Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.35     7.39    69.84    66.67    89.49    97.65    99.37    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.53     8.27    48.50    14.41    45.14    79.11    91.20    98.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.21     8.00    47.09    17.44    55.01    83.83    93.76    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.54     8.52     5.34     0.09     0.65     3.35    12.03    40.10     0.27R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.49     8.46    18.60     0.72     4.66    15.78    40.89    76.95     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.70     8.93    14.73     0.49     3.28    11.86    32.33    68.81     0.07R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.17     8.56     0.65     0.00     0.08     0.68     3.35    16.59     1.87R    0.23  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.33     8.21   -11.16     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.82     6.00     5.82R    0.99  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.30     8.58   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.27    29.42R    9.35  
Swansea          7    8   -3      39.97     8.32   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.21    25.57R    7.33  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.68     7.94   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    46.27R   17.84  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.46     8.43     2.29     0.01     0.04     0.32     1.73    10.52     3.37R    0.58  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.53     8.84    -0.18     0.01     0.17     0.90     3.81    18.34     2.09R    0.28  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.23     7.98   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.56    32.73R   10.12  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.37     8.67    13.35     0.16     1.45     6.27    19.75    55.48     0.14R    0.02  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.54     8.39    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.98    13.31R    3.17  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.41     8.54   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.89    20.62R    5.79  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.47     7.87   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    51.00R   21.14  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.69     8.19   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.51    35.78R   12.32  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.71     8.54   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.84    31.65R   10.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.57    10.42    30.28    30.96    49.12    82.64    57.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.11     9.72    16.61     9.11    20.33    59.57    29.68P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.73     9.49    -4.05     0.89     2.46    17.01     4.74P    3.63R    0.56  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.93    10.22    27.06    21.43    38.35    76.20    50.16P    0.07R    0.01  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.90    10.14    -5.08     0.77     2.22    14.24     4.60P    6.61R    1.25  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.75     9.28    -0.08     1.17     3.45    21.95     7.26P    1.99R    0.23  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.12    10.47    21.73    11.16    22.88    59.79    34.01P    0.34R    0.04  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.51     9.80    10.06     3.23     8.38    37.17    15.46P    1.02R    0.14  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.64     9.76    15.32     6.84    16.05    54.20    26.29P    0.30R    0.03  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.55     9.67    -8.03     0.45     1.57    12.42     3.43P    6.39R    1.12  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.58    10.42     5.90     2.63     7.05    31.15    12.24P    2.26R    0.36  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.36     9.30    -6.46     0.10     0.48     5.66     1.37P   11.88R    2.29  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.11    10.64    -7.59     0.37     1.08     7.97     2.35P   16.24R    4.38  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.97    10.03     2.50     1.03     3.12    19.55     6.70P    4.10R    0.70  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.65     9.84     7.87     1.84     5.22    27.43    11.38P    2.05R    0.31  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.32     9.37    -8.58     0.09     0.33     3.89     0.94P   17.12R    4.09  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.74    10.79    14.47     7.62    16.52    50.65    26.54P    0.83R    0.11  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.58     9.79   -13.71     0.09     0.38     4.51     1.06P   18.36R    4.88  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.34     9.52    -4.19     0.12     0.51     5.89     1.65P   12.49R    2.89  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.66     9.05   -27.21     0.00     0.02     0.24     0.06P   60.01R   28.58  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.14     9.61   -12.96     0.08     0.32     4.64     1.30P   16.26R    4.03  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.59     9.16   -16.80     0.00     0.04     0.73     0.16P   41.40R   14.77  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.09     9.22   -10.94     0.03     0.12     2.12     0.57P   23.44R    6.27  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.26     9.33   -26.12     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10P   53.03R   22.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 October 2011, Oldham vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.44     9.38    31.84    25.14    46.68    90.13    58.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.64     9.54    14.79     5.74    14.71    62.97    25.17P    0.09R    0.01  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.36     9.28    39.93    30.04    52.14    91.86    65.67P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         12   22  +10      77.01     9.59    22.56     5.47    14.32    62.20    26.51P    0.14R    0.01  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.63    10.59    26.47    19.52    36.27    80.74    48.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    12   22   +7      69.76     9.26     8.61     0.98     3.24    30.44     8.36P    0.92R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.85     9.96    26.26    11.27    25.46    74.94    40.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.53     9.40     1.66     0.47     1.74    20.00     5.14P    2.31R    0.16  
Hartlepool      11   19   +5      65.99     9.62     3.16     0.51     1.66    19.13     4.86P    2.81R    0.22  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.84     9.35    -8.04     0.12     0.58     9.33     2.24P    6.59R    0.62  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.47     9.48     5.06     0.37     1.60    20.47     5.71P    2.39R    0.16  
Oldham          12   17   -4      59.89     9.20    -9.73     0.05     0.26     6.07     1.24P    9.31R    1.03  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.78     9.17     0.13     0.09     0.38     8.86     2.04P    5.87R    0.51  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.39     9.51   -19.32     0.01     0.06     1.44     0.27P   31.93R    6.73  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.05     9.53    -8.10     0.01     0.06     1.83     0.38P   27.81R    5.60  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.56    10.05     0.29     0.14     0.57     9.38     2.74P    9.47R    1.26  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.55     9.39   -10.93     0.02     0.10     3.32     0.72P   17.14R    2.75  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.53     9.17   -10.25     0.01     0.03     1.27     0.23P   28.74R    5.74  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.52     9.62   -19.55     0.00     0.02     0.75     0.15P   42.73R   11.87  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      56.00     9.34   -10.99     0.03     0.08     2.95     0.72P   18.38R    2.77  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.38     9.17   -14.36     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.11P   37.79R    8.91  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      45.88     9.31   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   57.75R   21.06  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.76     9.32   -20.24     0.01     0.02     0.82     0.15P   37.28R    9.08  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.51     8.90   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   60.45R   21.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +9      82.07     9.37    24.77    31.98    62.61    87.12    69.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      71.93     9.90     4.97     6.76    22.29    51.17    27.88P    0.20R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.35     9.81    -8.66     1.08     4.80    17.99     6.94P    2.55R    0.72  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +4      77.78     9.49    16.14    16.87    43.81    74.72    52.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      69.13     9.19     8.04     3.31    13.77    40.18    19.61P    0.28R    0.05  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      68.13     9.47    12.37     3.25    13.08    38.06    18.75P    0.40R    0.08  
Cheltenham           12   20   +3      62.28     9.41    -4.17     0.77     4.20    17.05     6.73P    2.30R    0.64  
Burton_Albion        12   20   +3      66.48     9.46     2.47     1.98     8.80    30.15    12.97P    0.89R    0.21  
Port_Vale            12   19   +7      70.89     9.42    14.87     5.26    19.66    48.93    27.39P    0.17R    0.04  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      71.08     9.47    14.74     5.32    20.04    50.10    28.76P    0.20R    0.05  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      71.52     9.50    12.45     5.77    21.29    51.16    28.99P    0.20R    0.03  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.15     9.28    -4.00     0.31     2.15    10.55     3.78P    4.29R    1.16  
Swindon              12   16   +5      75.04     9.80    23.98    12.04    35.12    66.14    46.03P    0.12R    0.03  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.42     9.53     5.58     1.70     8.08    27.61    13.26P    1.19R    0.28  
Northampton          12   15   -1      60.49     9.38    -2.91     0.44     2.84    13.16     5.23P    3.42R    1.03  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.58     9.41    -3.30     0.62     3.42    15.36     6.27P    2.70R    0.73  
Bristol_Rovers       12   15   -6      61.21     9.91    -7.05     0.74     3.92    15.44     6.85P    3.79R    1.06  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.19     9.09    -6.74     0.18     1.11     6.66     2.47P    6.12R    1.91  
Crewe                12   13   -4      63.62     9.71     1.78     1.04     5.63    22.11     9.91P    2.02R    0.56  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.45     9.68    -3.62     0.53     3.09    13.52     5.86P    3.89R    1.24  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.25     9.10   -17.17     0.01     0.08     0.87     0.24P   29.34R   12.82  
Barnet               12    9  -11      45.13     9.09   -28.54     0.00     0.03     0.40     0.10P   44.47R   22.64  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.95     8.79   -36.55     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   64.07R   42.29  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.30     9.76   -19.45     0.02     0.17     1.47     0.52P   27.35R   12.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 October 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            15   32  +14      85.42     8.49    30.57    24.06    83.70    40.92P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.60     8.77     6.74     1.91    28.94     6.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     15   28   +5      77.56     8.64    15.77     5.50    51.53    15.70P    0.01R    0.00  
York               15   27  +15      79.86     8.58    30.61     9.38    64.20    24.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              15   27  +12      89.37     8.15    43.73    46.51    92.95    65.79P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.14     9.10    20.34     6.04    50.39    15.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      15   26   +6      72.34     8.64    11.94     1.61    28.77     7.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     15   25   +7      67.29     9.40     6.26     0.74    15.10     3.22P    0.61R    0.02  
Kidderminster      15   25   +5      74.46     8.86    15.60     3.03    38.20    10.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          15   25   -1      61.52     8.56   -11.05     0.06     3.70     0.48P    2.20R    0.07  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      62.05     8.75    -2.08     0.12     4.71     0.84P    1.85R    0.09  
Grimsby            15   20   -2      66.62     8.79     4.12     0.39    11.53     2.75P    0.57R    0.03  
Barrow             15   20   -3      57.34     8.56   -11.81     0.02     1.37     0.20P    5.96R    0.34  
Darlington         15   19   -5      66.58     8.63     2.60     0.32    10.90     2.76P    0.56R    0.03  
AFC_Telford        15   18   -2      54.21     9.02   -11.83     0.01     0.87     0.15P   12.68R    1.28  
Forest_Green       15   17   +3      55.92     8.54    -2.53     0.01     1.04     0.18P    7.48R    0.49  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   16   -6      49.61     8.48   -21.85     0.00     0.17     0.02P   26.09R    3.26  
Stockport          15   15   -2      64.34     9.17     8.62     0.24     8.79     2.51P    1.39R    0.10  
Lincoln_City       15   15   -7      59.09     8.93    -4.49     0.04     2.51     0.64P    4.48R    0.32  
Kettering          15   15  -10      52.10     8.45   -18.77     0.00     0.23     0.05P   17.22R    1.80  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   12   -5      46.59     8.87   -17.75     0.00     0.10     0.02P   38.32R    6.95  
Newport_County     15   11   -9      51.55     8.66   -12.60     0.00     0.30     0.06P   18.35R    2.33  
Alfreton_Town      15   10  -19      34.37     8.06   -51.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R   56.85  
Bath_City          15    6  -16      39.17     8.25   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.15R   26.03