Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 October 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2011, Stoke vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.55     7.56    63.26    46.55    80.79    93.72    97.82    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.49     6.97    60.08    44.57    82.81    94.97    98.39    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       10   22   +8      61.30     8.07     8.18     0.14     0.90     4.45    12.89    44.90     0.03R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.49     7.64    40.22     6.74    24.29    61.97    81.13    96.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.29     8.39    17.22     0.69     4.02    15.53    35.56    74.48     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.62     7.93    19.26     0.55     2.93    12.66    32.01    73.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.46     8.19    21.01     0.76     4.16    15.63    37.29    76.46     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.40     8.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.07    17.95R    3.64  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      48.02     8.05    -5.17     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.64     4.81     3.86R    0.45  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.37     7.80   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.62    20.41R    4.06  
Stoke           10   12   -6      46.22     7.78   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     2.57     5.83R    0.81  
QPR             10   12   -9      37.45     7.42   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    33.88R    8.44  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      43.84     7.99   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.78    10.87R    2.01  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.16     7.85    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.26     7.16R    1.17  
Fulham          10   10   +1      46.98     7.92    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.44     3.68     4.57R    0.57  
Everton          9   10   -3      54.05     8.38     2.98     0.01     0.09     0.76     3.13    17.08     0.91R    0.08  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.30     7.51   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    43.93R   14.41  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.16     7.66   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    39.06R   12.12  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.70     7.90   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    37.57R   11.42  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.47     7.14   -35.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.96R   40.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2011, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      14   30  +17      86.49     9.03    36.60    42.45    67.04    94.04    74.68P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         14   27  +13      84.42     8.94    33.66    32.27    57.96    91.10    69.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   24   +6      63.90     8.37     0.85     0.36     1.46    15.92     3.96P    1.82R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +5      71.47     8.75    10.57     2.78     8.63    46.09    17.32P    0.23R    0.02  
Derby            14   24   +3      64.78     8.69    -1.93     0.54     2.02    18.95     4.84P    1.85R    0.16  
Hull             13   24   +2      69.48     8.74     3.02     1.85     6.00    36.07    12.38P    0.51R    0.02  
Leeds_United     14   22   +5      69.84     9.00    11.02     2.04     6.73    39.82    14.35P    0.53R    0.04  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.28     9.47    19.45    10.72    25.71    70.10    39.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          14   21   +4      71.53     8.86    14.11     2.89     9.39    47.42    19.71P    0.24R    0.01  
Brighton         14   20   +1      60.43     8.90    -4.04     0.20     0.78     9.29     2.42P    6.08R    0.66  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.75     8.69   -11.45     0.11     0.48     7.69     1.65P    6.76R    0.85  
Peterborough     14   19   +3      58.63     9.35    -6.04     0.16     0.61     8.02     1.86P    9.93R    1.46  
Blackpool        14   19   +1      66.83     9.34     6.59     1.34     4.36    28.44    10.85P    1.58R    0.14  
Leicester        14   19   +0      65.30     8.90     3.55     0.61     2.48    21.69     6.76P    1.88R    0.17  
Burnley          13   18   +1      64.11     9.05     1.99     0.53     2.11    18.60     5.67P    2.59R    0.26  
Reading          14   18   +1      66.44     8.78     7.80     0.92     3.16    26.18     9.45P    1.20R    0.08  
Millwall         14   15   -1      59.17     8.70    -0.23     0.11     0.49     7.32     2.07P    6.91R    0.90  
Portsmouth       14   15   -2      56.93     8.63    -4.57     0.05     0.22     4.50     1.12P   11.00R    1.51  
Barnsley         14   15   -3      52.46     8.49   -12.61     0.01     0.05     1.38     0.30P   23.99R    4.46  
Nott'm_Forest    14   14  -10      57.72     8.76   -10.13     0.05     0.24     5.23     1.34P   10.14R    1.39  
Watford          14   13  -11      52.33     8.85   -19.14     0.02     0.07     1.62     0.38P   26.60R    5.89  
Coventry         14   12   -6      48.78     8.33   -15.73     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   39.56R    9.59  
Doncaster        14    9  -14      40.03     8.05   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.20R   45.35  
Bristol_City     14    9  -15      43.47     8.29   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   66.34R   26.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.86     8.54    41.45    37.20    67.02    97.67    76.15P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.90     8.34    47.32    44.30    72.38    98.27    81.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.57     8.72    17.53     5.06    15.88    75.30    29.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.50     8.82    29.01     9.14    26.26    85.03    44.79P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      76.21     8.60    23.01     2.27     8.84    63.82    23.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.74     8.57     7.52     0.32     1.57    28.57     6.60P    0.69R    0.02  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      66.04     8.46     2.96     0.11     0.68    18.84     4.17P    1.43R    0.06  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.34     8.44     0.72     0.10     0.58    16.43     3.58P    1.80R    0.09  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      64.05     8.60    -7.21     0.08     0.43    13.33     2.72P    2.88R    0.16  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.61     8.55    -0.24     0.02     0.18     7.28     1.36P    6.14R    0.45  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.70     9.52     9.34     1.15     4.61    42.54    13.98P    0.68R    0.04  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.76     8.65     4.72     0.14     0.73    18.80     4.54P    1.76R    0.09  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      59.90     8.63    -9.76     0.02     0.15     6.13     1.07P    7.93R    0.62  
Oldham          16   22   -3      60.80     8.44    -6.85     0.02     0.16     6.78     1.33P    5.93R    0.45  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.26     9.10     5.90     0.06     0.44    13.85     3.67P    4.22R    0.37  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.71     8.56   -19.02     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.13P   32.20R    5.69  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      54.89     8.45   -14.63     0.00     0.02     1.82     0.33P   19.30R    2.51  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      57.03     8.59    -7.72     0.00     0.04     3.02     0.68P   13.24R    1.58  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.26     8.35   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   43.61R    9.80  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.73     8.29   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P   38.97R    8.01  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      50.78     8.55   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.14P   35.65R    7.03  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.35     8.53   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   64.79R   24.86  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      44.95     8.36   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   62.44R   21.55  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.15     8.30   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   56.25R   16.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Aldershot vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      88.09     8.42    35.16    49.83    81.17    96.69    85.60P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.82     9.03    16.35    14.00    44.70    78.97    51.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      73.78     8.67    22.33     4.39    21.96    58.39    30.59P    0.02R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.29     8.48    14.34     2.94    15.99    50.33    23.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      67.86     8.48     2.27     0.97     6.56    29.48    10.67P    0.13R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.72     8.53    13.70     5.82    26.39    65.44    37.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.48     8.76    28.66    13.52    45.88    80.37    58.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        15   26   +5      68.76     8.93     4.94     1.35     8.98    34.33    13.64P    0.19R    0.03  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      71.12     8.56    15.49     2.29    13.32    45.79    21.79P    0.07R    0.02  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.36     8.54    16.99     2.78    16.57    51.59    26.51P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.33     8.39    -2.74     0.12     1.33    10.30     3.06P    1.29R    0.33  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.41     8.46   -22.06     0.03     0.30     2.88     0.68P    7.14R    2.37  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.85     8.69     3.86     0.48     3.76    20.20     7.93P    0.58R    0.14  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.46     8.69     6.98     0.82     6.51    29.53    12.42P    0.28R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.33     8.89    -5.14     0.25     2.18    13.26     4.96P    1.53R    0.47  
Aldershot            15   20   +2      61.08     8.67    -0.07     0.16     1.56    10.71     3.88P    1.61R    0.45  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.03     8.74     0.06     0.21     2.33    14.94     5.41P    1.07R    0.33  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.28     8.37   -13.14     0.01     0.12     1.69     0.46P    9.82R    3.45  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.12     8.48    -8.61     0.03     0.30     3.42     1.01P    5.44R    1.78  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.11     7.97   -29.36     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   30.10R   13.60  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.64     8.16   -17.39     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   26.28R   11.57  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.62     8.68   -18.62     0.00     0.06     0.89     0.29P   17.62R    7.61  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.27     8.06   -37.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    60.21R   38.81  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.85     8.81   -26.25     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P   36.54R   18.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.28     7.76    37.04    32.15    93.15    50.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.36     8.00    25.44    11.67    75.79    26.49P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.41     8.07    33.36     9.80    73.84    26.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.37     7.44    46.61    40.85    95.17    63.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.05     8.11    18.07     2.12    41.82     9.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.73     8.18     1.47     0.49    17.95     2.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      67.11     8.03    -3.73     0.14     8.71     1.10P    0.23R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.85     8.43    14.14     1.42    31.91     7.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      68.03     8.73     8.42     0.40    13.80     2.58P    0.29R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.65     8.14     1.05     0.08     7.38     1.06P    0.30R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.71     8.06    -2.77     0.07     5.58     0.74P    0.49R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      71.92     8.24    11.40     0.72    23.75     5.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.94     7.91    -1.25     0.01     0.96     0.18P    2.87R    0.05  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.65     7.97    -1.99     0.03     3.82     0.84P    0.71R    0.02  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.75     8.15    -1.07     0.01     2.64     0.49P    1.43R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.13     8.42    -7.97     0.00     0.35     0.04P   11.54R    0.59  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.97     7.87   -19.96     0.00     0.11     0.02P   13.81R    0.65  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.96     8.46     1.98     0.03     2.74     0.61P    1.96R    0.05  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.33     8.13   -18.69     0.00     0.06     0.00P   26.63R    2.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.36     7.75   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.73R    3.96  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.41     8.24   -10.92     0.00     0.33     0.07P    8.80R    0.36  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.31     8.03   -10.08     0.00     0.16     0.03P   12.28R    0.78  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.22     7.23   -57.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.89R   64.64  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.59     7.73   -35.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.92R   26.82