Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        10   28  +28      86.41     7.62    62.95    47.38    81.00    93.85    98.05    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +15      86.17     7.04    59.45    43.66    82.20    94.91    98.47    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   19   +8      76.38     7.60    40.03     6.93    25.17    63.53    82.47    96.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.77     8.22     4.73     0.07     0.53     2.80     9.08    35.77     0.17R    0.01  
Liverpool       10   18   +4      66.69     7.95    19.31     0.55     3.41    14.35    35.15    76.41     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      65.96     8.56    15.59     0.60     3.40    13.47    31.82    71.40     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   16   -1      67.30     8.15    20.68     0.80     4.15    15.94    39.13    78.14     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         10   13   -1      41.69     8.06   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.27    17.49R    3.50  
Aston_Villa     10   12   +0      47.88     8.03    -5.35     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.65     5.43     4.31R    0.46  
Swansea         10   12   -3      40.46     7.76   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.79    20.59R    4.00  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.37     8.00    -9.92     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.60     5.39     3.94R    0.52  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.35     7.63   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.42    30.70R    7.03  
West_Brom       10   11   -4      43.93     7.95   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.97    11.11R    2.06  
Sunderland      10   10   +2      45.14     7.82    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.49     7.75R    1.18  
Fulham          10   10   +1      47.10     7.90    -1.82     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.46     4.38     4.59R    0.58  
Everton          9   10   -3      54.06     8.39     3.01     0.01     0.11     0.79     3.50    19.04     0.97R    0.11  
Wolverhampton   10    8   -8      35.26     7.49   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    45.33R   14.60  
Blackburn       10    6  -10      36.11     7.62   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    40.42R   12.47  
Bolton          10    6  -14      36.99     7.90   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    37.28R   10.90  
Wigan           10    5  -11      29.37     7.14   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.31R   42.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Barnsley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      14   30  +17      86.35     9.15    36.39    41.73    65.84    93.45    73.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         14   27  +13      84.20     9.05    33.32    31.33    56.33    90.40    67.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   24   +6      63.99     8.45     0.96     0.44     1.54    16.16     4.12P    1.90R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    14   24   +5      71.53     8.82    10.57     2.89     8.78    45.94    17.31P    0.26R    0.02  
Derby            14   24   +3      64.77     8.70    -1.93     0.52     2.02    18.72     4.76P    1.85R    0.11  
Hull             13   24   +2      69.62     8.61     3.23     1.77     5.77    36.03    12.13P    0.39R    0.01  
Leeds_United     13   21   +5      70.81     9.38    11.97     3.05     9.01    43.88    17.17P    0.53R    0.03  
Birmingham       12   21   +5      77.37     9.47    19.56    10.97    25.81    70.16    39.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.63     9.12    13.67     3.33    10.00    47.38    19.82P    0.37R    0.02  
Brighton         14   20   +1      60.38     8.89    -4.11     0.19     0.76     9.38     2.42P    5.84R    0.64  
Ipswich          14   20   -5      59.80     8.73   -11.49     0.12     0.52     7.57     1.65P    7.05R    0.88  
Peterborough     14   19   +3      58.75     9.29    -5.84     0.15     0.67     8.01     2.02P    9.38R    1.37  
Blackpool        14   19   +1      66.54     9.40     6.13     1.23     4.20    27.17    10.18P    1.74R    0.17  
Leicester        14   19   +0      65.30     8.93     3.57     0.60     2.33    21.69     6.95P    1.84R    0.17  
Burnley          13   18   +1      64.00     9.01     1.87     0.59     2.08    18.03     5.59P    2.52R    0.27  
Reading          14   18   +1      66.45     8.85     7.79     0.88     3.32    26.11     9.66P    1.21R    0.06  
Millwall         14   15   -1      59.03     8.59    -0.39     0.09     0.37     6.90     1.90P    7.03R    0.92  
Portsmouth       14   15   -2      57.18     8.63    -4.21     0.05     0.22     4.48     1.08P   10.54R    1.39  
Barnsley         14   15   -3      52.62     8.54   -12.41     0.01     0.05     1.43     0.30P   23.65R    4.54  
Nott'm_Forest    14   14  -10      57.70     8.79   -10.20     0.04     0.29     5.19     1.44P   10.33R    1.50  
Watford          14   13  -11      52.20     8.82   -19.40     0.01     0.08     1.41     0.35P   27.15R    6.12  
Coventry         14   12   -6      48.81     8.31   -15.71     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P   39.38R    9.28  
Doncaster        14    9  -14      40.04     8.10   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    80.28R   45.64  
Bristol_City     14    9  -15      43.50     8.27   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.70R   26.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Brentford vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        16   37  +22      90.92     8.52    41.48    37.48    67.45    97.57    76.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    16   34  +21      91.76     8.33    47.07    43.50    71.61    98.28    81.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       16   32   +8      79.52     8.83    17.41     5.23    16.23    74.93    29.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29  +10      82.51     8.84    29.02     9.27    26.10    85.02    45.18P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   27  +11      76.28     8.59    23.12     2.31     8.77    64.35    23.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    16   27   +7      68.83     8.57     7.73     0.33     1.64    29.00     6.76P    0.66R    0.02  
Tranmere        16   25   +3      65.91     8.43     2.78     0.10     0.67    18.30     3.94P    1.34R    0.08  
Brentford       16   25   +2      65.31     8.40     0.72     0.11     0.61    16.27     3.53P    1.77R    0.07  
Carlisle        16   25   -3      63.82     8.47    -7.51     0.06     0.42    12.46     2.45P    2.98R    0.19  
Stevenage       16   23   +5      60.56     8.64    -0.28     0.03     0.16     7.55     1.52P    6.36R    0.51  
Preston         15   23   +0      71.73     9.56     9.37     1.31     4.75    42.74    14.35P    0.63R    0.04  
Colchester      16   22   +1      65.76     8.65     4.69     0.14     0.74    18.94     4.47P    1.80R    0.07  
Hartlepool      15   22   -2      59.89     8.63    -9.76     0.03     0.15     6.13     0.96P    7.79R    0.66  
Oldham          16   22   -3      60.94     8.47    -6.65     0.02     0.17     7.13     1.44P    5.81R    0.45  
Scunthorpe      16   18   +0      63.26     9.08     5.88     0.07     0.45    13.73     3.62P    4.19R    0.37  
Bury            16   18   -7      51.68     8.53   -19.05     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.13P   32.52R    5.70  
Leyton_Orient   16   17   -9      54.88     8.50   -14.67     0.00     0.02     1.84     0.37P   19.76R    2.55  
Bournemouth     16   16   -7      57.18     8.59    -7.39     0.01     0.04     3.18     0.77P   12.73R    1.59  
Exeter          16   15  -13      49.32     8.25   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   43.13R    9.46  
Walsall         16   14   -5      49.93     8.28   -13.30     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   38.01R    7.58  
Rochdale        16   14  -11      50.67     8.51   -18.74     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.16P   36.12R    7.14  
Chesterfield    16   12  -10      44.43     8.54   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   64.74R   24.36  
Wycombe         16   12  -10      44.76     8.44   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   63.55R   22.49  
Yeovil          16   11  -10      46.20     8.26   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   56.04R   16.66  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2011, Aldershot vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             16   35  +17      87.95     8.49    35.03    49.72    80.60    96.38    85.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         16   35  +11      79.40     8.94    15.77    13.05    42.84    77.62    49.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            16   29  +17      74.03     8.68    22.65     4.98    22.99    59.62    31.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   29  +11      72.49     8.47    14.59     3.23    16.69    51.33    24.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +6      67.79     8.43     2.21     0.94     6.43    29.09    10.37P    0.13R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +4      75.70     8.47    13.65     5.55    26.38    65.45    37.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              16   26  +10      79.54     8.69    28.77    13.85    46.67    80.63    58.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        15   26   +5      68.74     8.86     4.90     1.40     8.76    33.78    13.78P    0.19R    0.03  
Port_Vale            16   25   +8      70.94     8.53    15.23     2.17    12.85    44.90    21.20P    0.06R    0.01  
Gillingham           16   24   +6      72.33     8.51    16.94     2.89    16.53    51.82    26.50P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield         16   24   +3      61.50     8.35    -2.49     0.13     1.51    10.52     3.30P    1.17R    0.31  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   -5      55.33     8.43   -22.16     0.02     0.28     2.91     0.67P    7.13R    2.44  
Torquay              16   21   +0      64.85     8.66     3.89     0.48     3.86    19.92     7.93P    0.58R    0.14  
Rotherham            16   21   -1      67.67     8.77     7.33     0.91     7.09    30.83    13.23P    0.30R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers       16   21   -5      62.19     8.89    -5.34     0.24     2.06    12.94     4.76P    1.56R    0.48  
Aldershot            15   20   +2      61.18     8.64    -0.03     0.19     1.64    10.89     3.76P    1.47R    0.42  
Crewe                16   19   -4      63.06     8.73    -0.04     0.22     2.38    15.02     5.56P    1.11R    0.27  
Northampton          16   16   -7      53.16     8.36   -13.30     0.01     0.11     1.56     0.39P   10.21R    3.65  
Accrington_Stanley   16   16   -7      56.24     8.40    -8.42     0.02     0.23     3.27     0.92P    5.04R    1.63  
Hereford             16   16  -14      47.30     8.03   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   29.74R   13.55  
Bradford             16   14   -6      47.50     8.18   -17.59     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   27.06R   12.34  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -13      50.48     8.66   -18.86     0.00     0.07     0.87     0.28P   18.14R    7.85  
Barnet               16   12  -17      41.61     8.06   -37.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   58.43R   37.17  
Plymouth             16    8  -21      45.65     8.74   -26.61     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   37.58R   19.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.57     7.80    37.54    33.14    93.39    51.41P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.43     8.05    25.51    11.17    75.90    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.36     8.00    33.26     9.26    73.55    25.99P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.59     7.46    47.04    41.03    95.33    63.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.19     8.07    18.23     2.12    42.35     9.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.88     8.19     1.67     0.51    18.50     2.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.88     8.07    -4.12     0.10     8.36     1.14P    0.24R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.82     8.45    14.03     1.44    31.80     6.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.68     8.67     7.85     0.32    12.71     2.39P    0.25R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.57     8.17     0.92     0.10     7.26     1.14P    0.31R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.70     8.12    -2.81     0.04     5.54     0.77P    0.47R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.17     8.25    11.83     0.70    24.41     5.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.77     7.91    -1.48     0.00     0.92     0.15P    2.97R    0.06  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.61     7.93    -2.07     0.03     3.71     0.81P    0.63R    0.00  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.96     8.20    -0.74     0.01     2.90     0.55P    1.27R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.25     8.24    -7.77     0.00     0.24     0.05P   10.78R    0.49  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.85     7.81   -20.16     0.00     0.09     0.01P   13.83R    0.64  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.96     8.36     2.05     0.01     2.56     0.61P    1.84R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.39     8.13   -18.59     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.58R    1.94  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.26     7.77   -27.82     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.28R    4.35  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.32     8.19   -11.03     0.00     0.32     0.05P    8.85R    0.42  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.08     8.06   -10.46     0.00     0.12     0.02P   12.94R    0.80  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.18     7.29   -57.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.71R   65.05  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.64     7.66   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.95R   26.13