Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 23 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 9 25 +26 86.06 7.77 63.46 46.10 76.88 94.15 98.15 99.83 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 9 20 +14 85.18 7.17 60.00 38.65 75.75 94.41 98.34 99.85 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 9 19 +10 79.49 7.66 44.60 14.00 39.71 79.00 91.86 98.82 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 9 19 +6 58.50 8.15 4.22 0.06 0.46 2.47 10.30 38.61 0.17R 0.02 Tottenham 8 16 +2 65.96 8.46 15.63 0.59 3.31 12.56 37.13 74.49 0.02R 0.00 Liverpool 9 15 +2 64.58 8.08 16.50 0.34 2.08 8.96 30.15 70.24 0.02R 0.00 Arsenal 9 13 -3 63.27 8.32 14.01 0.25 1.64 7.08 25.10 64.34 0.05R 0.00 Norwich 9 12 -1 42.64 8.32 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.32 2.42 16.63R 3.67 Stoke 9 12 -4 48.53 7.88 -9.76 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.78 6.38 3.83R 0.55 QPR 9 12 -7 38.50 7.59 -29.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.46 31.65R 8.12 Aston_Villa 9 11 +0 48.03 8.11 -5.55 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.93 6.76 4.48R 0.63 West_Brom 9 11 -2 45.82 8.21 -12.55 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.52 4.45 8.44R 1.50 Everton 8 10 -2 54.77 8.54 2.96 0.01 0.14 0.99 5.49 24.52 0.89R 0.12 Sunderland 9 9 +2 45.75 8.08 -4.21 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.45 4.02 7.78R 1.34 Swansea 9 9 -5 38.22 7.87 -21.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.55 31.96R 8.98 Wolverhampton 9 8 -6 35.42 7.51 -28.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 46.23R 16.25 Fulham 9 7 -1 44.78 7.97 -4.95 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.32 3.23 9.08R 1.55 Bolton 9 6 -12 38.93 8.10 -26.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.63 30.10R 8.79 Wigan 9 5 -9 31.51 7.46 -32.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 66.13R 33.43 Blackburn 9 5 -10 36.09 7.79 -27.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.18 42.55R 15.03Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Bristol_City vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 13 27 +14 83.63 9.42 31.47 33.22 54.50 87.81 63.49P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 13 24 +8 73.96 9.00 15.10 6.36 15.50 55.78 24.85P 0.14R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 13 23 +6 64.37 8.69 0.99 0.58 2.05 17.04 4.75P 1.79R 0.12 West_Ham 12 21 +11 81.65 9.61 32.32 26.36 46.38 83.20 58.70P 0.04R 0.01 Leeds_United 12 21 +6 71.85 9.64 12.36 4.96 12.35 46.76 20.01P 0.46R 0.02 Derby 13 21 +1 62.44 8.92 -4.91 0.36 1.33 12.80 3.23P 3.58R 0.33 Hull 12 21 +1 67.04 8.80 0.93 1.18 3.69 24.97 8.27P 1.05R 0.07 Cardiff 13 20 +4 71.79 9.23 13.81 4.19 11.06 46.94 20.47P 0.35R 0.01 Ipswich 13 20 -2 61.86 8.98 -7.19 0.40 1.20 11.23 3.01P 4.44R 0.44 Peterborough 13 19 +4 59.81 9.71 -5.47 0.39 1.30 10.16 2.83P 8.37R 1.07 Blackpool 13 19 +3 69.14 9.69 10.10 3.17 7.96 36.27 15.64P 0.94R 0.08 Brighton 12 19 +2 61.03 9.52 -5.11 0.42 1.40 11.43 3.29P 6.20R 0.62 Leicester 13 19 +1 66.09 9.07 3.66 1.15 3.55 23.44 8.12P 1.40R 0.09 Birmingham 10 17 +4 77.84 10.08 21.27 15.05 30.31 70.00 42.57P 0.11R 0.00 Reading 13 17 +1 66.92 9.21 7.89 1.40 4.44 27.43 10.77P 1.22R 0.09 Portsmouth 13 15 +0 59.42 8.85 -0.85 0.18 0.60 7.24 1.98P 6.59R 0.74 Burnley 12 15 -1 61.50 9.25 -1.52 0.37 1.29 11.90 3.69P 4.90R 0.63 Barnsley 13 15 -2 54.70 8.76 -10.19 0.03 0.14 2.50 0.56P 16.63R 2.66 Nott'm_Forest 13 14 -9 59.64 9.06 -8.40 0.18 0.65 7.76 2.38P 7.24R 0.79 Millwall 13 12 -4 56.58 8.77 -4.47 0.05 0.22 3.87 1.06P 11.19R 1.58 Coventry 13 11 -6 49.21 8.49 -15.59 0.00 0.02 0.46 0.10P 36.60R 8.05 Watford 13 10 -12 50.21 9.11 -20.88 0.01 0.05 0.93 0.22P 34.43R 8.37 Doncaster 13 8 -14 40.58 8.30 -33.32 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 76.97R 37.76 Bristol_City 13 6 -16 40.83 8.51 -32.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 75.37R 36.47League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, Bournemouth vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 14 31 +17 86.70 8.91 34.80 23.38 49.07 92.22 61.47P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 14 30 +20 91.74 8.79 47.95 49.75 72.17 97.48 81.14P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 14 29 +8 80.14 9.13 18.82 7.55 20.56 74.99 33.06P 0.02R 0.00 Notts_County 14 26 +9 71.46 8.82 11.22 1.07 4.06 38.74 10.71P 0.35R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 14 25 +9 81.89 9.14 28.73 10.43 27.62 81.18 44.68P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 14 24 +10 75.03 9.05 20.55 2.59 8.96 55.86 21.03P 0.12R 0.00 Hartlepool 13 22 +4 65.07 9.21 0.19 0.24 1.04 16.72 3.70P 2.86R 0.22 Tranmere 14 22 +3 65.21 8.73 2.35 0.16 0.80 15.77 3.58P 2.07R 0.08 Preston 13 22 +2 76.13 9.90 15.81 4.28 12.70 58.95 24.80P 0.25R 0.01 Brentford 14 22 +2 65.99 8.88 2.04 0.22 1.10 18.15 4.52P 2.01R 0.11 Carlisle 14 21 -4 62.48 8.90 -8.40 0.09 0.48 9.87 2.21P 5.09R 0.39 Oldham 14 20 -3 60.57 8.78 -8.08 0.04 0.24 6.67 1.34P 7.02R 0.65 Colchester 14 18 -1 64.21 8.94 2.39 0.11 0.65 14.08 3.39P 3.17R 0.22 Stevenage 14 17 +3 55.53 8.92 -4.87 0.00 0.06 2.66 0.52P 18.14R 2.50 Bury 14 17 -6 53.75 8.97 -17.21 0.00 0.02 1.72 0.30P 25.40R 4.27 Scunthorpe 14 14 -2 60.52 9.41 1.62 0.06 0.35 8.39 2.23P 8.27R 0.98 Walsall 14 14 -2 53.60 8.77 -8.79 0.01 0.03 1.43 0.28P 24.17R 4.02 Rochdale 14 13 -9 54.05 8.89 -14.18 0.00 0.04 1.76 0.37P 23.75R 4.01 Leyton_Orient 14 13 -11 52.48 8.78 -18.34 0.00 0.01 1.06 0.18P 29.62R 5.56 Wycombe 14 12 -8 47.40 8.78 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 51.49R 15.25 Bournemouth 14 12 -9 53.75 8.96 -12.73 0.00 0.03 1.56 0.37P 24.68R 4.02 Chesterfield 14 11 -9 45.30 9.02 -25.43 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 61.08R 23.02 Exeter 14 11 -14 45.96 8.55 -27.94 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 59.33R 19.77 Yeovil 14 10 -9 47.42 8.66 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 51.08R 14.93League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crawley_Town 14 31 +9 78.06 9.58 13.46 14.37 40.48 74.08 47.12P 0.02R 0.00 Southend 14 29 +12 83.85 8.99 28.57 33.92 66.95 91.25 73.97P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 14 26 +6 68.25 8.97 3.20 1.84 9.37 34.66 14.15P 0.38R 0.08 Morecambe 14 25 +16 72.48 9.15 21.21 5.27 21.07 55.50 29.34P 0.09R 0.03 Gillingham 14 24 +9 75.79 9.06 21.01 9.59 32.15 68.85 42.65P 0.03R 0.00 Shrewsbury 14 24 +3 75.61 8.98 14.45 8.16 30.22 67.18 40.16P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 14 23 +6 67.17 8.91 6.70 1.40 7.84 31.16 12.83P 0.43R 0.11 Burton_Albion 14 23 +2 65.51 9.08 -0.41 0.89 5.68 24.54 9.37P 0.94R 0.29 AFC_Wimbledon 14 23 -1 57.44 9.03 -17.69 0.15 1.07 6.49 2.00P 7.08R 2.56 Swindon 14 22 +8 79.24 9.21 28.39 17.85 47.75 80.56 59.24P 0.03R 0.01 Port_Vale 14 22 +6 69.82 9.05 11.80 2.70 13.06 43.34 20.88P 0.25R 0.06 Macclesfield 14 21 +4 61.42 8.80 -1.35 0.28 2.21 13.10 4.31P 2.38R 0.73 Rotherham 14 19 -1 67.96 9.13 6.56 1.79 9.37 34.76 15.85P 0.58R 0.15 Bristol_Rovers 14 18 -4 63.06 9.52 -2.74 0.66 3.93 18.74 7.76P 2.52R 0.85 Aldershot 14 17 +0 58.77 8.91 -3.14 0.17 1.26 8.42 2.93P 4.59R 1.56 Crewe 14 16 -3 63.36 9.22 1.98 0.55 3.86 19.11 7.80P 1.98R 0.63 Northampton 14 15 -5 56.23 8.86 -9.27 0.08 0.56 4.86 1.51P 8.19R 3.08 Torquay 14 15 -6 60.29 9.12 -4.28 0.20 1.78 11.14 4.11P 3.95R 1.38 Accrington_Stanley 14 15 -6 57.35 8.91 -8.52 0.07 0.71 5.98 1.94P 6.74R 2.55 Bradford 14 13 -5 47.94 8.60 -19.12 0.00 0.05 0.63 0.17P 32.40R 16.47 Dag_&_Red 14 13 -9 54.47 9.25 -12.96 0.05 0.47 3.77 1.33P 12.70R 5.36 Hereford 14 13 -14 45.53 8.27 -31.26 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.04P 45.18R 25.91 Barnet 14 12 -11 45.70 8.68 -28.08 0.01 0.02 0.28 0.06P 44.34R 25.54 Plymouth 14 8 -16 50.23 9.27 -18.52 0.01 0.13 1.45 0.50P 25.19R 12.64Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 18 39 +19 89.33 7.80 37.10 32.62 92.96 50.67P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 18 37 +13 83.45 8.06 25.50 11.69 76.03 26.46P 0.00 0.00 York 18 34 +18 82.35 7.99 33.24 9.66 73.59 26.48P 0.00 0.00 Luton 18 33 +16 90.30 7.47 46.58 40.43 95.22 63.68P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 18 33 +11 76.06 8.12 18.07 2.06 42.35 9.84P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 18 33 +3 70.87 8.17 1.68 0.52 18.33 2.85P 0.05R 0.00 Southport 18 32 +2 66.93 8.04 -4.04 0.14 8.61 1.10P 0.20R 0.00 Mansfield 17 30 +8 73.85 8.44 14.12 1.52 32.09 7.07P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 18 29 +8 67.81 8.66 8.06 0.34 13.10 2.32P 0.22R 0.00 Tamworth 17 29 +6 65.63 8.11 1.04 0.10 7.18 1.12P 0.29R 0.00 Barrow 18 29 +2 64.79 8.03 -2.62 0.07 5.57 0.79P 0.40R 0.00 Kidderminster 18 28 +3 72.00 8.27 11.51 0.78 23.99 5.31P 0.05R 0.00 Forest_Green 18 23 +4 58.02 7.93 -1.12 0.00 1.01 0.14P 2.88R 0.07 Darlington 18 22 -7 63.44 7.93 -2.28 0.03 3.52 0.78P 0.70R 0.01 Grimsby 18 20 -6 62.01 8.13 -0.66 0.01 2.86 0.63P 1.30R 0.03 Ebbsfleet_United 18 19 -1 53.34 8.42 -7.68 0.00 0.33 0.06P 10.90R 0.60 Kettering 18 19 -11 51.88 7.80 -20.09 0.00 0.09 0.01P 13.75R 0.71 Stockport 18 18 -5 60.89 8.48 1.93 0.01 2.69 0.61P 2.01R 0.07 AFC_Telford 18 18 -6 48.33 8.13 -18.82 0.00 0.05 0.00P 26.82R 2.03 Hayes_&_Yeading 18 16 -11 45.32 7.81 -27.66 0.00 0.01 0.00 42.08R 4.26 Lincoln_City 18 16 -11 54.38 8.26 -10.94 0.00 0.31 0.05P 9.07R 0.41 Newport_County 18 15 -8 52.23 8.09 -10.20 0.00 0.13 0.03P 12.62R 0.83 Alfreton_Town 18 10 -26 31.25 7.31 -57.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.62R 64.60 Bath_City 18 7 -21 36.59 7.65 -35.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.02R 26.38