Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 3 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2011, Stoke vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.55     7.60    63.21    47.63    81.28    93.67    97.78    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.28     6.93    59.53    43.72    82.58    94.98    98.39    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       10   22   +8      61.44     8.04     8.41     0.13     0.97     4.42    13.16    45.86     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.30     7.57    39.84     6.43    23.76    61.11    80.65    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.29     8.41    17.17     0.76     4.07    15.69    35.63    74.34     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.71     7.92    19.41     0.59     3.22    13.52    32.80    73.67     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.43     8.13    20.92     0.73     4.03    15.70    36.84    76.41     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.64     7.98   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.06    16.94R    3.35  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      47.96     8.05    -5.24     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.64     4.72     3.90R    0.44  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.29     7.76   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.65    20.51R    4.20  
Stoke           10   12   -6      46.26     7.76   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     2.56     5.90R    0.81  
QPR             10   12   -9      37.38     7.42   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    34.49R    8.59  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      43.89     7.90   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.62    10.79R    2.04  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.24     7.87    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     2.35     7.13R    1.25  
Fulham          10   10   +1      46.99     7.88    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.42     3.67     4.48R    0.55  
Everton          9   10   -3      53.81     8.37     2.59     0.00     0.07     0.66     2.97    16.37     1.00R    0.10  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.30     7.46   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    43.81R   14.28  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.04     7.70   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    40.06R   12.60  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.91     7.94   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    37.02R   10.94  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.51     7.19   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.91R   40.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 November 2011, Derby vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      15   33  +18      87.25     8.89    35.84    47.43    69.89    95.04    76.85P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   28  +13      82.39     8.80    30.79    23.76    47.87    87.58    60.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    15   27   +7      73.45     8.59    12.99     4.11    12.25    54.61    21.74P    0.15R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   25   +6      63.20     8.19     0.57     0.24     1.08    13.26     3.11P    2.07R    0.08  
Cardiff          15   24   +7      74.45     8.66    19.05     5.52    15.56    60.61    27.99P    0.09R    0.00  
Hull             14   24   +1      67.50     8.40     1.17     1.01     3.41    26.82     8.10P    0.69R    0.02  
Derby            15   24   +0      62.36     8.50    -6.42     0.19     0.93    11.76     2.57P    3.33R    0.21  
Blackpool        15   22   +6      71.27     9.18    16.16     3.50    10.29    46.69    20.62P    0.37R    0.03  
Leicester        15   22   +2      68.42     8.73     7.78     1.28     4.54    32.78    10.87P    0.66R    0.04  
Leeds_United     15   22   +0      65.82     8.80     1.65     0.62     2.39    22.72     6.57P    1.60R    0.09  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.22     9.48    19.27    10.93    25.73    69.68    39.18P    0.08R    0.01  
Brighton         15   20   +0      58.74     8.63    -5.26     0.06     0.35     6.16     1.47P    7.81R    0.79  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.68     8.79   -11.55     0.12     0.55     7.64     1.70P    7.11R    0.78  
Peterborough     15   19   +2      57.97     9.18    -5.45     0.13     0.53     6.74     1.56P   10.70R    1.33  
Millwall         15   18   +2      61.42     8.53     3.65     0.16     0.77    10.76     3.13P    3.83R    0.41  
Reading          15   18   +0      64.71     8.60     6.22     0.52     2.11    19.29     6.78P    1.61R    0.10  
Burnley          14   18   -1      62.11     8.84    -0.97     0.27     1.08    12.75     3.57P    3.95R    0.39  
Barnsley         15   18   -2      54.71     8.42   -10.64     0.01     0.08     2.33     0.46P   16.27R    2.31  
Nott'm_Forest    15   17   -9      59.62     8.55    -8.67     0.08     0.36     6.83     1.72P    6.70R    0.62  
Portsmouth       15   16   -2      56.89     8.36    -4.01     0.04     0.16     3.77     0.98P   10.46R    1.15  
Watford          15   16  -10      53.83     8.62   -18.10     0.01     0.07     1.92     0.35P   20.87R    3.59  
Coventry         15   12   -9      46.59     8.01   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   51.35R   12.40  
Bristol_City     15   10  -15      44.33     8.21   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   63.21R   20.27  
Doncaster        15    9  -16      37.99     7.84   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.09R   55.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.99     8.47    41.64    37.52    67.74    97.74    76.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.93     8.31    47.41    44.15    72.45    98.26    81.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.31     8.75    17.09     4.62    14.97    74.49    28.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.62     8.91    29.20     9.42    26.83    85.09    45.79P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      76.08     8.62    22.82     2.25     8.47    63.53    23.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.67     8.58     7.43     0.36     1.66    28.59     6.55P    0.67R    0.03  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      65.92     8.44     2.76     0.09     0.64    18.15     3.92P    1.56R    0.06  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.40     8.44     0.77     0.11     0.61    16.67     3.60P    1.77R    0.07  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      64.16     8.64    -7.02     0.09     0.53    13.74     2.76P    2.88R    0.17  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.62     8.57    -0.20     0.02     0.16     7.37     1.51P    6.01R    0.49  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.72     9.48     9.34     1.16     4.46    42.85    13.63P    0.62R    0.04  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.60     8.72     4.43     0.10     0.70    18.64     4.58P    1.95R    0.10  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      59.89     8.60    -9.68     0.02     0.12     6.07     1.02P    7.78R    0.70  
Oldham          16   22   -3      61.01     8.44    -6.56     0.02     0.15     7.35     1.41P    5.80R    0.40  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.35     9.03     6.00     0.07     0.44    13.83     3.68P    3.92R    0.33  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.76     8.56   -18.91     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.15P   31.79R    5.59  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      55.07     8.52   -14.30     0.00     0.01     2.01     0.39P   19.01R    2.43  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      56.90     8.62    -7.82     0.00     0.03     3.12     0.73P   13.65R    1.64  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.33     8.34   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   43.12R    9.70  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.65     8.27   -13.77     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   39.24R    7.82  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      50.65     8.46   -18.73     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.12P   36.07R    7.06  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.30     8.53   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   64.98R   24.89  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      44.96     8.40   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   62.31R   21.74  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.07     8.22   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   56.79R   16.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      87.86     8.44    34.84    49.52    80.87    96.53    85.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.61     8.95    16.10    13.85    44.54    78.45    51.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      74.01     8.68    22.67     4.98    23.37    60.19    32.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.25     8.47    14.31     3.12    16.27    50.69    23.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      67.80     8.48     2.23     1.00     6.75    29.56    10.84P    0.15R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.75     8.40    13.72     5.52    27.12    66.27    38.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.23     8.75    28.31    13.67    45.54    79.91    57.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +3      66.62     8.64     1.76     0.70     5.33    25.76     9.07P    0.30R    0.07  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      70.85     8.55    15.08     2.16    13.29    45.04    21.58P    0.05R    0.01  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.42     8.58    17.11     3.13    17.11    52.47    27.01P    0.04R    0.01  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.44     8.34    -2.52     0.15     1.38    10.43     3.09P    1.30R    0.31  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.62     8.45   -21.72     0.02     0.34     3.14     0.74P    6.83R    2.26  
Aldershot            16   23   +4      63.44     8.36     2.99     0.29     2.50    15.72     5.57P    0.72R    0.19  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.72     8.64     3.68     0.46     3.52    20.25     7.88P    0.63R    0.16  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.47     8.73     7.04     0.85     6.79    30.05    12.95P    0.24R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.23     8.93    -5.29     0.28     2.27    13.36     5.00P    1.65R    0.47  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.13     8.70     0.21     0.26     2.52    15.41     5.71P    1.11R    0.29  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.35     8.43   -13.02     0.01     0.12     1.77     0.47P   10.04R    3.65  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.20     8.43    -8.51     0.03     0.30     3.36     1.04P    5.34R    1.61  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.22     7.98   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   30.03R   13.55  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.61     8.18   -17.46     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   26.83R   12.06  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.63     8.67   -18.62     0.00     0.07     0.94     0.27P   17.81R    7.47  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.54     8.11   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   59.04R   37.96  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.69     8.73   -26.55     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.06P   37.83R   19.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.33     7.79    37.18    32.70    93.15    50.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.17     8.08    25.10    11.33    75.23    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.28     8.02    33.18     9.53    73.71    26.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.32     7.48    46.59    40.73    95.29    63.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.16     8.07    18.18     2.22    42.61    10.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.79     8.19     1.53     0.48    18.40     2.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.76     7.98    -4.30     0.12     8.10     1.03P    0.21R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.73     8.44    13.95     1.52    31.69     6.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.74     8.72     7.95     0.32    13.16     2.37P    0.26R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.55     8.06     0.88     0.11     7.00     0.97P    0.25R    0.01  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.86     8.12    -2.49     0.08     5.91     0.86P    0.42R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.03     8.25    11.59     0.80    24.12     5.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      58.01     7.94    -1.13     0.00     1.02     0.17P    2.78R    0.07  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.59     7.95    -2.10     0.04     3.77     0.84P    0.65R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.97     8.15    -0.67     0.02     2.92     0.58P    1.33R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.46     8.47    -7.54     0.00     0.44     0.09P   11.06R    0.60  
Kettering          18   19  -11      52.02     7.78   -19.83     0.00     0.11     0.01P   13.41R    0.61  
Stockport          18   18   -5      61.02     8.44     2.13     0.02     2.80     0.60P    1.82R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.28     8.10   -18.81     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.83R    2.02  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.27     7.83   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.73R    4.34  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.51     8.18   -10.73     0.00     0.35     0.06P    8.55R    0.33  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.28     8.04   -10.17     0.00     0.14     0.02P   12.34R    0.76  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.30     7.28   -57.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.71R   64.40  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.60     7.66   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.54R   26.78