Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         9   25  +26      86.03     7.71    63.37    45.53    76.93    94.09    98.16    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20  +14      85.25     7.15    60.11    39.07    75.77    94.35    98.38    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   19  +10      79.55     7.65    44.67    14.01    39.47    78.96    91.56    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.59     8.10     4.39     0.06     0.46     2.37    10.27    38.91     0.12R    0.00  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      66.07     8.50    15.80     0.61     3.32    12.45    37.34    74.83     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.80     8.17    16.91     0.41     2.24     9.43    31.04    71.06     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   13   -3      63.16     8.34    13.80     0.29     1.61     6.93    24.34    63.26     0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          9   12   -1      42.76     8.21   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     2.12    15.88R    3.56  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.35     7.97   -10.07     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.87     6.37     4.18R    0.61  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.39     7.58   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.40    31.97R    8.43  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      47.75     8.12    -6.05     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.85     6.62     4.75R    0.66  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      45.70     8.18   -12.84     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.51     4.26     8.58R    1.56  
Everton          8   10   -2      54.96     8.51     3.29     0.02     0.16     1.04     5.54    24.92     0.91R    0.09  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      45.64     8.03    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.42     3.88     7.74R    1.35  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.13     7.89   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.48    32.13R    9.27  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.48     7.51   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    45.97R   15.92  
Fulham           9    7   -1      44.88     7.98    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34     3.31     8.95R    1.61  
Bolton           9    6  -12      39.10     8.12   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.69    29.50R    8.36  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.38     7.42   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.70R   33.83  
Blackburn        9    5  -10      36.12     7.82   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20    42.52R   14.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 October 2011, Brighton vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.53     9.38    31.29    31.51    53.18    87.80    62.65P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   24  +12      83.03     9.31    32.83    30.32    51.39    87.01    63.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      74.00     8.95    15.20     6.10    15.26    56.12    25.14P    0.11R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.44     8.73     1.05     0.56     1.97    17.39     4.61P    1.86R    0.12  
Leeds_United     12   21   +6      71.86     9.60    12.31     4.72    12.06    47.01    19.95P    0.45R    0.03  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.50     8.97    -4.79     0.43     1.39    13.01     3.37P    3.64R    0.30  
Hull             12   21   +1      67.04     8.74     0.94     1.22     3.62    24.84     8.00P    1.00R    0.03  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.85     9.21    13.92     4.16    11.22    47.28    20.87P    0.29R    0.01  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      61.82     8.96    -7.21     0.29     1.10    11.22     2.94P    4.41R    0.42  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      59.90     9.64    -5.20     0.35     1.13    10.06     2.68P    8.08R    1.06  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.31     9.68    10.32     3.00     8.09    37.14    15.97P    0.98R    0.07  
Brighton         13   19   +1      59.78     9.23    -5.73     0.21     0.77     8.68     2.32P    7.27R    0.72  
Leicester        13   19   +1      65.98     9.08     3.49     0.98     3.20    23.08     7.61P    1.60R    0.12  
Birmingham       10   17   +4      77.41    10.21    20.67    14.28    28.82    68.42    40.94P    0.11R    0.01  
Reading          13   17   +1      66.60     9.11     7.51     1.22     3.99    26.05    10.00P    1.31R    0.10  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.44     8.89    -0.80     0.14     0.61     7.59     2.21P    6.70R    0.61  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.44     9.24    -1.60     0.28     1.16    11.61     3.40P    4.94R    0.64  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.95     8.75    -9.80     0.03     0.15     2.63     0.57P   15.74R    2.49  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.65     9.02    -8.35     0.15     0.65     7.65     2.27P    7.08R    0.83  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.51     8.76    -4.56     0.03     0.21     3.89     1.05P   11.65R    1.69  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.39     8.55   -15.27     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.12P   35.88R    7.95  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.24     9.09   -20.89     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.19P   34.41R    8.39  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.43     8.25   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   77.66R   38.94  
Bristol_City     13    6  -16      41.02     8.53   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.81R   35.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        15   34  +18      87.90     8.77    35.25    28.32    54.98    94.66    66.53P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    15   31  +20      90.92     8.58    47.41    45.21    70.21    97.44    80.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       15   29   +7      78.06     8.92    16.70     4.80    14.39    69.30    26.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   28  +10      83.85     9.01    30.27    14.71    35.54    87.49    52.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    15   27   +9      70.81     8.68    10.78     0.82     3.41    37.41     9.79P    0.35R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   25   +5      67.94     8.54     5.87     0.27     1.47    24.91     5.89P    0.93R    0.03  
MK_Dons         15   24   +9      74.07     8.89    20.20     1.94     7.06    54.11    19.32P    0.20R    0.00  
Carlisle        15   24   -3      64.81     8.73    -6.37     0.19     0.78    15.09     3.22P    2.66R    0.17  
Preston         14   23   +2      74.95     9.67    14.50     3.36    10.02    55.81    21.87P    0.24R    0.01  
Hartlepool      14   22   +2      62.52     8.86    -3.63     0.10     0.48    10.91     2.17P    4.81R    0.38  
Brentford       15   22   +1      63.65     8.58    -0.33     0.07     0.49    12.77     2.80P    3.20R    0.20  
Oldham          15   21   -3      61.11     8.58    -6.75     0.04     0.24     7.57     1.51P    6.06R    0.57  
Stevenage       15   20   +4      58.33     8.76    -2.05     0.02     0.12     4.98     0.97P   10.82R    1.27  
Colchester      15   19   -1      63.07     8.76     1.22     0.08     0.46    11.93     2.89P    3.92R    0.29  
Bury            15   18   -6      53.53     8.75   -17.17     0.00     0.02     1.54     0.21P   26.06R    4.47  
Scunthorpe      15   15   -2      60.72     9.17     2.52     0.04     0.25     8.85     2.27P    7.55R    0.89  
Walsall         15   14   -3      51.30     8.50   -11.29     0.01     0.02     0.76     0.13P   32.87R    6.55  
Rochdale        15   14   -9      53.00     8.68   -15.23     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.23P   27.13R    5.12  
Leyton_Orient   15   14  -11      52.19     8.61   -18.28     0.00     0.02     0.96     0.22P   30.76R    5.84  
Exeter          15   14  -13      48.41     8.33   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   48.38R   12.53  
Bournemouth     15   13   -9      53.76     8.70   -12.27     0.01     0.04     1.51     0.34P   24.08R    4.27  
Chesterfield    15   12   -9      45.82     8.73   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   58.90R   21.45  
Wycombe         15   12   -9      46.21     8.60   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   57.23R   19.39  
Yeovil          15   11   -9      46.86     8.45   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   53.80R   16.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 October 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         15   34  +11      80.54     9.31    16.95    16.56    46.36    80.42    53.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             15   32  +15      85.87     8.71    32.28    37.05    71.64    93.79    77.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +4      77.37     8.74    15.66     8.25    32.26    71.82    43.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            15   26  +16      71.83     8.91    20.75     3.32    15.90    50.01    24.08P    0.08R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10      70.33     8.74    12.83     2.17    11.29    42.13    18.33P    0.09R    0.01  
Cheltenham           15   26   +5      66.34     8.73     1.36     0.73     4.95    24.65     8.59P    0.48R    0.11  
Swindon              15   25  +10      81.52     8.89    31.53    19.94    53.91    85.87    65.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   25   +9      72.78     8.80    16.87     3.59    17.45    53.56    26.96P    0.05R    0.01  
Gillingham           15   24   +7      74.32     8.85    18.87     5.14    22.38    60.31    33.00P    0.04R    0.01  
Macclesfield         15   24   +5      63.27     8.66     0.06     0.28     2.40    15.72     4.98P    1.07R    0.29  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.65     8.98    -0.26     0.65     4.32    22.63     7.71P    0.70R    0.19  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   23   -5      54.72     8.68   -24.33     0.02     0.26     2.79     0.64P   10.07R    3.94  
Rotherham            15   20   -1      68.00     9.00     7.32     1.18     7.29    32.44    13.70P    0.32R    0.07  
Crewe                15   19   -2      65.38     9.02     3.63     0.60     4.34    22.89     9.03P    0.80R    0.22  
Torquay              15   18   -2      63.00     8.96     1.45     0.25     2.48    15.71     5.79P    1.54R    0.51  
Bristol_Rovers       15   18   -7      59.86     9.18    -8.58     0.15     1.30     9.22     3.29P    3.82R    1.34  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      58.64     8.84    -3.39     0.08     0.82     7.22     2.33P    3.78R    1.27  
Hereford             15   16  -12      48.51     8.25   -27.35     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P   27.48R   12.85  
Northampton          15   15   -7      53.40     8.68   -13.65     0.00     0.16     2.09     0.59P   11.58R    4.60  
Accrington_Stanley   15   15   -7      56.12     8.73    -9.28     0.02     0.31     3.79     1.11P    6.81R    2.43  
Bradford             15   13   -6      46.77     8.37   -19.70     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P   33.62R   17.32  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -11      52.55     8.93   -15.82     0.01     0.12     1.80     0.56P   14.69R    6.49  
Barnet               15   12  -14      43.82     8.30   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   49.67R   30.04  
Plymouth             15    8  -20      47.32     8.94   -25.15     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.12P   33.32R   18.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.47     7.82    37.33    33.03    93.30    50.86P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.38     8.03    25.43    11.36    76.05    26.50P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.47     7.99    33.41     9.47    73.99    26.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.47     7.46    46.82    40.77    95.37    63.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.05     8.06    18.05     1.99    42.03     9.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.83     8.16     1.64     0.47    18.24     2.81P    0.06R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.98     8.07    -3.95     0.13     8.58     1.08P    0.25R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.70     8.42    13.84     1.40    31.36     7.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.77     8.75     7.99     0.35    13.19     2.41P    0.24R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.63     8.11     1.07     0.09     7.15     0.99P    0.27R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.87     8.11    -2.50     0.07     5.63     0.81P    0.41R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.01     8.25    11.56     0.81    23.88     5.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.92     7.88    -1.20     0.01     0.97     0.15P    2.74R    0.06  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.49     7.95    -2.20     0.01     3.73     0.77P    0.73R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.90     8.15    -0.86     0.01     2.89     0.58P    1.32R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.34     8.42    -7.75     0.00     0.37     0.05P   10.99R    0.52  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.76     7.74   -20.27     0.00     0.09     0.01P   14.07R    0.64  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.83     8.48     1.81     0.02     2.64     0.65P    1.98R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.44     8.16   -18.53     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.64R    1.98  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.47     7.85   -27.43     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.83R    4.04  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.17     8.22   -11.21     0.01     0.34     0.08P    9.34R    0.35  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.24     8.05   -10.18     0.00     0.15     0.02P   12.47R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.19     7.28   -57.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.68R   65.03  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.65     7.72   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.93R   26.43