Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         9   25  +26      85.91     7.70    63.17    45.76    76.90    94.10    98.20    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20  +14      85.21     7.18    59.98    39.25    76.08    94.37    98.42    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   19  +10      79.35     7.65    44.24    13.62    39.14    78.75    91.45    98.85     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.66     8.17     4.53     0.06     0.49     2.45    10.58    39.01     0.16R    0.01  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      66.02     8.52    15.67     0.63     3.38    12.61    37.10    74.22     0.03R    0.01  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.65     8.09    16.62     0.35     2.11     8.98    30.42    70.27     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   13   -3      63.21     8.37    13.94     0.33     1.71     7.35    24.74    63.31     0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          9   12   -1      42.73     8.26   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.28    16.13R    3.40  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.46     7.95    -9.88     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.84     6.57     4.01R    0.55  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.52     7.57   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.47    31.45R    8.21  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      47.95     8.13    -5.69     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.94     6.89     4.54R    0.59  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      45.61     8.16   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.47     4.07     8.67R    1.58  
Everton          8   10   -2      54.97     8.57     3.29     0.01     0.16     0.98     5.65    25.53     0.83R    0.07  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      45.86     8.09    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.48     3.97     7.66R    1.37  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.27     7.97   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.55    31.72R    9.19  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.28     7.55   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    47.25R   16.85  
Fulham           9    7   -1      44.76     7.94    -4.98     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.35     3.17     8.81R    1.59  
Bolton           9    6  -12      39.13     8.11   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.75    29.53R    8.28  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.55     7.47   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.90R   33.08  
Blackburn        9    5  -10      35.96     7.81   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    43.23R   15.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 October 2011, Brighton vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.67     9.46    31.55    32.08    53.72    87.92    62.99P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   24  +12      83.24     9.16    33.14    30.74    52.33    87.82    64.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      73.75     8.98    14.87     5.52    14.50    54.86    23.92P    0.13R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.35     8.65     0.86     0.55     1.88    16.77     4.54P    1.78R    0.14  
Leeds_United     12   21   +6      71.78     9.68    12.28     4.49    11.81    46.33    19.72P    0.49R    0.03  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.12     8.94    -5.38     0.35     1.17    12.08     2.94P    3.83R    0.30  
Hull             12   21   +1      67.13     8.92     0.99     1.26     3.78    25.77     8.44P    0.98R    0.06  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.96     9.19    14.10     4.25    11.05    47.72    20.97P    0.33R    0.01  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      61.91     9.01    -7.06     0.34     1.22    11.49     2.94P    4.41R    0.46  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      60.23     9.76    -4.61     0.37     1.25    10.96     2.96P    7.98R    0.99  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.38     9.71    10.45     3.05     8.18    37.38    16.06P    0.83R    0.05  
Brighton         13   19   +1      59.71     9.09    -5.87     0.20     0.79     8.05     2.08P    6.94R    0.80  
Leicester        13   19   +1      65.90     9.12     3.37     0.97     3.16    22.89     7.64P    1.68R    0.13  
Birmingham       10   17   +4      77.47    10.08    20.63    13.81    28.35    68.63    40.57P    0.12R    0.00  
Reading          13   17   +1      66.88     9.06     7.85     1.33     4.03    26.68    10.14P    1.07R    0.06  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.30     8.83    -1.02     0.13     0.47     7.19     2.03P    6.74R    0.67  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.44     9.24    -1.54     0.32     1.24    11.72     3.52P    4.99R    0.56  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.73     8.80   -10.17     0.03     0.15     2.54     0.54P   16.57R    2.69  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.51     9.08    -8.58     0.13     0.61     7.77     2.22P    7.26R    0.90  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.40     8.81    -4.70     0.04     0.23     3.86     1.04P   11.90R    1.72  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.22     8.48   -15.50     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.12P   36.62R    8.14  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.43     9.07   -20.56     0.02     0.06     1.00     0.24P   33.67R    7.96  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.49     8.33   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   77.37R   38.95  
Bristol_City     13    6  -16      41.10     8.56   -31.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.29R   35.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, Bournemouth vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        14   31  +17      86.55     8.97    34.54    22.87    48.04    91.84    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    14   30  +20      91.85     8.79    48.23    50.00    72.63    97.51    81.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       14   29   +8      80.02     9.07    18.56     7.22    19.75    74.50    32.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    14   26   +9      71.40     8.90    11.13     1.05     4.02    38.44    10.52P    0.38R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       14   25   +9      82.14     9.26    29.16    10.95    28.66    81.77    45.71P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         14   24  +10      75.08     9.01    20.65     2.58     9.08    56.01    20.94P    0.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool      13   22   +4      65.01     9.16     0.08     0.23     1.13    16.31     3.80P    2.82R    0.16  
Tranmere        14   22   +3      65.15     8.78     2.27     0.13     0.76    15.60     3.66P    2.22R    0.14  
Preston         13   22   +2      76.31     9.94    16.13     4.43    13.06    59.42    25.40P    0.24R    0.01  
Brentford       14   22   +2      65.96     8.87     2.01     0.20     1.03    18.24     4.20P    1.95R    0.12  
Carlisle        14   21   -4      62.48     8.89    -8.47     0.10     0.49     9.86     2.16P    4.97R    0.37  
Oldham          14   20   -3      60.56     8.75    -8.10     0.02     0.19     6.69     1.36P    6.99R    0.60  
Colchester      14   18   -1      64.21     9.01     2.35     0.11     0.65    14.41     3.47P    3.38R    0.25  
Stevenage       14   17   +3      55.63     8.95    -4.68     0.01     0.07     2.87     0.56P   17.88R    2.32  
Bury            14   17   -6      53.64     9.04   -17.37     0.01     0.04     1.76     0.33P   26.06R    4.18  
Scunthorpe      14   14   -2      60.53     9.37     1.67     0.06     0.30     8.16     2.21P    8.19R    0.96  
Walsall         14   14   -2      53.85     8.81    -8.42     0.00     0.03     1.54     0.36P   23.33R    3.90  
Rochdale        14   13   -9      54.06     8.90   -14.15     0.00     0.03     1.70     0.36P   23.44R    4.14  
Leyton_Orient   14   13  -11      52.54     8.88   -18.23     0.00     0.02     1.17     0.20P   29.50R    5.73  
Wycombe         14   12   -8      47.33     8.78   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   51.97R   15.68  
Bournemouth     14   12   -9      53.62     8.87   -12.95     0.00     0.02     1.46     0.35P   24.32R    4.18  
Chesterfield    14   11   -9      45.30     8.92   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   61.11R   22.69  
Exeter          14   11  -14      46.02     8.48   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   59.20R   19.34  
Yeovil          14   10   -9      47.23     8.65   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   51.89R   15.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         14   31   +9      78.22     9.59    13.74    14.80    40.92    74.63    47.59P    0.03R    0.01  
Southend             14   29  +12      83.67     9.01    28.34    32.90    66.34    90.73    73.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           14   26   +6      68.00     8.98     2.79     1.79     9.01    33.82    13.40P    0.41R    0.11  
Morecambe            14   25  +16      72.49     9.15    21.24     5.50    21.41    55.48    29.62P    0.08R    0.01  
Gillingham           14   24   +9      75.85     9.07    21.09     9.71    32.63    68.98    42.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +3      75.67     9.03    14.52     8.45    30.49    67.52    40.85P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           14   23   +6      67.13     8.91     6.69     1.39     7.78    31.18    12.81P    0.47R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.60     9.03    -0.32     0.96     5.55    24.75     9.23P    0.98R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   23   -1      57.51     9.09   -17.68     0.15     1.11     6.68     1.90P    7.29R    2.62  
Swindon              14   22   +8      79.07     9.38    28.12    17.84    47.22    79.60    58.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            14   22   +6      69.71     8.99    11.63     2.64    12.74    42.53    20.53P    0.24R    0.04  
Macclesfield         14   21   +4      61.85     8.83    -0.63     0.34     2.46    14.28     4.90P    2.11R    0.59  
Rotherham            14   19   -1      67.81     9.22     6.30     1.76     9.40    34.68    15.97P    0.61R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers       14   18   -4      62.98     9.46    -2.80     0.65     3.98    18.34     7.73P    2.39R    0.78  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      58.65     8.87    -3.33     0.13     1.22     8.28     2.89P    4.64R    1.58  
Crewe                14   16   -3      63.49     9.21     2.09     0.56     4.01    19.55     8.05P    1.89R    0.66  
Northampton          14   15   -5      56.20     8.94    -9.30     0.07     0.57     4.93     1.54P    8.58R    3.24  
Torquay              14   15   -6      60.31     9.12    -4.20     0.22     1.73    11.30     4.12P    3.82R    1.38  
Accrington_Stanley   14   15   -6      57.37     8.99    -8.53     0.07     0.76     6.36     2.04P    6.79R    2.55  
Bradford             14   13   -5      48.01     8.62   -19.02     0.00     0.05     0.62     0.15P   31.97R   16.25  
Dag_&_Red            14   13   -9      54.20     9.28   -13.30     0.06     0.46     3.78     1.29P   13.36R    5.76  
Hereford             14   13  -14      45.46     8.41   -31.36     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   46.16R   26.53  
Barnet               14   12  -11      45.64     8.59   -28.15     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.06P   44.44R   25.48  
Plymouth             14    8  -16      50.62     9.24   -17.93     0.01     0.13     1.48     0.49P   23.66R   11.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.29     7.77    37.04    32.33    93.26    50.20P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.38     8.04    25.45    11.58    75.98    26.72P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.41     7.97    33.34     9.55    74.13    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.38     7.47    46.71    41.03    95.29    63.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.20     8.10    18.25     2.19    42.62    10.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.75     8.14     1.51     0.43    18.23     2.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      67.08     8.04    -3.76     0.14     8.57     1.12P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.57     8.47    13.64     1.45    31.02     6.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.57     8.67     7.69     0.30    12.55     2.23P    0.31R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.57     8.12     0.94     0.10     7.15     1.09P    0.26R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.99     8.15    -2.32     0.09     6.05     0.83P    0.43R    0.01  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      71.95     8.22    11.47     0.76    23.81     5.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.93     7.92    -1.22     0.00     0.99     0.16P    2.88R    0.06  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.61     7.99    -2.05     0.04     3.96     0.84P    0.72R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.94     8.18    -0.76     0.02     2.92     0.53P    1.33R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.18     8.36    -7.87     0.00     0.32     0.04P   11.55R    0.53  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.94     7.83   -19.95     0.00     0.12     0.02P   13.75R    0.66  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.66     8.49     1.52     0.01     2.50     0.55P    2.24R    0.09  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.51     8.17   -18.41     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.38R    1.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.51     7.83   -27.29     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.29R    3.99  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.37     8.18   -10.97     0.00     0.33     0.07P    8.85R    0.41  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.32     8.04   -10.08     0.00     0.14     0.03P   12.47R    0.81  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.25     7.20   -57.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.92R   64.62  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.59     7.71   -35.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.30R   26.87