Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, Aston_Villa vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         8   22  +21      80.92     8.08    51.23    17.47    48.28    84.50    94.35    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   20  +19      88.93     7.12    69.77    61.06    87.41    97.97    99.59    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          8   19  +11      82.60     7.82    49.04    20.72    58.14    88.61    96.12    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        9   19   +6      58.52     8.07     4.28     0.05     0.46     2.51    11.57    41.03     0.13R    0.02  
Liverpool        9   15   +2      64.71     8.10    16.75     0.22     1.99     9.44    33.65    73.03     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   13   +1      64.59     8.65    15.14     0.32     2.46    10.00    33.72    70.80     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          9   12   -1      43.30     8.28   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     2.96    13.92R    2.94  
Stoke            8   12   -2      49.91     8.09    -7.67     0.01     0.02     0.21     1.61    10.45     2.97R    0.38  
Aston_Villa      9   11   +0      47.75     8.18    -6.13     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.10     7.37     4.82R    0.64  
West_Brom        9   11   -2      46.25     8.20   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.80     5.54     7.29R    1.34  
Arsenal          8   10   -5      61.83     8.44    12.26     0.13     1.15     5.84    22.01    59.46     0.09R    0.01  
Sunderland       9    9   +2      46.00     7.98    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.58     4.86     6.86R    1.16  
Swansea          9    9   -5      38.46     7.84   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.63    29.96R    7.98  
QPR              8    9   -8      35.03     7.65   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.18    49.07R   17.01  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -6      35.50     7.49   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    44.79R   15.02  
Fulham           8    7   +1      47.20     8.16    -1.13     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.91     6.82     5.26R    0.81  
Everton          7    7   -4      51.65     8.75    -1.30     0.01     0.07     0.54     3.44    16.79     2.37R    0.31  
Bolton           9    6  -12      39.10     8.01   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.79    28.39R    7.72  
Blackburn        8    5   -9      36.92     7.98   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37    38.33R   12.54  
Wigan            9    5   -9      31.44     7.37   -32.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.69R   32.12  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, Blackpool vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      13   27  +14      83.74     9.46    31.61    35.08    55.89    88.12    64.67P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   24   +8      73.97     9.08    15.10     6.97    16.56    56.42    26.22P    0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   13   23   +6      64.35     8.68     0.89     0.61     2.08    17.35     4.74P    1.95R    0.14  
West_Ham         12   21  +11      81.60     9.47    32.28    26.66    47.63    83.71    59.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     12   21   +6      71.70     9.61    12.09     4.86    12.47    46.57    20.14P    0.45R    0.02  
Derby            13   21   +1      62.30     8.92    -5.13     0.40     1.37    12.74     3.35P    3.84R    0.38  
Hull             12   21   +1      67.02     8.86     0.90     1.32     4.02    25.76     8.59P    1.11R    0.07  
Cardiff          13   20   +4      71.91     9.22    14.03     4.68    12.15    47.96    21.78P    0.37R    0.02  
Ipswich          13   20   -2      62.04     8.96    -6.95     0.34     1.28    11.78     3.11P    4.48R    0.44  
Peterborough     13   19   +4      60.05     9.69    -4.95     0.43     1.31    10.70     3.01P    8.17R    1.07  
Blackpool        13   19   +3      69.36     9.74    10.45     3.41     8.79    38.05    16.66P    1.06R    0.07  
Brighton         12   19   +2      61.35     9.49    -4.58     0.53     1.62    12.30     3.61P    5.99R    0.69  
Leicester        13   19   +1      66.14     9.12     3.68     1.14     3.68    24.38     8.46P    1.61R    0.11  
Reading          13   17   +1      66.82     9.07     7.80     1.31     4.29    27.18    10.41P    1.16R    0.09  
Portsmouth       13   15   +0      59.28     8.82    -1.03     0.17     0.64     7.36     2.09P    7.08R    0.75  
Burnley          12   15   -1      61.58     9.22    -1.42     0.39     1.41    12.47     3.85P    5.05R    0.59  
Barnsley         13   15   -2      54.88     8.80    -9.99     0.02     0.13     2.70     0.58P   16.82R    2.77  
Birmingham        9   14   +2      75.33    10.46    17.93    11.49    23.76    61.12    35.31P    0.31R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    13   14   -9      59.59     9.00    -8.48     0.15     0.65     7.83     2.31P    7.35R    0.88  
Millwall         13   12   -4      56.37     8.76    -4.74     0.03     0.22     3.85     1.08P   12.35R    1.93  
Coventry         13   11   -6      49.31     8.55   -15.46     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.12P   37.67R    9.02  
Watford          13   10  -12      50.16     9.17   -21.02     0.01     0.04     1.00     0.25P   35.91R    9.41  
Doncaster        13    8  -14      40.38     8.26   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    78.81R   41.80  
Bristol_City     12    6  -14      42.71     8.69   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   68.28R   29.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, Bournemouth vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        14   31  +17      86.43     9.01    34.39    22.78    47.51    91.76    59.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    14   30  +20      91.84     8.72    48.25    49.69    72.77    97.69    81.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       14   29   +8      79.70     9.18    18.08     7.02    19.32    73.39    31.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    14   26   +9      71.41     8.93    11.19     1.11     4.05    38.38    10.63P    0.41R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       14   25   +9      82.31     9.25    29.36    11.47    29.68    82.26    46.81P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         14   24  +10      74.86     9.05    20.33     2.46     8.62    55.75    20.76P    0.16R    0.01  
Hartlepool      13   22   +4      65.11     9.12     0.26     0.19     1.06    16.72     3.73P    2.78R    0.19  
Tranmere        14   22   +3      65.26     8.76     2.46     0.14     0.81    16.02     3.73P    2.21R    0.10  
Preston         13   22   +2      76.37     9.88    16.21     4.58    13.21    59.80    25.38P    0.20R    0.01  
Brentford       14   22   +2      66.01     8.82     2.11     0.18     1.00    18.18     4.21P    1.88R    0.06  
Carlisle        14   21   -4      62.45     8.97    -8.48     0.10     0.42    10.03     2.12P    5.33R    0.41  
Oldham          14   20   -3      60.48     8.78    -8.18     0.05     0.26     6.59     1.38P    7.39R    0.63  
Colchester      14   18   -1      64.08     9.08     2.18     0.12     0.73    14.37     3.55P    3.42R    0.26  
Stevenage       14   17   +3      55.55     8.94    -4.77     0.01     0.06     2.73     0.56P   18.15R    2.54  
Bury            14   17   -6      53.98     8.98   -16.80     0.00     0.04     1.79     0.32P   24.80R    3.95  
Scunthorpe      14   14   -2      60.35     9.45     1.34     0.08     0.34     8.12     2.24P    8.74R    1.03  
Walsall         14   14   -2      53.79     8.65    -8.48     0.00     0.02     1.36     0.24P   23.24R    3.68  
Rochdale        14   13   -9      54.16     8.96   -14.07     0.01     0.04     1.74     0.35P   23.72R    4.02  
Leyton_Orient   14   13  -11      52.35     8.82   -18.58     0.00     0.03     0.97     0.20P   30.41R    5.82  
Wycombe         14   12   -8      47.68     8.93   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   50.38R   15.06  
Bournemouth     14   12   -9      53.71     8.94   -12.89     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.39P   24.67R    4.24  
Chesterfield    14   11   -9      45.15     8.97   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   61.78R   23.42  
Exeter          14   11  -14      45.90     8.49   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   59.47R   19.89  
Yeovil          14   10   -9      47.46     8.70   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   50.78R   14.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         14   31   +9      78.12     9.49    13.57    14.32    40.23    74.30    46.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             14   29  +12      83.76     8.96    28.49    33.20    66.70    90.94    73.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           14   26   +6      67.98     8.98     2.74     1.82     8.96    33.53    13.33P    0.42R    0.10  
Morecambe            14   25  +16      72.25     9.11    20.85     5.04    20.54    54.45    28.61P    0.11R    0.03  
Gillingham           14   24   +9      75.81     9.08    21.07     9.69    32.45    69.03    43.04P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +3      75.79     9.00    14.73     8.54    30.70    67.86    40.85P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           14   23   +6      67.32     8.86     6.91     1.42     7.74    31.93    12.98P    0.47R    0.10  
Burton_Albion        14   23   +2      65.61     9.05    -0.32     0.90     5.52    24.94     9.19P    0.94R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   23   -1      57.42     9.04   -17.86     0.13     0.97     6.45     1.86P    7.20R    2.69  
Swindon              14   22   +8      79.40     9.29    28.69    18.44    48.75    81.04    60.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            14   22   +6      69.63     9.06    11.51     2.52    12.67    42.23    20.27P    0.23R    0.06  
Macclesfield         14   21   +4      61.50     8.80    -1.21     0.29     2.27    13.15     4.48P    2.24R    0.64  
Rotherham            14   19   -1      68.10     9.24     6.80     1.99     9.81    35.60    16.57P    0.53R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       14   18   -4      62.88     9.45    -2.90     0.58     3.79    18.08     7.43P    2.49R    0.83  
Aldershot            14   17   +0      59.02     8.96    -2.80     0.17     1.36     9.09     3.26P    4.37R    1.46  
Crewe                14   16   -3      63.24     9.27     1.71     0.57     3.86    19.18     7.93P    2.05R    0.69  
Northampton          14   15   -5      56.28     8.88    -9.17     0.05     0.56     5.00     1.57P    8.09R    3.10  
Torquay              14   15   -6      60.33     9.08    -4.17     0.19     1.75    11.27     4.03P    3.95R    1.34  
Accrington_Stanley   14   15   -6      57.16     8.87    -8.85     0.09     0.67     5.61     1.82P    7.02R    2.55  
Bradford             14   13   -5      47.96     8.61   -19.04     0.00     0.06     0.61     0.18P   32.40R   16.17  
Dag_&_Red            14   13   -9      54.43     9.25   -13.04     0.04     0.48     3.84     1.33P   12.86R    5.42  
Hereford             14   13  -14      45.56     8.43   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   45.39R   25.98  
Barnet               14   12  -11      45.50     8.66   -28.38     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.07P   45.01R   26.34  
Plymouth             14    8  -16      50.52     9.26   -18.14     0.01     0.12     1.43     0.52P   24.14R   12.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            18   39  +19      89.31     7.78    37.09    32.58    93.04    50.69P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   37  +13      83.26     8.08    25.24    11.41    75.32    26.21P    0.00     0.00  
York               18   34  +18      82.30     8.08    33.11     9.76    73.16    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      90.24     7.47    46.45    40.57    95.02    63.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      18   33  +11      76.22     8.04    18.24     2.20    42.54    10.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   33   +3      70.91     8.10     1.74     0.53    18.51     2.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Southport          18   32   +2      67.09     7.99    -3.77     0.14     8.65     1.09P    0.24R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   30   +8      73.83     8.40    14.06     1.52    31.69     7.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     18   29   +8      67.91     8.70     8.25     0.31    13.48     2.42P    0.24R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   29   +6      65.58     8.08     1.00     0.12     7.24     1.08P    0.26R    0.00  
Barrow             18   29   +2      64.75     8.07    -2.68     0.07     5.53     0.71P    0.43R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   28   +3      72.15     8.21    11.79     0.76    24.49     5.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   23   +4      57.82     7.89    -1.37     0.00     0.99     0.16P    2.97R    0.07  
Darlington         18   22   -7      63.57     7.96    -2.11     0.02     3.88     0.85P    0.67R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   20   -6      61.87     8.24    -0.90     0.02     2.95     0.63P    1.43R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   19   -1      53.11     8.29    -8.01     0.00     0.26     0.02P   11.23R    0.58  
Kettering          18   19  -11      52.07     7.84   -19.69     0.00     0.12     0.01P   13.55R    0.62  
Stockport          18   18   -5      60.96     8.43     2.01     0.00     2.70     0.58P    1.93R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        18   18   -6      48.14     8.10   -19.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.40R    2.17  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   16  -11      45.46     7.78   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.13R    4.02  
Lincoln_City       18   16  -11      54.21     8.18   -11.17     0.00     0.26     0.04P    9.14R    0.40  
Newport_County     18   15   -8      52.31     8.05   -10.10     0.00     0.12     0.03P   12.53R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      18   10  -26      31.17     7.27   -57.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.91R   65.48  
Bath_City          18    7  -21      36.76     7.69   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.82R   25.73