Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.42     7.40    69.98    66.54    89.45    97.77    99.43    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.57     8.31    48.64    14.37    45.00    79.36    91.34    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.36     8.00    47.41    17.67    55.72    84.64    94.09    99.13     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.63     8.53     5.51     0.09     0.68     3.37    12.21    40.91     0.24R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.35     8.48    18.45     0.69     4.37    15.26    40.39    76.62     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.55     8.88    14.49     0.45     3.07    11.43    32.00    68.20     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.10     8.55     0.47     0.01     0.11     0.67     3.39    16.96     1.88R    0.25  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.32     8.17   -11.22     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.83     6.01     5.91R    1.03  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.46     8.53   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.31    28.87R    9.03  
Swansea          7    8   -3      39.89     8.26   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.06    25.62R    7.49  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.61     7.86   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    46.87R   17.98  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.45     8.35     2.28     0.01     0.03     0.23     1.69    10.34     3.42R    0.60  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.60     8.80    -0.11     0.01     0.13     0.73     3.67    18.75     2.07R    0.24  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.18     7.95   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49    32.71R   10.26  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.22     8.80    13.21     0.17     1.43     6.33    20.00    55.20     0.19R    0.02  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.44     8.30    -8.64     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.27     2.74    13.38R    3.17  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.38     8.60   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24     2.03    21.15R    6.01  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.70     7.91   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    50.22R   20.71  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.68     8.18   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49    35.95R   12.69  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.82     8.49   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.88    31.45R   10.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.76    10.37    30.59    31.58    49.87    83.72    58.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      74.93     9.62    16.33     8.43    19.40    58.92    28.85P    0.17R    0.01  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.41     9.45    -4.59     0.73     2.18    16.18     4.51P    3.76R    0.56  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      80.09    10.16    27.30    22.17    39.58    76.94    51.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.87     9.99    -5.10     0.72     2.04    14.13     4.35P    6.46R    1.15  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.84     9.31    -0.03     1.18     3.53    22.26     7.43P    1.99R    0.26  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      74.92    10.43    21.48    10.86    22.29    59.64    33.28P    0.38R    0.05  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.55     9.80    10.13     3.28     8.42    37.52    15.34P    0.96R    0.14  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.63     9.78    15.33     6.73    16.19    54.09    26.35P    0.34R    0.02  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.54     9.70    -8.04     0.47     1.48    12.60     3.40P    6.52R    1.17  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.58    10.30     5.88     2.47     6.66    31.24    11.86P    2.24R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.39     9.25    -6.41     0.15     0.48     5.48     1.32P   12.03R    2.35  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.28    10.52    -7.31     0.35     1.07     7.94     2.34P   15.73R    4.23  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.89     9.94     2.40     1.09     3.10    18.97     6.58P    4.12R    0.70  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.78     9.86     7.96     2.05     5.46    28.17    11.70P    1.96R    0.33  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.42     9.26    -8.43     0.08     0.26     3.70     0.88P   16.64R    3.85  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.60    10.78    14.29     7.30    16.54    50.08    26.46P    0.91R    0.13  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.86     9.80   -13.19     0.08     0.39     4.80     1.20P   17.59R    4.73  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.14     9.44    -4.45     0.13     0.44     5.50     1.58P   12.62R    2.86  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.62     8.95   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   60.45R   28.61  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.18     9.73   -12.83     0.12     0.42     4.89     1.40P   16.45R    4.06  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.52     9.07   -16.82     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.15P   41.60R   14.77  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.10     9.28   -10.96     0.02     0.13     2.10     0.60P   23.88R    6.53  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.22     9.34   -26.25     0.01     0.02     0.38     0.08P   53.09R   23.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        11   27  +14      87.57     9.64    32.90    28.81    50.16    91.07    61.01P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         11   22  +11      79.37     9.73    25.07     8.00    19.90    69.65    32.73P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.72    10.70    26.58    19.47    36.16    80.13    48.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       11   22   +4      76.13     9.84    12.97     4.42    11.90    55.92    21.47P    0.21R    0.02  
Huddersfield    11   21  +13      86.29     9.44    39.65    25.51    46.37    89.46    60.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.64    10.09    25.87    10.84    24.37    73.33    39.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool      10   19   +8      68.64     9.80     8.17     0.93     3.10    27.23     7.57P    1.45R    0.09  
Notts_County    11   19   +4      66.85     9.46     3.78     0.50     1.83    20.50     5.20P    2.18R    0.18  
Brentford       11   19   +2      66.70     9.53     1.40     0.38     1.61    20.15     5.10P    2.18R    0.16  
Carlisle        11   17   -3      62.11     9.58    -8.01     0.15     0.62     9.76     2.24P    6.44R    0.65  
Colchester      11   16   +1      67.33     9.63     5.84     0.51     1.97    22.27     6.22P    2.04R    0.16  
Tranmere        11   15   +1      61.12     9.28    -1.39     0.08     0.39     7.73     1.75P    6.79R    0.66  
Oldham          11   14   -5      57.29     9.33   -12.10     0.02     0.11     3.63     0.72P   14.70R    1.96  
Stevenage       11   13   +3      54.18     9.75    -7.55     0.03     0.10     2.39     0.52P   24.16R    4.61  
Scunthorpe      11   12   -1      63.23    10.21     3.47     0.26     1.04    14.04     4.13P    6.03R    0.71  
Chesterfield    11   11   -4      50.91     9.87   -17.49     0.01     0.04     1.32     0.27P   37.06R    9.35  
Rochdale        11   11   -7      56.64     9.62   -11.30     0.04     0.14     3.62     0.81P   17.22R    2.77  
Bury            11   11   -8      49.88     9.63   -22.71     0.01     0.02     0.87     0.15P   41.70R   11.09  
Walsall         11   10   -2      52.96     9.51   -10.15     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.32P   27.46R    5.70  
Bournemouth     11   10   -8      56.62     9.58   -10.64     0.02     0.10     3.59     0.86P   16.75R    2.62  
Yeovil          11    8   -6      50.09     9.26   -15.21     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.11P   38.51R    9.36  
Wycombe         11    8   -8      46.28     9.57   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   55.45R   19.60  
Exeter          11    8  -10      47.79     9.18   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   49.24R   14.52  
Leyton_Orient   11    6  -13      47.63     9.50   -23.44     0.01     0.01     0.40     0.07P   50.26R   15.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             11   22   +7      79.07     9.62    20.67    21.12    48.78    78.04    56.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         11   22   +4      69.41    10.21     2.46     4.81    15.84    40.43    20.58P    0.49R    0.12  
Morecambe            11   21  +13      70.83     9.74    15.47     6.11    19.91    47.75    26.04P    0.17R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   20   +3      59.11     9.87   -12.48     0.59     2.79    10.92     4.15P    4.77R    1.31  
Shrewsbury           11   20   +3      76.92     9.56    16.30    15.02    39.04    70.83    47.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           11   19   +4      66.18     9.38     3.16     1.76     8.39    28.00    12.58P    0.61R    0.12  
Port_Vale            11   18   +7      70.61     9.66    13.91     5.27    18.83    46.72    25.88P    0.21R    0.05  
Rotherham            11   18   +3      74.57     9.90    16.26    11.11    31.41    62.13    39.26P    0.11R    0.02  
Gillingham           11   17   +5      71.87     9.66    15.39     6.55    22.26    52.06    30.56P    0.19R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        11   17   +2      63.69     9.69    -0.60     1.21     5.48    20.73     8.34P    1.65R    0.40  
Cheltenham           11   17   +2      60.35     9.47    -5.71     0.45     2.64    12.02     4.31P    3.41R    0.91  
Swindon              11   15   +5      76.35     9.92    25.42    15.57    39.50    69.54    49.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Torquay              11   15   +1      67.77     9.65     8.04     2.89    11.67    35.20    17.83P    0.62R    0.14  
Northampton          11   15   +0      63.09     9.60    -0.08     1.14     5.01    19.10     8.29P    1.82R    0.46  
Bristol_Rovers       11   15   -3      63.99    10.12    -1.75     1.64     6.90    22.86    10.90P    1.89R    0.47  
Macclesfield         11   14   +2      56.61     9.29    -6.33     0.16     1.06     6.36     2.11P    6.64R    1.99  
Aldershot            11   14   -1      59.49     9.31    -4.38     0.35     2.09    10.27     3.89P    3.36R    0.84  
Accrington_Stanley   11   14   -3      61.63     9.63    -3.72     0.68     3.60    15.27     6.26P    2.56R    0.67  
Crewe                11   13   -2      66.46     9.87     6.07     2.43     9.67    30.61    15.09P    0.95R    0.24  
Dag_&_Red            11   13   -4      62.64     9.84    -1.41     1.09     4.85    18.44     8.54P    2.13R    0.54  
Barnet               11    9  -10      45.59     9.17   -28.88     0.00     0.03     0.45     0.11P   39.94R   18.79  
Bradford             11    7   -5      45.71     9.18   -19.75     0.01     0.06     0.45     0.13P   37.52R   17.52  
Hereford             11    6  -17      39.64     8.73   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   67.53R   45.53  
Plymouth             11    4  -16      49.95     9.88   -18.97     0.02     0.21     1.78     0.65P   23.35R    9.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 October 2011, Gateshead vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            14   29  +12      83.32     8.76    27.92    16.73    75.09    32.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   27   +8      82.32     9.06    23.43    14.76    70.13    28.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          14   27   +6      70.30     8.95     4.73     1.10    20.27     4.03P    0.19R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     13   25  +12      72.72     9.86    15.85     3.11    32.09     8.71P    0.14R    0.01  
Kidderminster      13   24   +6      77.11     9.16    18.04     5.71    48.15    15.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              13   23  +11      89.46     8.54    44.69    45.62    91.67    64.44P    0.00     0.00  
York               13   23  +11      77.39     9.10    24.70     5.94    50.64    17.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          13   23   +8      75.55     9.30    19.44     4.42    42.11    12.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      13   22   +5      70.74     8.95    10.61     1.23    22.38     5.79P    0.12R    0.00  
Southport          13   21   -4      57.90     8.92   -17.81     0.03     1.84     0.25P    5.53R    0.37  
Tamworth           13   19   +0      58.10     8.87    -9.42     0.04     1.90     0.33P    4.73R    0.34  
Barrow             13   17   -1      57.26     8.92    -9.05     0.02     1.53     0.25P    5.87R    0.41  
AFC_Telford        13   17   -1      55.10     9.60   -12.01     0.02     1.43     0.30P   10.79R    1.11  
Grimsby            13   17   -4      65.77     9.18     1.28     0.36    10.15     2.32P    0.83R    0.05  
Forest_Green       13   16   +5      58.03     9.10    -0.03     0.05     2.28     0.45P    4.93R    0.34  
Darlington         13   16   -4      66.65     9.00     4.15     0.35    11.14     3.02P    0.60R    0.02  
Stockport          13   14   -1      66.04     9.45     9.48     0.42    11.75     3.26P    0.94R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   13   -6      48.30     8.87   -23.54     0.00     0.14     0.02P   29.42R    4.70  
Lincoln_City       13   12   -5      61.11     9.40     1.03     0.10     4.58     1.26P    2.94R    0.21  
Ebbsfleet_United   13   11   -4      47.28     9.49   -18.44     0.00     0.17     0.03P   34.15R    6.61  
Kettering          13   11  -11      50.76     8.94   -19.83     0.00     0.22     0.03P   20.50R    2.99  
Alfreton_Town      13    9  -17      35.84     8.53   -48.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.44R   45.23  
Newport_County     13    8   -9      51.36     9.12   -12.21     0.01     0.35     0.06P   18.08R    2.68  
Bath_City          13    3  -17      37.07     8.54   -34.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.75R   34.87