Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 6 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 7 19 +19 89.36 7.43 69.83 66.25 89.21 97.68 99.37 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_City 7 19 +18 79.49 8.31 48.29 14.28 44.51 78.72 91.15 98.45 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 16 +9 81.50 7.97 47.60 18.15 56.48 84.91 94.27 99.22 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 7 15 +5 58.63 8.54 5.52 0.08 0.70 3.49 12.27 40.80 0.21R 0.01 Liverpool 7 13 +2 66.26 8.51 18.30 0.63 4.29 15.37 39.90 76.38 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 6 12 +1 64.71 8.89 14.77 0.49 3.31 11.97 32.93 69.10 0.05R 0.00 Aston_Villa 7 11 +4 52.05 8.52 0.44 0.01 0.12 0.74 3.44 16.49 1.87R 0.28 Stoke 7 9 -4 47.25 8.22 -11.31 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.78 6.07 6.07R 1.02 Norwich 7 8 -3 39.29 8.53 -23.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 1.23 29.42R 9.31 Swansea 7 8 -3 40.07 8.35 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 1.33 25.28R 7.25 QPR 7 8 -8 35.69 7.94 -33.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.25 46.37R 17.55 Fulham 7 7 +3 49.58 8.37 2.50 0.00 0.02 0.26 1.77 10.75 3.41R 0.50 Everton 6 7 -2 52.50 8.86 -0.22 0.01 0.11 0.84 3.95 18.56 2.10R 0.30 Wolverhampton 7 7 -4 37.85 7.93 -25.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.45 34.21R 11.05 Arsenal 7 7 -6 61.08 8.70 12.90 0.10 1.25 5.81 19.14 54.16 0.18R 0.02 Sunderland 7 6 +1 43.65 8.39 -8.23 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.35 3.08 13.02R 3.07 West_Brom 7 5 -5 41.60 8.58 -17.38 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.23 2.07 20.15R 5.62 Wigan 7 5 -6 34.56 7.90 -28.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.19 50.62R 20.98 Blackburn 7 4 -9 37.56 8.19 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.50 36.36R 12.76 Bolton 7 3 -12 38.98 8.53 -25.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.95 30.67R 10.29Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 10 22 +13 82.64 10.29 30.37 30.73 49.39 83.12 57.89P 0.02R 0.01 Middlesbrough 10 20 +8 75.23 9.69 16.83 9.47 20.30 60.34 30.07P 0.16R 0.01 Derby 10 19 +3 63.71 9.54 -4.07 0.84 2.50 17.05 4.91P 3.55R 0.48 West_Ham 10 18 +8 79.65 10.18 26.67 20.75 37.39 75.25 49.36P 0.07R 0.01 Brighton 10 17 +2 61.90 9.93 -5.06 0.70 2.10 13.75 4.17P 6.10R 1.08 Hull 10 17 +0 65.80 9.30 -0.03 1.13 3.47 21.94 7.32P 1.92R 0.20 Blackpool 10 16 +7 75.02 10.42 21.60 11.15 22.35 59.40 33.03P 0.32R 0.03 Leicester 10 16 +4 69.56 9.84 10.18 3.21 8.52 37.34 15.61P 1.01R 0.10 Cardiff 10 16 +3 73.58 9.77 15.26 6.57 15.97 53.61 26.17P 0.35R 0.04 Ipswich 10 16 -2 61.34 9.60 -8.33 0.45 1.42 11.61 3.09P 6.47R 1.21 Leeds_United 9 14 +2 67.74 10.33 6.11 2.67 7.05 31.54 12.38P 2.14R 0.33 Crystal_Palace 10 14 +2 57.41 9.30 -6.35 0.14 0.48 5.73 1.41P 11.74R 2.31 Peterborough 10 13 +3 56.81 10.57 -8.13 0.38 1.07 7.48 2.28P 16.71R 4.43 Burnley 9 12 +1 63.89 9.97 2.38 1.08 3.08 18.90 6.70P 4.14R 0.68 Reading 10 12 +0 66.87 9.84 8.19 1.96 5.30 28.06 11.52P 1.86R 0.22 Barnsley 10 12 +0 55.49 9.32 -8.36 0.06 0.29 3.83 0.95P 16.43R 3.77 Birmingham 8 11 +0 73.27 10.85 15.32 8.36 17.91 52.47 28.10P 0.72R 0.12 Watford 10 10 -7 55.85 9.79 -13.26 0.09 0.43 4.75 1.20P 17.43R 4.47 Portsmouth 10 9 -3 57.15 9.52 -4.46 0.14 0.47 5.63 1.62P 12.85R 2.83 Doncaster 10 8 -8 44.53 9.04 -27.54 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.03P 60.28R 28.69 Nott'm_Forest 10 8 -11 56.09 9.67 -12.98 0.10 0.35 4.61 1.36P 16.49R 4.15 Coventry 10 7 -6 48.45 9.18 -16.96 0.00 0.03 0.74 0.17P 42.15R 15.17 Millwall 10 7 -7 53.00 9.37 -11.17 0.02 0.12 2.22 0.56P 24.14R 6.69 Bristol_City 10 6 -12 46.20 9.28 -26.20 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.09P 52.94R 22.95League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 11 27 +14 87.58 9.64 32.96 28.67 50.10 90.85 60.91P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 11 22 +11 79.54 9.74 25.37 8.37 20.10 70.28 32.92P 0.06R 0.00 Preston 10 22 +7 83.73 10.66 26.59 19.17 35.58 80.18 47.79P 0.04R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 11 22 +4 76.19 9.89 13.05 4.69 11.97 55.90 21.35P 0.22R 0.00 Huddersfield 11 21 +13 86.27 9.53 39.59 25.27 46.34 89.23 61.09P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 11 20 +7 80.67 10.11 25.93 10.75 24.61 73.20 39.51P 0.06R 0.00 Hartlepool 10 19 +8 68.76 9.84 8.32 0.97 3.08 27.58 7.57P 1.49R 0.09 Notts_County 11 19 +4 66.92 9.50 3.84 0.47 1.77 20.64 5.26P 2.01R 0.16 Brentford 11 19 +2 66.68 9.57 1.41 0.46 1.71 20.03 5.28P 2.31R 0.16 Carlisle 11 17 -3 62.10 9.51 -8.01 0.15 0.61 9.49 2.18P 6.26R 0.57 Colchester 11 16 +1 67.33 9.77 5.84 0.61 2.10 22.64 6.45P 2.18R 0.15 Tranmere 11 15 +1 60.99 9.34 -1.57 0.07 0.36 7.84 1.82P 7.05R 0.64 Oldham 11 14 -5 57.16 9.38 -12.30 0.02 0.15 3.61 0.75P 15.21R 2.08 Stevenage 11 13 +3 53.96 9.65 -7.85 0.02 0.10 2.26 0.46P 24.54R 4.57 Scunthorpe 11 12 -1 63.18 10.20 3.40 0.21 0.97 13.71 3.95P 6.04R 0.69 Chesterfield 11 11 -4 51.05 9.87 -17.33 0.01 0.05 1.27 0.28P 36.24R 9.04 Rochdale 11 11 -7 56.66 9.66 -11.34 0.03 0.13 3.60 0.75P 17.33R 2.91 Bury 11 11 -8 49.83 9.70 -22.77 0.00 0.02 0.91 0.16P 41.59R 11.18 Walsall 11 10 -2 53.10 9.45 -9.87 0.02 0.06 1.62 0.33P 27.05R 5.25 Bournemouth 11 10 -8 56.61 9.61 -10.70 0.04 0.15 3.46 0.86P 17.10R 2.71 Yeovil 11 8 -6 50.12 9.33 -15.20 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.15P 38.43R 9.30 Wycombe 11 8 -8 46.13 9.57 -23.34 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.05P 56.04R 20.12 Exeter 11 8 -10 47.80 9.23 -22.62 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 49.14R 14.82 Leyton_Orient 11 6 -13 47.70 9.58 -23.40 0.00 0.02 0.46 0.09P 49.60R 15.55League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 11 22 +7 78.95 9.65 20.47 20.89 48.28 77.58 55.97P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 11 22 +4 69.41 10.22 2.52 4.88 16.07 40.71 20.77P 0.48R 0.09 Morecambe 11 21 +13 70.96 9.69 15.73 6.16 20.17 48.36 26.55P 0.16R 0.03 AFC_Wimbledon 11 20 +3 59.25 9.89 -12.30 0.60 2.75 11.13 4.12P 4.75R 1.26 Shrewsbury 11 20 +3 76.93 9.60 16.32 15.16 39.48 70.90 47.96P 0.04R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 11 19 +4 65.89 9.43 2.77 1.71 7.86 27.09 11.83P 0.71R 0.15 Port_Vale 11 18 +7 70.86 9.59 14.25 5.33 19.04 48.01 26.42P 0.22R 0.03 Rotherham 11 18 +3 74.45 9.81 15.98 10.85 30.84 61.92 38.87P 0.10R 0.02 Gillingham 11 17 +5 71.49 9.62 14.86 6.08 21.12 50.39 29.31P 0.15R 0.02 Burton_Albion 11 17 +2 63.46 9.63 -0.90 0.99 5.14 20.10 8.14P 1.74R 0.40 Cheltenham 11 17 +2 60.22 9.55 -5.83 0.57 2.79 12.11 4.41P 3.52R 0.88 Swindon 11 15 +5 76.71 9.94 26.03 16.65 41.26 71.10 51.58P 0.07R 0.02 Torquay 11 15 +1 67.62 9.62 7.83 2.76 11.35 34.61 17.46P 0.66R 0.15 Northampton 11 15 +0 63.19 9.65 0.07 1.14 5.28 19.48 8.73P 1.77R 0.43 Bristol_Rovers 11 15 -3 64.42 10.15 -1.10 1.81 7.45 24.07 11.84P 1.78R 0.49 Macclesfield 11 14 +2 56.64 9.34 -6.32 0.19 1.14 6.27 2.15P 6.85R 2.00 Aldershot 11 14 -1 59.60 9.28 -4.25 0.35 2.07 10.57 3.94P 3.50R 0.94 Accrington_Stanley 11 14 -3 61.60 9.50 -3.79 0.63 3.45 15.02 6.11P 2.51R 0.63 Crewe 11 13 -2 66.11 9.89 5.57 2.19 9.27 29.45 14.49P 1.03R 0.24 Dag_&_Red 11 13 -4 62.51 9.96 -1.56 1.04 4.85 18.30 8.39P 2.46R 0.63 Barnet 11 9 -10 45.66 9.23 -28.82 0.01 0.05 0.48 0.11P 39.73R 19.08 Bradford 11 7 -5 45.92 9.33 -19.58 0.01 0.07 0.59 0.18P 37.46R 17.44 Hereford 11 6 -17 39.66 8.78 -39.03 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 67.43R 45.56 Plymouth 11 4 -16 49.99 9.77 -18.89 0.03 0.23 1.71 0.67P 22.86R 9.50Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 6 October 2011, Cambridge_Utd vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 14 29 +12 83.39 8.69 27.96 17.15 75.74 32.75P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 13 27 +8 82.36 9.10 23.53 14.79 70.61 28.47P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 14 27 +6 70.46 8.93 5.00 1.26 20.40 4.31P 0.16R 0.00 Braintree_Town 13 25 +12 72.71 9.88 15.79 3.06 31.87 8.63P 0.14R 0.01 Kidderminster 13 24 +6 77.07 9.27 17.98 5.92 48.54 15.34P 0.03R 0.00 Luton 13 23 +11 89.39 8.62 44.57 44.97 91.55 64.05P 0.00 0.00 York 13 23 +11 77.63 9.06 25.08 6.20 51.68 18.24P 0.01R 0.00 Mansfield 13 23 +8 75.45 9.28 19.28 4.31 41.96 11.94P 0.04R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 14 23 +5 70.23 8.80 10.32 1.05 20.59 4.81P 0.12R 0.01 Southport 13 21 -4 57.99 8.84 -17.72 0.02 1.77 0.23P 5.38R 0.38 Tamworth 13 19 +0 58.04 8.80 -9.54 0.02 1.80 0.28P 4.71R 0.34 Barrow 13 17 -1 57.26 9.01 -9.04 0.03 1.73 0.31P 5.84R 0.44 AFC_Telford 13 17 -1 54.88 9.56 -12.35 0.02 1.40 0.25P 11.39R 1.21 Grimsby 13 17 -4 65.79 9.20 1.23 0.35 10.25 2.40P 0.83R 0.05 Forest_Green 13 16 +5 57.94 9.01 -0.22 0.04 2.20 0.41P 4.93R 0.34 Darlington 13 16 -4 66.62 8.86 4.09 0.31 10.96 2.91P 0.50R 0.02 Stockport 14 15 -1 66.05 9.25 10.08 0.40 11.64 3.38P 0.82R 0.05 Hayes_&_Yeading 13 13 -6 48.42 8.95 -23.41 0.00 0.15 0.03P 29.23R 4.70 Lincoln_City 13 12 -5 61.00 9.45 0.91 0.09 4.41 1.16P 3.14R 0.24 Ebbsfleet_United 13 11 -4 47.57 9.52 -18.04 0.01 0.20 0.03P 33.25R 6.08 Kettering 13 11 -11 50.73 8.92 -19.92 0.00 0.23 0.03P 20.64R 2.84 Alfreton_Town 13 9 -17 35.57 8.45 -49.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.41R 46.84 Newport_County 13 8 -9 51.27 9.06 -12.42 0.00 0.30 0.05P 18.12R 2.74 Bath_City 13 3 -17 37.27 8.54 -33.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.32R 33.72