Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Arsenal vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        11   31  +29      87.06     7.41    62.63    48.99    81.96    94.36    98.14    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +16      86.39     6.83    57.23    42.05    81.98    94.94    98.49    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       11   25   +9      63.25     7.77     9.82     0.21     1.26     5.82    16.91    54.76     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   22   +9      76.94     7.38    38.78     6.83    24.60    63.35    82.41    97.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.23     8.45    17.12     0.78     3.89    14.85    34.73    73.78     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   19   +4      64.91     7.75    17.13     0.23     1.64     8.13    23.53    65.71     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         11   19   +2      68.72     7.85    23.32     0.91     4.62    18.02    42.59    81.42     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   15   +1      49.12     7.79    -5.05     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.69     5.69     2.29R    0.23  
Norwich         11   13   -2      40.60     7.84   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.75    20.03R    4.36  
Swansea         11   13   -3      41.37     7.61   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.65    16.03R    2.92  
Stoke           10   12   -6      46.14     7.72   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     2.36     5.95R    0.87  
QPR             11   12  -10      37.15     7.31   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    35.00R    8.90  
West_Brom       11   11   -7      42.58     7.69   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.92    13.18R    2.50  
Sunderland      11   10   +1      45.00     7.73    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.97     7.06R    1.09  
Fulham          10   10   +1      46.89     7.78    -2.06     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.29     3.24     4.51R    0.56  
Everton         10   10   -4      52.23     8.18     1.32     0.00     0.03     0.31     1.73    11.31     1.34R    0.13  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.42     7.49   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    43.18R   13.89  
Blackburn       11    6  -11      35.56     7.43   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    41.67R   13.29  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.93     7.88   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    36.69R   11.02  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.66     7.13   -35.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.05R   40.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Blackpool vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      16   36  +20      88.98     8.66    38.31    49.09    72.94    97.10    79.61P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   31  +15      84.96     8.54    34.34    28.06    55.90    92.81    68.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   30   +8      74.59     8.34    13.31     3.45    11.75    59.95    22.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   27   +9      76.29     8.40    21.43     5.29    16.58    68.85    31.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        16   25   +7      72.62     8.85    16.72     3.02     9.68    52.16    21.13P    0.21R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   16   25   +4      61.93     8.02    -1.36     0.12     0.46     9.78     1.91P    2.84R    0.25  
Derby            16   24   -1      61.00     8.25    -7.48     0.08     0.39     8.44     1.67P    4.31R    0.42  
Hull             15   24   -1      65.86     8.28    -1.27     0.34     1.53    20.45     5.23P    1.15R    0.09  
Peterborough     16   22   +3      59.88     8.87    -4.00     0.11     0.54     8.68     1.94P    7.12R    0.97  
Leicester        15   22   +2      68.14     8.77     7.43     0.81     3.29    31.42     9.63P    0.79R    0.06  
Leeds_United     15   22   +0      65.83     8.83     1.71     0.41     1.96    22.49     5.86P    1.77R    0.13  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.27     9.49    19.35     8.61    21.99    69.75    36.26P    0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         15   20   +0      58.95     8.55    -5.05     0.06     0.30     6.28     1.41P    7.60R    1.02  
Ipswich          15   20   -6      57.34     8.53   -14.26     0.02     0.15     4.16     0.78P   11.47R    1.65  
Portsmouth       16   19   +1      59.47     8.24     0.27     0.05     0.28     6.63     1.71P    5.91R    0.67  
Millwall         16   18   +1      60.12     8.22     2.86     0.04     0.25     7.52     1.88P    4.96R    0.62  
Reading          15   18   +0      64.68     8.64     6.19     0.35     1.51    19.30     6.25P    1.84R    0.14  
Barnsley         15   18   -2      54.69     8.37   -10.80     0.01     0.07     2.15     0.44P   16.93R    3.04  
Burnley          15   18   -3      59.33     8.56    -5.28     0.05     0.29     6.94     1.61P    6.97R    0.92  
Nott'm_Forest    16   17  -12      57.15     8.35   -13.42     0.01     0.09     3.62     0.85P   11.34R    1.68  
Watford          16   16  -11      52.82     8.42   -18.49     0.01     0.03     1.26     0.27P   24.43R    5.45  
Bristol_City     16   13  -13      47.16     8.04   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   49.68R   15.55  
Coventry         16   12  -11      44.87     7.82   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   61.21R   22.19  
Doncaster        16   12  -15      40.96     7.71   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.29R   45.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bournemouth vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        17   40  +25      93.32     8.18    45.88    52.54    79.94    99.27    85.70P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    17   35  +21      90.10     8.15    44.92    33.99    67.97    98.06    78.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       17   33   +8      78.64     8.48    16.67     3.89    14.02    74.92    27.91P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   30  +13      77.84     8.43    25.05     3.16    12.50    73.62    28.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   29   +9      80.06     8.63    26.34     5.31    18.67    80.54    38.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    17   28   +7      68.01     8.29     7.08     0.22     1.28    28.04     6.34P    0.74R    0.02  
Stevenage       17   26   +6      63.27     8.41     2.35     0.04     0.31    13.21     2.53P    3.07R    0.16  
Tranmere        17   26   +3      65.48     8.17     2.76     0.06     0.56    17.92     3.95P    1.43R    0.05  
Brentford       17   26   +2      65.12     8.18     1.04     0.07     0.49    16.69     3.57P    1.66R    0.06  
Carlisle        17   26   -3      63.75     8.37    -6.88     0.05     0.46    13.31     2.75P    2.83R    0.16  
Colchester      17   23   +1      65.30     8.46     4.57     0.08     0.58    18.86     4.37P    1.87R    0.09  
Hartlepool      16   23   -2      60.02     8.48    -8.83     0.02     0.17     6.76     1.24P    7.45R    0.63  
Preston         16   23   -3      69.37     9.31     4.73     0.54     2.69    35.13    10.30P    1.15R    0.07  
Oldham          17   22   -5      58.19     8.18   -10.71     0.01     0.07     4.06     0.80P   10.21R    0.90  
Bury            17   21   -5      54.77     8.33   -14.60     0.00     0.02     2.01     0.31P   20.21R    2.61  
Bournemouth     17   19   -5      59.37     8.35    -4.40     0.01     0.09     5.68     1.33P    8.11R    0.71  
Scunthorpe      17   18   -2      60.67     8.78     2.00     0.02     0.16     8.94     2.28P    6.93R    0.65  
Leyton_Orient   17   18   -9      54.11     8.24   -15.19     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.32P   22.18R    3.01  
Exeter          17   16  -13      49.00     8.02   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P   44.94R   10.05  
Walsall         17   15   -5      50.38     8.14   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P   36.16R    6.84  
Rochdale        17   14  -13      49.40     8.32   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   42.60R    9.54  
Chesterfield    17   13  -10      44.03     8.24   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   67.52R   26.01  
Wycombe         17   13  -10      45.25     8.21   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   61.76R   20.59  
Yeovil          17   12  -10      45.74     8.08   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   59.13R   17.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             17   38  +18      89.37     8.20    35.61    53.15    84.26    97.77    88.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         17   36  +11      78.50     8.75    14.90     9.35    36.50    74.24    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +7      69.72     8.24     3.76     1.18     8.36    35.62    13.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   31   +6      77.93     8.35    16.51     7.28    33.74    73.88    44.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            17   30  +17      73.32     8.42    22.20     3.27    18.31    55.85    27.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              17   29  +12      81.88     8.39    31.86    17.15    55.33    87.22    66.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   29  +10      71.27     8.28    13.86     1.60    11.76    45.14    19.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        17   29   +4      68.42     8.37     3.09     0.75     6.43    30.74    11.01P    0.10R    0.02  
Gillingham           17   27   +7      73.83     8.39    17.81     3.25    19.08    57.49    29.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   25   +6      68.98     8.32    12.25     0.92     7.55    34.73    14.47P    0.12R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   -5      54.57     8.14   -22.62     0.01     0.15     1.97     0.42P    6.63R    2.01  
Torquay              17   24   +3      67.55     8.43     8.60     0.67     5.65    28.56    11.72P    0.15R    0.03  
Macclesfield         17   24   +2      60.17     8.09    -3.30     0.04     0.68     7.13     1.94P    1.31R    0.33  
Rotherham            17   24   +1      69.50     8.46     9.64     1.08     8.50    36.72    15.70P    0.08R    0.01  
Aldershot            17   23   +2      61.48     8.18     0.16     0.09     1.19     9.77     3.14P    0.90R    0.24  
Bristol_Rovers       17   21   -6      60.66     8.67    -6.58     0.11     1.12     8.99     3.05P    1.84R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley   17   19   -6      58.12     8.20    -7.07     0.04     0.42     4.41     1.36P    2.74R    0.76  
Crewe                17   19   -7      60.28     8.46    -5.17     0.06     0.86     7.88     2.60P    1.82R    0.50  
Hereford             17   17  -14      47.38     7.89   -28.19     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   26.68R   11.91  
Northampton          17   16   -8      52.33     8.21   -13.64     0.00     0.07     1.03     0.27P   10.40R    3.98  
Bradford             17   14   -7      45.91     7.93   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   31.17R   14.70  
Dag_&_Red            17   13  -15      48.46     8.43   -21.85     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.10P   22.80R   10.37  
Barnet               17   13  -17      41.38     7.85   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   57.59R   36.23  
Plymouth             17    9  -21      45.40     8.42   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   35.58R   18.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2011, Bath_City vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            19   40  +19      89.10     7.61    37.27    34.13    92.76    50.90P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   40  +14      86.31     7.86    28.54    21.08    85.16    36.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   36  +12      78.24     7.79    19.89     3.71    51.33    12.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               19   35  +18      81.87     7.81    33.03     8.80    71.07    24.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          19   35   +3      69.09     7.89    -2.19     0.28    12.03     1.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   34   +3      70.33     7.92     1.47     0.34    15.53     2.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton              19   33  +15      87.95     7.30    44.10    29.17    91.70    55.06P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   31   +5      73.67     7.95    13.74     1.21    28.84     6.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     19   30   +8      67.53     8.45     8.34     0.30    11.21     2.13P    0.23R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   30   +7      71.87     8.21    12.14     0.82    22.67     4.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           18   29   +4      63.98     7.89    -1.27     0.06     4.19     0.64P    0.42R    0.00  
Barrow             19   29   +1      63.36     7.88    -3.78     0.03     3.54     0.47P    0.61R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   26   +7      59.43     7.72     1.56     0.01     1.36     0.20P    1.52R    0.01  
Darlington         19   25   -6      64.80     7.71    -1.63     0.03     4.28     0.92P    0.35R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   22   +0      55.83     8.15    -5.10     0.01     0.55     0.10P    5.76R    0.15  
Grimsby            19   21   -6      61.09     7.92    -1.49     0.01     1.78     0.33P    1.34R    0.02  
Stockport          19   19   -5      59.58     8.20     0.42     0.01     1.45     0.31P    2.27R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   19  -10      55.87     8.01   -10.11     0.00     0.46     0.09P    5.85R    0.14  
Kettering          19   19  -12      50.15     7.55   -21.70     0.00     0.04     0.00P   17.97R    0.79  
AFC_Telford        19   18   -7      47.18     7.92   -19.28     0.00     0.03     0.00P   30.37R    1.97  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -11      45.78     7.66   -26.32     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.25R    2.86  
Newport_County     19   15   -9      50.25     7.75   -12.08     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.77R    0.93  
Alfreton_Town      19   10  -29      29.86     6.93   -60.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.61R   70.85  
Bath_City          19    8  -21      36.75     7.51   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.54R   22.23