Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Bolton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.24     7.34    63.05    50.02    82.09    94.03    98.08    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.24     6.78    57.26    40.78    80.83    94.16    98.18    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.11     7.80     9.48     0.17     1.08     5.16    15.05    52.30     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      76.84     7.42    38.88     6.67    23.82    60.01    80.26    96.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       10   22   +6      69.88     8.12    21.05     1.27     6.01    21.41    44.80    82.87     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.84     7.77    17.04     0.23     1.59     7.63    21.10    64.26     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.78     7.86    23.47     0.86     4.56    17.16    39.90    80.97     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.06     7.79    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.55     5.09     2.68R    0.22  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.52     7.76   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.49    21.30R    4.29  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.38     7.57   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.54    16.97R    2.83  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.45     7.29   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    35.05R    8.30  
Stoke           11   12  -11      43.19     7.46   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.82    12.26R    1.94  
Wolverhampton   11   11   -6      37.21     7.25   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    35.09R    8.18  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.42     7.74   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.84    14.89R    2.81  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      44.94     7.70    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.80     7.79R    1.13  
Fulham          11   10   -1      44.76     7.59    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.55     7.60R    0.96  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.43     8.17     1.62     0.00     0.02     0.33     1.63    11.19     1.31R    0.12  
Bolton          11    9   -9      40.39     7.70   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.44    21.50R    4.41  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.85     7.45   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    41.90R   12.45  
Wigan           11    5  -13      28.03     6.91   -38.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R   52.36  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2011, Brighton vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.91     8.63    38.23    50.35    73.85    96.91    80.08P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.89     8.53    34.17    28.63    57.19    92.71    68.77P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.49     8.40    13.10     3.69    12.15    59.61    22.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.23     8.48    21.33     5.68    17.45    68.38    31.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.86     8.88    17.10     3.40    10.76    53.29    22.42P    0.19R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      62.07     7.93    -1.14     0.08     0.47     9.89     2.00P    2.60R    0.20  
Leeds_United     16   25   +1      68.38     8.59     4.29     0.83     3.41    31.43     8.95P    0.66R    0.05  
Derby            16   24   -1      60.95     8.23    -7.47     0.07     0.42     8.47     1.70P    4.46R    0.50  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.81     8.30    -1.31     0.39     1.69    20.53     5.33P    1.10R    0.09  
Brighton         16   23   +2      61.36     8.48    -1.90     0.11     0.55    10.08     2.31P    4.23R    0.46  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      60.05     8.88    -3.64     0.11     0.50     9.09     1.96P    6.74R    0.89  
Leicester        16   22   +1      65.73     8.44     4.86     0.34     1.72    21.76     6.24P    1.30R    0.14  
Birmingham       13   21   +4      75.10     9.33    17.11     5.61    16.42    62.14    30.17P    0.13R    0.01  
Reading          16   21   +1      66.40     8.42     7.32     0.48     2.15    24.30     8.08P    0.98R    0.07  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.21     8.52   -14.40     0.02     0.15     3.97     0.76P   11.59R    1.79  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.44     8.23     0.27     0.06     0.30     6.47     1.69P    5.78R    0.73  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.13     8.23     2.82     0.05     0.28     7.59     1.90P    4.99R    0.66  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.40     8.58    -5.13     0.07     0.35     7.09     1.77P    7.05R    1.00  
Barnsley         16   18   -4      52.93     8.10   -13.44     0.01     0.03     1.14     0.20P   22.35R    4.29  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.24     8.33   -13.24     0.01     0.12     3.75     0.88P   10.91R    1.65  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.45     8.36   -19.03     0.00     0.02     1.18     0.22P   25.96R    5.85  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.15     8.07   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   50.11R   15.89  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.97     7.85   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.34R   22.19  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      41.23     7.72   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.40R   43.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.17     8.28    45.62    51.80    79.41    99.08    85.37P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.11     8.15    44.91    34.60    68.38    97.90    79.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.55     8.50    16.49     3.83    14.20    74.75    28.01P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.92     8.36    25.14     3.23    12.53    74.48    29.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      79.94     8.61    26.17     5.44    18.59    80.35    38.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      68.05     8.29     7.11     0.26     1.32    28.06     6.33P    0.74R    0.03  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.39     8.35     2.52     0.05     0.37    13.35     2.57P    2.94R    0.15  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.32     8.15     2.59     0.07     0.52    17.58     3.68P    1.57R    0.07  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.09     8.19     0.97     0.06     0.48    16.82     3.69P    1.65R    0.08  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.65     8.31    -7.05     0.07     0.45    12.96     2.55P    2.86R    0.15  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.29     8.40     4.50     0.09     0.60    18.74     4.55P    1.77R    0.07  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      59.96     8.45    -9.00     0.01     0.11     6.78     1.13P    7.68R    0.64  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.26     9.27     4.65     0.47     2.65    34.74    10.14P    1.13R    0.05  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.13     8.21   -10.78     0.00     0.05     4.06     0.76P   10.69R    0.93  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.94     8.32   -14.34     0.00     0.02     2.04     0.31P   19.78R    2.43  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.53     8.36    -4.19     0.01     0.10     6.02     1.42P    7.99R    0.66  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.72     8.83     2.06     0.02     0.20     9.23     2.28P    7.07R    0.67  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.22     8.21   -15.01     0.00     0.01     1.54     0.29P   21.67R    2.91  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.17     8.09   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   44.56R    9.85  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.43     8.15   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P   36.16R    6.75  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.45     8.26   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P   42.41R    9.23  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.12     8.35   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   67.18R   25.96  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.07     8.18   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   62.78R   21.54  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.77     8.05   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   59.32R   17.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.28     8.24    35.51    52.44    84.26    97.57    88.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.68     8.83    15.22     9.65    37.07    74.79    44.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      70.06     8.23     4.25     1.18     8.68    37.38    13.84P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.94     8.31    16.53     7.39    33.42    73.93    44.82P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.15     8.49    21.93     3.34    18.12    54.90    26.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.86     8.39    31.79    17.27    55.23    87.28    66.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.16     8.35    13.65     1.72    11.80    44.09    18.98P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.46     8.42     3.17     0.86     6.55    31.07    11.17P    0.12R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.76     8.44    17.70     3.27    19.04    57.09    29.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.83     8.29    12.02     0.76     7.06    34.01    14.02P    0.09R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.53     8.14   -22.67     0.02     0.17     1.96     0.49P    6.57R    1.98  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.85     8.39     9.04     0.66     5.99    29.64    12.48P    0.16R    0.04  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      60.09     8.10    -3.41     0.04     0.74     6.98     1.86P    1.42R    0.41  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.40     8.49     9.45     1.14     8.32    36.32    15.70P    0.09R    0.02  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.56     8.14     0.29     0.09     1.10     9.72     3.09P    0.89R    0.22  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.70     8.69    -6.56     0.12     1.16     9.10     3.17P    1.84R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.07     8.22    -7.17     0.02     0.34     4.41     1.25P    2.76R    0.81  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.24     8.48    -5.30     0.06     0.89     8.02     2.65P    1.81R    0.52  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.33     7.78   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   26.69R   11.45  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.35     8.22   -13.60     0.00     0.04     0.98     0.29P   10.36R    3.74  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.79     7.92   -19.08     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.03P   31.58R   15.15  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.60     8.45   -21.64     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   22.20R   10.25  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.32     7.83   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.44R   36.05  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.45     8.49   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   35.88R   18.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bath_City vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.15     7.54    37.38    34.19    93.14    51.59P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.22     7.82    28.36    20.21    85.11    35.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.22     7.87    19.88     3.88    51.45    12.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.84     7.78    33.00     8.76    71.10    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.03     7.84    -2.26     0.32    11.57     1.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.29     7.88     1.40     0.38    15.06     2.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      88.01     7.23    44.15    29.70    91.88    55.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.66     7.98    13.71     1.18    28.63     6.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.61     8.42     8.45     0.32    11.32     2.14P    0.22R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.88     8.26    12.19     0.90    22.72     4.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      64.06     7.84    -1.14     0.04     4.31     0.62P    0.35R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.47     7.90    -3.57     0.03     3.67     0.44P    0.54R    0.01  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.50     7.78     1.63     0.01     1.39     0.22P    1.64R    0.01  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.80     7.71    -1.65     0.04     4.28     0.97P    0.35R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   22   +0      55.55     8.09    -5.57     0.00     0.47     0.08P    5.83R    0.19  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.22     7.94    -1.30     0.02     1.99     0.45P    1.28R    0.01  
Stockport          19   19   -5      59.48     8.15     0.26     0.01     1.37     0.30P    2.28R    0.08  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.99     8.06    -9.88     0.00     0.45     0.13P    5.62R    0.18  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.08     7.59   -21.82     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.40R    0.77  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.22     7.86   -19.27     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.24R    1.95  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.95     7.75   -25.96     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.62R    2.87  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.15     7.79   -12.20     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.13R    1.05  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.85     6.99   -60.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.72R   70.91  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.73     7.44   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.64R   21.97