Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         9   25  +26      86.06     7.77    63.46    46.10    76.88    94.15    98.15    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20  +14      85.18     7.17    60.00    38.65    75.75    94.41    98.34    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   19  +10      79.49     7.66    44.60    14.00    39.71    79.00    91.86    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.50     8.15     4.22     0.06     0.46     2.47    10.30    38.61     0.17R    0.02  
Tottenham        8   16   +2      65.96     8.46    15.63     0.59     3.31    12.56    37.13    74.49     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.58     8.08    16.50     0.34     2.08     8.96    30.15    70.24     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   13   -3      63.27     8.32    14.01     0.25     1.64     7.08    25.10    64.34     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          9   12   -1      42.64     8.32   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32     2.42    16.63R    3.67  
Stoke            9   12   -4      48.53     7.88    -9.76     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.78     6.38     3.83R    0.55  
QPR              9   12   -7      38.50     7.59   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.46    31.65R    8.12  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      48.03     8.11    -5.55     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.93     6.76     4.48R    0.63  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      45.82     8.21   -12.55     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.52     4.45     8.44R    1.50  
Everton          8   10   -2      54.77     8.54     2.96     0.01     0.14     0.99     5.49    24.52     0.89R    0.12  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      45.75     8.08    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.45     4.02     7.78R    1.34  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.22     7.87   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.55    31.96R    8.98  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.42     7.51   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    46.23R   16.25  
Fulham           9    7   -1      44.78     7.97    -4.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32     3.23     9.08R    1.55  
Bolton           9    6  -12      38.93     8.10   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.63    30.10R    8.79  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.51     7.46   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    66.13R   33.43  
Blackburn        9    5  -10      36.09     7.79   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18    42.55R   15.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 October 2011, Bristol_City vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.63     9.42    31.47    33.22    54.50    87.81    63.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      73.96     9.00    15.10     6.36    15.50    55.78    24.85P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.37     8.69     0.99     0.58     2.05    17.04     4.75P    1.79R    0.12  
West_Ham         12   21  +11      81.65     9.61    32.32    26.36    46.38    83.20    58.70P    0.04R    0.01  
Leeds_United     12   21   +6      71.85     9.64    12.36     4.96    12.35    46.76    20.01P    0.46R    0.02  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.44     8.92    -4.91     0.36     1.33    12.80     3.23P    3.58R    0.33  
Hull             12   21   +1      67.04     8.80     0.93     1.18     3.69    24.97     8.27P    1.05R    0.07  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.79     9.23    13.81     4.19    11.06    46.94    20.47P    0.35R    0.01  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      61.86     8.98    -7.19     0.40     1.20    11.23     3.01P    4.44R    0.44  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      59.81     9.71    -5.47     0.39     1.30    10.16     2.83P    8.37R    1.07  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.14     9.69    10.10     3.17     7.96    36.27    15.64P    0.94R    0.08  
Brighton         12   19   +2      61.03     9.52    -5.11     0.42     1.40    11.43     3.29P    6.20R    0.62  
Leicester        13   19   +1      66.09     9.07     3.66     1.15     3.55    23.44     8.12P    1.40R    0.09  
Birmingham       10   17   +4      77.84    10.08    21.27    15.05    30.31    70.00    42.57P    0.11R    0.00  
Reading          13   17   +1      66.92     9.21     7.89     1.40     4.44    27.43    10.77P    1.22R    0.09  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.42     8.85    -0.85     0.18     0.60     7.24     1.98P    6.59R    0.74  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.50     9.25    -1.52     0.37     1.29    11.90     3.69P    4.90R    0.63  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.70     8.76   -10.19     0.03     0.14     2.50     0.56P   16.63R    2.66  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.64     9.06    -8.40     0.18     0.65     7.76     2.38P    7.24R    0.79  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.58     8.77    -4.47     0.05     0.22     3.87     1.06P   11.19R    1.58  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.21     8.49   -15.59     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.10P   36.60R    8.05  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.21     9.11   -20.88     0.01     0.05     0.93     0.22P   34.43R    8.37  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.58     8.30   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.97R   37.76  
Bristol_City     13    6  -16      40.83     8.51   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   75.37R   36.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, Bournemouth vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        14   31  +17      86.70     8.91    34.80    23.38    49.07    92.22    61.47P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    14   30  +20      91.74     8.79    47.95    49.75    72.17    97.48    81.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       14   29   +8      80.14     9.13    18.82     7.55    20.56    74.99    33.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    14   26   +9      71.46     8.82    11.22     1.07     4.06    38.74    10.71P    0.35R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       14   25   +9      81.89     9.14    28.73    10.43    27.62    81.18    44.68P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         14   24  +10      75.03     9.05    20.55     2.59     8.96    55.86    21.03P    0.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool      13   22   +4      65.07     9.21     0.19     0.24     1.04    16.72     3.70P    2.86R    0.22  
Tranmere        14   22   +3      65.21     8.73     2.35     0.16     0.80    15.77     3.58P    2.07R    0.08  
Preston         13   22   +2      76.13     9.90    15.81     4.28    12.70    58.95    24.80P    0.25R    0.01  
Brentford       14   22   +2      65.99     8.88     2.04     0.22     1.10    18.15     4.52P    2.01R    0.11  
Carlisle        14   21   -4      62.48     8.90    -8.40     0.09     0.48     9.87     2.21P    5.09R    0.39  
Oldham          14   20   -3      60.57     8.78    -8.08     0.04     0.24     6.67     1.34P    7.02R    0.65  
Colchester      14   18   -1      64.21     8.94     2.39     0.11     0.65    14.08     3.39P    3.17R    0.22  
Stevenage       14   17   +3      55.53     8.92    -4.87     0.00     0.06     2.66     0.52P   18.14R    2.50  
Bury            14   17   -6      53.75     8.97   -17.21     0.00     0.02     1.72     0.30P   25.40R    4.27  
Scunthorpe      14   14   -2      60.52     9.41     1.62     0.06     0.35     8.39     2.23P    8.27R    0.98  
Walsall         14   14   -2      53.60     8.77    -8.79     0.01     0.03     1.43     0.28P   24.17R    4.02  
Rochdale        14   13   -9      54.05     8.89   -14.18     0.00     0.04     1.76     0.37P   23.75R    4.01  
Leyton_Orient   14   13  -11      52.48     8.78   -18.34     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.18P   29.62R    5.56  
Wycombe         14   12   -8      47.40     8.78   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   51.49R   15.25  
Bournemouth     14   12   -9      53.75     8.96   -12.73     0.00     0.03     1.56     0.37P   24.68R    4.02  
Chesterfield    14   11   -9      45.30     9.02   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   61.08R   23.02  
Exeter          14   11  -14      45.96     8.55   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   59.33R   19.77  
Yeovil          14   10   -9      47.42     8.66   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   51.08R   14.93  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         14   31   +9      78.06     9.58    13.46    14.37    40.48    74.08    47.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             14   29  +12      83.85     8.99    28.57    33.92    66.95    91.25    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           14   26   +6      68.25     8.97     3.20     1.84     9.37    34.66    14.15P    0.38R    0.08  
Morecambe            14   25  +16      72.48     9.15    21.21     5.27    21.07    55.50    29.34P    0.09R    0.03  
Gillingham           14   24   +9      75.79     9.06    21.01     9.59    32.15    68.85    42.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +3      75.61     8.98    14.45     8.16    30.22    67.18    40.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   23   +6      67.17     8.91     6.70     1.40     7.84    31.16    12.83P    0.43R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.51     9.08    -0.41     0.89     5.68    24.54     9.37P    0.94R    0.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   23   -1      57.44     9.03   -17.69     0.15     1.07     6.49     2.00P    7.08R    2.56  
Swindon              14   22   +8      79.24     9.21    28.39    17.85    47.75    80.56    59.24P    0.03R    0.01  
Port_Vale            14   22   +6      69.82     9.05    11.80     2.70    13.06    43.34    20.88P    0.25R    0.06  
Macclesfield         14   21   +4      61.42     8.80    -1.35     0.28     2.21    13.10     4.31P    2.38R    0.73  
Rotherham            14   19   -1      67.96     9.13     6.56     1.79     9.37    34.76    15.85P    0.58R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       14   18   -4      63.06     9.52    -2.74     0.66     3.93    18.74     7.76P    2.52R    0.85  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      58.77     8.91    -3.14     0.17     1.26     8.42     2.93P    4.59R    1.56  
Crewe                14   16   -3      63.36     9.22     1.98     0.55     3.86    19.11     7.80P    1.98R    0.63  
Northampton          14   15   -5      56.23     8.86    -9.27     0.08     0.56     4.86     1.51P    8.19R    3.08  
Torquay              14   15   -6      60.29     9.12    -4.28     0.20     1.78    11.14     4.11P    3.95R    1.38  
Accrington_Stanley   14   15   -6      57.35     8.91    -8.52     0.07     0.71     5.98     1.94P    6.74R    2.55  
Bradford             14   13   -5      47.94     8.60   -19.12     0.00     0.05     0.63     0.17P   32.40R   16.47  
Dag_&_Red            14   13   -9      54.47     9.25   -12.96     0.05     0.47     3.77     1.33P   12.70R    5.36  
Hereford             14   13  -14      45.53     8.27   -31.26     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.04P   45.18R   25.91  
Barnet               14   12  -11      45.70     8.68   -28.08     0.01     0.02     0.28     0.06P   44.34R   25.54  
Plymouth             14    8  -16      50.23     9.27   -18.52     0.01     0.13     1.45     0.50P   25.19R   12.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.33     7.80    37.10    32.62    92.96    50.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.45     8.06    25.50    11.69    76.03    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.35     7.99    33.24     9.66    73.59    26.48P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.30     7.47    46.58    40.43    95.22    63.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.06     8.12    18.07     2.06    42.35     9.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.87     8.17     1.68     0.52    18.33     2.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      66.93     8.04    -4.04     0.14     8.61     1.10P    0.20R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.85     8.44    14.12     1.52    32.09     7.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.81     8.66     8.06     0.34    13.10     2.32P    0.22R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.63     8.11     1.04     0.10     7.18     1.12P    0.29R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.79     8.03    -2.62     0.07     5.57     0.79P    0.40R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.00     8.27    11.51     0.78    23.99     5.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      58.02     7.93    -1.12     0.00     1.01     0.14P    2.88R    0.07  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.44     7.93    -2.28     0.03     3.52     0.78P    0.70R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      62.01     8.13    -0.66     0.01     2.86     0.63P    1.30R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.34     8.42    -7.68     0.00     0.33     0.06P   10.90R    0.60  
Kettering          18   19  -11      51.88     7.80   -20.09     0.00     0.09     0.01P   13.75R    0.71  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.89     8.48     1.93     0.01     2.69     0.61P    2.01R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.33     8.13   -18.82     0.00     0.05     0.00P   26.82R    2.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.32     7.81   -27.66     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.08R    4.26  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.38     8.26   -10.94     0.00     0.31     0.05P    9.07R    0.41  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.23     8.09   -10.20     0.00     0.13     0.03P   12.62R    0.83  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.25     7.31   -57.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R   64.60  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.59     7.65   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.02R   26.38