Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2011, Stoke vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.43     7.58    63.02    46.47    80.72    93.51    97.69    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.37     7.03    59.87    44.55    82.66    94.95    98.33    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       10   22   +8      61.28     8.04     8.15     0.13     0.85     4.43    13.00    45.16     0.03R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.46     7.63    40.16     6.81    24.34    62.32    81.37    96.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.26     8.40    17.19     0.78     4.13    15.68    35.71    74.68     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.68     7.93    19.35     0.53     3.21    13.17    32.82    73.94     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.24     8.14    20.62     0.73     3.98    15.00    36.22    75.82     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.42     7.95   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.00    17.81R    3.45  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      48.01     8.01    -5.16     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.61     5.01     3.71R    0.45  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.45     7.80   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.73    20.45R    4.13  
Stoke           10   12   -6      46.16     7.70   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     2.33     6.09R    0.89  
QPR             10   12   -9      37.55     7.43   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    33.92R    8.25  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      43.75     7.97   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.69    11.24R    2.07  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.22     7.86    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     2.28     7.24R    1.06  
Fulham          10   10   +1      47.08     7.89    -1.83     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.42     3.78     4.35R    0.56  
Everton          9   10   -3      53.89     8.39     2.77     0.00     0.08     0.68     3.09    16.77     0.94R    0.07  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.39     7.54   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    43.49R   14.39  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.24     7.67   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    39.31R   12.06  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.89     7.92   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22    36.98R   11.32  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.47     7.18   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.39R   41.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 November 2011, Derby vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      15   33  +18      86.88     8.84    35.29    45.75    68.19    94.72    75.40P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   28  +13      82.42     8.89    30.85    24.43    48.15    87.23    60.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    15   27   +7      73.30     8.63    12.74     4.17    12.22    54.21    21.89P    0.11R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   25   +6      63.41     8.21     0.82     0.31     1.23    13.93     3.41P    1.99R    0.10  
Cardiff          15   24   +7      74.41     8.65    19.03     5.24    15.33    60.70    27.75P    0.09R    0.00  
Hull             14   24   +1      67.73     8.49     1.50     1.06     3.84    28.15     8.84P    0.66R    0.03  
Derby            15   24   +0      62.45     8.55    -6.26     0.28     0.97    12.12     2.70P    3.38R    0.25  
Blackpool        15   22   +6      71.58     9.10    16.68     3.77    10.78    48.01    21.22P    0.29R    0.01  
Leicester        15   22   +2      68.16     8.76     7.44     1.25     4.47    31.63    10.52P    0.70R    0.04  
Leeds_United     15   22   +0      65.74     8.73     1.57     0.70     2.51    22.25     6.62P    1.56R    0.10  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.31     9.58    19.35    11.59    26.46    69.79    39.84P    0.08R    0.01  
Brighton         15   20   +0      58.58     8.66    -5.59     0.10     0.39     6.05     1.39P    8.17R    0.82  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.50     8.78   -11.89     0.10     0.45     7.19     1.51P    7.65R    0.88  
Peterborough     15   19   +2      58.18     9.26    -5.00     0.14     0.56     7.25     1.76P   10.56R    1.39  
Millwall         15   18   +2      61.47     8.51     3.73     0.18     0.74    10.85     3.11P    3.86R    0.34  
Reading          15   18   +0      64.61     8.62     6.05     0.56     2.05    19.27     6.64P    1.77R    0.13  
Burnley          14   18   -1      61.76     8.83    -1.51     0.24     0.99    11.89     3.29P    4.36R    0.44  
Barnsley         15   18   -2      54.60     8.35   -10.81     0.02     0.08     2.16     0.39P   16.71R    2.55  
Nott'm_Forest    15   17   -9      59.57     8.53    -8.76     0.07     0.38     6.74     1.77P    6.81R    0.66  
Portsmouth       15   16   -2      56.89     8.40    -4.00     0.04     0.14     3.83     0.92P   10.64R    1.26  
Watford          15   16  -10      53.80     8.53   -18.25     0.01     0.06     1.79     0.31P   21.03R    3.52  
Coventry         15   12   -9      46.66     8.07   -19.90     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   51.08R   13.11  
Bristol_City     15   10  -15      44.59     8.23   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   62.40R   20.23  
Doncaster        15    9  -16      38.38     7.88   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.11R   54.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.88     8.44    41.43    37.07    67.15    97.78    76.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.82     8.30    47.18    43.96    71.75    98.36    81.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.67     8.82    17.67     5.31    16.25    75.16    29.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.71     8.79    29.37     9.40    26.97    85.69    45.69P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      76.11     8.59    22.90     2.19     8.45    63.49    22.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.54     8.53     7.24     0.33     1.50    27.99     6.40P    0.68R    0.02  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      65.81     8.40     2.61     0.12     0.64    17.93     3.78P    1.48R    0.06  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.14     8.38     0.40     0.07     0.52    15.76     3.41P    1.89R    0.10  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      64.17     8.60    -7.02     0.08     0.50    13.69     2.81P    2.88R    0.15  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.62     8.66    -0.19     0.03     0.20     7.59     1.51P    6.13R    0.49  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.70     9.44     9.38     1.23     4.64    42.52    13.79P    0.67R    0.03  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.86     8.65     4.84     0.13     0.67    19.39     4.49P    1.74R    0.09  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      59.81     8.65    -9.91     0.01     0.12     6.21     1.08P    8.04R    0.60  
Oldham          16   22   -3      61.14     8.48    -6.39     0.03     0.16     7.63     1.39P    5.58R    0.38  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.22     9.01     5.82     0.06     0.42    13.44     3.42P    4.03R    0.36  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.88     8.59   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.16P   31.54R    5.59  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      55.03     8.46   -14.39     0.00     0.03     1.87     0.40P   18.91R    2.42  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      56.94     8.55    -7.76     0.00     0.03     2.99     0.70P   13.40R    1.55  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.30     8.34   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   43.42R    9.79  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.64     8.28   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   39.45R    7.94  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      50.78     8.43   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.11P   35.73R    6.81  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.35     8.50   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   64.92R   24.62  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      44.88     8.40   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   62.64R   21.90  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.04     8.27   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   56.79R   17.09  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      87.75     8.46    34.66    49.39    80.69    96.37    85.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.45     9.03    15.87    13.63    43.65    78.07    50.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      73.84     8.70    22.40     4.81    22.64    59.17    31.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.22     8.54    14.21     3.20    16.64    50.51    24.18P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      68.06     8.42     2.57     1.09     7.02    30.59    11.28P    0.12R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.62     8.48    13.52     5.75    26.50    65.36    37.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.28     8.70    28.39    13.57    45.67    80.23    57.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +3      66.68     8.64     1.82     0.76     5.54    25.89     9.50P    0.33R    0.08  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      70.86     8.55    15.09     2.19    13.20    45.22    21.42P    0.04R    0.01  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.46     8.61    17.15     3.13    17.65    52.55    27.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.46     8.34    -2.52     0.10     1.41    10.58     3.14P    1.19R    0.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.69     8.47   -21.46     0.03     0.30     3.01     0.69P    6.86R    2.33  
Aldershot            16   23   +4      63.41     8.44     2.97     0.33     2.63    15.86     5.70P    0.60R    0.12  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.96     8.72     4.03     0.46     4.11    21.00     8.61P    0.63R    0.15  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.31     8.81     6.78     0.98     6.75    29.59    12.83P    0.33R    0.08  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.21     8.96    -5.33     0.28     2.44    13.45     5.15P    1.67R    0.47  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.24     8.74     0.31     0.26     2.63    15.75     5.91P    1.06R    0.30  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.36     8.42   -13.05     0.02     0.15     1.72     0.52P    9.76R    3.50  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.48     8.46    -8.10     0.02     0.31     3.55     1.12P    5.13R    1.63  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.11     8.02   -29.31     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   30.77R   14.00  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.86     8.22   -17.08     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   25.79R   11.31  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.45     8.63   -18.85     0.00     0.06     0.86     0.23P   18.12R    7.70  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.32     8.06   -37.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.37R   38.93  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.71     8.66   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P   37.12R   19.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.34     7.85    37.19    32.58    93.19    50.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.46     8.07    25.53    11.48    76.31    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.26     8.06    33.06     9.58    73.22    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.36     7.43    46.62    40.63    95.36    64.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.09     8.08    18.11     2.20    41.97    10.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.71     8.17     1.44     0.53    18.03     2.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.82     8.03    -4.16     0.11     8.20     1.04P    0.23R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.71     8.47    13.87     1.50    31.67     6.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.78     8.71     8.02     0.38    13.25     2.48P    0.27R    0.01  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.47     8.12     0.81     0.12     7.05     1.03P    0.30R    0.01  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.79     8.09    -2.70     0.07     5.69     0.83P    0.42R    0.01  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.19     8.24    11.79     0.77    24.73     5.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.98     7.89    -1.10     0.01     1.01     0.13P    2.94R    0.06  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.72     7.94    -1.88     0.03     3.86     0.82P    0.68R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.95     8.13    -0.74     0.01     2.86     0.53P    1.30R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.35     8.36    -7.66     0.00     0.31     0.04P   11.07R    0.56  
Kettering          18   19  -11      52.00     7.85   -19.94     0.00     0.11     0.01P   13.67R    0.66  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.80     8.51     1.72     0.01     2.68     0.57P    2.17R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.33     8.15   -18.72     0.00     0.05     0.01P   26.95R    2.12  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.45     7.83   -27.38     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.55R    4.15  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.23     8.21   -11.10     0.00     0.32     0.06P    9.26R    0.37  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.24     8.04   -10.21     0.00     0.13     0.03P   12.77R    0.87  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.20     7.28   -57.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.87R   64.79  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.78     7.75   -35.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.44R   26.24