Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.06     7.37    62.76    49.04    81.56    93.87    97.88    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.32     6.82    57.29    41.40    80.62    93.98    98.22    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.08     7.73     9.52     0.17     1.07     4.86    14.37    52.23     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      77.07     7.36    39.33     7.01    24.60    61.20    81.21    97.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.90     8.09    21.06     1.27     6.07    21.38    44.93    83.21     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.87     7.75    17.13     0.21     1.55     7.52    21.22    64.19     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.81     7.87    23.54     0.90     4.49    16.78    39.81    80.84     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.02     7.78    -5.24     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.50     5.16     2.69R    0.23  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.60     7.72   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.61    20.94R    4.03  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.41     7.61   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.62    17.09R    2.89  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.46     7.29   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    35.07R    8.02  
Stoke           11   12  -11      42.98     7.43   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.70    12.92R    2.01  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.37     7.31   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    34.35R    8.07  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.53     7.70   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.79    14.44R    2.79  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      44.94     7.73    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.76     7.80R    1.23  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.65     7.54    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.32     7.69R    0.94  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.27     8.12     1.33     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.50    10.89     1.35R    0.16  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.29     7.78   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48    22.19R    4.76  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.88     7.45   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    41.60R   12.51  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.01     6.88   -38.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.85R   52.36  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.97     8.64    38.34    50.36    74.33    96.92    80.37P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      85.06     8.48    34.43    28.90    58.05    93.10    69.65P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.48     8.33    13.14     3.72    12.15    59.83    22.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.02     8.50    21.04     5.70    16.97    67.74    31.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.63     8.85    16.77     3.15    10.06    52.42    21.85P    0.19R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.10     7.92    -1.06     0.08     0.44    10.01     2.06P    2.65R    0.19  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.52     8.60     4.51     0.87     3.59    32.25     9.30P    0.71R    0.06  
Derby            16   24   -1      61.08     8.26    -7.32     0.10     0.50     8.76     1.80P    4.35R    0.48  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.75     8.24    -1.41     0.40     1.63    20.22     5.30P    1.16R    0.08  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.10     8.46    -2.23     0.12     0.55     9.60     2.24P    4.39R    0.52  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      60.05     8.96    -3.62     0.11     0.57     9.42     2.07P    6.97R    0.92  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.86     8.43     5.04     0.41     1.84    22.22     6.18P    1.21R    0.10  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      74.99     9.21    16.94     5.40    15.94    61.77    29.78P    0.14R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.19     8.44     6.97     0.47     2.14    23.78     7.99P    1.04R    0.08  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.27     8.49   -14.28     0.03     0.15     4.13     0.79P   11.33R    1.67  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.58     8.23     0.45     0.05     0.29     6.66     1.66P    5.76R    0.71  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.29     8.27     3.06     0.05     0.31     8.16     2.08P    4.81R    0.56  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.39     8.54    -5.15     0.05     0.34     7.02     1.68P    6.94R    1.04  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.99     8.10   -13.31     0.01     0.04     1.18     0.23P   22.14R    4.27  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.18     8.25   -13.33     0.02     0.10     3.45     0.76P   11.00R    1.67  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.78     8.30   -18.53     0.00     0.03     1.19     0.26P   24.49R    5.20  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.06     8.04   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   50.85R   15.78  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.89     7.83   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   60.90R   21.97  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.04     7.71   -33.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.87R   44.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.33     8.23    45.90    52.17    79.98    99.17    85.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.17     8.16    45.00    34.46    68.48    97.98    79.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.61     8.47    16.59     3.88    14.16    75.02    28.14P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.87     8.36    25.06     3.05    12.09    74.07    28.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.91     8.71    26.10     5.36    18.36    79.96    37.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      67.83     8.30     6.76     0.16     1.24    27.39     6.09P    0.69R    0.03  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.19     8.31     2.24     0.03     0.31    12.71     2.47P    3.04R    0.13  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.31     8.12     2.55     0.07     0.59    17.44     3.66P    1.48R    0.04  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.20     8.17     1.23     0.07     0.56    17.30     3.86P    1.59R    0.08  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.85     8.34    -6.71     0.07     0.44    13.85     2.70P    2.83R    0.16  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.20     8.39     4.43     0.06     0.59    18.54     4.40P    1.89R    0.09  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.90     8.48    -9.06     0.01     0.10     6.89     1.14P    7.69R    0.65  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.44     9.24     4.92     0.57     2.73    35.38    10.50P    1.03R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.14     8.18   -10.79     0.01     0.06     4.07     0.80P   10.45R    0.92  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.89     8.30   -14.43     0.00     0.02     2.14     0.36P   19.93R    2.45  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.39     8.32    -4.44     0.01     0.09     5.65     1.30P    7.91R    0.70  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.87     8.73     2.31     0.02     0.18     9.32     2.27P    6.44R    0.59  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.24     8.24   -14.98     0.00     0.01     1.54     0.28P   21.61R    2.85  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.09     8.06   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   45.15R   10.01  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.45     8.15   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P   36.06R    6.94  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.41     8.26   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P   42.91R    9.38  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.02     8.22   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   67.50R   25.98  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.15     8.22   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   62.62R   21.20  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.82     8.10   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   59.11R   17.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.34     8.21    35.61    52.92    84.35    97.63    88.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.66     8.76    15.12     9.57    37.04    74.76    44.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.82     8.22     3.91     1.16     8.46    36.18    13.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      78.00     8.30    16.60     7.38    33.81    74.36    45.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.07     8.36    21.78     2.99    17.44    54.86    26.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.89     8.47    31.86    17.43    55.44    86.97    66.75P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.20     8.27    13.74     1.61    11.72    44.37    19.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.45     8.37     3.10     0.82     6.36    30.84    11.10P    0.10R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.84     8.37    17.86     3.21    19.18    57.69    30.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.81     8.32    12.04     0.85     7.14    34.11    14.08P    0.07R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.64     8.20   -22.50     0.02     0.15     1.94     0.45P    6.87R    2.27  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.76     8.42     8.89     0.73     5.90    29.54    12.22P    0.14R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      59.85     8.06    -3.76     0.04     0.65     6.57     1.73P    1.36R    0.36  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.55     8.44     9.72     1.02     8.66    37.06    16.04P    0.08R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.67     8.17     0.45     0.08     1.21    10.13     3.22P    0.82R    0.24  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.45     8.70    -6.98     0.10     1.23     8.65     3.07P    1.88R    0.58  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.11     8.23    -7.08     0.01     0.35     4.59     1.30P    2.68R    0.79  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.34     8.45    -5.13     0.07     0.83     8.06     2.67P    1.72R    0.52  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.45     7.85   -28.07     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   26.43R   11.63  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.29     8.17   -13.71     0.01     0.06     0.95     0.23P   10.55R    3.81  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.82     7.88   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   31.69R   14.77  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.50     8.32   -21.77     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.09P   22.54R   10.20  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.42     7.82   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    57.14R   36.09  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.51     8.49   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   35.85R   18.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bath_City vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.14     7.54    37.39    34.09    93.05    51.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.00     7.88    28.06    19.78    84.18    34.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.22     7.90    19.90     3.96    51.26    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.81     7.79    32.90     8.69    70.69    24.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.15     7.87    -2.12     0.25    12.10     1.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.09     7.94     1.08     0.37    14.85     2.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.13     7.35    44.40    30.35    91.88    55.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.59     7.99    13.64     1.14    28.81     6.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.62     8.43     8.49     0.25    11.38     2.01P    0.24R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.88     8.28    12.18     0.93    23.05     4.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.11     7.88    -1.11     0.07     4.43     0.68P    0.33R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.36     7.89    -3.76     0.04     3.57     0.49P    0.63R    0.01  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.68     7.77     1.92     0.01     1.38     0.20P    1.62R    0.02  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.83     7.72    -1.58     0.05     4.60     0.98P    0.28R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   22   +0      55.67     8.16    -5.36     0.00     0.57     0.10P    5.82R    0.16  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.08     7.97    -1.53     0.01     2.03     0.38P    1.41R    0.02  
Stockport          19   19   -5      59.59     8.22     0.42     0.01     1.62     0.38P    2.21R    0.05  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      56.16     8.03    -9.60     0.00     0.45     0.10P    5.33R    0.12  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.09     7.50   -21.82     0.00     0.03     0.00    18.02R    0.80  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.16     7.89   -19.30     0.00     0.02     0.00    30.63R    1.88  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.80     7.70   -26.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.43R    2.72  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.18     7.80   -12.18     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.03R    1.12  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.77     6.96   -60.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   71.38  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.79     7.48   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.44R   21.71