0.95  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.14     8.14     1.12     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.44    10.32     1.45R    0.12  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.44     7.78   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.47    21.46R    4.47  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.49     7.46   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    43.77R   13.51  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.11     6.92   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   51.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.96     8.64    38.31    49.75    74.08    96.91    79.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      85.29     8.55    34.79    29.89    58.84    93.20    70.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.45     8.32    13.06     3.46    11.81    59.31    22.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.20     8.45    21.32     5.56    17.12    68.70    31.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.88     8.86    17.12     3.32    10.44    53.51    22.59P    0.15R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.17     8.01    -1.01     0.11     0.53    10.40     2.21P    2.55R    0.19  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.21     8.59     3.98     0.83     3.23    30.84     8.57P    0.71R    0.04  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.81     8.22    -7.73     0.05     0.35     8.07     1.49P    4.60R    0.48  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.84     8.18    -1.25     0.31     1.48    20.16     5.27P    1.00R    0.08  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.07     8.42    -2.33     0.11     0.52     9.32     2.16P    4.35R    0.41  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.85     8.95    -3.98     0.12     0.58     8.93     2.00P    7.24R    0.97  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.86     8.53     5.01     0.41     1.90    22.25     6.42P    1.25R    0.09  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      74.93     9.32    16.89     5.37    15.62    61.18    29.38P    0.12R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.61     8.42     7.64     0.51     2.33    25.34     8.37P    1.03R    0.10  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.19     8.48   -14.39     0.02     0.13     4.00     0.73P   11.34R    1.74  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.51     8.20     0.33     0.04     0.26     6.51     1.57P    5.84R    0.75  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.28     8.23     3.06     0.05     0.32     8.03     2.09P    4.69R    0.59  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.41     8.52    -5.15     0.05     0.27     6.90     1.58P    6.79R    0.95  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.83     8.16   -13.59     0.00     0.02     1.20     0.22P   22.78R    4.59  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.24     8.35   -13.23     0.02     0.11     3.79     0.90P   11.00R    1.64  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.73     8.31   -18.63     0.01     0.03     1.20     0.24P   24.72R    5.30  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.13     8.10   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   50.14R   16.00  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.81     7.79   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   61.46R   22.56  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.17     7.72   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.19R   43.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.13     8.29    45.56    51.74    79.25    99.05    85.23P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.04     8.18    44.77    34.33    68.11    97.93    78.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.79     8.46    16.91     3.94    14.39    75.67    28.32P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.90     8.43    25.15     3.29    12.56    73.81    28.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      80.10     8.55    26.36     5.53    18.78    80.94    38.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.96     8.34     7.01     0.22     1.35    27.68     6.18P    0.71R    0.02  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.38     8.45     2.49     0.06     0.40    13.57     2.62P    2.96R    0.13  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.26     8.16     2.48     0.09     0.52    17.49     3.66P    1.62R    0.08  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.14     8.19     1.11     0.09     0.55    16.80     3.66P    1.65R    0.07  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.99     8.41    -6.53     0.07     0.48    14.14     2.90P    2.76R    0.16  
Colchester      17   23   +1      64.95     8.32     4.06     0.06     0.49    17.33     3.89P    1.89R    0.08  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.95     8.46    -9.01     0.01     0.14     6.67     1.10P    7.69R    0.63  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.28     9.19     4.57     0.50     2.55    34.51    10.02P    1.16R    0.08  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.14     8.15   -10.73     0.01     0.06     4.02     0.74P   10.30R    0.85  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.88     8.33   -14.48     0.01     0.03     2.11     0.36P   19.72R    2.59  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.59     8.30    -4.10     0.02     0.14     5.91     1.50P    7.56R    0.61  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.84     8.74     2.26     0.03     0.19     9.24     2.31P    6.40R    0.56  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.37     8.24   -14.81     0.00     0.02     1.64     0.35P   21.24R    2.69  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.08     8.07   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   44.89R    9.96  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.44     8.12   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P   35.86R    6.73  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.31     8.24   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P   43.19R    9.49  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.12     8.24   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   66.96R   25.57  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      44.91     8.19   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   63.62R   21.94  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.68     8.01   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   59.76R   17.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.30     8.17    35.55    52.72    84.39    97.72    88.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.93     8.75    15.61     9.99    38.40    75.74    45.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.80     8.21     3.80     1.11     8.35    36.21    13.22P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      78.01     8.26    16.65     7.30    33.65    74.22    45.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.31     8.48    22.12     3.24    18.25    55.75    26.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.79     8.44    31.71    17.11    54.59    86.92    66.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.09     8.31    13.62     1.64    11.56    44.24    19.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.45     8.38     3.09     0.80     6.44    30.79    11.11P    0.10R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.55     8.43    17.31     3.05    18.40    56.18    28.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.91     8.32    12.19     0.81     7.31    34.56    14.18P    0.08R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.63     8.22   -22.51     0.01     0.20     2.09     0.47P    6.71R    2.17  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.75     8.44     8.93     0.77     5.83    29.75    12.44P    0.14R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      60.01     8.15    -3.52     0.04     0.67     7.04     2.01P    1.44R    0.36  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.33     8.52     9.37     1.11     8.43    36.20    15.61P    0.09R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.55     8.12     0.27     0.09     1.14     9.59     3.14P    0.82R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.67     8.62    -6.61     0.09     1.06     8.69     2.95P    1.80R    0.59  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.12     8.30    -7.07     0.02     0.36     4.53     1.29P    2.77R    0.83  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.36     8.51    -5.10     0.08     0.90     8.09     2.66P    1.85R    0.52  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.28     7.80   -28.30     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   27.24R   11.87  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.04     8.22   -14.06     0.00     0.05     0.95     0.24P   11.15R    4.11  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.82     7.94   -18.96     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   31.79R   15.08  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.66     8.45   -21.57     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.10P   22.34R   10.21  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.30     7.86   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   57.59R   36.71  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.80     8.44   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   34.02R   17.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bath_City vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.09     7.63    37.23    34.00    92.78    50.92P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.25     7.81    28.42    20.66    84.81    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.20     7.82    19.88     3.71    51.13    13.04P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.78     7.81    32.89     8.77    70.89    24.54P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.30     7.88    -1.85     0.31    12.40     1.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.26     7.88     1.40     0.37    15.02     2.28P    0.05R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      87.97     7.30    44.12    29.57    91.81    54.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.66     7.97    13.69     1.21    28.94     6.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.51     8.48     8.28     0.32    11.42     2.16P    0.22R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.84     8.27    12.08     0.89    22.61     4.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.05     7.89    -1.18     0.07     4.31     0.60P    0.35R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.52     7.88    -3.53     0.05     3.69     0.48P    0.54R    0.01  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.41     7.72     1.52     0.01     1.28     0.16P    1.55R    0.01  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.81     7.73    -1.64     0.04     4.42     0.91P    0.33R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   22   +0      55.71     8.13    -5.31     0.00     0.51     0.09P    5.68R    0.15  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.13     7.93    -1.43     0.01     1.92     0.40P    1.27R    0.01  
Stockport          19   19   -5      59.64     8.18     0.48     0.01     1.54     0.34P    2.22R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      56.03     8.03    -9.85     0.00     0.43     0.08P    5.69R    0.14  
Kettering          19   19  -12      49.89     7.53   -22.10     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.78R    0.67  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.21     7.88   -19.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.34R    2.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.80     7.69   -26.24     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.98R    2.76  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.26     7.81   -12.09     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.91R    1.02  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.75     6.97   -60.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.58R   71.52  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.83     7.45   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.38R   21.64