Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.50     7.39    70.17    66.72    89.32    97.71    99.44    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.61     8.30    48.61    14.48    45.06    78.99    91.44    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.40     8.03    47.44    17.45    55.93    84.60    94.08    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.58     8.58     5.43     0.08     0.73     3.64    12.28    40.56     0.23R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.33     8.52    18.38     0.66     4.39    15.41    40.33    76.64     0.02R    0.01  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.66     8.92    14.70     0.46     3.08    11.82    32.64    68.91     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.05     8.50     0.45     0.00     0.10     0.70     3.32    16.44     1.91R    0.24  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.36     8.30   -11.10     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.89     6.28     5.99R    1.09  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.28     8.56   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.22    29.37R    9.59  
Swansea          7    8   -3      39.99     8.33   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.18    25.30R    7.38  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.76     7.88   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    46.10R   17.52  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.38     8.33     2.18     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.66    10.26     3.35R    0.49  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.69     8.81     0.05     0.01     0.12     0.80     3.97    18.96     1.93R    0.27  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      37.97     7.97   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46    33.97R   10.78  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.12     8.66    12.99     0.14     1.24     5.88    18.96    54.84     0.17R    0.03  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.48     8.27    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28     2.73    13.32R    2.96  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.57     8.51   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.98    20.00R    5.58  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.43     7.89   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    51.14R   21.19  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.76     8.22   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.55    35.52R   12.26  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.80     8.54   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.93    31.61R   10.57  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.83    10.36    30.65    31.82    50.21    83.44    58.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.08     9.66    16.55     9.01    19.89    59.56    29.30P    0.18R    0.01  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.66     9.54    -4.21     0.78     2.52    16.98     4.77P    3.61R    0.56  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.50    10.26    26.37    20.47    37.32    75.18    49.15P    0.08R    0.01  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.86    10.01    -5.12     0.70     2.02    13.91     4.24P    6.39R    1.10  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.92     9.24     0.14     1.17     3.40    22.43     7.48P    1.86R    0.19  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.18    10.47    21.91    11.55    23.04    60.22    34.32P    0.36R    0.02  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.70     9.80    10.35     3.41     8.68    38.18    15.80P    0.93R    0.12  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.70     9.80    15.44     6.96    16.34    54.34    26.50P    0.34R    0.04  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.39     9.62    -8.24     0.39     1.39    12.01     3.17P    6.53R    1.21  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.62    10.29     5.98     2.54     6.79    31.03    12.03P    2.11R    0.31  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.07     9.31    -6.87     0.11     0.48     5.31     1.28P   12.95R    2.68  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.04    10.59    -7.79     0.34     1.09     7.91     2.32P   16.26R    4.40  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.84     9.95     2.33     1.01     3.01    18.97     6.53P    4.09R    0.74  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.75     9.87     7.98     1.91     5.31    27.91    11.63P    1.97R    0.29  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.28     9.32    -8.63     0.09     0.32     3.67     0.93P   17.22R    4.08  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.79    10.75    14.57     7.43    16.75    50.61    26.84P    0.81R    0.10  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.72     9.78   -13.46     0.09     0.41     4.58     1.25P   17.92R    4.94  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.23     9.42    -4.31     0.10     0.45     5.66     1.63P   12.56R    2.80  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.57     9.05   -27.41     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   60.40R   29.15  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.10     9.61   -13.02     0.07     0.36     4.62     1.28P   16.53R    3.97  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.69     9.16   -16.68     0.01     0.03     0.67     0.16P   41.31R   14.60  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.09     9.24   -10.99     0.03     0.13     2.07     0.49P   23.85R    6.61  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.64     9.39   -25.55     0.01     0.03     0.45     0.09P   51.70R   22.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 October 2011, Oldham vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.41     9.45    31.76    24.68    45.97    90.07    57.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.65     9.63    14.84     5.71    14.74    62.79    25.25P    0.10R    0.00  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.34     9.32    39.84    29.60    51.99    91.72    65.46P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         12   22  +10      77.18     9.47    22.76     5.31    14.13    62.69    26.50P    0.09R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.98    10.55    27.00    20.43    37.12    81.89    49.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    12   22   +7      69.86     9.33     8.76     1.03     3.34    31.00     8.50P    0.87R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      81.03     9.98    26.55    11.55    26.00    75.38    41.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.55     9.30     1.64     0.40     1.49    19.61     4.83P    2.15R    0.13  
Hartlepool      11   19   +5      65.81     9.63     2.88     0.47     1.57    18.57     4.67P    2.85R    0.25  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.75     9.30    -8.06     0.15     0.56     9.00     2.16P    6.67R    0.68  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.39     9.55     4.94     0.39     1.58    20.54     5.82P    2.48R    0.18  
Oldham          12   17   -4      59.86     9.13    -9.80     0.04     0.27     5.85     1.20P    9.25R    0.97  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.43     9.12    -0.41     0.06     0.38     8.30     1.85P    6.32R    0.60  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.53     9.48   -19.03     0.01     0.04     1.46     0.29P   31.34R    6.49  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.25     9.52    -7.74     0.01     0.03     1.87     0.37P   26.63R    5.50  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.45    10.00     0.12     0.11     0.50     9.06     2.39P    9.82R    1.26  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.46     9.43   -10.99     0.02     0.12     3.36     0.80P   17.64R    2.80  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.48     9.24   -10.31     0.01     0.02     1.29     0.23P   29.30R    5.95  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.44     9.53   -19.78     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.13P   43.09R   11.85  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      56.00     9.39   -11.02     0.02     0.09     3.06     0.70P   18.52R    2.78  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.42     9.17   -14.34     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.14P   37.57R    9.03  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      45.93     9.23   -23.06     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   57.48R   20.55  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.42     9.25   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.16P   38.48R    9.66  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.72     8.95   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   59.24R   21.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +8      81.40     9.33    22.70    29.37    59.50    85.66    66.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      72.12     9.97     5.38     7.30    23.36    52.03    28.83P    0.21R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +5      78.27     9.35    17.80    18.24    45.99    76.73    54.48P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.49     9.64    -8.24     1.00     4.87    18.05     7.11P    2.49R    0.56  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      68.84     9.25     7.62     3.30    13.57    39.59    19.12P    0.33R    0.08  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      68.17     9.46    12.50     3.42    13.51    37.94    19.02P    0.44R    0.09  
Cheltenham           12   20   +3      62.24     9.29    -4.24     0.75     3.98    16.51     6.28P    2.24R    0.55  
Burton_Albion        12   20   +3      66.35     9.53     2.22     1.96     8.80    29.78    12.91P    0.91R    0.25  
Port_Vale            12   19   +7      71.00     9.44    15.01     5.30    19.81    49.48    27.56P    0.19R    0.04  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      70.90     9.47    14.47     5.32    19.63    49.35    27.91P    0.19R    0.04  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      71.28     9.60    12.06     5.81    20.70    50.25    28.59P    0.21R    0.04  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.25     9.24    -3.81     0.37     2.09    10.51     3.79P    4.08R    1.12  
Swindon              12   16   +5      75.11     9.80    24.07    12.32    35.67    66.66    46.56P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.20     9.49     5.24     1.59     7.51    26.64    12.58P    1.19R    0.32  
Northampton          12   15   -1      60.59     9.34    -2.72     0.51     2.77    13.31     5.26P    3.35R    0.96  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.45     9.36    -3.51     0.57     3.33    14.96     6.15P    2.69R    0.73  
Bristol_Rovers       12   15   -6      61.29     9.91    -6.93     0.81     3.92    15.78     6.91P    3.73R    1.05  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.29     9.23    -6.60     0.22     1.25     7.29     2.59P    6.36R    1.94  
Crewe                12   13   -4      64.04     9.72     2.41     1.25     6.33    23.32    10.75P    1.78R    0.47  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.30     9.72    -3.82     0.57     3.11    13.34     5.92P    4.19R    1.29  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.42     8.97   -16.89     0.01     0.08     0.87     0.23P   28.59R   12.39  
Barnet               12    9  -11      45.08     9.08   -28.64     0.00     0.03     0.39     0.09P   44.95R   23.19  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.79     8.67   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   65.10R   42.71  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.37     9.71   -19.28     0.02     0.19     1.49     0.57P   26.65R   12.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 October 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            15   32  +14      85.41     8.56    30.58    24.33    83.29    40.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.79     8.80     6.92     1.90    29.46     6.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     15   28   +5      77.73     8.58    16.08     5.59    51.98    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
York               15   27  +15      79.77     8.63    30.46     9.13    63.44    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              15   27  +12      89.44     8.15    43.81    46.26    93.08    65.46P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.21     9.07    20.46     5.94    50.33    15.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      15   26   +6      72.47     8.65    12.16     1.68    28.61     7.18P    0.07R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     15   25   +7      67.21     9.32     6.15     0.63    14.75     3.19P    0.55R    0.03  
Kidderminster      15   25   +5      74.88     8.90    16.32     3.39    39.81    11.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport          15   25   -1      61.64     8.64   -10.91     0.08     4.06     0.56P    2.11R    0.08  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      62.03     8.73    -2.14     0.14     4.78     0.87P    1.79R    0.09  
Grimsby            15   20   -2      66.50     8.80     3.99     0.37    11.27     2.68P    0.64R    0.02  
Barrow             15   20   -3      57.36     8.65   -11.84     0.02     1.45     0.22P    6.12R    0.37  
Darlington         15   19   -5      66.45     8.61     2.39     0.29    10.53     2.83P    0.56R    0.02  
AFC_Telford        15   18   -2      54.19     9.03   -11.88     0.01     0.83     0.13P   12.22R    1.21  
Forest_Green       15   17   +3      55.85     8.58    -2.64     0.01     0.93     0.17P    7.55R    0.52  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   16   -6      49.45     8.41   -22.15     0.00     0.13     0.02P   26.13R    3.39  
Stockport          15   15   -2      64.12     9.06     8.24     0.19     8.11     2.15P    1.42R    0.08  
Lincoln_City       15   15   -7      59.05     8.89    -4.49     0.03     2.52     0.62P    4.44R    0.31  
Kettering          15   15  -10      52.14     8.50   -18.73     0.00     0.26     0.06P   16.97R    1.57  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   12   -5      46.47     9.00   -17.97     0.00     0.10     0.02P   38.97R    7.18  
Newport_County     15   11   -9      51.63     8.66   -12.43     0.00     0.29     0.07P   17.87R    2.25  
Alfreton_Town      15   10  -19      34.35     7.94   -50.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.84R   56.46  
Bath_City          15    6  -16      39.02     8.26   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.64R   26.43