Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         9   25  +26      86.05     7.68    63.38    46.20    77.32    94.16    98.24    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20  +14      85.08     7.15    59.69    38.05    75.33    94.30    98.35    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   19  +10      79.46     7.66    44.53    14.29    39.40    78.82    91.61    98.87     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.51     8.14     4.26     0.06     0.52     2.33     9.91    38.28     0.17R    0.00  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      65.98     8.51    15.68     0.70     3.35    12.51    36.67    74.15     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.71     8.14    16.64     0.34     2.08     9.04    30.68    70.72     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   13   -3      63.40     8.37    14.28     0.33     1.77     7.39    25.34    64.19     0.07R    0.01  
Norwich          9   12   -1      42.65     8.27   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.18    16.35R    3.58  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.48     7.96    -9.78     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.83     6.51     4.06R    0.59  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.62     7.61   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.47    30.75R    7.78  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      48.01     8.17    -5.58     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.02     6.93     4.40R    0.57  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      45.67     8.19   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53     4.23     8.70R    1.46  
Everton          8   10   -2      54.98     8.54     3.24     0.03     0.18     1.07     5.62    25.23     0.87R    0.10  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      45.77     8.00    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.45     3.91     7.46R    1.36  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.07     7.88   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.44    32.50R    9.23  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.28     7.56   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    46.87R   16.99  
Fulham           9    7   -1      44.78     7.96    -4.96     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.37     3.15     8.80R    1.55  
Bolton           9    6  -12      38.96     8.12   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.65    29.87R    8.72  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.49     7.37   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    66.23R   33.02  
Blackburn        9    5  -10      36.04     7.82   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    42.86R   15.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 October 2011, Birmingham vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.73     9.48    31.63    32.26    53.74    87.86    63.00P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   24  +12      83.03     9.20    32.84    29.34    51.26    87.18    63.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      73.72     9.04    14.79     5.85    14.59    54.53    24.04P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.39     8.58     1.00     0.52     1.86    16.96     4.42P    1.64R    0.10  
Leeds_United     13   21   +5      70.40     9.44    11.31     3.13     8.66    40.88    15.91P    0.56R    0.03  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.38     8.88    -4.93     0.32     1.24    12.47     3.08P    3.60R    0.30  
Hull             12   21   +1      66.98     8.88     0.88     1.30     3.82    25.43     8.40P    1.01R    0.06  
Birmingham       11   20   +5      78.97     9.79    21.34    16.43    32.76    74.23    45.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.98     9.24    14.13     4.19    11.12    48.23    21.13P    0.36R    0.02  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      61.93     8.94    -7.02     0.28     1.16    11.24     2.81P    4.39R    0.40  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      60.22     9.65    -4.61     0.42     1.31    10.52     2.88P    7.42R    0.94  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.29     9.59    10.32     2.85     7.80    36.84    15.32P    0.82R    0.06  
Brighton         13   19   +1      59.79     9.15    -5.69     0.21     0.78     8.58     2.25P    7.04R    0.76  
Leicester        13   19   +1      65.95     9.10     3.44     0.87     3.13    23.25     7.64P    1.58R    0.11  
Reading          13   17   +1      66.88     9.07     7.87     1.30     4.09    26.86    10.20P    1.14R    0.09  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.16     8.87    -1.18     0.15     0.52     7.19     2.07P    7.05R    0.76  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.60     9.21    -1.25     0.34     1.17    12.15     3.61P    4.73R    0.51  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.85     8.79    -9.97     0.05     0.15     2.68     0.64P   16.14R    2.48  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.58     8.98    -8.44     0.14     0.57     7.58     2.17P    7.06R    0.87  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.34     8.79    -4.75     0.05     0.22     3.78     1.02P   11.99R    1.71  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.24     8.56   -15.53     0.01     0.02     0.56     0.12P   36.61R    8.30  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.24     9.07   -20.89     0.00     0.05     0.96     0.21P   34.46R    8.30  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.43     8.27   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   77.38R   38.56  
Bristol_City     13    6  -16      40.97     8.51   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.79R   35.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        15   34  +18      87.86     8.71    35.16    28.25    54.62    94.92    66.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    15   31  +20      90.88     8.53    47.30    45.20    70.17    97.56    80.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       15   29   +7      77.95     8.94    16.53     4.75    14.35    68.61    26.54P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   28  +10      83.94     8.97    30.42    14.74    35.71    87.68    52.75P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    15   27   +9      70.77     8.63    10.66     0.90     3.33    37.04     9.77P    0.37R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   25   +5      67.89     8.59     5.79     0.33     1.54    24.80     6.31P    0.90R    0.03  
MK_Dons         15   24   +9      74.02     8.83    20.15     1.90     6.90    53.63    18.84P    0.18R    0.00  
Carlisle        15   24   -3      64.52     8.70    -6.84     0.16     0.69    14.51     3.12P    2.91R    0.22  
Preston         14   23   +2      75.15     9.64    14.92     3.38    10.40    56.67    22.37P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool      14   22   +2      62.53     8.90    -3.66     0.09     0.55    10.88     2.29P    4.81R    0.37  
Brentford       15   22   +1      63.78     8.63    -0.10     0.09     0.49    12.99     2.98P    3.12R    0.22  
Oldham          15   21   -3      61.10     8.66    -6.79     0.05     0.26     7.72     1.55P    6.23R    0.56  
Stevenage       15   20   +4      58.40     8.75    -1.95     0.03     0.15     5.07     1.00P   10.67R    1.14  
Colchester      15   19   -1      63.20     8.77     1.40     0.08     0.47    12.50     2.98P    3.73R    0.27  
Bury            15   18   -6      53.37     8.72   -17.29     0.01     0.03     1.53     0.21P   26.52R    4.51  
Scunthorpe      15   15   -2      60.59     9.11     2.27     0.03     0.27     8.52     2.16P    7.64R    0.88  
Walsall         15   14   -3      51.50     8.51   -11.04     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.15P   31.97R    6.24  
Rochdale        15   14   -9      53.05     8.71   -15.12     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.28P   27.19R    4.99  
Leyton_Orient   15   14  -11      52.25     8.68   -18.22     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.18P   30.87R    6.04  
Exeter          15   14  -13      48.43     8.37   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   48.37R   12.69  
Bournemouth     15   13   -9      53.82     8.70   -12.13     0.01     0.03     1.48     0.36P   23.82R    4.10  
Chesterfield    15   12   -9      45.49     8.75   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   60.46R   22.73  
Wycombe         15   12   -9      46.33     8.69   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   56.73R   19.17  
Yeovil          15   11   -9      47.00     8.43   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   53.15R   15.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         15   34  +11      80.38     9.29    16.67    16.29    45.78    79.90    52.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             15   32  +15      86.05     8.72    32.57    37.91    72.43    94.22    78.67P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +4      77.41     8.71    15.74     8.41    32.45    72.20    43.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            15   26  +16      71.82     8.95    20.73     3.41    16.14    49.86    24.17P    0.08R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10      70.47     8.77    13.04     2.15    11.67    42.66    18.66P    0.08R    0.02  
Cheltenham           15   26   +5      66.10     8.74     1.01     0.70     4.62    23.87     8.09P    0.50R    0.12  
Swindon              15   25  +10      81.37     8.93    31.29    19.40    53.05    85.32    64.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   25   +9      72.69     8.76    16.78     3.43    17.17    53.41    26.58P    0.04R    0.01  
Gillingham           15   24   +7      74.13     8.86    18.57     4.90    21.91    59.58    32.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         15   24   +5      63.27     8.65     0.11     0.31     2.50    15.69     5.04P    1.02R    0.26  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.77     8.98    -0.09     0.67     4.63    23.02     8.16P    0.72R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   23   -5      54.68     8.72   -24.38     0.04     0.32     2.81     0.68P   10.01R    3.85  
Rotherham            15   20   -1      68.15     9.03     7.49     1.19     7.68    33.12    14.09P    0.41R    0.12  
Crewe                15   19   -2      65.49     9.01     3.74     0.59     4.30    23.22     9.24P    0.78R    0.23  
Torquay              15   18   -2      62.98     8.90     1.40     0.26     2.43    15.59     5.80P    1.53R    0.44  
Bristol_Rovers       15   18   -7      59.79     9.13    -8.72     0.14     1.20     9.01     3.01P    3.87R    1.36  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      58.73     8.86    -3.29     0.11     0.96     7.38     2.46P    3.81R    1.30  
Hereford             15   16  -12      48.56     8.31   -27.25     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P   27.60R   13.11  
Northampton          15   15   -7      53.39     8.63   -13.64     0.03     0.19     2.02     0.61P   11.69R    4.67  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -7      56.08     8.79    -9.36     0.02     0.36     3.91     1.23P    7.19R    2.58  
Bradford             15   13   -6      46.78     8.42   -19.65     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.06P   33.50R   17.17  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -11      52.45     9.03   -15.96     0.02     0.14     1.85     0.54P   15.14R    6.74  
Barnet               15   12  -14      43.86     8.40   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   49.44R   30.40  
Plymouth             15    8  -20      47.51     8.97   -24.87     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.11P   32.57R   17.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.52     7.82    37.47    33.28    93.34    51.19P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.32     8.06    25.28    11.30    75.55    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.35     8.01    33.23     9.46    73.48    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.37     7.52    46.73    40.43    95.23    63.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.17     8.10    18.23     2.20    42.36    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.84     8.16     1.62     0.48    18.34     2.77P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.95     8.07    -4.02     0.14     8.58     1.19P    0.23R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.82     8.47    14.07     1.50    31.96     7.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.80     8.70     8.10     0.35    13.04     2.40P    0.25R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.47     8.06     0.77     0.10     6.86     0.98P    0.26R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.88     8.10    -2.54     0.05     5.77     0.76P    0.52R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.01     8.24    11.56     0.65    24.15     5.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.87     7.91    -1.31     0.01     0.97     0.13P    2.99R    0.08  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.53     7.95    -2.16     0.02     3.79     0.81P    0.67R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.81     8.14    -0.94     0.01     2.78     0.58P    1.41R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.41     8.44    -7.56     0.00     0.35     0.04P   11.01R    0.49  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.78     7.82   -20.22     0.00     0.08     0.01P   14.12R    0.64  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.95     8.46     1.96     0.01     2.84     0.69P    1.90R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.37     8.13   -18.69     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.40R    2.07  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.35     7.89   -27.56     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.25R    4.28  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.30     8.18   -11.02     0.00     0.34     0.06P    9.01R    0.38  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.31     8.02   -10.04     0.00     0.12     0.02P   12.21R    0.76  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.13     7.24   -57.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.82R   65.41  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.71     7.68   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.82R   25.77