Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.50     7.39    70.15    67.32    89.74    97.85    99.45    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.47     8.26    48.42    14.09    44.91    78.93    91.27    98.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.22     8.03    47.11    17.21    55.05    84.10    93.85    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.62     8.54     5.50     0.07     0.76     3.51    12.35    40.42     0.27R    0.01  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.44     8.43    18.63     0.69     4.54    15.66    40.67    77.08     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.59     8.89    14.53     0.46     3.18    11.51    31.86    68.83     0.07R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      51.82     8.56     0.07     0.01     0.13     0.73     3.20    15.78     2.07R    0.25  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.29     8.19   -11.23     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.80     5.83     5.94R    1.08  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.29     8.50   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.21    29.24R    9.12  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.12     8.35   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.29    24.98R    7.27  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.70     7.95   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30    46.54R   17.53  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.41     8.39     2.25     0.00     0.04     0.30     1.71    10.16     3.43R    0.51  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.66     8.82    -0.03     0.01     0.14     0.83     3.90    18.80     1.90R    0.26  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.01     7.98   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.46    33.91R   11.00  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.34     8.70    13.37     0.13     1.49     6.33    19.97    55.61     0.13R    0.01  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.64     8.38    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.33     3.09    13.10R    2.90  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.51     8.60   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.96    20.53R    6.10  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.61     7.90   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    50.30R   20.80  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.66     8.22   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.50    36.20R   12.52  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.82     8.47   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.88    31.37R   10.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 October 2011, Doncaster vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.72    10.31    30.56    30.80    49.30    83.06    58.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.06     9.66    16.55     8.85    19.38    58.57    28.87P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.64     9.54    -4.22     0.78     2.36    16.34     4.55P    3.51R    0.44  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.91    10.21    27.00    21.22    37.84    75.53    49.71P    0.05R    0.01  
Leeds_United     10   17   +5      70.69    10.11    11.27     4.21    10.54    41.58    17.48P    0.90R    0.06  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.60     9.97    -5.52     0.63     1.85    12.94     3.89P    6.29R    0.96  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.65     9.36    -0.22     1.06     3.27    21.04     6.95P    1.95R    0.21  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.17    10.36    21.81    10.95    22.40    59.53    33.35P    0.30R    0.02  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.65     9.75    10.22     3.17     8.40    36.84    15.11P    0.84R    0.09  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.85     9.78    15.52     6.87    16.26    54.16    26.53P    0.29R    0.03  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.41     9.57    -8.20     0.40     1.30    11.41     3.00P    5.97R    0.91  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.18     9.33    -6.68     0.11     0.43     5.20     1.25P   11.89R    2.21  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      56.99    10.49    -7.77     0.30     0.95     7.32     2.06P   15.42R    3.74  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.93    10.01     2.48     1.08     3.05    18.74     6.46P    3.92R    0.59  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.84     9.86     8.08     1.88     5.22    27.37    11.44P    1.79R    0.21  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.50     9.40    -8.33     0.10     0.32     3.89     0.91P   16.01R    3.36  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.60    10.75    14.23     7.25    15.72    49.05    25.40P    0.80R    0.10  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.81     9.83   -13.30     0.08     0.36     4.44     1.16P   16.91R    4.09  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.34     9.49    -4.14     0.11     0.48     5.57     1.67P   11.72R    2.51  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      55.87     9.68   -13.29     0.09     0.35     4.31     1.22P   16.39R    3.67  
Doncaster        11    8  -11      41.95     8.62   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   70.83R   37.66  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.51     9.18   -16.86     0.01     0.03     0.64     0.11P   40.28R   13.37  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.07     9.32   -11.00     0.04     0.15     2.05     0.63P   22.89R    5.70  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.44     9.37   -25.79     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.09P   50.88R   20.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 October 2011, Oldham vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.31     9.39    31.60    25.27    46.25    89.81    57.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.54     9.48    14.65     5.63    14.80    62.89    25.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.17     9.34    39.61    29.58    51.71    91.62    64.99P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         12   22  +10      77.18     9.51    22.78     5.50    14.40    63.07    26.98P    0.12R    0.01  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.87    10.58    26.85    20.32    37.66    81.61    49.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    12   22   +7      69.80     9.30     8.71     1.05     3.29    30.95     8.68P    0.90R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.57    10.00    25.79    10.88    25.03    74.36    40.27P    0.08R    0.01  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.49     9.32     1.58     0.43     1.55    19.65     4.95P    2.17R    0.11  
Hartlepool      11   19   +5      65.93     9.62     3.11     0.47     1.68    19.25     4.78P    2.83R    0.20  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.61     9.33    -8.35     0.10     0.47     8.84     1.93P    7.23R    0.68  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.47     9.47     5.05     0.44     1.64    20.65     5.70P    2.43R    0.15  
Oldham          12   17   -4      59.77     9.16    -9.92     0.05     0.25     5.89     1.27P    9.52R    1.05  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.65     9.13    -0.08     0.12     0.39     8.75     2.04P    6.17R    0.54  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.47     9.46   -19.11     0.00     0.04     1.42     0.25P   31.78R    6.76  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.73     9.37    -7.11     0.00     0.05     1.95     0.41P   25.04R    4.74  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.47    10.03     0.14     0.09     0.47     9.16     2.54P    9.61R    1.39  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.80     9.40   -10.49     0.03     0.15     3.44     0.82P   16.84R    2.61  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.62     9.19   -10.09     0.00     0.04     1.30     0.29P   28.87R    5.53  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.54     9.53   -19.56     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.13P   42.97R   11.99  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      55.91     9.28   -11.17     0.01     0.10     2.77     0.61P   18.66R    3.01  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.45     9.15   -14.27     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.15P   37.81R    8.98  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      46.06     9.24   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   57.32R   20.29  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.43     9.32   -20.78     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.16P   39.10R    9.86  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.48     8.91   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   60.42R   22.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 October 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +9      81.98     9.44    24.56    31.92    62.32    86.61    69.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      72.01     9.87     5.16     6.81    22.54    51.29    28.10P    0.22R    0.03  
Cheltenham           13   23   +5      65.48     9.17     0.28     1.51     7.23    25.98    10.72P    0.87R    0.18  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.62     9.66    -8.17     1.08     4.81    18.34     6.93P    2.36R    0.57  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +4      77.92     9.47    16.32    17.22    44.36    75.11    52.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   22  +10      73.24     9.18    19.04     7.78    26.81    59.47    35.94P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      68.91     9.26     7.69     3.25    13.63    39.55    19.38P    0.32R    0.06  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      68.12     9.51    12.27     3.16    13.13    38.09    18.86P    0.47R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        13   20   +1      63.46     9.24    -2.08     0.84     4.66    19.80     7.57P    1.69R    0.44  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      71.15     9.42    14.81     5.42    20.48    50.22    28.85P    0.21R    0.05  
Rotherham            13   18   -1      68.71     9.54     7.21     3.33    13.76    39.59    20.45P    0.48R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers       13   18   -3      64.63     9.77    -1.35     1.47     7.18    24.60    11.77P    1.73R    0.49  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.32     9.29    -3.84     0.34     2.17    10.67     3.90P    4.23R    1.22  
Swindon              12   16   +5      74.73     9.85    23.51    11.76    34.16    64.90    44.81P    0.08R    0.01  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.38     9.42     5.50     1.61     7.59    27.11    12.76P    1.17R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.46     9.42    -3.56     0.56     3.33    15.03     6.10P    2.91R    0.73  
Northampton          13   15   -4      58.62     9.10    -6.68     0.23     1.58     8.82     3.16P    4.72R    1.46  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.33     9.14    -6.57     0.19     1.23     7.15     2.59P    6.09R    1.81  
Crewe                12   13   -4      63.44     9.72     1.45     0.97     5.67    21.39     9.76P    2.19R    0.62  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.48     9.64    -3.62     0.52     3.12    13.64     5.94P    3.90R    1.18  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.39     8.99   -16.95     0.01     0.08     0.87     0.28P   29.04R   12.50  
Barnet               12    9  -11      44.87     9.02   -29.07     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   45.85R   23.89  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.90     8.71   -36.68     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   65.06R   42.57  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.50     9.63   -19.24     0.02     0.14     1.39     0.45P   26.32R   11.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 October 2011, Lincoln_City vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            15   32  +14      85.44     8.46    30.58    23.35    82.89    40.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   31   +7      80.13     8.41    19.30     8.60    62.05    20.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.53     8.74     6.58     1.73    27.47     5.64P    0.07R    0.00  
York               15   27  +15      79.91     8.67    30.72     9.19    62.99    24.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              15   27  +12      89.43     8.18    43.73    45.03    92.77    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.21     9.03    20.45     5.80    49.30    14.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      15   26   +6      72.36     8.64    11.95     1.62    27.48     6.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     15   25   +7      67.45     9.38     6.54     0.75    14.74     3.18P    0.60R    0.02  
Kidderminster      15   25   +5      74.72     8.84    16.06     2.89    37.95    10.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          15   25   -1      61.73     8.59   -10.77     0.08     3.62     0.49P    2.14R    0.09  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      61.76     8.77    -2.53     0.12     4.36     0.78P    2.00R    0.10  
Grimsby            15   20   -2      66.45     8.81     3.82     0.33    10.81     2.47P    0.66R    0.03  
Barrow             15   20   -3      57.43     8.70   -11.67     0.01     1.51     0.24P    5.99R    0.35  
Darlington         15   19   -5      66.57     8.57     2.56     0.24    10.26     2.68P    0.52R    0.02  
AFC_Telford        15   18   -2      54.30     9.07   -11.71     0.02     0.87     0.19P   12.26R    1.16  
Forest_Green       15   17   +3      55.75     8.58    -2.89     0.01     0.95     0.15P    7.30R    0.51  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   16   -6      49.61     8.45   -21.88     0.00     0.13     0.02P   25.35R    3.21  
Stockport          15   15   -2      64.32     9.14     8.50     0.21     8.18     2.25P    1.39R    0.12  
Lincoln_City       16   15   -9      56.76     8.72    -7.96     0.01     1.11     0.25P    7.02R    0.54  
Kettering          15   15  -10      52.12     8.48   -18.77     0.00     0.25     0.05P   16.86R    1.62  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   12   -5      46.54     8.95   -17.86     0.00     0.08     0.01P   38.44R    6.90  
Newport_County     15   11   -9      51.79     8.58   -12.21     0.00     0.22     0.04P   16.99R    2.03  
Alfreton_Town      15   10  -19      34.16     7.96   -51.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.44R   57.34  
Bath_City          15    6  -16      39.14     8.31   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.86R   25.95