Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 November 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2011, Stoke vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.53     7.59    63.28    46.63    80.99    93.66    97.84    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.42     6.99    59.94    44.55    82.80    94.93    98.46    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       10   22   +8      61.44     8.02     8.43     0.18     0.93     4.40    13.20    45.65     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.34     7.54    39.91     6.59    23.97    61.65    80.86    96.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.39     8.37    17.37     0.87     4.29    16.12    36.07    74.91     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.71     7.93    19.38     0.48     3.09    13.25    32.98    73.75     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.24     8.15    20.56     0.68     3.82    14.99    35.86    75.54     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.42     8.03   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.02    17.92R    3.56  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      47.97     8.03    -5.25     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.56     4.96     3.79R    0.50  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.49     7.78   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.66    20.19R    4.00  
Stoke           10   12   -6      46.32     7.79   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.64     5.93R    0.96  
QPR             10   12   -9      37.55     7.48   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    33.67R    8.34  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      44.01     7.92   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.83    10.32R    1.85  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.02     7.90    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     2.26     7.65R    1.22  
Fulham          10   10   +1      46.92     7.87    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.38     3.42     4.56R    0.64  
Everton          9   10   -3      53.84     8.45     2.67     0.01     0.10     0.77     3.06    16.57     0.99R    0.12  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.37     7.50   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    43.80R   14.05  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.03     7.63   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    40.16R   12.13  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.91     7.84   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    36.50R   10.85  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.39     7.10   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.45R   41.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      15   33  +18      86.90     8.82    35.41    47.13    70.19    95.02    76.93P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   28  +13      82.13     8.84    30.48    24.47    48.54    87.17    61.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    15   27   +7      73.61     8.56    13.28     4.67    13.50    56.35    23.49P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   25   +6      63.30     8.19     0.72     0.30     1.24    14.01     3.58P    1.94R    0.10  
Derby            14   24   +3      64.94     8.71    -1.55     0.61     2.19    19.67     5.10P    1.89R    0.13  
Hull             14   24   +1      67.61     8.45     1.35     1.15     3.95    28.13     8.98P    0.71R    0.04  
Leeds_United     14   22   +5      69.82     9.01    11.01     2.28     7.41    39.90    14.67P    0.54R    0.03  
Leicester        15   22   +2      68.22     8.74     7.57     1.36     4.67    32.59    11.00P    0.76R    0.03  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.24     9.47    19.33    11.77    27.01    70.30    40.35P    0.11R    0.01  
Cardiff          14   21   +4      71.68     8.95    14.31     3.50    10.37    48.35    20.74P    0.30R    0.01  
Brighton         15   20   +0      58.69     8.62    -5.43     0.09     0.40     6.40     1.54P    8.20R    0.85  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.64     8.62   -11.68     0.11     0.52     7.44     1.76P    7.18R    0.75  
Peterborough     15   19   +2      58.10     9.16    -5.29     0.15     0.62     7.16     1.86P   10.60R    1.25  
Blackpool        14   19   +1      66.41     9.35     5.94     1.27     4.41    27.29    10.54P    1.67R    0.12  
Millwall         15   18   +2      61.67     8.51     4.01     0.19     0.94    11.74     3.45P    3.80R    0.34  
Reading          15   18   +0      64.82     8.58     6.39     0.52     2.15    20.44     7.10P    1.79R    0.14  
Burnley          14   18   -1      61.52     8.81    -1.90     0.27     1.01    11.72     3.22P    4.61R    0.47  
Barnsley         15   18   -2      54.94     8.38   -10.40     0.02     0.11     2.48     0.51P   16.17R    2.13  
Nott'm_Forest    15   17   -9      59.78     8.53    -8.45     0.11     0.47     7.36     2.08P    6.70R    0.65  
Portsmouth       15   16   -2      57.08     8.36    -3.77     0.03     0.21     4.12     1.06P   10.16R    1.09  
Watford          15   16  -10      53.83     8.61   -18.16     0.01     0.09     2.08     0.46P   21.60R    3.62  
Coventry         15   12   -9      46.71     8.08   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   51.56R   12.99  
Bristol_City     15   10  -15      44.57     8.20   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   62.65R   20.32  
Doncaster        15    9  -16      38.24     7.79   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.95R   54.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.89     8.49    41.40    37.69    67.51    97.65    76.56P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.65     8.35    46.88    43.43    71.30    98.19    81.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.43     8.84    17.35     5.14    15.93    74.65    29.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.42     8.85    28.88     9.24    26.24    84.76    44.85P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      76.14     8.63    22.94     2.34     8.96    64.06    23.73P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.86     8.56     7.72     0.36     1.74    29.15     6.87P    0.65R    0.02  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      65.96     8.39     2.83     0.09     0.70    18.37     3.87P    1.40R    0.04  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.37     8.43     0.79     0.10     0.64    16.53     3.58P    1.79R    0.07  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      63.99     8.63    -7.31     0.10     0.55    13.08     2.65P    3.07R    0.17  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.44     8.59    -0.50     0.03     0.18     7.38     1.41P    6.46R    0.54  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.64     9.51     9.24     1.22     4.54    42.54    13.73P    0.71R    0.06  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.65     8.68     4.48     0.13     0.76    18.59     4.30P    1.98R    0.11  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      59.68     8.64   -10.07     0.03     0.14     5.89     1.09P    8.23R    0.65  
Oldham          16   22   -3      60.95     8.51    -6.65     0.02     0.20     7.40     1.46P    5.93R    0.46  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.34     9.04     6.00     0.08     0.54    13.99     3.71P    4.06R    0.38  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.91     8.63   -18.76     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.21P   31.73R    5.77  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      55.03     8.50   -14.38     0.00     0.01     1.92     0.39P   19.31R    2.49  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      57.11     8.63    -7.54     0.00     0.06     3.24     0.80P   13.38R    1.63  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.30     8.34   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   43.26R    9.80  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.70     8.29   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   39.64R    8.11  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      51.05     8.46   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P   34.75R    6.56  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.47     8.51   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   64.48R   24.29  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      44.97     8.40   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   62.08R   21.71  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.10     8.24   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   56.99R   17.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2011, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      87.92     8.51    34.94    49.24    80.94    96.47    85.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.77     9.01    16.34    14.28    44.84    78.85    51.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      74.00     8.73    22.65     4.90    23.18    59.69    31.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.25     8.49    14.27     2.95    16.33    50.61    24.22P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      67.96     8.46     2.50     1.06     6.87    30.03    11.15P    0.12R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.68     8.48    13.66     5.77    26.87    65.98    37.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.27     8.68    28.38    13.49    45.38    80.18    57.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +3      66.57     8.62     1.63     0.72     5.32    25.31     9.06P    0.30R    0.07  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      71.06     8.60    15.36     2.32    13.64    45.75    22.07P    0.05R    0.02  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.35     8.60    16.97     3.10    16.96    52.28    27.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.53     8.40    -2.44     0.15     1.49    10.78     3.31P    1.22R    0.31  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.76     8.48   -21.40     0.03     0.31     3.07     0.73P    6.58R    2.21  
Aldershot            16   23   +4      63.45     8.44     2.98     0.30     2.54    15.74     5.62P    0.68R    0.15  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.65     8.66     3.54     0.37     3.65    19.83     7.81P    0.59R    0.14  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.24     8.73     6.67     0.82     6.46    29.04    12.04P    0.31R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.43     8.94    -4.99     0.23     2.30    13.83     5.09P    1.58R    0.47  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.20     8.73     0.27     0.26     2.45    15.80     5.76P    1.02R    0.29  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.33     8.39   -13.05     0.01     0.12     1.69     0.47P    9.76R    3.50  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.11     8.47    -8.67     0.02     0.27     3.42     0.99P    5.55R    1.73  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.17     8.03   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   30.17R   13.53  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.63     8.19   -17.43     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   26.45R   11.68  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.54     8.72   -18.73     0.00     0.05     0.95     0.29P   17.93R    7.54  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.34     8.08   -37.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   59.88R   38.27  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.59     8.76   -26.67     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.05P   37.72R   19.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.40     7.77    37.26    32.92    93.16    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.40     8.05    25.41    11.71    76.18    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.20     8.07    33.03     9.45    72.78    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.31     7.49    46.63    40.34    95.18    63.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.09     8.05    18.12     2.16    42.06     9.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.72     8.20     1.48     0.46    18.35     2.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.92     8.04    -4.02     0.14     8.42     1.06P    0.23R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.80     8.44    14.04     1.46    31.76     6.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.84     8.74     8.16     0.38    13.44     2.49P    0.26R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.59     8.10     0.96     0.10     7.14     1.18P    0.26R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.70     8.05    -2.83     0.07     5.39     0.72P    0.48R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.18     8.20    11.83     0.76    24.84     5.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      58.29     7.91    -0.67     0.01     1.08     0.18P    2.66R    0.06  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.63     7.93    -1.99     0.01     3.74     0.91P    0.65R    0.00  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.89     8.13    -0.83     0.02     2.82     0.57P    1.27R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.25     8.39    -7.87     0.00     0.36     0.08P   11.11R    0.54  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.98     7.87   -19.92     0.00     0.11     0.03P   13.66R    0.64  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.83     8.50     1.80     0.01     2.65     0.62P    1.99R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.28     8.13   -18.85     0.00     0.05     0.01P   26.91R    2.16  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.40     7.92   -27.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.95R    4.14  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.44     8.27   -10.85     0.00     0.35     0.09P    8.88R    0.40  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.23     8.07   -10.26     0.00     0.14     0.02P   12.40R    0.76  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.06     7.19   -57.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.13R   65.32  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.65     7.66   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.08R   25.88