Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 October 2011 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 October 2011, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         8   22  +21      81.09     7.93    52.01    17.70    48.62    83.94    94.32    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   20  +19      88.66     7.13    69.65    59.68    86.49    97.54    99.42    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          8   19  +11      82.66     7.67    49.47    21.67    57.90    87.87    96.08    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        8   16   +5      57.85     8.21     4.69     0.03     0.36     2.06     9.57    37.24     0.24R    0.02  
Liverpool        8   14   +2      66.48     8.25    19.27     0.49     3.24    13.02    40.99    78.66     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   13   +1      64.50     8.60    15.12     0.29     2.17     9.22    30.83    70.05     0.04R    0.01  
Stoke            8   12   -2      49.84     8.01    -8.01     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.34     9.78     2.73R    0.38  
Aston_Villa      8   11   +1      50.45     8.30    -3.01     0.00     0.02     0.25     2.03    12.22     2.53R    0.32  
Norwich          8   11   -1      41.84     8.36   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     2.10    19.08R    4.78  
Arsenal          8   10   -5      61.94     8.40    12.69     0.14     1.12     5.35    20.61    59.46     0.09R    0.01  
QPR              8    9   -8      35.10     7.59   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    49.32R   17.95  
West_Brom        8    8   -3      43.15     8.36   -15.61     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.32     2.78    14.77R    3.47  
Swansea          8    8   -5      38.51     8.08   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.73    30.95R    9.03  
Fulham           8    7   +1      47.23     8.11    -1.20     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.86     6.49     5.22R    0.79  
Everton          7    7   -4      51.81     8.67    -1.13     0.00     0.05     0.42     2.98    16.50     2.20R    0.28  
Wolverhampton    8    7   -6      36.54     7.76   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32    40.39R   13.45  
Sunderland       8    6   +0      43.28     8.14    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     2.45    13.29R    2.93  
Bolton           8    6  -10      41.83     8.31   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.75    19.26R    4.68  
Wigan            8    5   -8      32.25     7.52   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.87R   29.98  
Blackburn        8    5   -9      37.26     7.91   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    36.99R   11.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 October 2011, Leicester vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      12   26  +14      83.65     9.79    30.92    35.48    55.78    87.47    64.28P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         12   21  +11      81.10     9.49    31.33    25.31    45.91    82.62    58.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    12   21   +6      71.67     9.18    12.16     4.68    11.94    47.08    20.32P    0.34R    0.02  
Derby            12   21   +3      64.11     9.07    -2.41     0.75     2.44    17.88     5.02P    2.70R    0.27  
Crystal_Palace   12   20   +5      61.85     8.77    -1.43     0.36     1.33    11.92     3.22P    3.90R    0.41  
Ipswich          12   20   -1      64.18     9.11    -4.77     0.76     2.45    17.85     5.12P    2.86R    0.36  
Peterborough     12   19   +5      62.25     9.99    -2.52     0.90     2.66    16.13     5.10P    5.98R    0.83  
Blackpool        12   19   +4      72.03     9.89    13.36     6.33    14.56    48.84    23.83P    0.49R    0.04  
Leicester        12   19   +4      69.35     9.25     9.42     2.80     7.95    37.13    14.67P    0.73R    0.06  
Brighton         12   19   +2      61.20     9.40    -4.77     0.52     1.58    12.03     3.57P    6.03R    0.77  
Leeds_United     11   18   +5      69.33     9.87     9.90     3.52     9.13    38.23    15.91P    1.10R    0.10  
Hull             11   18   +0      65.68     9.02     0.43     1.11     3.39    22.10     7.33P    1.88R    0.17  
Cardiff          12   17   +2      70.10     9.30    11.67     3.39     9.00    40.73    17.55P    0.66R    0.07  
Reading          12   16   +1      67.73     9.33     8.53     2.19     6.07    31.56    13.10P    1.12R    0.09  
Barnsley         12   15   +0      56.33     8.95    -7.49     0.09     0.33     4.20     1.02P   13.47R    2.31  
Birmingham        9   14   +2      75.19    10.36    17.73    11.29    23.57    60.93    35.05P    0.31R    0.02  
Burnley          11   12   -2      59.23     9.32    -3.40     0.29     0.87     8.75     2.59P    8.46R    1.42  
Portsmouth       12   12   -2      57.41     8.91    -3.35     0.10     0.40     5.22     1.55P   10.86R    1.62  
Coventry         12   11   -5      51.17     8.59   -13.57     0.01     0.04     0.94     0.21P   29.63R    6.80  
Nott'm_Forest    12   11  -10      56.80     9.19   -11.26     0.09     0.39     4.95     1.44P   13.44R    2.29  
Watford          12   10  -11      51.53     9.21   -19.75     0.01     0.09     1.56     0.34P   30.69R    8.15  
Millwall         12    9   -7      52.59     8.83   -10.60     0.02     0.10     1.75     0.42P   24.08R    5.31  
Doncaster        12    8  -12      41.81     8.41   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   73.09R   36.90  
Bristol_City     12    6  -14      42.80     8.72   -29.03     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   68.17R   31.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 October 2011, Preston vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        13   28  +13      83.58     9.19    28.39    16.88    36.69    85.10    49.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    13   27  +18      90.03     9.04    45.77    45.38    67.07    95.81    77.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       13   26   +6      77.57     9.45    15.35     5.90    15.78    64.09    26.86P    0.11R    0.01  
Notts_County    13   25   +9      72.19     9.13    11.74     1.80     5.90    41.43    12.61P    0.38R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd       13   24   +9      83.10     9.47    30.05    16.13    35.73    83.45    50.98P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         13   23  +10      75.99     9.25    21.52     4.36    12.74    59.12    24.85P    0.14R    0.01  
Preston         12   22   +4      77.99    10.16    18.49     8.02    19.23    65.05    31.73P    0.17R    0.01  
Brentford       13   21   +2      65.97     9.06     1.47     0.33     1.48    18.29     4.72P    2.28R    0.13  
Carlisle        13   21   +0      64.99     9.21    -2.57     0.32     1.27    15.91     4.01P    3.18R    0.22  
Hartlepool      12   19   +3      63.37     9.35    -0.80     0.23     0.87    12.95     2.97P    4.70R    0.40  
Tranmere        13   19   +2      63.44     8.99     1.16     0.11     0.66    11.99     2.84P    3.92R    0.26  
Colchester      13   18   +1      65.94     9.26     4.85     0.34     1.46    19.31     5.26P    2.53R    0.16  
Oldham          13   17   -5      58.18     8.89   -11.14     0.02     0.15     4.11     0.89P   12.38R    1.32  
Stevenage       13   16   +3      56.40     9.26    -4.27     0.02     0.13     3.51     0.74P   16.86R    2.35  
Walsall         13   14   -1      55.42     9.00    -7.04     0.01     0.09     2.38     0.46P   19.22R    2.78  
Bury            13   14   -7      50.93     9.18   -20.01     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.16P   37.74R    7.92  
Scunthorpe      13   13   -2      60.06     9.70     0.18     0.10     0.47     8.09     2.29P   10.00R    1.28  
Rochdale        13   13   -7      56.61     9.23   -10.20     0.02     0.12     3.32     0.84P   17.16R    2.48  
Wycombe         13   12   -6      49.46     9.19   -18.16     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.12P   42.92R   10.59  
Bournemouth     13   12   -8      56.03     9.16   -10.39     0.02     0.10     2.76     0.68P   18.24R    2.59  
Leyton_Orient   13   12  -11      52.25     9.04   -19.37     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.24P   32.11R    6.07  
Chesterfield    13   11   -8      47.13     9.21   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   53.72R   16.31  
Yeovil          13    9   -9      47.43     8.88   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   51.66R   14.76  
Exeter          13    8  -16      43.22     8.68   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   70.55R   30.33  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         13   28   +6      74.55     9.71     7.54    10.04    29.74    61.34    35.75P    0.11R    0.02  
Southend             13   26   +8      80.37     9.25    21.69    24.37    54.15    83.27    62.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           13   23   +7      68.72     9.11     7.92     3.04    12.36    38.46    18.23P    0.31R    0.06  
Cheltenham           13   23   +5      65.54     9.17     0.35     1.47     7.03    25.83    10.39P    1.00R    0.28  
Shrewsbury           13   23   +4      76.40     9.21    16.07    12.87    36.76    70.32    45.77P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   23   +2      60.38     9.37   -11.70     0.50     2.75    12.37     4.28P    3.87R    1.26  
Morecambe            13   22  +12      68.32     9.34    13.27     3.14    12.88    38.39    18.82P    0.44R    0.11  
Port_Vale            13   22  +10      73.27     9.16    18.99     7.78    25.95    59.04    34.74P    0.08R    0.02  
Gillingham           13   21   +8      74.49     9.33    20.53    10.11    30.67    63.86    40.35P    0.08R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        13   20   +1      63.64     9.20    -1.86     0.82     4.61    19.63     7.41P    1.79R    0.43  
Swindon              13   19   +7      77.43     9.60    27.20    17.62    43.85    74.49    54.74P    0.04R    0.01  
Macclesfield         13   18   +3      58.64     8.91    -4.26     0.19     1.41     8.53     2.94P    4.87R    1.50  
Rotherham            13   18   -1      68.88     9.41     7.40     3.31    13.26    39.75    19.89P    0.55R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       13   18   -3      64.61     9.67    -1.44     1.47     6.60    24.09    11.08P    1.64R    0.50  
Crewe                13   16   -2      66.43     9.41     5.58     1.83     8.78    30.55    14.50P    1.01R    0.25  
Torquay              13   15   -3      62.06     9.26    -0.59     0.63     3.52    16.16     6.75P    2.63R    0.75  
Northampton          13   15   -4      58.07     9.11    -7.63     0.21     1.34     7.53     2.69P    6.14R    2.20  
Accrington_Stanley   13   15   -5      59.48     9.17    -6.44     0.26     1.85    10.09     3.64P    4.47R    1.51  
Aldershot            13   14   -3      55.07     8.82    -8.99     0.05     0.51     3.93     1.26P    9.97R    3.48  
Dag_&_Red            13   13   -6      57.92     9.56    -6.48     0.26     1.60     8.56     3.46P    7.09R    2.64  
Barnet               13   12  -10      47.47     9.00   -26.49     0.01     0.06     0.71     0.19P   36.60R   19.15  
Bradford             13   10   -6      45.99     8.82   -20.63     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.10P   41.41R   21.83  
Hereford             13   10  -15      43.29     8.49   -33.46     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   56.73R   35.15  
Plymouth             13    8  -15      52.29     9.52   -16.55     0.04     0.31     2.55     0.92P   19.15R    8.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 October 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            17   38  +19      90.94     8.01    39.16    43.14    95.46    58.91P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   34  +10      81.77     8.29    22.39     9.21    70.21    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   31  +16      80.60     8.18    30.92     7.24    67.34    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          17   31   +2      67.46     8.25    -3.82     0.19    10.94     1.34P    0.28R    0.00  
Luton              17   30  +15      89.18     7.66    46.45    34.51    93.84    59.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   30   +9      74.16     8.31    15.64     1.49    35.36     8.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          17   30   +2      68.81     8.38    -0.06     0.34    14.45     2.15P    0.23R    0.00  
Tamworth           16   28   +6      65.73     8.37     0.54     0.14     8.90     1.30P    0.34R    0.00  
Kidderminster      17   28   +5      74.47     8.47    15.26     1.67    36.80     8.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   27   +7      73.48     8.68    15.25     1.59    33.30     7.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     17   26   +6      64.97     8.94     4.03     0.23     8.90     1.68P    0.91R    0.02  
Barrow             17   26   +0      62.21     8.35    -6.23     0.05     4.01     0.55P    1.56R    0.02  
Darlington         17   22   -5      65.55     8.12     0.75     0.08     7.21     1.64P    0.53R    0.00  
Forest_Green       17   20   +3      55.40     8.03    -3.69     0.00     0.63     0.09P    6.80R    0.25  
Grimsby            17   20   -5      62.91     8.37    -0.40     0.04     4.44     0.94P    1.31R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   18   -1      53.22     8.63    -8.30     0.00     0.47     0.06P   13.52R    0.78  
Stockport          17   18   -4      63.83     8.65     5.36     0.08     6.41     1.50P    1.07R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        17   18   -5      50.09     8.37   -17.02     0.00     0.16     0.03P   22.87R    1.52  
Kettering          17   18  -11      52.49     8.02   -19.67     0.00     0.16     0.03P   14.73R    0.80  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   16   -9      46.52     8.05   -25.64     0.00     0.04     0.00P   39.02R    3.79  
Lincoln_City       17   16   -9      56.25     8.44    -8.12     0.00     0.78     0.16P    7.25R    0.29  
Newport_County     17   14   -8      51.78     8.22   -11.68     0.00     0.17     0.03P   16.13R    1.25  
Alfreton_Town      17   10  -25      31.28     7.38   -58.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.13R   68.50  
Bath_City          17    7  -18      38.08     7.85   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.24R   22.69