Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 28 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 9 25 +26 86.08 7.69 63.44 46.60 77.67 94.32 98.33 99.85 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 9 20 +14 85.08 7.13 59.67 38.32 75.41 94.50 98.43 99.87 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 9 19 +10 79.35 7.67 44.33 13.71 39.23 78.45 91.46 98.79 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 9 19 +6 58.66 8.17 4.51 0.07 0.54 2.57 10.70 39.32 0.16R 0.01 Tottenham 8 16 +2 65.92 8.47 15.57 0.64 3.20 12.29 36.79 73.68 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 9 15 +2 64.62 8.11 16.57 0.33 2.09 9.10 30.03 70.28 0.03R 0.00 Arsenal 9 13 -3 63.35 8.31 14.18 0.31 1.69 7.38 25.36 64.29 0.05R 0.00 Norwich 9 12 -1 42.67 8.32 -17.83 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.28 2.25 16.37R 3.46 Stoke 9 12 -4 48.51 7.95 -9.77 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.82 6.52 4.00R 0.58 QPR 9 12 -7 38.65 7.57 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.43 30.84R 7.92 Aston_Villa 9 11 +0 48.13 8.18 -5.40 0.00 0.01 0.14 1.04 7.15 4.41R 0.58 West_Brom 9 11 -2 45.81 8.12 -12.57 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.46 4.25 8.32R 1.58 Everton 8 10 -2 54.76 8.54 2.93 0.02 0.13 1.02 5.45 24.74 0.92R 0.10 Sunderland 9 9 +2 45.67 7.98 -4.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.39 3.84 7.56R 1.43 Swansea 9 9 -5 38.14 7.86 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.58 32.44R 9.17 Wolverhampton 9 8 -6 35.40 7.49 -28.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 46.39R 16.33 Fulham 9 7 -1 44.74 7.98 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.31 3.13 9.16R 1.69 Bolton 9 6 -12 38.92 8.08 -26.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.66 30.07R 8.90 Wigan 9 5 -9 31.54 7.41 -32.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 66.30R 33.03 Blackburn 9 5 -10 35.98 7.81 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.21 42.97R 15.20Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 October 2011, Birmingham vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 13 27 +14 83.80 9.44 31.78 32.58 54.38 88.15 63.47P 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 13 24 +12 82.99 9.29 32.72 29.47 51.36 86.96 63.06P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 13 24 +8 73.81 9.05 14.92 5.98 14.91 55.06 24.61P 0.14R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 13 23 +6 64.45 8.67 1.10 0.54 1.95 17.38 4.71P 1.66R 0.12 Leeds_United 13 21 +5 70.57 9.45 11.56 3.30 8.92 41.83 16.44P 0.57R 0.02 Derby 13 21 +1 62.44 8.91 -4.81 0.34 1.16 12.73 3.00P 3.52R 0.33 Hull 12 21 +1 66.92 8.88 0.85 1.15 3.70 25.08 8.16P 1.05R 0.06 Birmingham 11 20 +5 78.78 9.80 21.08 15.87 32.03 73.65 44.68P 0.06R 0.00 Cardiff 13 20 +4 71.84 9.18 13.88 3.97 10.63 47.17 20.48P 0.32R 0.01 Ipswich 13 20 -2 61.98 8.92 -6.99 0.27 1.10 11.41 2.86P 4.25R 0.39 Peterborough 13 19 +4 60.15 9.70 -4.78 0.40 1.30 10.60 3.00P 7.73R 1.00 Blackpool 13 19 +3 69.11 9.63 10.03 2.76 7.61 36.11 15.25P 0.86R 0.06 Brighton 13 19 +1 59.49 9.17 -6.14 0.22 0.74 8.06 2.16P 7.60R 0.82 Leicester 13 19 +1 65.97 9.10 3.49 1.04 3.23 23.34 7.81P 1.54R 0.11 Reading 13 17 +1 66.83 9.14 7.84 1.36 4.18 26.94 10.45P 1.25R 0.07 Portsmouth 13 15 +0 59.22 8.82 -1.15 0.17 0.59 7.12 2.06P 6.79R 0.69 Burnley 12 15 -1 61.69 9.25 -1.19 0.37 1.25 12.44 3.63P 4.86R 0.52 Barnsley 13 15 -2 54.87 8.72 -9.98 0.02 0.10 2.63 0.56P 16.00R 2.48 Nott'm_Forest 13 14 -9 59.65 9.04 -8.39 0.15 0.56 7.90 2.21P 7.12R 0.85 Millwall 13 12 -4 56.49 8.84 -4.56 0.06 0.25 4.01 1.12P 11.79R 1.71 Coventry 13 11 -6 49.23 8.49 -15.51 0.00 0.02 0.49 0.12P 36.78R 8.30 Watford 13 10 -12 50.28 9.04 -20.74 0.00 0.02 0.86 0.16P 33.99R 8.08 Doncaster 13 8 -14 40.54 8.35 -33.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 77.14R 38.44 Bristol_City 13 6 -16 40.97 8.51 -31.69 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 74.95R 35.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 15 34 +18 87.93 8.84 35.25 28.49 54.84 94.77 66.09P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 15 31 +20 90.87 8.60 47.34 44.66 69.79 97.51 80.05P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 15 29 +7 77.87 9.01 16.38 4.74 14.24 68.25 26.42P 0.05R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 15 28 +10 84.05 8.98 30.61 15.26 36.32 88.02 53.23P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 15 27 +9 70.66 8.71 10.53 0.83 3.43 37.20 9.97P 0.47R 0.02 Tranmere 15 25 +5 67.82 8.57 5.73 0.34 1.49 24.93 6.00P 0.99R 0.03 MK_Dons 15 24 +9 73.74 8.80 19.70 1.77 6.56 52.59 18.28P 0.21R 0.01 Carlisle 15 24 -3 64.86 8.71 -6.31 0.17 0.75 15.38 3.42P 2.68R 0.15 Preston 14 23 +2 75.12 9.69 14.76 3.40 10.45 56.88 22.57P 0.35R 0.02 Hartlepool 14 22 +2 62.46 8.85 -3.73 0.07 0.43 10.77 2.15P 4.90R 0.38 Brentford 15 22 +1 63.68 8.63 -0.27 0.09 0.52 12.77 2.79P 3.21R 0.20 Oldham 15 21 -3 60.96 8.63 -7.02 0.03 0.27 7.50 1.46P 6.35R 0.53 Stevenage 15 20 +4 58.35 8.81 -2.03 0.02 0.14 5.04 1.01P 10.84R 1.25 Colchester 15 19 -1 62.97 8.88 1.02 0.05 0.43 12.27 2.87P 4.23R 0.33 Bury 15 18 -6 53.73 8.83 -16.78 0.00 0.03 1.76 0.30P 25.43R 4.20 Scunthorpe 15 15 -2 60.52 9.19 2.15 0.04 0.27 8.74 2.23P 7.99R 0.95 Walsall 15 14 -3 51.61 8.49 -10.84 0.00 0.01 0.88 0.18P 31.62R 5.97 Rochdale 15 14 -9 53.01 8.68 -15.19 0.00 0.02 1.21 0.24P 27.46R 5.03 Leyton_Orient 15 14 -11 52.39 8.67 -17.95 0.00 0.01 0.99 0.21P 30.30R 5.75 Exeter 15 14 -13 48.45 8.39 -25.71 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 48.40R 12.92 Bournemouth 15 13 -9 53.85 8.74 -12.06 0.01 0.03 1.66 0.37P 23.86R 4.10 Chesterfield 15 12 -9 45.70 8.73 -24.10 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 59.77R 22.14 Wycombe 15 12 -9 46.32 8.74 -21.89 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 56.92R 19.40 Yeovil 15 11 -9 46.88 8.43 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.06P 53.96R 16.61League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crawley_Town 15 34 +11 80.28 9.32 16.48 15.82 45.22 79.72 52.15P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 15 32 +15 85.95 8.75 32.36 37.23 72.11 93.94 78.41P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 15 27 +4 77.51 8.78 15.89 8.68 33.31 72.52 43.87P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 15 26 +16 71.56 8.95 20.31 3.18 15.48 49.04 23.52P 0.06R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 15 26 +10 70.51 8.76 13.12 2.23 11.75 43.43 19.09P 0.06R 0.01 Cheltenham 15 26 +5 66.05 8.69 0.94 0.68 4.74 23.86 8.21P 0.49R 0.10 Swindon 15 25 +10 81.60 8.96 31.66 20.53 54.26 85.89 65.51P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 15 25 +9 72.45 8.77 16.36 3.27 16.47 52.39 25.62P 0.05R 0.01 Gillingham 15 24 +7 74.26 8.88 18.83 5.06 22.47 60.63 33.07P 0.04R 0.01 Macclesfield 15 24 +5 63.17 8.59 -0.03 0.27 2.25 15.29 4.70P 1.11R 0.29 Burton_Albion 14 23 +2 65.70 9.04 -0.16 0.73 4.58 23.10 8.20P 0.79R 0.21 AFC_Wimbledon 15 23 -5 55.08 8.75 -23.67 0.03 0.36 3.17 0.80P 9.38R 3.64 Rotherham 15 20 -1 67.88 9.00 7.09 1.08 7.25 32.36 13.59P 0.40R 0.11 Crewe 15 19 -2 65.51 8.98 3.79 0.65 4.58 23.32 9.33P 0.78R 0.23 Torquay 15 18 -2 62.86 8.90 1.18 0.28 2.37 15.51 5.75P 1.54R 0.49 Bristol_Rovers 15 18 -7 59.85 9.09 -8.65 0.16 1.29 9.22 3.24P 3.75R 1.33 Aldershot 14 17 +0 58.85 8.86 -3.05 0.08 0.90 7.64 2.46P 3.72R 1.20 Hereford 15 16 -12 48.89 8.27 -26.76 0.00 0.02 0.44 0.09P 26.05R 12.12 Northampton 15 15 -7 53.43 8.60 -13.62 0.02 0.14 2.04 0.56P 11.70R 4.69 Accrington_Stanley 15 15 -7 56.07 8.69 -9.34 0.02 0.26 3.79 1.08P 7.07R 2.46 Bradford 15 13 -6 46.74 8.35 -19.75 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.04P 33.90R 17.46 Dag_&_Red 15 13 -11 52.50 8.98 -15.93 0.01 0.16 1.87 0.58P 15.15R 6.74 Barnet 15 12 -14 43.80 8.41 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 50.31R 30.86 Plymouth 15 8 -20 47.41 8.99 -25.04 0.00 0.02 0.44 0.11P 33.63R 18.02Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 18 39 +19 89.30 7.81 37.09 32.63 93.05 50.67P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 18 37 +13 83.42 8.08 25.47 11.99 75.81 26.75P 0.00 0.00 York 18 34 +18 82.31 8.00 33.21 9.41 73.53 26.41P 0.00 0.00 Luton 18 33 +16 90.26 7.46 46.48 40.31 95.12 63.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 18 33 +11 76.09 8.05 18.11 2.21 41.89 9.93P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 18 33 +3 70.82 8.20 1.55 0.50 18.36 2.92P 0.06R 0.00 Southport 18 32 +2 67.01 8.04 -3.92 0.15 8.63 1.10P 0.21R 0.00 Mansfield 17 30 +8 73.77 8.48 13.93 1.53 31.98 7.07P 0.04R 0.00 Braintree_Town 18 29 +8 67.76 8.71 8.01 0.34 13.15 2.48P 0.26R 0.00 Tamworth 17 29 +6 65.54 8.08 0.90 0.10 7.06 1.04P 0.32R 0.00 Barrow 18 29 +2 64.78 8.11 -2.63 0.07 5.72 0.85P 0.46R 0.01 Kidderminster 18 28 +3 72.01 8.24 11.55 0.69 24.16 5.31P 0.05R 0.00 Forest_Green 18 23 +4 58.10 7.93 -0.99 0.00 1.07 0.15P 2.72R 0.05 Darlington 18 22 -7 63.65 7.96 -1.98 0.03 3.94 0.92P 0.69R 0.01 Grimsby 18 20 -6 61.94 8.17 -0.71 0.02 2.95 0.59P 1.33R 0.03 Ebbsfleet_United 18 19 -1 53.32 8.44 -7.68 0.00 0.35 0.07P 11.30R 0.53 Kettering 18 19 -11 51.91 7.75 -20.02 0.00 0.08 0.01P 13.46R 0.61 Stockport 18 18 -5 60.86 8.44 1.83 0.01 2.68 0.61P 1.86R 0.07 AFC_Telford 18 18 -6 48.42 8.20 -18.62 0.00 0.05 0.00P 26.66R 2.03 Hayes_&_Yeading 18 16 -11 45.37 7.78 -27.53 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.88R 3.97 Lincoln_City 18 16 -11 54.37 8.17 -10.92 0.00 0.25 0.03P 8.85R 0.38 Newport_County 18 15 -8 52.26 8.04 -10.14 0.00 0.16 0.02P 12.61R 0.75 Alfreton_Town 18 10 -26 31.19 7.20 -57.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.92R 65.12 Bath_City 18 7 -21 36.56 7.68 -35.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.31R 26.45