Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, Chelsea vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         8   22  +21      80.99     7.95    51.78    17.64    48.16    83.13    94.05    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   20  +19      88.65     7.08    69.56    60.00    86.65    97.51    99.42    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          8   19  +11      82.52     7.74    49.19    21.18    57.42    86.96    95.64    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.45     8.50     5.12     0.08     0.50     2.70    11.44    40.51     0.25R    0.02  
Liverpool        8   14   +2      66.76     8.28    19.68     0.56     3.62    13.85    41.60    79.48     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.59     8.83    14.69     0.40     2.45     9.51    31.15    69.20     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke            8   12   -2      49.85     7.93    -7.94     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.17     9.77     2.72R    0.36  
Aston_Villa      8   11   +1      50.46     8.35    -2.98     0.00     0.04     0.29     2.04    12.33     2.66R    0.33  
Norwich          8   11   -1      41.77     8.38   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     2.17    19.61R    4.60  
QPR              8    9   -8      35.00     7.53   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    49.89R   18.24  
Swansea          8    8   -5      38.35     8.01   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.71    31.79R    9.34  
Fulham           8    7   +1      47.28     8.18    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.80     6.64     5.26R    0.77  
Everton          7    7   -4      51.75     8.63    -1.18     0.01     0.05     0.41     2.75    16.20     2.33R    0.33  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.06     7.99   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.49    33.52R   10.43  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.25     8.70    13.29     0.12     1.08     5.31    18.83    56.31     0.16R    0.01  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.56     8.38    -8.70     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.33     2.95    13.22R    3.01  
Bolton           8    6  -10      41.87     8.30   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.77    19.24R    4.69  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.72     8.55   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     2.05    19.87R    5.50  
Wigan            8    5   -8      32.15     7.53   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    63.32R   30.62  
Blackburn        8    5   -9      37.47     7.94   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39    36.08R   11.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, Brighton vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      11   23  +13      81.84    10.09    29.63    27.54    46.63    82.00    55.85P    0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham         11   21  +12      83.40     9.74    33.94    33.21    53.41    86.63    64.50P    0.02R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    11   21   +8      74.07     9.42    15.63     7.12    16.85    56.06    26.19P    0.18R    0.00  
Derby            11   20   +3      63.38     9.36    -3.95     0.67     2.07    15.81     4.32P    3.38R    0.39  
Brighton         11   18   +2      61.24     9.75    -5.26     0.56     1.66    12.15     3.54P    6.34R    0.96  
Hull             11   18   +0      65.43     9.13     0.10     0.96     2.94    20.76     6.83P    1.89R    0.18  
Leeds_United     10   17   +5      70.71    10.16    11.38     4.55    11.20    42.65    18.20P    0.86R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   11   17   +4      60.35     9.07    -2.34     0.23     0.86     9.34     2.39P    5.93R    0.79  
Cardiff          11   17   +3      72.39     9.54    13.91     5.01    13.01    49.22    23.05P    0.38R    0.03  
Ipswich          11   17   -2      62.58     9.43    -5.79     0.49     1.75    13.99     3.89P    4.51R    0.65  
Peterborough     11   16   +4      59.77    10.30    -4.72     0.56     1.67    11.30     3.40P    9.41R    1.82  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.58     9.73    10.16     3.14     8.54    37.54    15.45P    0.88R    0.11  
Blackpool        11   16   +3      71.45    10.25    14.15     5.37    13.19    46.04    22.23P    0.82R    0.09  
Reading          11   15   +1      68.78     9.54     9.59     2.57     7.13    34.83    14.43P    0.82R    0.08  
Burnley          10   12   +0      61.68     9.70     0.17     0.55     1.71    13.19     4.32P    5.55R    0.93  
Portsmouth       11   12   -1      59.24     9.24    -1.73     0.18     0.73     7.96     2.31P    8.02R    1.34  
Barnsley         11   12   -2      53.45     9.08   -11.32     0.03     0.15     2.26     0.53P   21.16R    4.80  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.47    10.72    14.08     7.13    15.96    49.73    26.33P    0.75R    0.09  
Coventry         11   10   -5      50.60     8.93   -14.99     0.01     0.06     0.99     0.25P   31.26R    8.51  
Watford          11   10   -9      52.60     9.53   -18.17     0.02     0.15     2.14     0.59P   26.26R    7.06  
Millwall         11    8   -7      53.25     9.12   -10.25     0.03     0.12     2.18     0.54P   21.67R    5.01  
Doncaster        11    8  -11      42.27     8.63   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   69.53R   35.77  
Nott'm_Forest    11    8  -12      54.36     9.39   -14.48     0.06     0.20     3.00     0.83P   19.54R    4.44  
Bristol_City     11    6  -13      44.26     8.94   -27.97     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   60.78R   26.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, Brentford vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        13   28  +13      83.58     9.31    28.39    17.02    36.72    84.64    49.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    13   27  +18      89.81     9.07    45.42    43.46    65.74    95.56    76.17P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    13   25   +9      72.21     9.22    11.81     1.83     5.84    41.33    12.71P    0.45R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.59     9.62    14.70     6.17    16.13    63.51    26.67P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons         13   23  +10      76.04     9.29    21.58     4.18    12.44    59.17    24.27P    0.16R    0.00  
Preston         11   22   +6      80.85    10.46    22.86    13.67    28.66    74.05    41.17P    0.12R    0.00  
Brentford       13   21   +2      65.93     9.08     1.50     0.32     1.37    18.43     4.63P    2.29R    0.12  
Carlisle        13   21   +0      65.17     9.24    -2.23     0.43     1.50    16.24     4.31P    2.92R    0.19  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.79    10.04    26.15    11.99    27.56    75.21    42.72P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool      12   19   +3      63.11     9.41    -1.10     0.22     0.87    12.43     2.94P    5.15R    0.41  
Tranmere        13   19   +2      63.64     8.89     1.45     0.14     0.67    12.27     3.00P    3.55R    0.22  
Colchester      13   18   +1      65.88     9.30     4.73     0.36     1.43    19.23     5.34P    2.43R    0.18  
Oldham          13   17   -5      58.35     8.91   -10.85     0.02     0.16     4.32     0.86P   11.96R    1.24  
Stevenage       13   16   +3      56.47     9.22    -4.14     0.03     0.12     3.41     0.72P   16.81R    2.29  
Walsall         13   14   -1      55.45     8.98    -6.93     0.01     0.07     2.44     0.55P   19.02R    2.64  
Bury            13   14   -7      50.47     9.22   -20.81     0.00     0.02     0.83     0.14P   39.31R    8.65  
Scunthorpe      13   13   -2      60.24     9.75     0.51     0.10     0.46     8.62     2.47P    9.63R    1.19  
Rochdale        13   13   -7      56.36     9.17   -10.58     0.02     0.10     3.09     0.65P   17.40R    2.49  
Wycombe         13   12   -6      49.36     9.18   -18.29     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.11P   43.38R   10.59  
Bournemouth     13   12   -8      56.35     9.14    -9.84     0.02     0.09     2.90     0.71P   17.28R    2.40  
Leyton_Orient   13   12  -11      52.32     9.09   -19.19     0.01     0.03     1.12     0.25P   31.27R    6.14  
Chesterfield    13   11   -8      47.02     9.13   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   54.33R   16.53  
Yeovil          13    9   -9      47.52     8.86   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   50.92R   14.14  
Exeter          13    8  -16      43.07     8.68   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   71.44R   30.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         13   28   +6      74.58     9.73     7.56     9.90    29.41    61.32    35.50P    0.09R    0.02  
Southend             13   26   +9      81.02     9.18    23.71    26.46    57.48    85.13    65.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           13   23   +7      68.67     9.00     7.86     2.69    11.86    37.94    17.53P    0.26R    0.06  
Cheltenham           13   23   +5      65.39     9.20     0.12     1.50     6.72    25.54    10.17P    1.02R    0.26  
Shrewsbury           13   23   +3      76.16     9.25    14.71    11.84    35.56    69.29    44.71P    0.05R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   23   +2      60.18     9.43   -12.08     0.48     2.64    11.99     4.25P    4.36R    1.34  
Morecambe            13   22  +12      68.29     9.33    13.14     3.14    12.54    38.16    18.36P    0.40R    0.09  
Port_Vale            13   22  +10      73.26     9.26    18.99     7.77    25.78    58.89    34.56P    0.09R    0.01  
Gillingham           13   21   +8      74.47     9.27    20.51     9.74    30.60    64.13    40.02P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   20   +1      63.58     9.24    -1.95     0.77     4.56    19.74     7.45P    1.77R    0.53  
Swindon              13   19   +7      77.53     9.56    27.37    17.63    43.74    74.79    54.62P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield         13   18   +3      58.78     9.02    -4.00     0.22     1.54     8.96     3.06P    4.94R    1.57  
Rotherham            13   18   -1      68.76     9.52     7.31     3.23    13.20    39.52    19.79P    0.57R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       13   18   -3      64.30     9.82    -1.84     1.43     6.56    23.33    10.93P    2.15R    0.68  
Crewe                13   16   -2      66.47     9.43     5.70     1.81     8.67    30.43    14.48P    1.06R    0.34  
Torquay              13   15   -3      62.24     9.28    -0.28     0.60     3.58    16.79     7.04P    2.60R    0.79  
Northampton          13   15   -4      58.19     9.17    -7.45     0.16     1.32     8.06     2.81P    5.99R    2.08  
Accrington_Stanley   13   15   -5      59.33     9.17    -6.63     0.29     1.75     9.71     3.61P    4.72R    1.51  
Aldershot            13   14   -3      55.10     8.86    -9.00     0.06     0.54     3.94     1.31P    9.84R    3.54  
Dag_&_Red            13   13   -6      58.07     9.45    -6.32     0.25     1.52     8.59     3.37P    6.48R    2.28  
Barnet               13   12  -10      47.33     8.84   -26.81     0.01     0.06     0.52     0.13P   36.87R   19.22  
Bradford             13   10   -6      45.76     8.75   -21.17     0.00     0.03     0.34     0.09P   42.62R   22.32  
Hereford             13   10  -15      43.53     8.55   -33.14     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   55.45R   34.66  
Plymouth             13    8  -15      52.50     9.53   -16.32     0.05     0.34     2.73     1.03P   18.55R    8.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            16   35  +18      88.25     8.24    36.51    29.14    90.96    47.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   31   +7      79.85     8.44    18.91     6.24    61.57    18.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +16      91.38     7.91    48.85    49.23    95.85    68.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               16   30  +16      81.39     8.42    31.51     8.75    70.33    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          16   30   +3      71.02     8.53     2.36     0.74    21.90     3.69P    0.11R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      16   29   +9      74.11     8.45    15.07     1.69    35.35     8.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Southport          16   28   +1      65.04     8.37    -6.08     0.12     7.24     0.99P    0.66R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     16   26   +7      66.23     9.19     5.04     0.39    11.90     2.43P    0.76R    0.03  
Mansfield          15   26   +7      73.96     8.85    15.41     1.87    35.58     8.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           15   25   +5      64.27     8.55    -0.25     0.12     7.01     1.07P    0.83R    0.03  
Kidderminster      16   25   +4      72.95     8.59    14.36     1.18    31.07     7.77P    0.06R    0.00  
Barrow             16   23   -1      59.66     8.45    -8.71     0.03     2.28     0.33P    3.16R    0.11  
Darlington         16   22   -4      68.25     8.37     3.63     0.28    13.47     3.28P    0.24R    0.00  
Grimsby            16   20   -3      65.31     8.59     3.14     0.16     8.45     1.74P    0.77R    0.02  
AFC_Telford        16   18   -4      51.45     8.68   -16.06     0.00     0.29     0.04P   19.27R    1.83  
Kettering          16   18   -9      54.40     8.26   -16.73     0.01     0.43     0.06P   10.63R    0.66  
Forest_Green       16   17   +2      53.73     8.29    -4.76     0.00     0.47     0.06P   10.90R    0.73  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   16   -8      47.94     8.24   -24.54     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.08R    3.86  
Ebbsfleet_United   16   15   -3      49.99     8.71   -12.78     0.00     0.20     0.04P   23.70R    2.59  
Stockport          16   15   -6      61.45     8.96     2.12     0.05     4.24     0.98P    2.62R    0.12  
Lincoln_City       16   15   -9      56.76     8.71    -8.01     0.00     1.21     0.23P    7.23R    0.49  
Newport_County     16   11  -10      49.55     8.38   -14.68     0.00     0.10     0.02P   24.46R    3.14  
Alfreton_Town      16   10  -22      32.78     7.69   -54.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.34R   65.44  
Bath_City          16    7  -16      39.92     8.10   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.12R   20.95