Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 9 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.30     7.47    69.78    65.84    88.96    97.49    99.38    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.56     8.31    48.51    14.98    45.04    79.16    91.39    98.58     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.41     7.91    47.34    17.84    56.07    85.03    94.26    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.69     8.49     5.60     0.06     0.71     3.58    12.23    41.12     0.29R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.33     8.46    18.41     0.69     4.45    15.40    40.51    76.79     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.49     8.89    14.35     0.43     3.14    11.34    31.99    68.26     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.04     8.57     0.45     0.01     0.11     0.73     3.42    16.59     1.96R    0.28  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.36     8.23   -11.10     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.81     5.98     5.95R    1.00  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.28     8.52   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.23    29.50R    9.41  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.18     8.27   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.19    24.81R    6.84  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.77     7.99   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28    46.07R   17.81  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.42     8.36     2.26     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.73    10.52     3.35R    0.55  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.57     8.77    -0.16     0.01     0.12     0.78     3.79    18.62     2.02R    0.25  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.11     7.97   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53    33.39R   10.43  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.15     8.65    13.07     0.13     1.34     6.00    19.42    54.75     0.14R    0.01  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.53     8.35    -8.55     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.38     2.87    13.35R    3.02  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.33     8.51   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.85    20.95R    5.70  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.48     7.87   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    50.98R   21.39  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.70     8.26   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.55    35.91R   12.76  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.96     8.56   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.00    31.25R   10.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.59    10.25    30.26    30.88    49.39    83.34    58.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.13     9.67    16.62     8.96    20.02    59.85    29.52P    0.20R    0.02  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.73     9.56    -4.06     0.86     2.51    16.89     4.88P    3.73R    0.54  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.80    10.16    26.84    21.28    38.39    76.26    50.21P    0.09R    0.01  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.89    10.03    -5.08     0.76     2.14    14.11     4.33P    6.49R    1.16  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.84     9.28    -0.02     1.22     3.45    22.37     7.54P    1.89R    0.23  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      74.96    10.45    21.48    11.08    22.44    59.64    33.35P    0.36R    0.03  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.52     9.82    10.10     3.36     8.41    37.61    15.21P    0.92R    0.09  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.55     9.79    15.17     6.80    16.05    53.74    26.34P    0.37R    0.04  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.66     9.71    -7.85     0.51     1.64    12.49     3.57P    6.44R    1.14  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.66    10.33     5.99     2.59     6.96    31.22    12.30P    2.15R    0.31  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.43     9.25    -6.40     0.12     0.47     5.57     1.38P   11.82R    2.37  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.14    10.52    -7.58     0.31     0.97     7.84     2.22P   15.88R    4.23  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.98    10.03     2.60     1.18     3.32    19.49     7.01P    4.05R    0.72  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.64     9.85     7.83     1.95     5.36    27.44    11.32P    1.94R    0.24  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.29     9.25    -8.62     0.09     0.27     3.60     0.84P   17.07R    3.90  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.67    10.82    14.36     7.68    16.71    49.90    26.54P    0.85R    0.13  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.85     9.76   -13.19     0.08     0.40     4.64     1.26P   17.62R    4.47  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.23     9.48    -4.36     0.14     0.50     5.62     1.59P   12.56R    2.84  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.35     8.97   -27.62     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.05P   61.50R   29.77  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.21     9.67   -12.78     0.10     0.39     4.78     1.41P   16.38R    3.95  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.54     9.13   -16.87     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.13P   41.75R   14.91  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.18     9.29   -10.89     0.04     0.16     2.26     0.58P   23.45R    6.35  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.40     9.36   -25.91     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.11P   52.46R   22.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 October 2011, Notts_County vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.30     9.41    31.60    24.10    44.51    89.28    56.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.78     9.60    15.01     5.78    14.65    62.70    25.11P    0.11R    0.00  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.24     9.25    39.60    28.16    50.12    91.48    64.05P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         11   22  +11      79.59     9.69    25.43     8.50    20.11    71.02    33.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      84.00    10.64    27.07    19.85    36.54    81.24    48.89P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    12   22   +7      70.01     9.33     8.97     0.91     3.21    30.79     8.37P    0.76R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.82    10.12    26.20    11.08    24.62    73.84    39.77P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.59     9.30     1.76     0.40     1.47    19.23     4.80P    2.06R    0.14  
Hartlepool      11   19   +5      66.10     9.60     3.31     0.46     1.58    18.63     4.61P    2.63R    0.21  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.63     9.33    -8.32     0.11     0.47     8.49     1.89P    6.62R    0.64  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.38     9.45     4.95     0.39     1.45    19.51     5.27P    2.29R    0.18  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.58     9.17    -0.19     0.08     0.33     8.44     1.79P    5.90R    0.58  
Oldham          11   14   -5      57.26     9.39   -12.22     0.02     0.12     3.79     0.79P   14.92R    2.14  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.30     9.37   -19.35     0.00     0.03     1.24     0.21P   31.13R    6.39  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.27     9.45    -7.76     0.01     0.05     1.87     0.33P   26.18R    5.14  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.44     9.98     0.08     0.12     0.51     8.53     2.36P    9.35R    1.26  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.64     9.41   -10.77     0.02     0.09     3.22     0.67P   16.83R    2.70  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.64     9.15   -10.08     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.26P   27.77R    5.46  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.55     9.61   -19.51     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.15P   42.25R   11.64  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      55.78     9.45   -11.29     0.01     0.08     2.80     0.64P   18.79R    3.07  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.44     9.26   -14.29     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.16P   37.14R    8.97  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      45.69     9.24   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   57.95R   21.02  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.49     9.28   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.16P   37.67R    9.29  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.50     8.90   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   59.49R   21.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +9      81.98     9.32    24.60    31.79    62.25    87.02    68.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      71.96    10.03     5.10     7.26    22.81    51.36    28.34P    0.25R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.37     9.73    -8.63     0.97     4.73    17.96     6.99P    2.50R    0.68  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +4      77.72     9.48    16.04    16.68    43.41    74.28    51.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      69.07     9.23     7.99     3.30    13.87    40.37    19.66P    0.28R    0.04  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      68.05     9.55    12.30     3.35    13.40    37.64    18.87P    0.49R    0.11  
Cheltenham           12   20   +3      62.33     9.33    -4.20     0.85     4.36    16.95     6.74P    2.21R    0.57  
Burton_Albion        12   20   +3      66.45     9.43     2.33     1.95     9.00    29.99    13.18P    0.83R    0.18  
Port_Vale            12   19   +7      70.93     9.40    14.96     5.17    19.49    49.66    27.39P    0.17R    0.04  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      70.86     9.43    14.41     5.23    19.52    49.04    27.89P    0.18R    0.04  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      71.58     9.60    12.58     5.92    21.62    51.64    29.81P    0.23R    0.04  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.04     9.17    -4.19     0.30     2.03    10.02     3.58P    4.27R    1.18  
Swindon              12   16   +5      74.82     9.85    23.73    11.96    34.48    65.67    45.30P    0.13R    0.03  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.30     9.49     5.38     1.69     7.91    26.92    13.02P    1.21R    0.30  
Northampton          12   15   -1      60.82     9.33    -2.36     0.50     3.09    13.83     5.50P    3.13R    0.84  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.67     9.41    -3.15     0.58     3.66    15.87     6.54P    2.63R    0.69  
Bristol_Rovers       12   15   -6      60.93     9.82    -7.61     0.62     3.68    14.69     6.40P    4.02R    1.20  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.30     9.15    -6.62     0.17     1.19     7.12     2.61P    6.28R    1.94  
Crewe                12   13   -4      63.99     9.69     2.38     1.15     6.13    23.27    10.54P    1.82R    0.52  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.58     9.65    -3.46     0.52     3.12    13.88     6.03P    3.75R    1.06  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.47     9.06   -16.75     0.01     0.10     0.97     0.27P   28.57R   12.39  
Barnet               12    9  -11      45.01     9.00   -28.71     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.09P   45.28R   22.89  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.86     8.71   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   64.81R   42.90  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.35     9.69   -19.36     0.02     0.14     1.48     0.52P   26.95R   12.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 October 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            15   32  +14      85.51     8.50    30.66    20.49    82.25    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.70     8.71     6.95     1.43    26.67     5.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   28   +8      80.89     8.84    21.72     9.30    64.04    22.36P    0.00R    0.00  
York               14   26  +15      80.92     8.83    31.69     9.85    65.94    25.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              14   26  +12      90.94     8.35    45.41    48.45    93.97    67.08P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.08     9.10    20.29     4.59    47.66    13.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     14   25   +8      69.28     9.62     8.35     0.99    19.37     4.27P    0.36R    0.01  
Kidderminster      14   24   +5      75.87     9.05    17.24     3.35    42.29    11.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Southport          14   24   -1      61.55     8.74   -11.60     0.08     3.60     0.48P    1.99R    0.15  
Cambridge_Utd      14   23   +5      70.36     8.75    10.43     0.75    20.14     4.57P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      61.90     8.66    -2.22     0.05     4.01     0.63P    1.41R    0.07  
Barrow             14   20   +0      59.48     8.80    -7.21     0.04     2.36     0.38P    3.13R    0.24  
Forest_Green       14   17   +5      58.18     8.75     0.85     0.02     1.92     0.31P    3.74R    0.31  
AFC_Telford        14   17   -2      53.62     9.28   -13.18     0.01     0.83     0.14P   12.46R    1.67  
Grimsby            14   17   -5      64.04     8.98    -0.33     0.15     6.54     1.51P    1.03R    0.08  
Darlington         14   16   -6      63.74     8.63    -0.01     0.09     5.45     1.36P    0.87R    0.04  
Stockport          14   15   -1      66.12     9.31    10.11     0.33    11.21     3.03P    0.76R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14   13   -8      46.73     8.66   -26.08     0.00     0.04     0.01P   34.39R    7.11  
Lincoln_City       14   12   -9      57.16     9.12    -6.81     0.02     1.40     0.33P    6.26R    0.71  
Kettering          14   12  -11      50.07     8.69   -20.35     0.00     0.15     0.01P   21.08R    3.25  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   11   -5      45.83     9.09   -19.37     0.00     0.08     0.02P   38.07R    8.96  
Alfreton_Town      14   10  -17      35.95     8.31   -47.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.77R   48.40  
Newport_County     14    8  -12      47.78     8.73   -18.89     0.00     0.06     0.02P   28.65R    6.08  
Bath_City          14    6  -15      40.30     8.38   -29.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.85R   22.86