Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 4 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2011, Stoke vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.49     7.59    63.17    46.65    80.71    93.58    97.69    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.46     6.92    60.00    44.63    82.82    95.15    98.60    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       10   22   +8      61.37     8.03     8.25     0.14     0.91     4.47    13.24    45.32     0.03R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.46     7.58    40.20     6.59    24.31    61.93    81.11    96.60     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.25     8.40    17.19     0.76     4.13    15.32    35.19    74.51     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.67     7.98    19.32     0.54     3.25    13.37    32.59    73.65     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.40     8.14    21.00     0.69     3.80    15.24    36.85    76.55     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.58     8.08   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.20    17.46R    3.33  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      48.00     8.05    -5.25     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.61     4.86     3.73R    0.50  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.42     7.76   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.62    20.26R    4.12  
Stoke           10   12   -6      46.35     7.75   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.24     2.58     5.85R    0.79  
QPR             10   12   -9      37.32     7.39   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    34.31R    8.57  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      43.83     7.98   -15.75     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.16     1.71    10.89R    2.04  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.13     7.81    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     2.13     7.30R    1.14  
Fulham          10   10   +1      46.91     7.85    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.36     3.54     4.59R    0.59  
Everton          9   10   -3      53.87     8.39     2.69     0.01     0.05     0.64     3.01    16.47     0.84R    0.07  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.38     7.50   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    43.84R   13.86  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.12     7.69   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    39.69R   12.31  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.89     7.89   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    36.90R   10.98  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.43     7.14   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.27R   41.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 November 2011, Derby vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      15   33  +18      87.12     8.89    35.68    47.21    69.71    95.02    76.60P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   28  +13      82.41     8.81    30.82    24.19    48.82    87.70    61.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    15   27   +7      73.26     8.64    12.73     4.00    12.07    54.18    21.76P    0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   15   25   +6      63.35     8.15     0.70     0.30     1.14    13.90     3.39P    1.86R    0.08  
Cardiff          15   24   +7      74.36     8.70    18.84     5.51    15.39    60.51    27.77P    0.10R    0.00  
Hull             14   24   +1      67.47     8.48     1.11     1.10     3.62    27.11     8.39P    0.73R    0.03  
Derby            15   24   +0      62.41     8.47    -6.32     0.22     0.98    12.09     2.82P    3.23R    0.23  
Blackpool        15   22   +6      71.32     9.17    16.22     3.67    10.22    46.91    20.55P    0.38R    0.01  
Leicester        15   22   +2      68.04     8.75     7.25     1.20     4.22    31.53    10.41P    0.80R    0.06  
Leeds_United     15   22   +0      65.74     8.79     1.56     0.63     2.48    22.59     6.59P    1.65R    0.09  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.06     9.52    19.00    10.59    25.41    69.49    38.42P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         15   20   +0      58.63     8.63    -5.40     0.09     0.36     6.11     1.45P    8.17R    0.88  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.69     8.74   -11.52     0.12     0.48     7.43     1.72P    7.37R    0.84  
Peterborough     15   19   +2      58.31     9.21    -4.84     0.15     0.59     7.30     1.84P   10.21R    1.41  
Millwall         15   18   +2      61.54     8.50     3.82     0.18     0.82    11.08     3.19P    3.82R    0.35  
Reading          15   18   +0      64.57     8.64     6.01     0.44     1.94    19.47     6.58P    1.90R    0.13  
Burnley          14   18   -1      61.91     8.78    -1.26     0.28     1.05    12.11     3.34P    4.21R    0.40  
Barnsley         15   18   -2      54.97     8.29   -10.25     0.02     0.09     2.32     0.50P   15.59R    2.02  
Nott'm_Forest    15   17   -9      59.61     8.55    -8.67     0.06     0.39     7.03     1.84P    6.82R    0.67  
Portsmouth       15   16   -2      56.82     8.32    -4.15     0.03     0.17     3.72     0.97P   10.61R    1.16  
Watford          15   16  -10      53.88     8.58   -18.06     0.01     0.03     2.12     0.40P   21.39R    3.52  
Coventry         15   12   -9      46.68     8.04   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   51.24R   12.72  
Bristol_City     15   10  -15      44.56     8.28   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   62.87R   20.46  
Doncaster        15    9  -16      38.21     7.81   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.77R   54.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.93     8.47    41.49    37.45    67.59    97.79    76.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.88     8.34    47.30    44.08    72.53    98.26    81.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.54     8.71    17.49     5.01    15.64    75.27    29.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.47     8.79    28.93     9.13    26.18    85.09    45.18P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      76.13     8.56    22.90     2.22     8.51    63.99    23.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.56     8.55     7.30     0.33     1.62    27.66     6.34P    0.70R    0.03  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      65.78     8.41     2.54     0.12     0.61    18.07     3.84P    1.43R    0.06  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.24     8.38     0.56     0.09     0.59    15.90     3.48P    1.81R    0.10  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      64.02     8.63    -7.21     0.09     0.47    13.41     2.75P    2.97R    0.20  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.55     8.71    -0.26     0.02     0.18     7.70     1.58P    6.59R    0.51  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.70     9.44     9.35     1.19     4.47    42.64    13.95P    0.60R    0.02  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.95     8.65     4.95     0.13     0.75    19.47     4.65P    1.71R    0.07  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      59.83     8.64    -9.78     0.01     0.12     6.09     0.99P    7.97R    0.69  
Oldham          16   22   -3      61.12     8.43    -6.38     0.03     0.16     7.23     1.43P    5.65R    0.38  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.44     9.03     6.14     0.09     0.48    14.24     3.80P    3.94R    0.32  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.65     8.55   -19.16     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.11P   32.64R    5.86  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      55.03     8.52   -14.42     0.01     0.02     1.95     0.38P   19.26R    2.39  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      56.80     8.51    -7.94     0.00     0.05     2.80     0.63P   13.65R    1.60  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.28     8.34   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P   43.50R    9.76  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.76     8.23   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   38.75R    7.91  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      50.71     8.43   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P   36.07R    7.03  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.23     8.42   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   65.52R   25.15  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      45.13     8.43   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   61.42R   21.20  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.29     8.32   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   55.77R   16.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      87.92     8.42    34.88    49.97    80.96    96.69    85.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.43     9.02    15.75    13.64    43.65    77.88    50.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      73.86     8.63    22.44     4.69    22.52    59.24    31.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.35     8.46    14.45     3.22    16.55    51.23    24.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      67.92     8.42     2.34     0.96     6.83    29.79    10.88P    0.13R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.80     8.45    13.76     5.69    27.40    66.34    38.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.39     8.72    28.54    13.73    46.14    80.32    58.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +3      66.69     8.60     1.84     0.65     5.41    25.98     9.28P    0.29R    0.05  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      70.96     8.51    15.23     2.21    13.41    45.21    21.78P    0.06R    0.01  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.25     8.57    16.86     2.91    16.63    51.87    26.66P    0.04R    0.01  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.43     8.37    -2.57     0.09     1.41    10.41     3.15P    1.37R    0.33  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.42     8.47   -22.00     0.02     0.30     3.03     0.68P    7.01R    2.44  
Aldershot            16   23   +4      63.51     8.37     3.11     0.25     2.63    15.89     5.67P    0.66R    0.16  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.68     8.64     3.62     0.38     3.63    19.88     7.86P    0.62R    0.17  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.57     8.74     7.19     0.98     7.17    30.39    13.29P    0.28R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.18     8.96    -5.30     0.27     2.31    13.46     5.11P    1.62R    0.45  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.21     8.68     0.31     0.30     2.49    15.53     5.71P    1.03R    0.28  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.30     8.40   -13.08     0.01     0.12     1.65     0.45P    9.90R    3.62  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.43     8.52    -8.14     0.01     0.33     3.57     1.15P    5.32R    1.64  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.11     8.05   -29.34     0.00     0.02     0.23     0.05P   30.72R   13.90  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.67     8.19   -17.38     0.00     0.03     0.32     0.10P   26.22R   11.44  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.41     8.65   -18.87     0.00     0.06     0.89     0.28P   18.57R    8.04  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.60     8.10   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   58.51R   37.44  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.69     8.77   -26.52     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.05P   37.62R   19.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.47     7.81    37.39    33.23    93.08    51.14P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.40     8.07    25.47    11.57    75.82    26.51P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.34     8.01    33.27     9.54    73.30    26.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.21     7.50    46.43    40.02    95.02    63.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.13     8.07    18.13     2.19    42.36    10.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.69     8.19     1.41     0.51    17.91     2.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      67.10     8.06    -3.75     0.18     8.87     1.19P    0.18R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.95     8.41    14.27     1.41    32.30     6.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.85     8.68     8.17     0.33    13.21     2.39P    0.24R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.46     8.12     0.75     0.10     6.98     1.06P    0.27R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.86     8.05    -2.57     0.07     5.54     0.70P    0.40R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.08     8.26    11.66     0.75    24.36     5.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.96     7.90    -1.18     0.00     1.00     0.14P    2.79R    0.04  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.52     7.97    -2.17     0.04     3.74     0.82P    0.76R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.78     8.18    -1.01     0.02     2.85     0.56P    1.36R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.23     8.33    -7.86     0.00     0.33     0.06P   11.23R    0.59  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.90     7.80   -20.05     0.00     0.09     0.02P   13.69R    0.69  
Stockport          18   18   -5      61.04     8.44     2.14     0.03     2.71     0.62P    1.84R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.33     8.10   -18.73     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.42R    2.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.26     7.82   -27.82     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.41R    4.16  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.31     8.22   -10.98     0.00     0.34     0.07P    8.99R    0.38  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.47     8.03    -9.85     0.00     0.14     0.02P   12.03R    0.80  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.16     7.23   -57.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.86R   65.24  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.57     7.64   -35.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.43R   26.00