Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 20 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 October 2011, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 22 +21 80.96 8.02 51.80 17.43 48.30 83.51 93.96 99.23 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 8 20 +19 88.72 7.09 69.75 60.36 86.69 97.62 99.47 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 8 19 +11 82.51 7.76 49.26 21.19 57.53 87.35 95.66 99.54 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 8 16 +5 57.75 8.22 4.53 0.04 0.42 2.04 9.46 36.83 0.22R 0.01 Liverpool 8 14 +2 66.73 8.22 19.66 0.57 3.56 13.70 41.84 79.43 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 7 13 +1 64.46 8.61 15.03 0.30 2.20 9.16 30.65 69.66 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 8 12 -2 49.82 8.05 -8.08 0.00 0.02 0.17 1.39 9.72 2.93R 0.39 Aston_Villa 8 11 +1 50.53 8.37 -2.88 0.00 0.04 0.29 2.07 12.55 2.54R 0.35 Norwich 8 11 -1 41.95 8.35 -19.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.27 2.28 18.80R 4.48 Arsenal 8 10 -5 61.87 8.44 12.58 0.12 1.18 5.54 20.61 59.03 0.09R 0.01 QPR 8 9 -8 35.04 7.58 -34.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 49.37R 17.80 West_Brom 8 8 -3 43.30 8.26 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.31 2.86 13.97R 3.12 Swansea 8 8 -5 38.29 8.00 -21.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.65 31.58R 9.16 Fulham 8 7 +1 47.28 8.17 -1.18 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.85 6.47 5.36R 0.87 Everton 7 7 -4 51.88 8.68 -0.93 0.01 0.05 0.43 2.98 16.65 2.26R 0.32 Wolverhampton 8 7 -6 36.47 7.73 -27.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.25 40.86R 13.45 Sunderland 8 6 +0 43.25 8.14 -7.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23 2.49 13.16R 2.96 Bolton 8 6 -10 41.83 8.33 -22.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 1.79 19.49R 4.87 Wigan 8 5 -8 32.12 7.58 -33.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 63.24R 30.74 Blackburn 8 5 -9 37.39 7.94 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.39 36.08R 11.47Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 October 2011, Leicester vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 12 26 +14 83.60 9.65 30.82 35.06 55.69 87.55 64.16P 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 12 21 +11 81.31 9.47 31.77 26.31 46.59 83.10 58.58P 0.02R 0.00 Middlesbrough 12 21 +6 71.77 9.12 12.32 4.60 11.87 47.17 20.29P 0.32R 0.02 Derby 12 21 +3 63.96 9.10 -2.58 0.66 2.22 17.69 4.87P 2.86R 0.26 Crystal_Palace 12 20 +5 61.99 8.81 -1.21 0.41 1.31 12.18 3.30P 3.86R 0.39 Ipswich 12 20 -1 64.31 9.24 -4.62 0.85 2.70 18.42 5.41P 3.04R 0.32 Peterborough 12 19 +5 62.15 10.01 -2.67 0.87 2.52 15.93 4.87P 6.07R 0.87 Blackpool 12 19 +4 72.19 9.85 13.67 6.30 14.90 49.60 24.27P 0.57R 0.05 Leicester 12 19 +4 69.24 9.30 9.32 2.67 7.77 36.98 14.60P 0.75R 0.06 Brighton 12 19 +2 61.21 9.49 -4.82 0.54 1.70 12.09 3.72P 6.24R 0.78 Leeds_United 11 18 +5 69.44 9.78 10.10 3.49 8.89 38.43 15.73P 1.00R 0.11 Hull 11 18 +0 65.58 9.02 0.33 1.08 3.33 21.49 7.23P 1.79R 0.14 Cardiff 12 17 +2 70.06 9.31 11.62 3.23 8.98 40.45 17.43P 0.60R 0.05 Reading 12 16 +1 67.47 9.33 8.21 1.96 5.74 30.66 12.67P 1.13R 0.10 Barnsley 12 15 +0 56.13 8.85 -7.77 0.06 0.26 3.93 0.96P 13.51R 2.30 Birmingham 9 14 +2 75.24 10.39 17.71 11.39 23.68 61.08 35.29P 0.32R 0.04 Burnley 11 12 -2 59.29 9.38 -3.36 0.32 0.94 8.82 2.76P 8.49R 1.40 Portsmouth 12 12 -2 57.49 8.96 -3.21 0.12 0.42 5.38 1.47P 10.72R 1.74 Coventry 12 11 -5 50.99 8.67 -13.84 0.01 0.05 0.98 0.22P 30.28R 7.26 Nott'm_Forest 12 11 -10 56.71 9.14 -11.34 0.06 0.30 4.71 1.32P 13.30R 2.33 Watford 12 10 -11 51.35 9.26 -20.01 0.01 0.07 1.48 0.35P 31.25R 8.70 Millwall 12 9 -7 52.71 8.85 -10.53 0.01 0.07 1.73 0.47P 23.56R 5.16 Doncaster 12 8 -12 41.84 8.43 -31.17 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 72.78R 36.94 Bristol_City 12 6 -14 42.96 8.67 -28.73 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.03P 67.53R 31.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 October 2011, Preston vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 13 28 +13 83.97 9.14 28.98 17.58 37.55 86.15 50.70P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 13 27 +18 90.06 9.04 45.84 44.67 67.15 95.84 77.41P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 13 26 +6 77.77 9.37 15.62 5.99 15.87 64.80 26.88P 0.10R 0.00 Notts_County 13 25 +9 72.04 9.10 11.55 1.73 5.48 40.34 12.00P 0.37R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 13 24 +9 83.28 9.54 30.34 16.31 35.84 83.64 51.30P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 13 23 +10 75.90 9.37 21.36 4.23 12.34 58.74 24.06P 0.18R 0.01 Preston 12 22 +4 78.24 10.09 18.86 8.02 19.20 66.04 31.71P 0.18R 0.01 Brentford 13 21 +2 66.14 9.11 1.73 0.34 1.47 18.89 4.90P 2.18R 0.11 Carlisle 13 21 +0 64.91 9.15 -2.72 0.31 1.21 15.38 3.85P 3.15R 0.21 Hartlepool 12 19 +3 63.22 9.31 -1.06 0.18 0.79 12.14 2.82P 4.78R 0.41 Tranmere 13 19 +2 63.49 8.94 1.23 0.16 0.68 11.98 2.80P 3.79R 0.23 Colchester 13 18 +1 65.89 9.18 4.76 0.31 1.41 18.88 5.20P 2.45R 0.19 Oldham 13 17 -5 58.23 8.91 -11.19 0.02 0.12 4.19 0.91P 12.28R 1.26 Stevenage 13 16 +3 56.24 9.24 -4.53 0.02 0.14 3.42 0.70P 17.21R 2.20 Walsall 13 14 -1 55.60 9.01 -6.81 0.00 0.08 2.51 0.53P 18.43R 2.56 Bury 13 14 -7 50.64 9.21 -20.45 0.00 0.02 0.93 0.14P 38.58R 8.23 Scunthorpe 13 13 -2 60.14 9.65 0.28 0.08 0.43 7.91 2.23P 9.69R 1.23 Rochdale 13 13 -7 56.37 9.21 -10.67 0.02 0.12 3.11 0.72P 17.49R 2.59 Wycombe 13 12 -6 49.29 9.16 -18.48 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.12P 43.65R 10.87 Bournemouth 13 12 -8 56.22 9.20 -10.05 0.01 0.08 2.89 0.74P 17.80R 2.39 Leyton_Orient 13 12 -11 52.24 9.09 -19.35 0.00 0.03 1.09 0.20P 31.61R 6.17 Chesterfield 13 11 -8 46.87 9.15 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 54.51R 16.96 Yeovil 13 9 -9 47.55 8.90 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 50.76R 14.26 Exeter 13 8 -16 43.17 8.68 -31.72 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 70.81R 30.08League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crawley_Town 13 28 +6 74.71 9.79 7.75 10.14 30.19 61.54 36.25P 0.09R 0.02 Southend 13 26 +9 81.02 9.27 23.65 27.05 57.30 84.97 64.88P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 13 23 +7 68.47 9.07 7.55 2.62 11.76 37.27 17.27P 0.37R 0.07 Cheltenham 13 23 +5 65.46 9.13 0.25 1.41 6.85 25.49 10.30P 0.98R 0.22 Shrewsbury 13 23 +3 76.12 9.17 14.68 11.72 35.31 69.23 44.58P 0.03R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 13 23 +2 60.31 9.36 -11.89 0.51 2.62 12.01 4.07P 4.13R 1.24 Morecambe 13 22 +12 68.15 9.34 12.96 2.98 12.22 37.48 17.97P 0.41R 0.10 Port_Vale 13 22 +10 73.38 9.21 19.19 7.83 26.11 59.52 35.23P 0.11R 0.02 Gillingham 13 21 +8 74.50 9.27 20.51 9.72 30.37 63.95 39.77P 0.06R 0.02 Burton_Albion 13 20 +1 63.47 9.20 -2.14 0.72 4.37 19.49 7.30P 1.74R 0.51 Swindon 13 19 +7 77.37 9.61 27.11 17.01 43.19 74.43 53.76P 0.03R 0.01 Macclesfield 13 18 +3 58.83 9.07 -4.00 0.29 1.67 9.22 3.14P 4.81R 1.55 Rotherham 13 18 -1 68.75 9.49 7.25 3.13 13.01 39.19 19.78P 0.59R 0.17 Bristol_Rovers 13 18 -3 64.71 9.81 -1.26 1.61 7.10 24.64 11.60P 1.73R 0.53 Crewe 13 16 -2 66.30 9.47 5.39 1.78 8.67 30.08 14.38P 1.01R 0.26 Torquay 13 15 -3 62.29 9.23 -0.26 0.67 3.70 16.59 6.97P 2.45R 0.79 Northampton 13 15 -4 58.28 9.12 -7.24 0.21 1.32 8.02 2.85P 5.80R 2.09 Accrington_Stanley 13 15 -5 59.62 9.25 -6.28 0.26 1.86 10.52 3.92P 4.43R 1.51 Aldershot 13 14 -3 55.12 8.94 -8.97 0.08 0.50 4.10 1.37P 9.91R 3.66 Dag_&_Red 13 13 -6 58.09 9.43 -6.24 0.22 1.51 8.57 3.44P 6.47R 2.30 Barnet 13 12 -10 47.22 8.88 -26.94 0.01 0.05 0.60 0.14P 37.39R 19.20 Bradford 13 10 -6 45.81 8.75 -20.99 0.00 0.02 0.36 0.10P 42.17R 22.25 Hereford 13 10 -15 43.42 8.62 -33.17 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.04P 55.44R 34.47 Plymouth 13 8 -15 52.11 9.53 -16.93 0.03 0.28 2.56 0.88P 19.84R 9.02Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 October 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 17 38 +19 90.84 7.97 39.01 42.51 95.06 58.20P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 17 34 +10 81.67 8.34 22.21 8.74 69.93 22.51P 0.00 0.00 York 17 31 +16 80.63 8.28 31.00 7.30 67.61 22.85P 0.00R 0.00 Southport 17 31 +2 67.54 8.29 -3.69 0.22 11.24 1.48P 0.27R 0.00 Luton 17 30 +15 89.27 7.73 46.63 35.43 93.54 60.28P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 17 30 +9 74.20 8.30 15.71 1.44 35.33 8.16P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 17 30 +2 68.89 8.39 0.08 0.31 14.68 2.18P 0.20R 0.00 Tamworth 16 28 +6 65.82 8.33 0.70 0.16 8.84 1.29P 0.37R 0.01 Kidderminster 17 28 +5 74.38 8.54 15.13 1.79 36.49 8.90P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 16 27 +7 73.70 8.67 15.65 1.65 34.20 7.64P 0.06R 0.00 Braintree_Town 17 26 +6 65.10 8.95 4.21 0.22 9.14 1.73P 0.87R 0.03 Barrow 17 26 +0 62.10 8.25 -6.37 0.03 3.71 0.50P 1.35R 0.02 Darlington 17 22 -5 65.63 8.12 0.86 0.09 7.46 1.71P 0.48R 0.00 Forest_Green 17 20 +3 55.44 8.14 -3.64 0.00 0.69 0.09P 7.08R 0.27 Grimsby 17 20 -5 62.77 8.34 -0.67 0.04 4.18 0.78P 1.33R 0.05 Ebbsfleet_United 17 18 -1 53.31 8.59 -8.29 0.00 0.42 0.08P 13.43R 0.62 Stockport 17 18 -4 63.56 8.71 4.94 0.06 6.10 1.36P 1.35R 0.05 AFC_Telford 17 18 -5 50.19 8.39 -16.97 0.00 0.15 0.03P 22.72R 1.71 Kettering 17 18 -11 52.21 8.00 -20.10 0.00 0.18 0.02P 15.40R 0.84 Hayes_&_Yeading 17 16 -9 46.53 8.04 -25.70 0.00 0.04 0.01P 38.97R 3.94 Lincoln_City 17 16 -9 56.22 8.44 -8.18 0.01 0.82 0.18P 7.32R 0.32 Newport_County 17 14 -8 51.71 8.18 -11.80 0.00 0.19 0.04P 16.03R 1.20 Alfreton_Town 17 10 -25 31.41 7.41 -58.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.93R 67.97 Bath_City 17 7 -18 38.11 7.90 -32.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.81R 22.97