Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.21     7.33    63.03    49.78    82.07    94.08    97.97    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.30     6.79    57.40    41.04    81.02    94.41    98.17    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.09     7.78     9.48     0.21     1.04     5.09    14.87    52.28     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.00     7.38    39.18     6.70    23.99    60.91    81.02    96.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.99     8.10    21.23     1.32     6.15    21.37    45.45    83.50     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.91     7.65    17.19     0.19     1.49     7.22    20.86    64.66     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.69     7.81    23.36     0.75     4.20    16.51    39.29    80.52     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.06     7.81    -5.19     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.59     5.15     2.65R    0.30  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.61     7.84   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.67    21.09R    4.41  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.53     7.56   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.63    16.24R    2.76  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.33     7.28   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    35.98R    8.54  
Stoke           11   12  -11      42.99     7.39   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.69    12.67R    2.01  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.25     7.26   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    34.71R    8.18  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.55     7.69   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.82    14.19R    2.61  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.11     7.69    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.84     7.39R    1.10  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.74     7.61    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.60     7.61R    1.04  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.15     8.09     1.12     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.36    10.23     1.40R    0.13  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.34     7.78   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.48    21.96R    4.61  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.69     7.46   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    42.61R   12.84  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.09     6.90   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.48R   51.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.97     8.57    38.35    50.35    74.37    97.14    80.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.92     8.53    34.24    28.49    57.28    92.62    68.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.51     8.42    13.18     3.79    12.23    59.70    22.77P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.06     8.42    21.08     5.52    16.80    68.01    30.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.82     8.86    17.07     3.32    10.46    52.74    22.12P    0.23R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.08     7.95    -1.13     0.07     0.48    10.09     2.04P    2.61R    0.25  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.47     8.59     4.38     0.87     3.44    31.88     9.34P    0.70R    0.04  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.75     8.22    -7.84     0.08     0.43     8.06     1.61P    4.56R    0.48  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.74     8.22    -1.42     0.32     1.54    19.99     5.23P    1.10R    0.07  
Brighton         16   23   +2      60.92     8.51    -2.50     0.11     0.49     9.23     2.16P    4.75R    0.53  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      60.19     8.94    -3.40     0.10     0.61     9.30     2.06P    6.58R    0.82  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.68     8.51     4.76     0.40     1.87    21.63     6.22P    1.33R    0.12  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.22     9.26    17.31     5.85    16.52    62.43    30.32P    0.12R    0.00  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.55     8.39     7.56     0.49     2.25    24.92     8.41P    0.94R    0.06  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.45     8.52   -14.04     0.02     0.14     4.31     0.81P   11.11R    1.64  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.50     8.24     0.32     0.06     0.25     6.68     1.78P    5.77R    0.70  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.16     8.24     2.88     0.06     0.32     7.72     1.98P    4.80R    0.54  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.48     8.57    -5.00     0.08     0.35     7.29     1.69P    6.92R    0.94  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.82     8.18   -13.64     0.00     0.03     1.24     0.23P   23.19R    4.53  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.12     8.27   -13.42     0.02     0.13     3.52     0.85P   10.98R    1.62  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.81     8.37   -18.53     0.00     0.04     1.22     0.23P   24.81R    5.48  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.19     8.07   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   49.71R   15.42  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.86     7.83   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   61.12R   22.29  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.07     7.73   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.58R   44.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.26     8.24    45.81    52.57    79.80    99.17    85.78P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      89.96     8.20    44.66    33.76    68.02    97.68    78.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.66     8.45    16.70     3.84    13.86    75.25    27.62P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.93     8.36    25.16     3.22    12.65    74.23    29.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      80.03     8.61    26.32     5.59    18.82    80.64    38.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.85     8.29     6.77     0.22     1.31    27.14     6.04P    0.81R    0.02  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.22     8.37     2.27     0.03     0.36    12.99     2.48P    3.04R    0.17  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.34     8.13     2.58     0.06     0.48    17.59     3.47P    1.52R    0.04  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.17     8.14     1.18     0.07     0.47    16.85     3.62P    1.64R    0.06  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.78     8.34    -6.88     0.05     0.41    13.25     2.69P    2.85R    0.15  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.38     8.41     4.69     0.09     0.62    18.89     4.49P    1.80R    0.10  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.87     8.45    -9.12     0.02     0.13     6.76     1.23P    7.75R    0.57  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.29     9.29     4.62     0.45     2.68    34.85    10.17P    1.22R    0.08  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.35     8.21   -10.48     0.00     0.06     4.35     0.88P    9.82R    0.85  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.89     8.33   -14.44     0.00     0.02     2.07     0.30P   19.91R    2.49  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.61     8.35    -4.09     0.00     0.09     6.08     1.38P    7.58R    0.68  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.83     8.76     2.24     0.02     0.20     9.29     2.35P    6.50R    0.59  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.00     8.26   -15.36     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.30P   22.80R    3.07  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.02     8.02   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   45.22R   10.10  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.45     8.09   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.06P   36.13R    6.63  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.55     8.28   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   41.62R    9.11  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.14     8.34   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   67.05R   25.52  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      44.94     8.15   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   63.07R   21.91  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.70     8.08   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   59.64R   17.87  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.35     8.21    35.59    52.85    84.25    97.72    88.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.90     8.80    15.60    10.03    38.26    75.52    45.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.90     8.24     4.05     1.15     8.52    36.62    13.76P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.89     8.28    16.45     7.07    33.27    73.91    44.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.22     8.39    22.03     3.12    17.93    55.01    26.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.78     8.45    31.67    16.95    54.43    86.65    65.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.15     8.27    13.70     1.57    11.60    44.00    18.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.49     8.43     3.16     0.83     6.59    30.91    11.16P    0.11R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.87     8.39    17.84     3.38    19.14    57.65    29.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.90     8.35    12.09     0.85     7.27    34.54    14.38P    0.07R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.74     8.15   -22.29     0.01     0.15     2.10     0.44P    6.22R    1.96  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.84     8.47     9.05     0.78     6.19    30.05    12.53P    0.14R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.98     8.07    -3.57     0.02     0.66     6.87     1.87P    1.31R    0.30  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.36     8.50     9.46     1.17     8.35    36.02    15.64P    0.10R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.59     8.18     0.33     0.09     1.17     9.88     3.27P    0.90R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.47     8.68    -6.94     0.08     1.06     8.70     2.89P    1.96R    0.60  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.12     8.20    -7.08     0.02     0.34     4.39     1.31P    2.60R    0.74  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.17     8.45    -5.45     0.04     0.72     7.64     2.38P    1.79R    0.52  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.22     7.84   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   27.24R   12.37  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.26     8.24   -13.77     0.00     0.06     1.03     0.26P   10.77R    4.02  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.73     7.90   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   32.13R   15.07  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.42     8.41   -21.91     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.09P   23.00R   10.52  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.52     7.92   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    56.38R   35.39  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.63     8.56   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   35.20R   18.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bath_City vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.03     7.59    37.16    33.70    92.78    50.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.15     7.90    28.24    20.60    84.55    35.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.36     7.85    20.08     3.91    52.22    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.88     7.82    33.02     8.84    71.26    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.00     7.83    -2.37     0.26    11.57     1.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.03     7.87     0.98     0.37    14.43     2.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      87.98     7.36    44.12    29.57    91.68    54.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.79     8.02    13.91     1.31    29.52     6.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.56     8.40     8.38     0.33    11.13     2.02P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.85     8.23    12.16     0.89    22.43     4.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      63.97     7.84    -1.29     0.07     4.27     0.68P    0.40R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.43     7.86    -3.65     0.05     3.82     0.56P    0.48R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.60     7.70     1.79     0.01     1.27     0.19P    1.53R    0.02  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.81     7.70    -1.58     0.04     4.37     0.91P    0.34R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   22   +0      55.81     8.16    -5.16     0.01     0.58     0.09P    5.69R    0.13  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.08     7.97    -1.47     0.03     1.95     0.39P    1.39R    0.01  
Stockport          19   19   -5      59.66     8.22     0.51     0.01     1.65     0.37P    2.28R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.96     8.00    -9.94     0.00     0.40     0.09P    5.67R    0.17  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.16     7.55   -21.72     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.19R    0.78  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.21     7.88   -19.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.44R    1.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.73     7.66   -26.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.55R    2.79  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.39     7.82   -11.81     0.00     0.07     0.00    16.45R    1.00  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.71     7.00   -60.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.60R   71.50  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.80     7.42   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.66R   21.60