Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.39     7.39    69.91    66.52    89.54    97.78    99.45    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.54     8.17    48.53    14.29    44.62    79.27    91.80    98.69     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.46     7.98    47.59    17.93    56.21    84.84    94.21    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.44     8.55     5.22     0.06     0.68     3.32    11.87    39.72     0.26R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.47     8.45    18.61     0.64     4.26    15.31    41.00    77.07     0.02R    0.01  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.55     8.87    14.52     0.40     3.09    11.61    31.66    68.57     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.02     8.55     0.44     0.01     0.08     0.64     3.31    16.45     1.89R    0.26  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.34     8.21   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.79     6.04     5.85R    0.99  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.49     8.56   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.29    28.61R    8.86  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.07     8.30   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.25    25.24R    7.06  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.66     7.95   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.27    46.60R   17.81  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.47     8.39     2.31     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.70    10.51     3.47R    0.60  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.53     8.82    -0.20     0.01     0.13     0.75     3.66    18.34     2.13R    0.33  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.10     7.94   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.49    33.28R   10.44  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.33     8.65    13.34     0.13     1.34     5.97    19.49    55.64     0.16R    0.03  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.53     8.38    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.39     3.06    13.26R    3.04  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.44     8.56   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.90    20.85R    5.90  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.37     7.85   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    51.34R   21.59  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.75     8.21   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51    35.44R   12.24  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.76     8.52   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.89    31.57R   10.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.52    10.31    30.23    30.90    48.88    83.03    57.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.02     9.68    16.47     8.91    19.89    59.42    29.40P    0.19R    0.03  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.90     9.56    -3.79     0.91     2.73    17.44     5.12P    3.49R    0.50  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.84    10.14    26.89    21.30    38.46    76.15    50.35P    0.07R    0.01  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.58    10.02    -5.56     0.68     2.01    13.40     4.11P    6.80R    1.20  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.85     9.33     0.05     1.19     3.45    22.24     7.48P    2.05R    0.24  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.03    10.49    21.59    11.21    22.75    59.81    33.52P    0.38R    0.05  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.67     9.88    10.29     3.27     8.82    38.21    15.77P    0.99R    0.13  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.54     9.79    15.20     6.74    15.91    53.67    25.94P    0.35R    0.03  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.59     9.69    -7.95     0.47     1.56    12.54     3.49P    6.45R    1.24  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.50    10.47     5.69     2.68     6.90    31.06    12.30P    2.36R    0.37  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.29     9.22    -6.59     0.15     0.47     5.44     1.42P   12.18R    2.40  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.20    10.57    -7.43     0.33     1.07     8.08     2.40P   15.82R    4.30  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.72     9.99     2.08     1.01     3.11    18.88     6.63P    4.25R    0.70  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.57     9.87     7.72     1.80     4.99    27.26    11.20P    2.10R    0.32  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.41     9.31    -8.50     0.06     0.26     3.77     0.90P   16.95R    4.13  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      73.00    10.76    14.87     8.01    17.34    51.25    27.53P    0.78R    0.10  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.69     9.76   -13.52     0.09     0.36     4.58     1.16P   18.17R    4.61  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.30     9.45    -4.24     0.15     0.48     5.70     1.67P   12.62R    2.64  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.73     9.04   -27.14     0.01     0.02     0.23     0.04P   59.67R   28.41  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.18     9.66   -12.79     0.11     0.40     4.70     1.35P   16.33R    4.16  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.67     9.20   -16.64     0.01     0.03     0.66     0.14P   41.36R   14.94  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.10     9.29   -10.96     0.02     0.09     2.12     0.53P   24.01R    6.70  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.33     9.26   -25.98     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P   52.60R   22.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 October 2011, Oldham vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.27     9.43    31.55    24.76    45.76    89.64    57.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.70     9.63    14.85     5.97    15.18    62.80    25.37P    0.10R    0.00  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.10     9.30    39.45    29.21    51.14    91.61    64.38P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         12   22  +10      77.15     9.60    22.76     5.51    14.37    62.49    26.94P    0.14R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      84.00    10.53    27.09    20.60    37.75    81.76    50.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    12   22   +7      69.93     9.28     8.86     1.01     3.41    31.18     8.57P    0.86R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.73    10.04    26.08    11.19    25.34    74.59    40.79P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.53     9.36     1.64     0.39     1.61    19.60     5.01P    2.18R    0.16  
Hartlepool      11   19   +5      66.15     9.67     3.39     0.50     1.78    19.68     5.18P    2.70R    0.22  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.73     9.36    -8.10     0.14     0.49     8.92     2.11P    6.88R    0.72  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.51     9.46     5.14     0.38     1.57    20.56     5.59P    2.32R    0.13  
Oldham          12   17   -4      59.97     9.14    -9.67     0.06     0.24     6.19     1.26P    8.94R    0.97  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.54     9.19    -0.21     0.07     0.40     8.69     2.04P    6.15R    0.56  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.21     9.35   -19.49     0.00     0.04     1.28     0.22P   32.28R    6.67  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.59     9.48    -7.34     0.01     0.06     1.91     0.38P   25.45R    4.98  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.39     9.92     0.04     0.13     0.55     8.62     2.41P    9.52R    1.19  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.47     9.38   -10.90     0.02     0.10     3.34     0.71P   17.29R    2.75  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.53     9.29   -10.30     0.01     0.03     1.32     0.27P   29.22R    5.84  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.45     9.66   -19.73     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.18P   43.11R   12.18  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      56.04     9.43   -10.91     0.02     0.11     3.08     0.80P   18.52R    2.96  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.33     9.22   -14.49     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.12P   38.26R    8.93  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      45.89     9.22   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   57.64R   20.58  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.65     9.32   -20.46     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.15P   37.90R    9.18  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.46     8.98   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   60.45R   21.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +9      81.87     9.42    24.48    31.39    61.72    86.50    68.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      71.85     9.97     4.96     7.05    22.49    50.80    27.80P    0.26R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.52     9.70    -8.29     1.06     5.00    17.96     7.17P    2.54R    0.65  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +4      77.98     9.44    16.37    17.06    44.38    75.70    52.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      68.93     9.26     7.75     3.18    13.61    39.70    19.27P    0.30R    0.05  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      67.90     9.54    11.99     3.24    12.90    37.37    18.49P    0.50R    0.09  
Cheltenham           12   20   +3      62.41     9.34    -4.05     0.77     4.06    17.42     6.41P    2.28R    0.50  
Burton_Albion        12   20   +3      66.64     9.56     2.76     1.93     9.43    30.96    13.73P    0.83R    0.22  
Port_Vale            12   19   +7      70.98     9.48    15.01     5.26    19.87    49.60    27.87P    0.20R    0.04  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      70.93     9.47    14.50     5.11    19.62    49.75    28.19P    0.20R    0.04  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      71.53     9.68    12.49     6.20    21.49    51.52    29.54P    0.24R    0.05  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.11     9.19    -4.05     0.32     2.00    10.07     3.62P    4.15R    1.17  
Swindon              12   16   +5      74.98     9.80    23.88    12.14    35.17    66.20    45.97P    0.08R    0.02  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.18     9.42     5.23     1.56     7.48    26.47    12.64P    1.22R    0.32  
Northampton          12   15   -1      60.74     9.34    -2.55     0.52     3.05    13.62     5.51P    3.15R    0.82  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.72     9.49    -3.06     0.64     3.66    16.00     6.57P    2.72R    0.73  
Bristol_Rovers       12   15   -6      60.69     9.96    -7.87     0.75     3.63    14.54     6.40P    4.21R    1.24  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.35     9.11    -6.62     0.14     1.21     6.92     2.56P    6.17R    1.91  
Crewe                12   13   -4      63.86     9.69     2.12     1.12     5.92    22.78    10.17P    1.89R    0.53  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.39     9.62    -3.70     0.53     3.00    13.32     5.85P    3.87R    1.07  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.28     9.06   -17.11     0.00     0.09     0.91     0.27P   29.18R   12.94  
Barnet               12    9  -11      45.30     9.09   -28.28     0.01     0.05     0.37     0.10P   43.93R   22.52  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.76     8.63   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   65.66R   43.33  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.46     9.56   -19.19     0.02     0.16     1.46     0.54P   26.41R   11.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 October 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            15   32  +14      85.31     8.51    30.42    24.14    83.30    40.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.86     8.68     7.07     2.06    29.79     6.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     15   28   +5      77.57     8.61    15.79     5.65    51.37    15.85P    0.01R    0.00  
York               15   27  +15      79.66     8.67    30.32     9.19    63.03    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   27  +12      89.32     8.26    43.67    46.06    92.64    65.08P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.17     8.99    20.37     5.94    50.68    15.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      15   26   +6      72.37     8.62    11.96     1.64    28.91     7.26P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     15   25   +7      67.31     9.41     6.36     0.85    15.20     3.47P    0.59R    0.02  
Kidderminster      15   25   +5      74.74     8.87    16.04     3.27    39.60    11.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          15   25   -1      61.75     8.53   -10.80     0.05     4.01     0.50P    1.99R    0.08  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      62.02     8.70    -2.20     0.13     4.71     0.80P    1.80R    0.09  
Grimsby            15   20   -2      66.46     8.83     3.90     0.43    11.38     2.80P    0.62R    0.02  
Barrow             15   20   -3      57.45     8.58   -11.60     0.02     1.52     0.24P    5.85R    0.36  
Darlington         15   19   -5      66.38     8.56     2.34     0.29    10.19     2.61P    0.54R    0.01  
AFC_Telford        15   18   -2      54.30     9.11   -11.79     0.01     0.90     0.16P   12.64R    1.16  
Forest_Green       15   17   +3      55.89     8.54    -2.61     0.01     0.99     0.15P    7.36R    0.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   16   -6      49.54     8.49   -21.95     0.00     0.15     0.02P   26.13R    3.20  
Stockport          15   15   -2      64.07     9.14     8.18     0.23     8.33     2.21P    1.52R    0.08  
Lincoln_City       15   15   -7      59.21     8.98    -4.29     0.05     2.63     0.65P    4.56R    0.28  
Kettering          15   15  -10      52.14     8.50   -18.69     0.00     0.30     0.05P   16.81R    1.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   12   -5      46.63     8.99   -17.62     0.00     0.08     0.01P   38.30R    6.96  
Newport_County     15   11   -9      51.74     8.67   -12.28     0.00     0.31     0.08P   17.67R    2.23  
Alfreton_Town      15   10  -19      34.29     7.99   -51.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.95R   56.28  
Bath_City          15    6  -16      38.83     8.24   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.50R   26.96