Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         9   25  +26      86.08     7.69    63.44    46.60    77.67    94.32    98.33    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20  +14      85.08     7.13    59.67    38.32    75.41    94.50    98.43    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   19  +10      79.35     7.67    44.33    13.71    39.23    78.45    91.46    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.66     8.17     4.51     0.07     0.54     2.57    10.70    39.32     0.16R    0.01  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      65.92     8.47    15.57     0.64     3.20    12.29    36.79    73.68     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.62     8.11    16.57     0.33     2.09     9.10    30.03    70.28     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   13   -3      63.35     8.31    14.18     0.31     1.69     7.38    25.36    64.29     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          9   12   -1      42.67     8.32   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28     2.25    16.37R    3.46  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.51     7.95    -9.77     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.82     6.52     4.00R    0.58  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.65     7.57   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43    30.84R    7.92  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      48.13     8.18    -5.40     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.04     7.15     4.41R    0.58  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      45.81     8.12   -12.57     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46     4.25     8.32R    1.58  
Everton          8   10   -2      54.76     8.54     2.93     0.02     0.13     1.02     5.45    24.74     0.92R    0.10  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      45.67     7.98    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     3.84     7.56R    1.43  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.14     7.86   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.58    32.44R    9.17  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.40     7.49   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    46.39R   16.33  
Fulham           9    7   -1      44.74     7.98    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.31     3.13     9.16R    1.69  
Bolton           9    6  -12      38.92     8.08   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.66    30.07R    8.90  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.54     7.41   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    66.30R   33.03  
Blackburn        9    5  -10      35.98     7.81   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    42.97R   15.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 October 2011, Birmingham vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.80     9.44    31.78    32.58    54.38    88.15    63.47P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   24  +12      82.99     9.29    32.72    29.47    51.36    86.96    63.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      73.81     9.05    14.92     5.98    14.91    55.06    24.61P    0.14R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.45     8.67     1.10     0.54     1.95    17.38     4.71P    1.66R    0.12  
Leeds_United     13   21   +5      70.57     9.45    11.56     3.30     8.92    41.83    16.44P    0.57R    0.02  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.44     8.91    -4.81     0.34     1.16    12.73     3.00P    3.52R    0.33  
Hull             12   21   +1      66.92     8.88     0.85     1.15     3.70    25.08     8.16P    1.05R    0.06  
Birmingham       11   20   +5      78.78     9.80    21.08    15.87    32.03    73.65    44.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.84     9.18    13.88     3.97    10.63    47.17    20.48P    0.32R    0.01  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      61.98     8.92    -6.99     0.27     1.10    11.41     2.86P    4.25R    0.39  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      60.15     9.70    -4.78     0.40     1.30    10.60     3.00P    7.73R    1.00  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.11     9.63    10.03     2.76     7.61    36.11    15.25P    0.86R    0.06  
Brighton         13   19   +1      59.49     9.17    -6.14     0.22     0.74     8.06     2.16P    7.60R    0.82  
Leicester        13   19   +1      65.97     9.10     3.49     1.04     3.23    23.34     7.81P    1.54R    0.11  
Reading          13   17   +1      66.83     9.14     7.84     1.36     4.18    26.94    10.45P    1.25R    0.07  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.22     8.82    -1.15     0.17     0.59     7.12     2.06P    6.79R    0.69  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.69     9.25    -1.19     0.37     1.25    12.44     3.63P    4.86R    0.52  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.87     8.72    -9.98     0.02     0.10     2.63     0.56P   16.00R    2.48  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.65     9.04    -8.39     0.15     0.56     7.90     2.21P    7.12R    0.85  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.49     8.84    -4.56     0.06     0.25     4.01     1.12P   11.79R    1.71  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.23     8.49   -15.51     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.12P   36.78R    8.30  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.28     9.04   -20.74     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.16P   33.99R    8.08  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.54     8.35   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.14R   38.44  
Bristol_City     13    6  -16      40.97     8.51   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   74.95R   35.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        15   34  +18      87.93     8.84    35.25    28.49    54.84    94.77    66.09P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    15   31  +20      90.87     8.60    47.34    44.66    69.79    97.51    80.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       15   29   +7      77.87     9.01    16.38     4.74    14.24    68.25    26.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   28  +10      84.05     8.98    30.61    15.26    36.32    88.02    53.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   27   +9      70.66     8.71    10.53     0.83     3.43    37.20     9.97P    0.47R    0.02  
Tranmere        15   25   +5      67.82     8.57     5.73     0.34     1.49    24.93     6.00P    0.99R    0.03  
MK_Dons         15   24   +9      73.74     8.80    19.70     1.77     6.56    52.59    18.28P    0.21R    0.01  
Carlisle        15   24   -3      64.86     8.71    -6.31     0.17     0.75    15.38     3.42P    2.68R    0.15  
Preston         14   23   +2      75.12     9.69    14.76     3.40    10.45    56.88    22.57P    0.35R    0.02  
Hartlepool      14   22   +2      62.46     8.85    -3.73     0.07     0.43    10.77     2.15P    4.90R    0.38  
Brentford       15   22   +1      63.68     8.63    -0.27     0.09     0.52    12.77     2.79P    3.21R    0.20  
Oldham          15   21   -3      60.96     8.63    -7.02     0.03     0.27     7.50     1.46P    6.35R    0.53  
Stevenage       15   20   +4      58.35     8.81    -2.03     0.02     0.14     5.04     1.01P   10.84R    1.25  
Colchester      15   19   -1      62.97     8.88     1.02     0.05     0.43    12.27     2.87P    4.23R    0.33  
Bury            15   18   -6      53.73     8.83   -16.78     0.00     0.03     1.76     0.30P   25.43R    4.20  
Scunthorpe      15   15   -2      60.52     9.19     2.15     0.04     0.27     8.74     2.23P    7.99R    0.95  
Walsall         15   14   -3      51.61     8.49   -10.84     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.18P   31.62R    5.97  
Rochdale        15   14   -9      53.01     8.68   -15.19     0.00     0.02     1.21     0.24P   27.46R    5.03  
Leyton_Orient   15   14  -11      52.39     8.67   -17.95     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.21P   30.30R    5.75  
Exeter          15   14  -13      48.45     8.39   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   48.40R   12.92  
Bournemouth     15   13   -9      53.85     8.74   -12.06     0.01     0.03     1.66     0.37P   23.86R    4.10  
Chesterfield    15   12   -9      45.70     8.73   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   59.77R   22.14  
Wycombe         15   12   -9      46.32     8.74   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   56.92R   19.40  
Yeovil          15   11   -9      46.88     8.43   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.06P   53.96R   16.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         15   34  +11      80.28     9.32    16.48    15.82    45.22    79.72    52.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             15   32  +15      85.95     8.75    32.36    37.23    72.11    93.94    78.41P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +4      77.51     8.78    15.89     8.68    33.31    72.52    43.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            15   26  +16      71.56     8.95    20.31     3.18    15.48    49.04    23.52P    0.06R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10      70.51     8.76    13.12     2.23    11.75    43.43    19.09P    0.06R    0.01  
Cheltenham           15   26   +5      66.05     8.69     0.94     0.68     4.74    23.86     8.21P    0.49R    0.10  
Swindon              15   25  +10      81.60     8.96    31.66    20.53    54.26    85.89    65.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   25   +9      72.45     8.77    16.36     3.27    16.47    52.39    25.62P    0.05R    0.01  
Gillingham           15   24   +7      74.26     8.88    18.83     5.06    22.47    60.63    33.07P    0.04R    0.01  
Macclesfield         15   24   +5      63.17     8.59    -0.03     0.27     2.25    15.29     4.70P    1.11R    0.29  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.70     9.04    -0.16     0.73     4.58    23.10     8.20P    0.79R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   23   -5      55.08     8.75   -23.67     0.03     0.36     3.17     0.80P    9.38R    3.64  
Rotherham            15   20   -1      67.88     9.00     7.09     1.08     7.25    32.36    13.59P    0.40R    0.11  
Crewe                15   19   -2      65.51     8.98     3.79     0.65     4.58    23.32     9.33P    0.78R    0.23  
Torquay              15   18   -2      62.86     8.90     1.18     0.28     2.37    15.51     5.75P    1.54R    0.49  
Bristol_Rovers       15   18   -7      59.85     9.09    -8.65     0.16     1.29     9.22     3.24P    3.75R    1.33  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      58.85     8.86    -3.05     0.08     0.90     7.64     2.46P    3.72R    1.20  
Hereford             15   16  -12      48.89     8.27   -26.76     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.09P   26.05R   12.12  
Northampton          15   15   -7      53.43     8.60   -13.62     0.02     0.14     2.04     0.56P   11.70R    4.69  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -7      56.07     8.69    -9.34     0.02     0.26     3.79     1.08P    7.07R    2.46  
Bradford             15   13   -6      46.74     8.35   -19.75     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   33.90R   17.46  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -11      52.50     8.98   -15.93     0.01     0.16     1.87     0.58P   15.15R    6.74  
Barnet               15   12  -14      43.80     8.41   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   50.31R   30.86  
Plymouth             15    8  -20      47.41     8.99   -25.04     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.11P   33.63R   18.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.30     7.81    37.09    32.63    93.05    50.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.42     8.08    25.47    11.99    75.81    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.31     8.00    33.21     9.41    73.53    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.26     7.46    46.48    40.31    95.12    63.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.09     8.05    18.11     2.21    41.89     9.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.82     8.20     1.55     0.50    18.36     2.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      67.01     8.04    -3.92     0.15     8.63     1.10P    0.21R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.77     8.48    13.93     1.53    31.98     7.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.76     8.71     8.01     0.34    13.15     2.48P    0.26R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.54     8.08     0.90     0.10     7.06     1.04P    0.32R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.78     8.11    -2.63     0.07     5.72     0.85P    0.46R    0.01  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.01     8.24    11.55     0.69    24.16     5.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      58.10     7.93    -0.99     0.00     1.07     0.15P    2.72R    0.05  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.65     7.96    -1.98     0.03     3.94     0.92P    0.69R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.94     8.17    -0.71     0.02     2.95     0.59P    1.33R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.32     8.44    -7.68     0.00     0.35     0.07P   11.30R    0.53  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.91     7.75   -20.02     0.00     0.08     0.01P   13.46R    0.61  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.86     8.44     1.83     0.01     2.68     0.61P    1.86R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.42     8.20   -18.62     0.00     0.05     0.00P   26.66R    2.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.37     7.78   -27.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.88R    3.97  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.37     8.17   -10.92     0.00     0.25     0.03P    8.85R    0.38  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.26     8.04   -10.14     0.00     0.16     0.02P   12.61R    0.75  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.19     7.20   -57.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.92R   65.12  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.56     7.68   -35.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.31R   26.45