Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         9   25  +26      85.95     7.68    63.23    45.53    76.83    94.22    98.29    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20  +14      85.21     7.21    59.98    39.08    76.01    94.37    98.31    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   19  +10      79.39     7.68    44.36    14.05    39.36    78.60    91.43    98.76     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.61     8.15     4.45     0.06     0.49     2.48    10.37    38.73     0.18R    0.00  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      65.89     8.50    15.45     0.62     3.18    12.37    36.66    74.01     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.69     8.13    16.68     0.38     2.23     9.17    30.63    70.57     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   13   -3      63.29     8.36    14.08     0.25     1.70     7.35    24.99    64.00     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          9   12   -1      42.60     8.26   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     2.32    16.55R    3.68  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.63     7.98    -9.61     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.91     6.83     4.05R    0.55  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.48     7.54   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.45    31.45R    8.15  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      47.95     8.13    -5.75     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.97     6.78     4.47R    0.67  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      45.70     8.21   -12.81     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.57     4.21     8.71R    1.60  
Everton          8   10   -2      54.75     8.59     2.87     0.02     0.16     1.05     5.56    24.62     0.94R    0.09  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      45.82     8.08    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.45     4.00     7.66R    1.39  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.27     7.85   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.55    31.67R    8.80  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.49     7.53   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    46.02R   16.05  
Fulham           9    7   -1      44.88     8.07    -4.84     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.36     3.40     9.10R    1.69  
Bolton           9    6  -12      39.10     8.08   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.69    29.36R    8.47  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.54     7.48   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    66.16R   33.23  
Blackburn        9    5  -10      35.88     7.77   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    43.58R   15.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 October 2011, Birmingham vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.83     9.44    31.78    32.22    54.29    88.18    63.58P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   24  +12      83.22     9.17    33.14    30.08    51.93    87.53    63.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      73.86     9.06    14.97     5.93    14.51    55.49    24.44P    0.12R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.12     8.66     0.57     0.47     1.69    16.00     4.14P    1.95R    0.11  
Leeds_United     13   21   +5      70.48     9.39    11.46     3.05     8.51    41.48    16.00P    0.54R    0.02  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.16     8.89    -5.23     0.32     1.13    11.95     2.94P    3.68R    0.37  
Hull             12   21   +1      66.99     8.89     0.91     1.25     3.60    25.37     8.01P    1.06R    0.07  
Birmingham       11   20   +5      78.83     9.85    21.17    15.85    32.34    73.40    44.94P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.85     9.24    13.92     3.97    10.82    47.13    20.33P    0.32R    0.01  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      61.73     8.97    -7.33     0.32     1.10    11.06     2.87P    4.66R    0.44  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      60.19     9.65    -4.71     0.40     1.26    10.57     2.90P    7.78R    0.96  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.25     9.75    10.23     2.96     7.89    37.08    15.67P    1.02R    0.07  
Brighton         13   19   +1      59.57     9.17    -6.05     0.24     0.84     8.33     2.20P    7.21R    0.73  
Leicester        13   19   +1      66.12     9.09     3.74     0.94     3.20    23.99     8.01P    1.44R    0.12  
Reading          13   17   +1      67.03     9.19     8.13     1.39     4.33    27.60    10.80P    1.21R    0.09  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.16     8.79    -1.21     0.13     0.49     6.88     1.93P    6.86R    0.67  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.50     9.24    -1.46     0.33     1.18    11.95     3.43P    4.99R    0.57  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.87     8.79    -9.92     0.02     0.12     2.73     0.56P   16.11R    2.55  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.76     8.98    -8.23     0.11     0.53     7.88     2.18P    6.81R    0.82  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.38     8.79    -4.70     0.03     0.19     3.87     0.94P   11.82R    1.72  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.19     8.51   -15.59     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.10P   36.80R    8.18  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.39     9.04   -20.56     0.01     0.05     0.94     0.20P   33.51R    8.17  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.43     8.25   -33.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   77.77R   39.20  
Bristol_City     13    6  -16      41.16     8.53   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.25R   35.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        15   34  +18      88.06     8.75    35.50    28.44    54.98    94.99    66.54P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    15   31  +20      91.01     8.52    47.50    45.45    70.61    97.63    80.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       15   29   +7      78.04     8.96    16.63     4.97    14.44    69.11    26.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   28  +10      83.82     8.93    30.18    14.27    34.92    87.64    51.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   27   +9      70.79     8.69    10.72     0.85     3.29    37.48     9.85P    0.37R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   25   +5      67.79     8.53     5.65     0.29     1.48    24.60     5.74P    0.91R    0.03  
MK_Dons         15   24   +9      73.95     8.79    20.01     1.77     6.88    53.23    18.73P    0.16R    0.01  
Carlisle        15   24   -3      64.53     8.75    -6.84     0.14     0.75    14.61     3.08P    2.93R    0.22  
Preston         14   23   +2      75.06     9.74    14.74     3.46    10.54    56.42    22.62P    0.32R    0.01  
Hartlepool      14   22   +2      62.61     8.87    -3.50     0.07     0.46    11.17     2.35P    4.64R    0.36  
Brentford       15   22   +1      63.54     8.65    -0.44     0.10     0.51    12.48     2.81P    3.33R    0.29  
Oldham          15   21   -3      61.05     8.60    -6.89     0.06     0.24     7.60     1.57P    6.04R    0.51  
Stevenage       15   20   +4      58.35     8.77    -2.03     0.02     0.12     4.98     1.03P   10.74R    1.24  
Colchester      15   19   -1      63.23     8.74     1.40     0.06     0.44    12.43     3.01P    3.78R    0.29  
Bury            15   18   -6      53.64     8.78   -16.95     0.00     0.03     1.63     0.31P   25.81R    4.24  
Scunthorpe      15   15   -2      60.67     9.08     2.39     0.04     0.26     8.65     2.17P    7.39R    0.88  
Walsall         15   14   -3      51.58     8.51   -10.87     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.17P   31.56R    6.00  
Rochdale        15   14   -9      52.93     8.63   -15.28     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.25P   27.63R    4.98  
Leyton_Orient   15   14  -11      52.32     8.67   -18.09     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.19P   30.57R    5.96  
Exeter          15   14  -13      48.50     8.38   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   47.97R   12.44  
Bournemouth     15   13   -9      53.89     8.79   -12.02     0.00     0.02     1.61     0.38P   23.91R    4.14  
Chesterfield    15   12   -9      45.58     8.72   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   60.26R   22.39  
Wycombe         15   12   -9      46.18     8.61   -22.12     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.03P   57.44R   19.41  
Yeovil          15   11   -9      46.75     8.43   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   54.18R   16.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         15   34  +11      80.27     9.25    16.46    15.60    45.00    79.74    51.93P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             15   32  +15      86.19     8.72    32.76    38.42    72.98    94.32    79.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +4      77.42     8.78    15.77     8.44    32.58    72.17    43.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            15   26  +16      71.67     8.88    20.48     3.16    15.45    49.27    23.47P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10      70.47     8.73    13.07     2.17    11.80    42.87    18.89P    0.07R    0.01  
Cheltenham           15   26   +5      66.19     8.74     1.13     0.67     4.73    24.24     8.30P    0.44R    0.12  
Swindon              15   25  +10      81.65     8.94    31.69    20.13    54.52    86.06    65.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   25   +9      72.63     8.76    16.61     3.33    16.95    53.25    26.25P    0.05R    0.01  
Gillingham           15   24   +7      74.14     8.85    18.60     4.80    21.66    59.92    32.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         15   24   +5      63.10     8.50    -0.15     0.24     2.17    14.80     4.56P    0.90R    0.25  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.94     9.05     0.19     0.70     4.84    23.93     8.40P    0.76R    0.23  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   23   -5      54.66     8.72   -24.42     0.03     0.31     2.91     0.73P   10.24R    4.00  
Rotherham            15   20   -1      68.20     9.01     7.62     1.23     7.58    33.45    14.28P    0.39R    0.09  
Crewe                15   19   -2      65.52     8.90     3.81     0.55     4.31    22.97     8.97P    0.68R    0.18  
Torquay              15   18   -2      62.94     8.91     1.37     0.25     2.37    15.58     5.74P    1.47R    0.48  
Bristol_Rovers       15   18   -7      59.67     9.14    -8.90     0.15     1.22     8.78     3.04P    3.78R    1.38  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      58.69     8.81    -3.31     0.09     0.90     7.09     2.34P    3.60R    1.17  
Hereford             15   16  -12      48.43     8.25   -27.46     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.06P   27.79R   13.13  
Northampton          15   15   -7      53.36     8.64   -13.71     0.01     0.13     1.99     0.50P   11.76R    4.75  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -7      56.28     8.65    -9.04     0.02     0.32     3.79     1.09P    6.56R    2.30  
Bradford             15   13   -6      46.57     8.35   -19.99     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.06P   34.39R   17.66  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -11      52.52     8.95   -15.81     0.01     0.14     1.73     0.53P   14.92R    6.52  
Barnet               15   12  -14      43.83     8.39   -32.01     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   49.88R   30.46  
Plymouth             15    8  -20      47.61     9.01   -24.76     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.13P   32.22R   17.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.34     7.83    37.19    32.66    93.21    51.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.36     8.05    25.36    11.53    75.96    26.40P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.42     8.01    33.36     9.78    73.89    26.69P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.23     7.57    46.47    40.28    94.95    63.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.13     8.11    18.17     2.23    42.35    10.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.78     8.16     1.52     0.44    18.30     2.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.93     7.99    -4.00     0.15     8.38     1.16P    0.22R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.76     8.44    13.97     1.58    31.55     6.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.71     8.61     7.98     0.35    12.86     2.26P    0.27R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.65     8.09     1.01     0.13     7.39     1.20P    0.28R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.89     8.13    -2.49     0.08     6.00     0.86P    0.42R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.01     8.23    11.58     0.71    24.02     5.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.96     7.86    -1.21     0.01     0.96     0.16P    2.80R    0.06  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.75     7.96    -1.83     0.03     3.97     0.81P    0.62R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.80     8.14    -0.96     0.02     2.74     0.55P    1.44R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.12     8.38    -8.03     0.00     0.28     0.05P   11.64R    0.55  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.97     7.83   -19.95     0.00     0.10     0.02P   13.55R    0.65  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.89     8.38     1.91     0.01     2.54     0.53P    1.92R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.38     8.17   -18.63     0.00     0.08     0.01P   26.85R    1.96  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.47     7.88   -27.43     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.46R    4.13  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.33     8.21   -10.98     0.00     0.34     0.08P    9.09R    0.41  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.32     8.07   -10.07     0.00     0.13     0.01P   12.59R    0.83  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.08     7.28   -57.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.97R   65.70  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.76     7.74   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.78R   25.60