Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.38     7.40    69.94    66.71    89.37    97.80    99.44    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.43     8.19    48.31    14.12    44.36    78.89    91.29    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.40     7.91    47.50    17.66    56.13    84.62    94.08    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.38     8.55     5.09     0.08     0.67     3.36    11.49    39.77     0.26R    0.01  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.61     8.50    18.86     0.73     4.62    16.03    41.80    77.52     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.49     8.93    14.44     0.52     3.17    11.20    31.65    68.33     0.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      51.92     8.56     0.22     0.01     0.11     0.69     3.18    16.40     2.02R    0.29  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.31     8.18   -11.18     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.89     6.09     5.83R    0.95  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.37     8.47   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.23    29.07R    9.08  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.23     8.32   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.32    24.73R    7.00  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.70     7.97   -34.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31    46.69R   17.70  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.28     8.37     2.02     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.70    10.22     3.46R    0.47  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.60     8.85    -0.09     0.02     0.14     0.91     4.11    18.85     1.92R    0.31  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.13     7.95   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.49    33.51R   10.64  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.24     8.70    13.16     0.14     1.38     6.06    19.41    55.14     0.19R    0.02  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.67     8.30    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30     2.92    13.02R    2.97  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.51     8.51   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.97    20.66R    5.88  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.42     7.86   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    51.55R   21.74  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.66     8.27   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.54    36.38R   12.82  
Bolton           7    3  -12      39.04     8.48   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.90    30.65R   10.12  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.58    10.35    30.27    31.28    49.51    82.84    58.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.02     9.65    16.48     8.81    19.61    59.39    29.20P    0.19R    0.01  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.95     9.58    -3.71     0.89     2.73    17.60     5.24P    3.55R    0.51  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.53    10.22    26.44    20.71    37.31    75.19    49.15P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.80     9.96    -5.24     0.61     2.03    13.91     4.17P    6.31R    1.07  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.87     9.27     0.07     1.20     3.43    22.27     7.23P    1.85R    0.21  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.30    10.48    22.01    11.57    23.29    60.64    34.35P    0.34R    0.04  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.48     9.81     9.99     3.10     8.37    37.36    15.26P    1.09R    0.12  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.71     9.84    15.42     7.03    16.49    54.12    26.55P    0.31R    0.02  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.47     9.60    -8.10     0.43     1.48    12.09     3.25P    6.23R    1.12  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.58    10.34     5.88     2.63     6.69    30.96    12.02P    2.26R    0.41  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.40     9.22    -6.40     0.12     0.46     5.45     1.32P   11.73R    2.22  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      56.98    10.51    -7.82     0.31     0.94     7.71     2.23P   16.39R    4.42  
Burnley           9   12   +1      64.11    10.03     2.71     1.19     3.45    19.96     7.21P    3.94R    0.71  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.68     9.84     7.87     1.92     5.38    27.75    11.64P    2.00R    0.28  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.49     9.40    -8.39     0.09     0.35     3.91     1.02P   16.89R    3.98  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.81    10.88    14.56     7.76    17.09    50.59    26.92P    0.87R    0.11  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.91     9.74   -13.12     0.11     0.40     4.81     1.27P   17.24R    4.40  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.11     9.46    -4.51     0.11     0.45     5.61     1.61P   12.89R    2.84  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.51     8.97   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   60.74R   29.01  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.13     9.63   -12.92     0.08     0.34     4.47     1.29P   16.47R    4.00  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.46     9.21   -16.95     0.01     0.03     0.71     0.18P   42.07R   15.30  
Millwall         10    7   -7      52.99     9.31   -11.16     0.04     0.15     2.10     0.56P   24.25R    6.75  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.39     9.32   -25.93     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.08P   52.29R   22.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 October 2011, Oldham vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.47     9.52    31.91    24.95    46.08    89.72    57.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.77     9.62    15.01     5.74    14.79    63.52    25.58P    0.11R    0.00  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.38     9.39    39.98    29.56    52.10    91.80    65.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         12   22  +10      76.99     9.55    22.51     5.12    13.54    62.49    26.06P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      84.20    10.60    27.37    20.79    38.25    82.25    50.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    12   22   +7      69.71     9.32     8.53     0.85     3.10    30.69     8.09P    0.97R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.92    10.04    26.35    11.34    25.52    75.14    40.60P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.53     9.29     1.64     0.37     1.46    19.60     4.92P    2.13R    0.15  
Hartlepool      11   19   +5      65.83     9.63     2.92     0.43     1.58    18.57     4.60P    2.87R    0.22  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.63     9.33    -8.32     0.12     0.51     8.73     1.98P    7.01R    0.72  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.42     9.51     5.03     0.43     1.60    20.42     5.58P    2.41R    0.21  
Oldham          12   17   -4      59.73     9.11    -9.96     0.05     0.24     5.94     1.15P    9.29R    0.99  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.72     9.18     0.01     0.07     0.41     8.82     2.11P    6.10R    0.51  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.52     9.45   -19.00     0.00     0.03     1.42     0.24P   31.08R    6.52  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.21     9.39    -7.86     0.01     0.03     1.76     0.35P   26.90R    5.17  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.55     9.89     0.25     0.12     0.48     8.89     2.57P    9.25R    1.16  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.42     9.44   -11.08     0.02     0.11     3.25     0.79P   17.76R    2.80  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.62     9.25   -10.13     0.00     0.02     1.38     0.28P   28.68R    5.58  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.51     9.57   -19.66     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.13P   42.75R   11.75  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      55.91     9.37   -11.16     0.02     0.10     2.91     0.69P   18.66R    2.99  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.42     9.21   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.13P   37.61R    9.14  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      46.16     9.29   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   56.67R   19.96  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.38     9.30   -20.89     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.16P   38.88R    9.65  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.37     8.99   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   60.60R   22.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +9      82.02     9.39    24.67    32.19    62.48    87.05    69.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      71.95     9.95     5.09     6.97    22.69    51.09    28.18P    0.23R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.47     9.71    -8.42     1.16     4.88    17.89     7.03P    2.50R    0.62  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +4      77.83     9.37    16.17    16.99    43.61    75.14    52.07P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      69.08     9.28     7.98     3.36    13.95    40.33    19.63P    0.27R    0.06  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      68.04     9.51    12.22     3.25    13.32    37.72    18.95P    0.48R    0.10  
Cheltenham           12   20   +3      62.20     9.28    -4.33     0.77     4.03    16.35     6.34P    2.25R    0.58  
Burton_Albion        12   20   +3      66.49     9.54     2.51     2.03     9.20    30.39    13.54P    0.82R    0.18  
Port_Vale            12   19   +7      70.79     9.37    14.72     4.80    19.13    48.70    26.89P    0.17R    0.05  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      71.12     9.33    14.80     5.13    19.83    50.52    28.42P    0.18R    0.03  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      71.48     9.62    12.36     5.84    21.34    51.04    29.30P    0.26R    0.05  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.31     9.26    -3.72     0.35     2.17    10.58     3.78P    3.96R    1.09  
Swindon              12   16   +5      74.67     9.84    23.47    11.64    33.90    64.98    44.67P    0.12R    0.02  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.43     9.46     5.55     1.78     8.00    27.33    13.23P    1.11R    0.27  
Northampton          12   15   -1      60.69     9.40    -2.62     0.53     3.14    13.64     5.62P    3.23R    0.90  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.69     9.40    -3.09     0.56     3.56    15.64     6.41P    2.60R    0.72  
Bristol_Rovers       12   15   -6      60.91     9.99    -7.50     0.76     3.83    15.14     6.65P    3.95R    1.18  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.45     9.18    -6.39     0.18     1.33     7.24     2.64P    6.13R    1.82  
Crewe                12   13   -4      63.98     9.68     2.32     1.11     6.21    23.00    10.62P    1.89R    0.52  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.56     9.65    -3.49     0.57     3.14    13.68     6.00P    3.69R    1.06  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.43     8.98   -16.90     0.01     0.09     0.89     0.26P   28.62R   12.21  
Barnet               12    9  -11      44.98     8.96   -28.76     0.00     0.03     0.32     0.07P   44.91R   22.90  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.65     8.72   -37.02     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.03P   65.42R   43.50  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.18     9.56   -19.60     0.02     0.15     1.25     0.43P   27.17R   12.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 October 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            15   32  +14      85.32     8.45    30.45    19.75    82.00    37.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.45     8.67     6.57     1.40    26.06     4.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   28   +8      80.95     8.91    21.81     9.74    64.46    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
York               14   26  +15      80.85     8.85    31.62     9.58    65.78    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              14   26  +12      90.87     8.28    45.32    48.86    94.10    67.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.13     9.02    20.30     4.61    47.91    13.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     14   25   +8      69.19     9.61     8.22     1.06    18.95     4.16P    0.34R    0.01  
Kidderminster      14   24   +5      75.81     9.06    17.12     3.39    41.87    12.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          14   24   -1      61.56     8.83   -11.56     0.07     3.90     0.46P    1.93R    0.12  
Cambridge_Utd      14   23   +5      70.26     8.74    10.39     0.79    20.06     4.71P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      61.94     8.71    -2.14     0.10     4.20     0.76P    1.48R    0.09  
Barrow             14   20   +0      59.37     8.70    -7.35     0.02     2.28     0.33P    3.17R    0.24  
Forest_Green       14   17   +5      58.29     8.81     1.02     0.03     1.86     0.36P    3.92R    0.33  
AFC_Telford        14   17   -2      53.49     9.22   -13.46     0.00     0.77     0.11P   12.74R    1.64  
Grimsby            14   17   -5      64.22     8.92    -0.06     0.15     6.68     1.49P    1.00R    0.05  
Darlington         14   16   -6      63.81     8.67     0.06     0.10     5.64     1.41P    0.98R    0.03  
Stockport          14   15   -1      66.25     9.28    10.32     0.33    11.60     3.28P    0.67R    0.05  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14   13   -8      46.75     8.58   -26.09     0.00     0.06     0.01P   34.43R    7.01  
Lincoln_City       14   12   -9      57.32     9.07    -6.58     0.01     1.53     0.37P    5.83R    0.68  
Kettering          14   12  -11      50.04     8.65   -20.34     0.00     0.13     0.02P   21.27R    3.38  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   11   -5      45.97     9.05   -19.19     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.53R    8.76  
Alfreton_Town      14   10  -17      35.90     8.21   -47.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.18R   49.23  
Newport_County     14    8  -12      47.62     8.75   -19.15     0.00     0.08     0.02P   29.61R    6.33  
Bath_City          14    6  -15      40.61     8.40   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.74R   22.05