Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 1 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2011, Stoke vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 28 +28 86.53 7.59 63.28 46.63 80.99 93.66 97.84 99.81 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 10 23 +15 86.42 6.99 59.94 44.55 82.80 94.93 98.46 99.89 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 10 22 +8 61.44 8.02 8.43 0.18 0.93 4.40 13.20 45.65 0.05R 0.00 Chelsea 10 19 +8 76.34 7.54 39.91 6.59 23.97 61.65 80.86 96.54 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 9 19 +4 67.39 8.37 17.37 0.87 4.29 16.12 36.07 74.91 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 10 18 +4 66.71 7.93 19.38 0.48 3.09 13.25 32.98 73.75 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 10 16 -1 67.24 8.15 20.56 0.68 3.82 14.99 35.86 75.54 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 10 13 -1 41.42 8.03 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.02 17.92R 3.56 Aston_Villa 10 12 +0 47.97 8.03 -5.25 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.56 4.96 3.79R 0.50 Swansea 10 12 -3 40.49 7.78 -18.87 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.66 20.19R 4.00 Stoke 10 12 -6 46.32 7.79 -13.17 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.24 2.64 5.93R 0.96 QPR 10 12 -9 37.55 7.48 -31.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 33.67R 8.34 West_Brom 10 11 -4 44.01 7.92 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.20 1.83 10.32R 1.85 Sunderland 10 10 +2 45.02 7.90 -4.82 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.19 2.26 7.65R 1.22 Fulham 10 10 +1 46.92 7.87 -2.13 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.38 3.42 4.56R 0.64 Everton 9 10 -3 53.84 8.45 2.67 0.01 0.10 0.77 3.06 16.57 0.99R 0.12 Wolverhampton 10 8 -8 35.37 7.50 -28.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 43.80R 14.05 Blackburn 10 6 -10 36.03 7.63 -27.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 40.16R 12.13 Bolton 10 6 -14 36.91 7.84 -29.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 36.50R 10.85 Wigan 10 5 -11 29.39 7.10 -35.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 74.45R 41.79Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 15 33 +18 86.90 8.82 35.41 47.13 70.19 95.02 76.93P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 15 28 +13 82.13 8.84 30.48 24.47 48.54 87.17 61.53P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 15 27 +7 73.61 8.56 13.28 4.67 13.50 56.35 23.49P 0.09R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 15 25 +6 63.30 8.19 0.72 0.30 1.24 14.01 3.58P 1.94R 0.10 Derby 14 24 +3 64.94 8.71 -1.55 0.61 2.19 19.67 5.10P 1.89R 0.13 Hull 14 24 +1 67.61 8.45 1.35 1.15 3.95 28.13 8.98P 0.71R 0.04 Leeds_United 14 22 +5 69.82 9.01 11.01 2.28 7.41 39.90 14.67P 0.54R 0.03 Leicester 15 22 +2 68.22 8.74 7.57 1.36 4.67 32.59 11.00P 0.76R 0.03 Birmingham 12 21 +5 77.24 9.47 19.33 11.77 27.01 70.30 40.35P 0.11R 0.01 Cardiff 14 21 +4 71.68 8.95 14.31 3.50 10.37 48.35 20.74P 0.30R 0.01 Brighton 15 20 +0 58.69 8.62 -5.43 0.09 0.40 6.40 1.54P 8.20R 0.85 Ipswich 14 20 -5 59.64 8.62 -11.68 0.11 0.52 7.44 1.76P 7.18R 0.75 Peterborough 15 19 +2 58.10 9.16 -5.29 0.15 0.62 7.16 1.86P 10.60R 1.25 Blackpool 14 19 +1 66.41 9.35 5.94 1.27 4.41 27.29 10.54P 1.67R 0.12 Millwall 15 18 +2 61.67 8.51 4.01 0.19 0.94 11.74 3.45P 3.80R 0.34 Reading 15 18 +0 64.82 8.58 6.39 0.52 2.15 20.44 7.10P 1.79R 0.14 Burnley 14 18 -1 61.52 8.81 -1.90 0.27 1.01 11.72 3.22P 4.61R 0.47 Barnsley 15 18 -2 54.94 8.38 -10.40 0.02 0.11 2.48 0.51P 16.17R 2.13 Nott'm_Forest 15 17 -9 59.78 8.53 -8.45 0.11 0.47 7.36 2.08P 6.70R 0.65 Portsmouth 15 16 -2 57.08 8.36 -3.77 0.03 0.21 4.12 1.06P 10.16R 1.09 Watford 15 16 -10 53.83 8.61 -18.16 0.01 0.09 2.08 0.46P 21.60R 3.62 Coventry 15 12 -9 46.71 8.08 -19.83 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 51.56R 12.99 Bristol_City 15 10 -15 44.57 8.20 -26.78 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 62.65R 20.32 Doncaster 15 9 -16 38.24 7.79 -36.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 86.95R 54.95League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 16 37 +22 90.89 8.49 41.40 37.69 67.51 97.65 76.56P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 16 34 +21 91.65 8.35 46.88 43.43 71.30 98.19 81.32P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 16 32 +8 79.43 8.84 17.35 5.14 15.93 74.65 29.21P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 16 29 +10 82.42 8.85 28.88 9.24 26.24 84.76 44.85P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 16 27 +11 76.14 8.63 22.94 2.34 8.96 64.06 23.73P 0.07R 0.00 Notts_County 16 27 +7 68.86 8.56 7.72 0.36 1.74 29.15 6.87P 0.65R 0.02 Tranmere 16 25 +3 65.96 8.39 2.83 0.09 0.70 18.37 3.87P 1.40R 0.04 Brentford 16 25 +2 65.37 8.43 0.79 0.10 0.64 16.53 3.58P 1.79R 0.07 Carlisle 16 25 -3 63.99 8.63 -7.31 0.10 0.55 13.08 2.65P 3.07R 0.17 Stevenage 16 23 +5 60.44 8.59 -0.50 0.03 0.18 7.38 1.41P 6.46R 0.54 Preston 15 23 +0 71.64 9.51 9.24 1.22 4.54 42.54 13.73P 0.71R 0.06 Colchester 16 22 +1 65.65 8.68 4.48 0.13 0.76 18.59 4.30P 1.98R 0.11 Hartlepool 15 22 -2 59.68 8.64 -10.07 0.03 0.14 5.89 1.09P 8.23R 0.65 Oldham 16 22 -3 60.95 8.51 -6.65 0.02 0.20 7.40 1.46P 5.93R 0.46 Scunthorpe 16 18 +0 63.34 9.04 6.00 0.08 0.54 13.99 3.71P 4.06R 0.38 Bury 16 18 -7 51.91 8.63 -18.76 0.00 0.01 1.01 0.21P 31.73R 5.77 Leyton_Orient 16 17 -9 55.03 8.50 -14.38 0.00 0.01 1.92 0.39P 19.31R 2.49 Bournemouth 16 16 -7 57.11 8.63 -7.54 0.00 0.06 3.24 0.80P 13.38R 1.63 Exeter 16 15 -13 49.30 8.34 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.04P 43.26R 9.80 Walsall 16 14 -5 49.70 8.29 -13.66 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.06P 39.64R 8.11 Rochdale 16 14 -11 51.05 8.46 -18.07 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.10P 34.75R 6.56 Chesterfield 16 12 -10 44.47 8.51 -24.99 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03P 64.48R 24.29 Wycombe 16 12 -10 44.97 8.40 -22.87 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 62.08R 21.71 Yeovil 16 11 -10 46.10 8.24 -19.50 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 56.99R 17.14League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 16 35 +17 87.92 8.51 34.94 49.24 80.94 96.47 85.28P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 16 35 +11 79.77 9.01 16.34 14.28 44.84 78.85 51.81P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 16 29 +17 74.00 8.73 22.65 4.90 23.18 59.69 31.97P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 29 +11 72.25 8.49 14.27 2.95 16.33 50.61 24.22P 0.03R 0.01 Cheltenham 16 29 +6 67.96 8.46 2.50 1.06 6.87 30.03 11.15P 0.12R 0.02 Shrewsbury 16 28 +4 75.68 8.48 13.66 5.77 26.87 65.98 37.60P 0.02R 0.00 Swindon 16 26 +10 79.27 8.68 28.38 13.49 45.38 80.18 57.49P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 26 +3 66.57 8.62 1.63 0.72 5.32 25.31 9.06P 0.30R 0.07 Port_Vale 16 25 +8 71.06 8.60 15.36 2.32 13.64 45.75 22.07P 0.05R 0.02 Gillingham 16 24 +6 72.35 8.60 16.97 3.10 16.96 52.28 27.07P 0.04R 0.00 Macclesfield 16 24 +3 61.53 8.40 -2.44 0.15 1.49 10.78 3.31P 1.22R 0.31 AFC_Wimbledon 16 24 -5 55.76 8.48 -21.40 0.03 0.31 3.07 0.73P 6.58R 2.21 Aldershot 16 23 +4 63.45 8.44 2.98 0.30 2.54 15.74 5.62P 0.68R 0.15 Torquay 16 21 +0 64.65 8.66 3.54 0.37 3.65 19.83 7.81P 0.59R 0.14 Rotherham 16 21 -1 67.24 8.73 6.67 0.82 6.46 29.04 12.04P 0.31R 0.07 Bristol_Rovers 16 21 -5 62.43 8.94 -4.99 0.23 2.30 13.83 5.09P 1.58R 0.47 Crewe 16 19 -4 63.20 8.73 0.27 0.26 2.45 15.80 5.76P 1.02R 0.29 Northampton 16 16 -7 53.33 8.39 -13.05 0.01 0.12 1.69 0.47P 9.76R 3.50 Accrington_Stanley 16 16 -7 56.11 8.47 -8.67 0.02 0.27 3.42 0.99P 5.55R 1.73 Hereford 16 16 -14 47.17 8.03 -29.22 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 30.17R 13.53 Bradford 16 14 -6 47.63 8.19 -17.43 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.08P 26.45R 11.68 Dag_&_Red 16 13 -13 50.54 8.72 -18.73 0.00 0.05 0.95 0.29P 17.93R 7.54 Barnet 16 12 -17 41.34 8.08 -37.57 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 59.88R 38.27 Plymouth 16 8 -21 45.59 8.76 -26.67 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.05P 37.72R 19.97Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 18 39 +19 89.40 7.77 37.26 32.92 93.16 50.79P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 18 37 +13 83.40 8.05 25.41 11.71 76.18 26.75P 0.00 0.00 York 18 34 +18 82.20 8.07 33.03 9.45 72.78 26.03P 0.00 0.00 Luton 18 33 +16 90.31 7.49 46.63 40.34 95.18 63.13P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 18 33 +11 76.09 8.05 18.12 2.16 42.06 9.97P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 18 33 +3 70.72 8.20 1.48 0.46 18.35 2.85P 0.05R 0.00 Southport 18 32 +2 66.92 8.04 -4.02 0.14 8.42 1.06P 0.23R 0.00 Mansfield 17 30 +8 73.80 8.44 14.04 1.46 31.76 6.92P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 18 29 +8 67.84 8.74 8.16 0.38 13.44 2.49P 0.26R 0.00 Tamworth 17 29 +6 65.59 8.10 0.96 0.10 7.14 1.18P 0.26R 0.00 Barrow 18 29 +2 64.70 8.05 -2.83 0.07 5.39 0.72P 0.48R 0.00 Kidderminster 18 28 +3 72.18 8.20 11.83 0.76 24.84 5.58P 0.03R 0.00 Forest_Green 18 23 +4 58.29 7.91 -0.67 0.01 1.08 0.18P 2.66R 0.06 Darlington 18 22 -7 63.63 7.93 -1.99 0.01 3.74 0.91P 0.65R 0.00 Grimsby 18 20 -6 61.89 8.13 -0.83 0.02 2.82 0.57P 1.27R 0.03 Ebbsfleet_United 18 19 -1 53.25 8.39 -7.87 0.00 0.36 0.08P 11.11R 0.54 Kettering 18 19 -11 51.98 7.87 -19.92 0.00 0.11 0.03P 13.66R 0.64 Stockport 18 18 -5 60.83 8.50 1.80 0.01 2.65 0.62P 1.99R 0.07 AFC_Telford 18 18 -6 48.28 8.13 -18.85 0.00 0.05 0.01P 26.91R 2.16 Hayes_&_Yeading 18 16 -11 45.40 7.92 -27.51 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.95R 4.14 Lincoln_City 18 16 -11 54.44 8.27 -10.85 0.00 0.35 0.09P 8.88R 0.40 Newport_County 18 15 -8 52.23 8.07 -10.26 0.00 0.14 0.02P 12.40R 0.76 Alfreton_Town 18 10 -26 31.06 7.19 -57.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.13R 65.32 Bath_City 18 7 -21 36.65 7.66 -35.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.08R 25.88