Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.37     7.38    69.81    66.35    89.45    97.83    99.48    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.44     8.32    48.41    14.14    44.44    78.66    91.11    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.45     7.92    47.50    18.18    56.25    84.94    94.50    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.44     8.57     5.21     0.08     0.69     3.42    12.00    40.02     0.27R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.39     8.47    18.49     0.65     4.39    15.50    40.78    77.22     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.50     8.86    14.39     0.43     3.13    11.42    31.71    68.31     0.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.00     8.55     0.39     0.01     0.09     0.69     3.41    16.45     2.05R    0.24  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.46     8.25   -10.97     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.91     6.36     5.77R    0.99  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.51     8.50   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.31    28.69R    8.68  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.14     8.37   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.33    25.20R    7.18  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.84     7.96   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31    45.82R   17.46  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.50     8.38     2.37     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.71    10.65     3.39R    0.51  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.45     8.81    -0.27     0.01     0.13     0.78     3.71    18.31     2.07R    0.29  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.12     8.00   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.50    33.29R   10.67  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.12     8.74    12.95     0.15     1.36     6.23    19.59    54.76     0.18R    0.03  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.62     8.41    -8.35     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.38     3.11    13.28R    3.18  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.50     8.55   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.99    20.85R    5.86  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.58     7.90   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    50.31R   20.70  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.50     8.23   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.51    36.70R   13.22  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.71     8.49   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.89    32.04R   10.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.68    10.21    30.46    31.24    49.63    83.68    58.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.08     9.65    16.55     9.08    20.01    59.67    29.39P    0.14R    0.02  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.81     9.55    -3.88     0.95     2.53    17.31     4.96P    3.54R    0.47  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.55    10.20    26.39    20.75    37.41    75.37    49.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.54     9.97    -5.67     0.63     1.83    13.13     3.79P    6.92R    1.21  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.98     9.31     0.26     1.24     3.55    22.92     7.57P    1.87R    0.22  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.17    10.44    21.80    11.43    23.00    60.20    33.98P    0.38R    0.04  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.57     9.82    10.19     3.33     8.75    37.67    15.58P    0.99R    0.13  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.69     9.78    15.39     6.87    16.38    54.32    26.69P    0.35R    0.03  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.53     9.66    -8.06     0.45     1.48    12.28     3.30P    6.35R    1.19  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.49    10.36     5.76     2.57     6.76    30.62    11.94P    2.33R    0.37  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.30     9.29    -6.52     0.13     0.46     5.44     1.37P   12.30R    2.40  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.15    10.46    -7.54     0.34     1.03     7.64     2.31P   15.80R    4.38  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.79     9.93     2.25     0.95     2.96    18.88     6.41P    4.17R    0.76  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.69     9.86     7.89     1.90     5.32    27.51    11.67P    2.10R    0.29  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.39     9.32    -8.44     0.09     0.31     3.80     0.87P   16.95R    3.92  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.82    10.77    14.59     7.68    17.14    50.89    27.38P    0.80R    0.09  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.84     9.77   -13.28     0.12     0.41     4.82     1.22P   17.63R    4.52  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.25     9.47    -4.29     0.13     0.44     5.61     1.55P   12.57R    2.76  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.50     9.00   -27.46     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   60.85R   29.19  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.06     9.66   -13.01     0.10     0.38     4.66     1.37P   16.66R    4.19  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.70     9.18   -16.64     0.01     0.03     0.68     0.18P   41.24R   14.84  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.33     9.32   -10.67     0.03     0.17     2.35     0.63P   22.98R    6.11  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.30     9.31   -26.06     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   53.00R   22.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Bournemouth vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        12   28  +14      86.18     9.49    31.38    23.84    44.37    89.08    55.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       12   25   +6      77.73     9.61    14.93     5.80    14.46    63.08    24.99P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield    12   24  +14      87.32     9.35    39.77    28.87    50.69    91.72    64.67P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         11   22  +11      79.50     9.73    25.28     8.33    20.04    70.68    32.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.79    10.54    26.66    19.18    35.74    81.10    48.09P    0.06R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.89    10.12    26.26    11.34    25.00    74.52    40.30P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       12   20   +2      66.50     9.31     1.59     0.36     1.44    19.27     4.88P    2.28R    0.12  
Hartlepool      10   19   +8      68.80     9.87     8.39     1.04     3.33    28.08     7.99P    1.48R    0.10  
Notts_County    11   19   +4      66.48     9.48     3.24     0.47     1.60    19.59     4.80P    2.22R    0.16  
Carlisle        12   18   -3      61.67     9.35    -8.17     0.12     0.51     8.84     2.06P    6.70R    0.68  
Colchester      12   17   +1      66.35     9.57     4.89     0.39     1.52    19.90     5.54P    2.54R    0.21  
Tranmere        12   16   +1      61.47     9.12    -0.33     0.07     0.35     8.24     1.84P    6.07R    0.57  
Oldham          11   14   -5      57.20     9.35   -12.26     0.02     0.11     3.54     0.66P   15.29R    2.32  
Bury            12   14   -6      52.48     9.48   -19.06     0.01     0.03     1.42     0.25P   30.94R    6.46  
Stevenage       12   13   +2      53.41     9.56    -7.57     0.01     0.04     1.98     0.40P   26.05R    5.12  
Scunthorpe      12   12   -2      60.53    10.01     0.20     0.10     0.48     8.86     2.45P    9.46R    1.22  
Rochdale        12   12   -7      56.40     9.39   -11.09     0.01     0.10     3.17     0.67P   17.31R    2.75  
Walsall         12   11   -2      52.73     9.19    -9.89     0.00     0.04     1.34     0.26P   27.92R    5.38  
Chesterfield    12   11   -6      49.66     9.51   -19.29     0.00     0.03     0.86     0.17P   41.70R   11.56  
Bournemouth     12   11   -8      55.89     9.40   -11.13     0.02     0.09     2.80     0.69P   18.69R    2.99  
Yeovil          12    9   -6      50.62     9.26   -13.98     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.16P   36.46R    8.62  
Wycombe         12    9   -8      45.94     9.27   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   57.02R   20.52  
Leyton_Orient   12    9  -12      50.54     9.33   -20.61     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.12P   37.74R    9.41  
Exeter          12    8  -12      45.44     8.86   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   59.79R   21.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             12   25   +9      82.02     9.44    24.70    32.08    62.43    86.79    69.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         12   25   +5      71.99     9.98     5.13     7.03    22.98    51.37    28.65P    0.21R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   23   +4      62.42     9.67    -8.46     1.00     4.98    18.02     7.17P    2.39R    0.59  
Shrewsbury           12   23   +4      77.77     9.40    16.03    16.52    43.41    74.76    51.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +7      68.92     9.33     7.76     3.40    13.84    39.75    19.40P    0.32R    0.06  
Morecambe            12   21  +12      67.98     9.50    12.18     3.34    13.18    37.28    18.70P    0.46R    0.08  
Cheltenham           12   20   +3      62.54     9.35    -3.81     0.78     4.28    17.57     6.78P    2.12R    0.54  
Burton_Albion        12   20   +3      66.51     9.51     2.49     1.92     9.09    30.45    13.17P    0.85R    0.23  
Port_Vale            12   19   +7      70.71     9.38    14.59     4.91    18.82    48.68    26.79P    0.19R    0.03  
Gillingham           12   18   +5      70.80     9.45    14.33     5.11    19.46    48.97    27.88P    0.22R    0.04  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      71.54     9.57    12.46     5.90    21.44    51.51    29.47P    0.22R    0.03  
Macclesfield         12   17   +3      59.06     9.19    -4.09     0.28     1.87    10.11     3.42P    4.34R    1.15  
Swindon              12   16   +5      74.98     9.83    23.94    12.20    34.88    66.10    45.73P    0.10R    0.03  
Torquay              12   15   +0      65.42     9.50     5.60     1.72     8.11    27.30    13.20P    1.14R    0.28  
Northampton          12   15   -1      60.82     9.39    -2.39     0.52     3.25    13.81     5.69P    3.16R    0.90  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   -3      61.46     9.41    -3.50     0.54     3.42    15.24     6.18P    2.83R    0.77  
Bristol_Rovers       12   15   -6      61.25     9.97    -6.95     0.79     3.99    15.90     6.94P    3.77R    1.15  
Aldershot            12   14   -2      57.39     9.13    -6.53     0.18     1.28     7.26     2.67P    5.91R    1.74  
Crewe                12   13   -4      63.76     9.73     1.95     1.17     5.94    22.47    10.23P    2.00R    0.51  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -5      60.58     9.54    -3.40     0.54     3.01    13.67     5.96P    3.51R    0.99  
Bradford             12   10   -4      48.38     9.06   -16.93     0.01     0.08     0.96     0.27P   28.68R   12.52  
Barnet               12    9  -11      45.01     9.08   -28.78     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.10P   44.95R   22.93  
Hereford             12    7  -17      40.57     8.68   -37.15     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.01P   66.14R   43.87  
Plymouth             12    5  -16      49.50     9.70   -19.17     0.03     0.20     1.60     0.60P   26.47R   11.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 October 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead          15   30   +7      72.52     8.67     6.64     1.49    26.43     5.14P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   29  +12      83.72     8.70    28.48    16.14    76.67    32.72P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   28   +8      81.08     8.80    21.93    10.11    65.53    23.75P    0.00R    0.00  
York               14   26  +15      80.85     8.84    31.58    10.03    66.10    25.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              14   26  +12      90.97     8.26    45.43    50.83    94.43    68.31P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   26   +9      77.07     9.05    20.21     4.81    48.52    13.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     14   25   +8      69.42     9.59     8.54     1.22    19.83     4.53P    0.31R    0.01  
Kidderminster      14   24   +5      75.84     9.07    17.19     3.66    42.53    12.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          14   24   -1      61.31     8.70   -11.93     0.08     3.53     0.46P    2.06R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd      14   23   +5      70.41     8.71    10.54     0.87    20.47     4.89P    0.10R    0.01  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      61.89     8.71    -2.28     0.11     4.30     0.74P    1.53R    0.08  
Barrow             14   20   +0      59.54     8.83    -7.11     0.02     2.58     0.43P    3.23R    0.20  
Forest_Green       14   17   +5      58.26     8.80     0.98     0.01     1.91     0.31P    4.23R    0.31  
AFC_Telford        14   17   -2      53.69     9.26   -13.19     0.01     0.83     0.16P   12.63R    1.68  
Grimsby            14   17   -5      64.24     9.03    -0.07     0.17     7.02     1.63P    1.12R    0.08  
Darlington         14   16   -6      63.89     8.76     0.12     0.11     5.96     1.59P    0.98R    0.06  
Stockport          14   15   -1      66.14     9.22    10.16     0.33    11.30     3.15P    0.78R    0.07  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   13   -6      48.44     8.91   -23.49     0.00     0.15     0.02P   28.48R    5.58  
Lincoln_City       14   12   -9      56.87     9.10    -7.23     0.01     1.59     0.37P    6.69R    0.79  
Kettering          14   12  -11      49.81     8.61   -20.78     0.00     0.15     0.02P   22.39R    3.66  
Ebbsfleet_United   14   11   -5      45.84     9.11   -19.31     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.88R    9.14  
Alfreton_Town      14   10  -17      36.01     8.27   -47.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.17R   48.84  
Newport_County     14    8  -12      47.72     8.79   -18.95     0.00     0.08     0.01P   30.01R    6.32  
Bath_City          14    6  -15      40.37     8.35   -29.64     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.31R   23.10