Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 October 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2011, Tottenham vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.43     7.64    62.98    46.88    80.55    93.54    97.74    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.32     6.95    59.76    43.98    82.59    95.05    98.61    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.46     7.59    40.14     6.95    24.84    62.89    81.90    96.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.68     8.22     4.59     0.07     0.44     2.55     8.30    34.58     0.16R    0.01  
Tottenham        9   19   +4      67.37     8.36    17.34     0.81     4.30    16.08    36.91    76.39     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.81     7.89    19.51     0.58     3.25    13.65    34.03    76.00     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.29     8.10    20.73     0.72     3.93    15.27    37.34    77.64     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.54     8.08   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.20    17.96R    3.56  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      47.88     7.95    -5.38     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.57     4.92     3.91R    0.49  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.42     7.73   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.69    20.27R    4.03  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.62     7.97    -9.60     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.61     5.35     3.40R    0.44  
QPR             10   12   -9      37.46     7.40   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    34.25R    8.28  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      44.05     7.89   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.88    10.39R    1.80  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.11     7.89    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     2.37     7.68R    1.22  
Fulham          10   10   +1      47.00     7.92    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.46     4.02     4.63R    0.54  
Everton          9   10   -3      53.85     8.38     2.74     0.00     0.07     0.65     3.02    17.66     1.01R    0.08  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.33     7.51   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    44.11R   14.44  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.11     7.60   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    39.77R   12.18  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.77     7.83   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    37.51R   11.03  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.36     7.10   -35.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.92R   41.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2011, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      14   30  +17      86.53     9.14    36.68    42.94    67.34    93.66    74.72P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         14   27  +13      84.18     9.04    33.30    30.98    56.67    90.55    67.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   24   +6      63.96     8.40     0.97     0.42     1.52    16.01     4.16P    1.90R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +5      71.42     8.80    10.46     2.79     8.93    45.62    17.40P    0.24R    0.02  
Derby            14   24   +3      64.83     8.71    -1.87     0.51     2.03    19.18     4.88P    1.89R    0.15  
Hull             13   24   +2      69.43     8.67     3.01     1.87     5.71    35.70    11.99P    0.45R    0.02  
Leeds_United     14   22   +5      69.92     9.10    11.18     2.14     7.08    40.44    14.79P    0.55R    0.03  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.12     9.58    19.19    10.93    25.51    69.37    39.10P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          14   21   +4      71.65     8.94    14.30     3.10     9.68    47.93    20.02P    0.28R    0.03  
Brighton         14   20   +1      60.37     8.93    -4.13     0.20     0.77     9.47     2.49P    5.98R    0.65  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.79     8.72   -11.43     0.13     0.55     7.64     1.77P    6.74R    0.78  
Peterborough     14   19   +3      58.45     9.37    -6.36     0.19     0.72     8.04     2.01P   10.22R    1.47  
Blackpool        14   19   +1      66.70     9.46     6.41     1.32     4.46    28.27    11.02P    1.71R    0.17  
Leicester        14   19   +0      65.38     8.85     3.64     0.60     2.37    22.24     6.87P    1.65R    0.12  
Burnley          13   18   +1      64.23     9.07     2.20     0.61     2.15    18.95     5.76P    2.63R    0.26  
Reading          14   18   +1      66.64     8.85     8.07     1.05     3.51    26.99    10.09P    1.11R    0.08  
Millwall         14   15   -1      59.13     8.61    -0.25     0.09     0.44     7.11     1.98P    6.83R    0.92  
Portsmouth       14   15   -2      57.15     8.62    -4.21     0.06     0.23     4.56     1.20P   10.55R    1.32  
Barnsley         14   15   -3      52.55     8.52   -12.51     0.01     0.04     1.47     0.27P   23.66R    4.54  
Nott'm_Forest    14   14  -10      57.53     8.69   -10.39     0.05     0.22     4.84     1.35P   10.45R    1.43  
Watford          14   13  -11      52.33     8.80   -19.17     0.00     0.05     1.45     0.33P   26.65R    6.06  
Coventry         14   12   -6      48.82     8.30   -15.64     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P   39.38R    9.41  
Doncaster        14    9  -14      39.96     8.06   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   80.66R   45.77  
Bristol_City     14    9  -15      43.52     8.33   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   66.38R   26.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.88     8.58    41.43    37.40    67.04    97.52    76.19P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.87     8.32    47.30    44.16    72.63    98.25    81.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.46     8.69    17.38     4.85    15.55    75.21    28.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.54     8.79    29.02     9.31    26.39    85.30    45.22P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      75.98     8.64    22.65     2.25     8.71    63.12    22.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.67     8.51     7.45     0.32     1.59    28.37     6.41P    0.65R    0.03  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      65.88     8.43     2.70     0.10     0.57    18.27     4.11P    1.56R    0.04  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.29     8.41     0.67     0.09     0.56    16.17     3.53P    1.77R    0.08  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      64.10     8.61    -7.13     0.09     0.47    13.13     2.63P    3.05R    0.17  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.57     8.57    -0.25     0.01     0.17     7.46     1.55P    6.04R    0.47  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.79     9.44     9.48     1.19     4.72    42.94    14.07P    0.61R    0.03  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.80     8.69     4.72     0.12     0.78    19.27     4.64P    1.86R    0.10  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      60.04     8.69    -9.59     0.02     0.13     6.54     1.24P    7.79R    0.61  
Oldham          16   22   -3      61.03     8.42    -6.54     0.02     0.16     7.16     1.38P    5.73R    0.37  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.42     8.99     6.12     0.06     0.46    13.84     3.74P    3.92R    0.33  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.67     8.47   -19.07     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.13P   32.14R    5.55  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      54.80     8.45   -14.75     0.00     0.02     1.77     0.34P   19.71R    2.63  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      57.00     8.60    -7.70     0.01     0.05     3.16     0.76P   13.45R    1.56  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.26     8.32   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   43.48R    9.91  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.80     8.27   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P   38.61R    7.83  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      50.57     8.45   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.12P   36.57R    7.25  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.41     8.51   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   64.88R   24.71  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      45.09     8.49   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   61.75R   21.46  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.17     8.26   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   56.37R   16.87  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Aldershot vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      87.94     8.49    34.97    49.59    80.98    96.37    85.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.43     9.04    15.83    13.31    43.51    77.58    50.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      73.81     8.62    22.30     4.62    22.02    58.83    30.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.27     8.50    14.28     3.08    16.10    50.70    24.03P    0.04R    0.01  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      67.87     8.50     2.32     0.98     6.76    29.46    10.79P    0.17R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.74     8.46    13.72     5.65    26.77    65.39    37.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.45     8.74    28.67    13.81    45.99    80.56    58.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        15   26   +5      68.68     8.82     4.81     1.37     8.62    33.84    13.46P    0.15R    0.03  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      70.99     8.58    15.24     2.29    13.10    45.35    21.54P    0.08R    0.02  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.35     8.63    16.97     3.10    17.18    51.84    27.18P    0.03R    0.01  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.51     8.37    -2.44     0.15     1.54    10.63     3.27P    1.24R    0.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.74     8.46   -21.41     0.03     0.31     3.12     0.75P    6.61R    2.12  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.82     8.61     3.84     0.42     3.61    19.91     7.79P    0.63R    0.16  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.32     8.76     6.80     0.86     6.57    29.34    12.56P    0.29R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.45     8.96    -4.96     0.29     2.31    13.74     5.19P    1.67R    0.50  
Aldershot            15   20   +2      61.24     8.58     0.10     0.17     1.61    10.95     3.78P    1.41R    0.40  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.21     8.74     0.25     0.25     2.49    15.53     5.77P    1.00R    0.25  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.18     8.42   -13.26     0.01     0.13     1.68     0.43P   10.23R    3.78  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.05     8.47    -8.76     0.02     0.29     3.39     1.03P    5.49R    1.80  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.32     8.10   -29.01     0.00     0.02     0.24     0.06P   29.78R   13.34  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.67     8.17   -17.38     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   26.05R   11.25  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.40     8.69   -18.96     0.00     0.07     1.01     0.31P   18.43R    7.84  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.44     8.12   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   59.37R   38.29  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.68     8.76   -26.57     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.06P   37.30R   19.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.38     7.76    37.21    32.82    93.27    50.86P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.47     8.07    25.56    11.89    76.13    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.40     8.02    33.30     9.83    73.84    26.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.25     7.51    46.49    39.97    94.98    62.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.00     8.04    17.96     2.02    41.69     9.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.75     8.11     1.47     0.51    18.02     2.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.95     8.00    -3.98     0.11     8.35     1.01P    0.23R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.75     8.41    13.98     1.43    31.73     6.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.73     8.72     7.99     0.34    13.14     2.41P    0.28R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.55     8.06     0.90     0.11     7.07     1.08P    0.22R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.81     8.11    -2.61     0.07     5.77     0.79P    0.43R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.11     8.27    11.70     0.85    24.41     5.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.97     7.91    -1.17     0.01     1.03     0.15P    2.93R    0.07  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.62     8.00    -2.06     0.02     3.82     0.86P    0.64R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.91     8.17    -0.79     0.02     2.98     0.67P    1.32R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.25     8.34    -7.79     0.00     0.32     0.05P   10.94R    0.54  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.93     7.83   -20.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   14.00R    0.64  
Stockport          18   18   -5      61.01     8.46     2.11     0.01     2.82     0.63P    1.86R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.41     8.16   -18.62     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.64R    2.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.26     7.80   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.49R    4.24  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.38     8.20   -10.92     0.00     0.33     0.06P    8.80R    0.40  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.22     8.04   -10.22     0.00     0.12     0.03P   12.62R    0.83  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.22     7.37   -57.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.60R   65.03  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.68     7.68   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.90R   26.11