Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 9 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 7 19 +19 89.30 7.47 69.78 65.84 88.96 97.49 99.38 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 7 19 +18 79.56 8.31 48.51 14.98 45.04 79.16 91.39 98.58 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 16 +9 81.41 7.91 47.34 17.84 56.07 85.03 94.26 99.18 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 7 15 +5 58.69 8.49 5.60 0.06 0.71 3.58 12.23 41.12 0.29R 0.02 Liverpool 7 13 +2 66.33 8.46 18.41 0.69 4.45 15.40 40.51 76.79 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 6 12 +1 64.49 8.89 14.35 0.43 3.14 11.34 31.99 68.26 0.06R 0.00 Aston_Villa 7 11 +4 52.04 8.57 0.45 0.01 0.11 0.73 3.42 16.59 1.96R 0.28 Stoke 7 9 -4 47.36 8.23 -11.10 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.81 5.98 5.95R 1.00 Norwich 7 8 -3 39.28 8.52 -23.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 1.23 29.50R 9.41 Swansea 7 8 -3 40.18 8.27 -18.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 1.19 24.81R 6.84 QPR 7 8 -8 35.77 7.99 -33.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.28 46.07R 17.81 Fulham 7 7 +3 49.42 8.36 2.26 0.00 0.03 0.26 1.73 10.52 3.35R 0.55 Everton 6 7 -2 52.57 8.77 -0.16 0.01 0.12 0.78 3.79 18.62 2.02R 0.25 Wolverhampton 7 7 -4 38.11 7.97 -24.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.53 33.39R 10.43 Arsenal 7 7 -6 61.15 8.65 13.07 0.13 1.34 6.00 19.42 54.75 0.14R 0.01 Sunderland 7 6 +1 43.53 8.35 -8.55 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.38 2.87 13.35R 3.02 West_Brom 7 5 -5 41.33 8.51 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.22 1.85 20.95R 5.70 Wigan 7 5 -6 34.48 7.87 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 50.98R 21.39 Blackburn 7 4 -9 37.70 8.26 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.55 35.91R 12.76 Bolton 7 3 -12 38.96 8.56 -25.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.00 31.25R 10.52Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 10 22 +13 82.59 10.25 30.26 30.88 49.39 83.34 58.30P 0.03R 0.00 Middlesbrough 10 20 +8 75.13 9.67 16.62 8.96 20.02 59.85 29.52P 0.20R 0.02 Derby 10 19 +3 63.73 9.56 -4.06 0.86 2.51 16.89 4.88P 3.73R 0.54 West_Ham 10 18 +8 79.80 10.16 26.84 21.28 38.39 76.26 50.21P 0.09R 0.01 Brighton 10 17 +2 61.89 10.03 -5.08 0.76 2.14 14.11 4.33P 6.49R 1.16 Hull 10 17 +0 65.84 9.28 -0.02 1.22 3.45 22.37 7.54P 1.89R 0.23 Blackpool 10 16 +7 74.96 10.45 21.48 11.08 22.44 59.64 33.35P 0.36R 0.03 Leicester 10 16 +4 69.52 9.82 10.10 3.36 8.41 37.61 15.21P 0.92R 0.09 Cardiff 10 16 +3 73.55 9.79 15.17 6.80 16.05 53.74 26.34P 0.37R 0.04 Ipswich 10 16 -2 61.66 9.71 -7.85 0.51 1.64 12.49 3.57P 6.44R 1.14 Leeds_United 9 14 +2 67.66 10.33 5.99 2.59 6.96 31.22 12.30P 2.15R 0.31 Crystal_Palace 10 14 +2 57.43 9.25 -6.40 0.12 0.47 5.57 1.38P 11.82R 2.37 Peterborough 10 13 +3 57.14 10.52 -7.58 0.31 0.97 7.84 2.22P 15.88R 4.23 Burnley 9 12 +1 63.98 10.03 2.60 1.18 3.32 19.49 7.01P 4.05R 0.72 Reading 10 12 +0 66.64 9.85 7.83 1.95 5.36 27.44 11.32P 1.94R 0.24 Barnsley 10 12 +0 55.29 9.25 -8.62 0.09 0.27 3.60 0.84P 17.07R 3.90 Birmingham 8 11 +0 72.67 10.82 14.36 7.68 16.71 49.90 26.54P 0.85R 0.13 Watford 10 10 -7 55.85 9.76 -13.19 0.08 0.40 4.64 1.26P 17.62R 4.47 Portsmouth 10 9 -3 57.23 9.48 -4.36 0.14 0.50 5.62 1.59P 12.56R 2.84 Doncaster 10 8 -8 44.35 8.97 -27.62 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.05P 61.50R 29.77 Nott'm_Forest 10 8 -11 56.21 9.67 -12.78 0.10 0.39 4.78 1.41P 16.38R 3.95 Coventry 10 7 -6 48.54 9.13 -16.87 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.13P 41.75R 14.91 Millwall 10 7 -7 53.18 9.29 -10.89 0.04 0.16 2.26 0.58P 23.45R 6.35 Bristol_City 10 6 -12 46.40 9.36 -25.91 0.00 0.02 0.49 0.11P 52.46R 22.54League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 October 2011, Notts_County vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 12 28 +14 86.30 9.41 31.60 24.10 44.51 89.28 56.54P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 12 25 +6 77.78 9.60 15.01 5.78 14.65 62.70 25.11P 0.11R 0.00 Huddersfield 12 24 +14 87.24 9.25 39.60 28.16 50.12 91.48 64.05P 0.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 11 22 +11 79.59 9.69 25.43 8.50 20.11 71.02 33.14P 0.05R 0.00 Preston 10 22 +7 84.00 10.64 27.07 19.85 36.54 81.24 48.89P 0.06R 0.00 Notts_County 12 22 +7 70.01 9.33 8.97 0.91 3.21 30.79 8.37P 0.76R 0.03 Sheff_Utd 11 20 +7 80.82 10.12 26.20 11.08 24.62 73.84 39.77P 0.05R 0.00 Brentford 12 20 +2 66.59 9.30 1.76 0.40 1.47 19.23 4.80P 2.06R 0.14 Hartlepool 11 19 +5 66.10 9.60 3.31 0.46 1.58 18.63 4.61P 2.63R 0.21 Carlisle 12 18 -3 61.63 9.33 -8.32 0.11 0.47 8.49 1.89P 6.62R 0.64 Colchester 12 17 +1 66.38 9.45 4.95 0.39 1.45 19.51 5.27P 2.29R 0.18 Tranmere 12 16 +1 61.58 9.17 -0.19 0.08 0.33 8.44 1.79P 5.90R 0.58 Oldham 11 14 -5 57.26 9.39 -12.22 0.02 0.12 3.79 0.79P 14.92R 2.14 Bury 12 14 -6 52.30 9.37 -19.35 0.00 0.03 1.24 0.21P 31.13R 6.39 Stevenage 12 13 +2 53.27 9.45 -7.76 0.01 0.05 1.87 0.33P 26.18R 5.14 Scunthorpe 12 12 -2 60.44 9.98 0.08 0.12 0.51 8.53 2.36P 9.35R 1.26 Rochdale 12 12 -7 56.64 9.41 -10.77 0.02 0.09 3.22 0.67P 16.83R 2.70 Walsall 12 11 -2 52.64 9.15 -10.08 0.00 0.02 1.23 0.26P 27.77R 5.46 Chesterfield 12 11 -6 49.55 9.61 -19.51 0.00 0.02 0.76 0.15P 42.25R 11.64 Bournemouth 12 11 -8 55.78 9.45 -11.29 0.01 0.08 2.80 0.64P 18.79R 3.07 Yeovil 12 9 -6 50.44 9.26 -14.29 0.00 0.01 0.79 0.16P 37.14R 8.97 Wycombe 12 9 -8 45.69 9.24 -23.40 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 57.95R 21.02 Leyton_Orient 12 9 -12 50.49 9.28 -20.68 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.16P 37.67R 9.29 Exeter 12 8 -12 45.50 8.90 -26.11 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 59.49R 21.13League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 12 25 +9 81.98 9.32 24.60 31.79 62.25 87.02 68.94P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 12 25 +5 71.96 10.03 5.10 7.26 22.81 51.36 28.34P 0.25R 0.06 AFC_Wimbledon 12 23 +4 62.37 9.73 -8.63 0.97 4.73 17.96 6.99P 2.50R 0.68 Shrewsbury 12 23 +4 77.72 9.48 16.04 16.68 43.41 74.28 51.77P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 12 22 +7 69.07 9.23 7.99 3.30 13.87 40.37 19.66P 0.28R 0.04 Morecambe 12 21 +12 68.05 9.55 12.30 3.35 13.40 37.64 18.87P 0.49R 0.11 Cheltenham 12 20 +3 62.33 9.33 -4.20 0.85 4.36 16.95 6.74P 2.21R 0.57 Burton_Albion 12 20 +3 66.45 9.43 2.33 1.95 9.00 29.99 13.18P 0.83R 0.18 Port_Vale 12 19 +7 70.93 9.40 14.96 5.17 19.49 49.66 27.39P 0.17R 0.04 Gillingham 12 18 +5 70.86 9.43 14.41 5.23 19.52 49.04 27.89P 0.18R 0.04 Rotherham 12 18 +2 71.58 9.60 12.58 5.92 21.62 51.64 29.81P 0.23R 0.04 Macclesfield 12 17 +3 59.04 9.17 -4.19 0.30 2.03 10.02 3.58P 4.27R 1.18 Swindon 12 16 +5 74.82 9.85 23.73 11.96 34.48 65.67 45.30P 0.13R 0.03 Torquay 12 15 +0 65.30 9.49 5.38 1.69 7.91 26.92 13.02P 1.21R 0.30 Northampton 12 15 -1 60.82 9.33 -2.36 0.50 3.09 13.83 5.50P 3.13R 0.84 Accrington_Stanley 12 15 -3 61.67 9.41 -3.15 0.58 3.66 15.87 6.54P 2.63R 0.69 Bristol_Rovers 12 15 -6 60.93 9.82 -7.61 0.62 3.68 14.69 6.40P 4.02R 1.20 Aldershot 12 14 -2 57.30 9.15 -6.62 0.17 1.19 7.12 2.61P 6.28R 1.94 Crewe 12 13 -4 63.99 9.69 2.38 1.15 6.13 23.27 10.54P 1.82R 0.52 Dag_&_Red 12 13 -5 60.58 9.65 -3.46 0.52 3.12 13.88 6.03P 3.75R 1.06 Bradford 12 10 -4 48.47 9.06 -16.75 0.01 0.10 0.97 0.27P 28.57R 12.39 Barnet 12 9 -11 45.01 9.00 -28.71 0.00 0.02 0.30 0.09P 45.28R 22.89 Hereford 12 7 -17 40.86 8.71 -36.78 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 64.81R 42.90 Plymouth 12 5 -16 49.35 9.69 -19.36 0.02 0.14 1.48 0.52P 26.95R 12.29Conference (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 October 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 15 32 +14 85.51 8.50 30.66 20.49 82.25 37.79P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 15 30 +7 72.70 8.71 6.95 1.43 26.67 5.29P 0.05R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 14 28 +8 80.89 8.84 21.72 9.30 64.04 22.36P 0.00R 0.00 York 14 26 +15 80.92 8.83 31.69 9.85 65.94 25.25P 0.00 0.00 Luton 14 26 +12 90.94 8.35 45.41 48.45 93.97 67.08P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 14 26 +9 77.08 9.10 20.29 4.59 47.66 13.36P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 14 25 +8 69.28 9.62 8.35 0.99 19.37 4.27P 0.36R 0.01 Kidderminster 14 24 +5 75.87 9.05 17.24 3.35 42.29 11.80P 0.02R 0.00 Southport 14 24 -1 61.55 8.74 -11.60 0.08 3.60 0.48P 1.99R 0.15 Cambridge_Utd 14 23 +5 70.36 8.75 10.43 0.75 20.14 4.57P 0.10R 0.00 Tamworth 14 22 +4 61.90 8.66 -2.22 0.05 4.01 0.63P 1.41R 0.07 Barrow 14 20 +0 59.48 8.80 -7.21 0.04 2.36 0.38P 3.13R 0.24 Forest_Green 14 17 +5 58.18 8.75 0.85 0.02 1.92 0.31P 3.74R 0.31 AFC_Telford 14 17 -2 53.62 9.28 -13.18 0.01 0.83 0.14P 12.46R 1.67 Grimsby 14 17 -5 64.04 8.98 -0.33 0.15 6.54 1.51P 1.03R 0.08 Darlington 14 16 -6 63.74 8.63 -0.01 0.09 5.45 1.36P 0.87R 0.04 Stockport 14 15 -1 66.12 9.31 10.11 0.33 11.21 3.03P 0.76R 0.06 Hayes_&_Yeading 14 13 -8 46.73 8.66 -26.08 0.00 0.04 0.01P 34.39R 7.11 Lincoln_City 14 12 -9 57.16 9.12 -6.81 0.02 1.40 0.33P 6.26R 0.71 Kettering 14 12 -11 50.07 8.69 -20.35 0.00 0.15 0.01P 21.08R 3.25 Ebbsfleet_United 14 11 -5 45.83 9.09 -19.37 0.00 0.08 0.02P 38.07R 8.96 Alfreton_Town 14 10 -17 35.95 8.31 -47.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.77R 48.40 Newport_County 14 8 -12 47.78 8.73 -18.89 0.00 0.06 0.02P 28.65R 6.08 Bath_City 14 6 -15 40.30 8.38 -29.76 0.00 0.01 0.00 63.85R 22.86